证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-04-28 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20250425：增量政策的 6 条线索——学习 4 月政治局会议精神 4 月 25 日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究当前经济形势和经济 工作。从时间来看，比去年（4 月 30 日）和前年（4 月 28 日）都要早。 政策基调方面，强调"加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策"、"既定政 策早出台早见效，根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策，加强超常规逆周 期调节"。为应对正在到来的关税冲击，一方面需要抓好 3 月两会部署的 政策落实，另一方面择机出台新的增量政策，加大逆周期调节力度。对于 增量政策的判断，4 月 17 日国务院第十三次专题学习，对政策的时机、 力度有具体阐述，"要讲究政策时机，在一些关键的时间窗口，推动各方 面政策措施早出手、快出手，对预期形成积极影响。要把握政策力度，必 要时敢于打破常规，打好'组合拳'，让市场真正有获得感"。 风险提 示：房地产市场风险；关税事件反复和出口下行压力；以旧换新政策后续 不及预期的风险。 固收金工 [Table_FixedGain] ...

山东省临沂市人社、财政等部门共同创设就业赋能中心， 集成现场咨询、数智就业、直播带岗等多种服务场景。图 为工作人员（右一）在为咨询对象解答就业创业政策。 牟 燕摄 数据来源：财政部 接通记者电话时，食品采样员岳超凡正在山东菏泽出差，任务是按当地市场监管部门的要求，对在售的 蔬果、牛奶、饼干等食品进行安全检测。 这个24岁的山东小伙，去年从威海海洋职业学院药品生物技术专业毕业，山东华检检测有限公司校招时 相中了他，公司总部就在岳超凡老家山东临沂。 华检检测公司是一家做食品安全检测的第三方民营机构，员工总数不到百人，去年营业额在2000万元左 右。2019年成立至今，公司累计招收高校应届毕业生32人。公司总经理冯静说，这几年民营企业享受了 多项就业补贴，其中就包括应届毕业生就业社保补贴，"毕业第一年每人每月平均减免1000多元社保费 用，在公司起步阶段，这笔钱也不是小数目，让企业有意愿、有底气去高校挑人。" 政策暖心，企业和员工相互成就。 "公司有宿舍，工作日有免费三餐，第一年每月工资4000元左右，五险一金齐全。"岳超凡毕业近一年， 感觉很充实，"国家重视食品安全问题，专业对口，职业前景看好，我也有成就感。一定 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to standardize and systematize testing processes in the industry, promoting a more regulated environment and enhancing public health through comprehensive testing services [2][7]. Group 1: Company Background and Development - Established in 2008, the company started with soil and groundwater testing and has since expanded to over 7,000 testing parameters across various fields including solid waste, air, water, and dioxin testing [2][5]. - The founder, Yang Jin, has nearly 20 years of experience in the field, having previously worked in both public health and foreign environmental testing institutions [3][4]. - The company has participated in the establishment of 31 national standards for soil and groundwater testing, with 21 already implemented by the end of 2024 [4]. Group 2: Business Expansion and Strategy - After going public in 2022, the company adopted a "dual-wheel drive" strategy, expanding its testing services to include food and agriculture, thus creating a comprehensive third-party testing service system [5][6]. - The company is exploring automation and intelligent transformation in testing processes, including a partnership with Qiteng Robotics to develop intelligent testing robots [6][8]. Group 3: Social Responsibility and Community Engagement - The company actively engages in social responsibility, providing free water quality testing services during natural disasters, demonstrating a commitment to public health and safety [7][8]. - The founder emphasizes the importance of technology in benefiting society, linking soil and groundwater safety to public health [7][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates growth in the testing and inspection industry due to ongoing global economic development and technological advancements, planning to increase investment and acquisition efforts [8]. - There is a focus on leveraging accumulated data to create value and enhance the maturity of the testing industry, ensuring sustainable development and addressing societal challenges [8].

Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Companies Involved**: 广电计量 (Guangdian Measurement) and 苏试试验 (Sutest) - **Industry**: Testing and Measurement Services, particularly in military and semiconductor sectors Key Points on 广电计量 - **2024 Performance**: Revenue increased by 11% to 3.2 billion yuan, net profit rose by 76.6%, with a net profit margin exceeding 11% due to management adjustments and strategic focus on profitability [1][4] - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Revenue of 618 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, with net profit of 4.82 million yuan, showing significant improvement [1][6] - **Cost Control Measures**: Implemented cost control through workforce reduction (over 200 employees, nearly 4%) and capital expenditure management, leading to improved net profit margins [1][5] - **Cash Flow Situation**: Q1 2025 operating cash flow was negative 106 million yuan due to seasonal factors, but expected to improve in subsequent quarters [1][12] - **Future Outlook**: Positive expectations for GLP (Good Laboratory Practice) improvements, with strong laboratory and customer foundations supporting future growth [1][8] Key Points on 苏试试验 - **2024 Performance**: Revenue of 2.03 billion yuan, a decline of 4.3%, with net profit of 229 million yuan, down 27% [1][14] - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Revenue of 429 million yuan, a decrease of 3%, with net profit of 40 million yuan, also down 3% [1][14] - **Business Structure**: Comprises environmental testing services, equipment sales, and integrated circuit testing, with environmental testing contributing 64% of gross profit [1][13] - **Challenges**: Decline in revenue and profit primarily due to the experimental equipment segment affected by macroeconomic conditions [1][16] - **Future Outlook**: Anticipated recovery in Q2 and Q3, with expectations for improved performance driven by military orders and semiconductor demand [1][19][20] Additional Insights - **Commonalities**: Both companies are significant players in the military testing services sector and are expected to benefit from rising demand in this area, particularly in semiconductor testing [1][21] - **Strategic Adjustments**: 广电计量 has made significant management changes and strategic shifts towards profitability, while 苏试试验 is focusing on recovering from recent declines [1][4][19] - **Market Dynamics**: The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a key growth area for both companies, with strong demand expected to drive future revenues [1][18]

丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨信测标准（300938.SZ） [Table_Title] 信测标准 2025Q1 点评：营收同比降 8%，关注 机器人业务进展 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 信测标准发布 2025 年一季报，Q1 实现营收 1.66 亿元，同比下降 8.0%；归母净利润 0.37 亿 元，同比下降 9.5%。结合 2024 年业务发展趋势，推测 Q1 营收下降主要源于试验设备、健康 与环保检测板块拖累较多，汽车检测、电子电气产品检测预计稳健增长。今年 2 月份公司设立 机器人合资公司，打造未来新的增长曲线。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 赵智勇 贾少波 曹小敏 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490517110001 SAC：S0490520070003 SAC：S0490521050001 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BRP550 信测标准（300938.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 信测标准 2022]5Q1 点评：营收同比降 8%，关注 机器人业务进展 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 618 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.82 million yuan, compared to 1.20 million yuan in the same period last year [2][6] - The revenue growth is steady, and profit improvement is significant, with expectations for continued revenue and net profit growth throughout the year [2][6] Summary by Sections Event Description - The company released its Q1 2025 report, achieving revenue of 618 million yuan, a 5.2% year-on-year increase; net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 4.82 million yuan, up from 1.20 million yuan in the same period last year; the non-recurring net profit was -1.60 million yuan, compared to -6.06 million yuan last year [6] Event Commentary - Q1 is traditionally a slow season for the business, with stable revenue growth. It is speculated that revenue growth in environmental and reliability testing, electromagnetic compatibility, and integrated circuit testing segments is faster than in life sciences and calibration [12] - The company has maintained a research and development expense ratio of around 10%, ranking among the top in the industry, and has established testing capabilities in several emerging industries [12] - The company is expected to see revenue growth in military, automotive, and data science segments, with a forecast for accelerated revenue in Q2-Q4 as orders are released [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders showed significant improvement, with a net profit margin of approximately 11.0% in 2024, up 4.1 percentage points year-on-year [12] - Management changes include a new, younger, and more professional board, with a focus on refined management and net profit assessment [12] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is projected to reach 3.58 billion yuan in 2025, 4.02 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.46 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.7%, 12.1%, and 11.1% respectively; net profit is expected to be 440 million yuan, 549 million yuan, and 656 million yuan for the same years, with corresponding growth rates of 25.1%, 24.7%, and 19.5% [12][17]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [11]. Core Insights - The environmental sector's public fund holdings have slightly decreased, with a current allocation ratio of 0.23%, down by 0.02 percentage points from the previous quarter [6][18]. - The environmental industry is currently in a low allocation state, with a benchmark ratio of 1.04% [6][18]. - The report highlights a market shift towards high-performing stocks, particularly in waste incineration, which are favored by public funds due to their stable growth and strong performance [8][35]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Overview - As of Q1 2025, the total market value of the top ten holdings in the environmental sector is approximately 7.108 billion yuan, accounting for 0.23% of all disclosed fund products [2][6]. - A total of 316 fund products are heavily invested in 152 environmental companies, representing 4.18% of all disclosed fund products [6][18]. Key Companies and Performance - The leading companies by heavy fund holdings include: - Weiming Environmental: 1.313 billion yuan - Huace Testing: 1.015 billion yuan - Hanlan Environment: 950 million yuan - Longjing Environmental: 813 million yuan - Juguang Technology: 749 million yuan - Xingrong Environment: 456 million yuan [7][28]. - The companies with the highest proportion of fund holdings relative to their total market value include Juguang Technology (10.1%), Dadi Ocean (8.0%), Longjing Environmental (5.1%), Hanlan Environment (4.9%), and Huace Testing (4.7%) [30]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests a moderately optimistic outlook for 2025, particularly for waste incineration and water assets, emphasizing the importance of companies like Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, Weiming Environmental, and others [8][35][36]. - The report identifies multiple catalysts for growth, including advancements in waste management, testing services, and renewable resources, recommending a focus on companies like Guodian Measurement and Zhuoyue New Energy [9][38][39].

