Core Viewpoint - The green transformation of the high-carbon paper industry in China is essential for survival, driven by the "dual carbon" policy and the impending EU carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) [1][5][6] Group 1: Industry Transformation and Initiatives - The paper industry is undergoing a significant green revolution, responding to global ecological challenges through sustainable practices [1] - The "forest-pulp-paper integration" model is being advanced, focusing on carbon asset value creation from forest carbon sequestration to carbon trading [1][2] - By the end of 2023, the self-owned forests of APP (China) have sequestered 45 million tons of carbon, laying a solid foundation for carbon credit development [2] Group 2: Policy and Regulatory Framework - The green transformation of the paper industry requires top-level policy design and the inclusion of fast-growing forest carbon credit methodologies into the national CCER trading system [3] - Recommendations include joint efforts by leading enterprises to promote policy recognition of fast-growing forest carbon credits and enhance carbon management across the industry [3][4] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Financial Tools - The green transition is becoming a necessity due to the deep integration of domestic and international policies, with market-based tools being crucial for balancing green investment and economic benefits [5][6] - The EU carbon market, which accounts for 80%-90% of the global carbon market, is expected to influence China's carbon pricing and trading dynamics significantly [6][7] Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Recommendations - The paper industry is likely to be included in the national mandatory carbon trading system by 2027, necessitating early preparation for carbon asset management [8] - Companies are advised to conduct carbon diagnostics and optimize energy monitoring to ensure compliance with evolving regulations [8] - Enhancing ESG information disclosure and aligning with international green standards are critical for attracting long-term investments in the paper industry [8][9]

2025 年 5 月 28 日 银河能化-20250528 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报（25-05-28） 【市场回顾】 原油结算价：WTI2507 合约 60.89 跌 0.64 美元/桶，环比-1.04%；Brent2507 合约 64.09 跌 0.65 美元/桶，环比-1.00%。SC 主力合约 2507 涨 1.0 至 457.4 元/桶，夜盘跌 3.9 至 453.5 元/桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 0.55 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 美国总统特朗普周二表示，普京拒绝与基辅进行停火谈判，这是在"玩火"；这是他自周日 以来第二次发表有关普京的言论。与此同时，基辅战场再次遭遇挫折，俄罗斯军队占领了 乌克兰东北部苏梅地区的四个村庄。特朗普迄今尚未对俄罗斯实施新的重大制裁，但美国 官员表示，如果他决定实施制裁，一揽子制裁措施已准备就绪。 三位 OPEC 代表向路透表示，OPEC+本周可能会同意 7 月进一步增产，这是满足不断增长 的需求和增加市场份额计划的最新阶段。消息人士称，预计 OPEC+在周三召开 22 个成员 国全体会议时不会调整政策。但他们表示，预计 OPEC+八个成员国周六开会时将同意 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent developments regarding the resignation and legal issues of the former chairman of Rongsheng Environmental Protection, Feng Ronghua, have raised concerns, but the company asserts that these matters are unrelated to its operations and that it continues to function normally [3][4]. Group 1: Resignation and Legal Issues - On May 26, Rongsheng Environmental Protection announced that Feng Ronghua, the former chairman, was taken into custody by law enforcement due to personal reasons, which the company claims do not affect its operations [3]. - Feng Ronghua submitted his resignation on May 24, citing retirement as the reason, and he has since ceased to hold any position within the company [4]. - Following Feng Ronghua's resignation, the board of directors appointed Feng Shengyu, his son, as the new chairman and legal representative of the company [4]. Group 2: Company Performance and Operations - Rongsheng Environmental Protection specializes in the production of recycled packaging paper products, including kraft boxboard and corrugated paper, and is a leading player in the A-share recycled paper industry [6]. - The company reported a revenue of 2.235 billion yuan and a net profit of 286 million yuan for the fiscal year 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.79% [5]. - However, the company's Q1 2025 report indicated a decline in both revenue and net profit, with total revenue of 534 million yuan, down 2.53% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately 70.59 million yuan, down 22.61% year-on-year [5].

根植沿海开放大省沃土，中国进出口银行浙江省分行成立19年来始终坚守主责主业，积极融入高能级开 放强省建设，聚焦浙企扬帆出海，以金融高质量发展助力浙江省开放型经济行稳致远。 发挥特色优势 服务外贸保稳提质 进出口银行浙江省分行积极发挥政策性金融在外贸领域的引领作用，加大信贷投入、精准配置资源、优 化服务质效，多措并举帮助外贸企业稳存量、拓增量，助力外贸企业将复杂多变的外部挑战转化为转型 升级的内生动力。 今年以来，该行制定支持外贸稳定增长专项工作方案，设立外贸保稳提质专项信贷额度，明确全年投放 目标，积极向总行争取外贸主题金融债资金和贸易融资专项定价额度，并做好分行绿色化审批通道、差 异化贷款定价机制等保障措施配套。1-4月，该行对外贸易贷款投放近250亿元，4月末余额占比超 50%，服务外贸主责主业不断突出。 在小微外贸企业面临着订单萎缩、成本攀升、资金链紧张等多重困境的关键时刻，该行成立小微外贸融 资协调工作机制专项工作小组，通过小微外贸企业风险共担转贷款，引导地方银行在不到一周的时间内 将资金精准输送给小微外贸企业，解决企业资金周转的燃眉之急。该行持续扩大小微外贸企业服务面， 已经和15家地方法人银行建立 ...