亿利达：拟3000万–5000万元回购公司股份 4月24日，亿利达（002686）发布公告称，公司拟3000万-5000万元回购公司股份，用于股权激励计划或 员工持股计划，回购价格不超过6.5元/股（含）。 资料显示，亿利达成立于1995年7月，主营业务是中央空调风机、建筑通风机及中央空调其他配件的设 计、制造与销售。 所属行业：机械设备–通用设备–制冷空调设备 英联股份：两股东拟合计减持不超5%公司股份 4月24日，英联股份（002846）发布公告称，持股5%以上股东翁伟炜计划通过集中竞价、大宗交易方式 合计减持不超2.5%公司股份；持股3.02%的股东蔡沛侬计划通过集中竞价、大宗交易方式合计减持不超 2.5%公司股份。 资料显示，英联股份成立于2006年1月，主营业务是金属包装产品研发、生产和销售。 所属行业：轻工制造–包装印刷–金属包装 中兵红箭：2024年净亏损3.27亿元 4月24日，中兵红箭（000519）发布2024年度报告，公司2024年实现营业收入45.69亿元，同比下降 25.29%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净亏损3.27亿元,同比由盈转亏；基本每股收益为亏损0.2351元/ 股。 资料显 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Puni Testing Group Co., Ltd. in 2024 has significantly declined, with a strategic contraction and customer structure optimization impacting revenue and profitability [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was 1.541 billion yuan, a decrease of 37.54% compared to 2.468 billion yuan in 2023 [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders turned negative at -356 million yuan, down 430.58% from a profit of 108 million yuan in 2023 [3] - Basic earnings per share fell to -0.6527 yuan from 0.1974 yuan in 2023, a decline of 430.65% [4] Expense Management - Total expenses for 2024 amounted to 7.232 billion yuan, with a reduction in sales expenses by 13.96% to 317 million yuan, while R&D expenses decreased by 18.39% to 154 million yuan [5][6] - Financial expenses surged by 3975.51% to 6 million yuan, primarily due to reduced interest income from lower deposit rates [5] Cash Flow Analysis - Net cash flow from operating activities dropped by 89.02% to 36.02 million yuan, reflecting weakened cash generation capabilities [7][8] - Net cash flow from investing activities improved to 124 million yuan from a negative 310 million yuan in 2023, indicating a strategic adjustment in investment [9] - Net cash flow from financing activities showed a reduced loss of 56.84 million yuan, with cash inflow increasing by 16.42% [10] Future Challenges - The company faces intense competition in the testing industry, with risks from market fluctuations and challenges in expanding new business areas such as biomedicine and new energy vehicles [11] - The management of cash flow and cost control will be critical for future performance and sustainability [11]

2024年年报、2025年一季报披露进入高峰期，上市公司的业绩、机构持仓均浮出水面。有着"聪明钱"之称的QFII（合格境外机构投资 者）持仓是投资者最为关注的焦点之一。QFII都在买啥，美国加征关税是否对QFII的持仓造成影响？ 20股获QFII持仓超1% 整体上来看，披露2024年年报以及2025年一季报的个股中，截至2025年一季度末，QFII期末持仓数量及持仓市值环比均有所提升，持仓 市值超过5亿元的有紫金矿业、中国西电、华测检测等，其中中国西电持仓数量大幅提升。 从2025年一季度末QFII的持仓比例来看，截至2025年4月20日，45股前十大流通股东均有QFII身影，其中20股获持仓超1%，星宸科技、 阳光乳业、华测检测等7股持仓超过3%。 华测检测前十大流通股东出现摩根士丹利国际股份有限公司以及The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.等QFII的身影。与此同时，公司今年一季 度还获得陆股通的大幅加仓，截至2025年一季度末，陆股通为公司第一大流通股东，持仓比例超过18%。 对阳光乳业、华测检测而言，QFII可以说是他们的"耐心资本"，其中华测检测早在2015年就获得QFII持仓， ...