Core Viewpoint - The transformation and upgrading of traditional industries in Jiangsu is a necessary response to environmental pressures and a proactive choice to seize opportunities in the new industrial revolution, aiming for high-end, intelligent, green, and integrated development [1][12]. Group 1: High-end Transformation - Jiangsu is implementing a traditional industry renewal project, focusing on five major actions: eliminating backward production, upgrading old facilities, promoting green transformation, enhancing product quality, and optimizing layout [1]. - Jiangsu Hengli Group announced a sales revenue of 871.5 billion yuan for 2024, evolving from a small textile factory to a global leader in the integrated development of the textile industry [3]. - The textile industry in Jiangsu is shifting from basic processes to high-end fabrics and branded clothing, while the steel industry is investing in high-end special steel production, demonstrating the province's commitment to high-end transformation [4]. Group 2: Intelligent Upgrading - The introduction of smart manufacturing in Jiangsu has significantly increased production efficiency, with some companies reporting efficiency improvements of nearly 15 times [6]. - Jiangsu's digital transformation initiatives include the establishment of smart factories and the integration of 5G and industrial internet technologies, enhancing operational efficiency and competitiveness [7]. - Companies like Nanjing Steel Group are leading the digital transformation in the steel industry, establishing standards for smart upgrades and digitalization [6][7]. Group 3: Green Transformation - Jiangsu is focusing on green and low-carbon transitions, with initiatives like the Jinmaoyuan (East China) surface treatment circular economy industrial park, which achieves 50% wastewater recycling [8][9]. - The province has added 94 green factories and 18 green industrial parks in the past year, leading the nation in the number of green facilities [9]. - Companies are adopting energy-saving technologies, with examples like Suzhou Shenghong Group achieving over 20% energy savings through advanced production techniques [9]. Group 4: Integrated Development - The integration of various sectors is being emphasized in Jiangsu, with initiatives to create specialized industrial zones that foster collaboration and innovation among small and medium enterprises [10][11]. - Companies are leveraging digital platforms for supply chain management and quality control, enhancing their operational efficiency and market competitiveness [11]. - The focus on cross-industry integration is expected to break traditional industry barriers and create new growth opportunities [10][11].

Group 1 - The forum "2025 China Paper Industry Sustainable Development Forum" was held in Beijing, focusing on the increasing demand for paper and the environmental issues associated with paper production [2] - Liu Youbin emphasized the importance of the paper industry in the national economy and its responsibility to enhance ecological protection while meeting societal paper demands [2][3] - The current phase of China's economic and social development is characterized by a push towards green and low-carbon high-quality development, with significant challenges remaining in ecological civilization construction [2] Group 2 - Liu Youbin highlighted the need to prioritize ecological civilization in the context of China's modernization, advocating for a harmonious coexistence between humans and nature [3] - Three key suggestions were made: establishing the value of ecological protection, promoting green low-carbon transformation in the industry, and integrating digital technology with green transformation [3][4] - The call for societal awareness of green consumption behaviors aims to cultivate ecological ethics and promote a culture of environmental protection [4]

Core Insights - In the first quarter, Qinzhou Customs issued 1,927 export certificates with a total value of 1.169 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 34.19% and 2.48% respectively [1] - The implementation of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA) has significantly benefited local companies, allowing them to enjoy substantial tariff reductions on exports [3][4] Group 1: Export Certificates and Tariff Benefits - Qinzhou Customs issued 61 CAFTA certificates for Guangxi Jinguijang Paper Industry Co., Ltd., resulting in a tariff reduction of approximately 1.1141 million yuan [3] - The company plans to export 42,000 tons of white cardboard and coated paper to the Philippines and Thailand, leveraging the tariff benefits to expand into the Belt and Road market [3] - Guangxi Yuanda Glass Energy-Saving Technology Co., Ltd. also benefited from CAFTA, with its export tariff to Vietnam reduced from 37.5% to 0%, leading to an export value of approximately 5.7897 million yuan in the first quarter [3] Group 2: Customs Services and Process Improvements - Qinzhou Customs has enhanced its "one-stop" service for origin certification, streamlining the entire process from pre-application to post-issuance [4] - The customs authority has implemented a "policy interpretation + process guidance + issue collection + time-limited resolution" model to improve companies' understanding of policies [4] - The introduction of a smart management model allows for 24/7 review of origin certificates, reducing the time from application to issuance to less than one hour, achieving "zero run, zero contact, zero waiting" for exporters [4]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views - Oil prices are expected to remain volatile in the short - term due to geopolitical conflicts and uncertain macro - economic factors. Brent is expected to trade in the range of $60 - 70 per barrel in the medium - term [2]. - The asphalt market is supported by cost and low inventory, with a relatively optimistic outlook during the peak season, and the BU2506 contract is expected to trade between 3400 - 3600 [7]. - The domestic LPG market is under pressure during the summer off - season, with a weak fundamental outlook [10]. - High - sulfur fuel oil has increasing seasonal power - generation demand, while low - sulfur fuel oil has a supply increase and weak demand [12][13]. - Natural gas prices in the US are expected to be volatile and weak, while in Europe, they are expected to be volatile and strong [14][15]. - PX and PTA are expected to be in a tight supply - demand situation in the third quarter, with prices expected to be well - supported [16][18]. - The supply of ethylene glycol is expected to increase in June, and the supply - demand gap is expected to narrow [19]. - Short - fiber prices follow the trend of raw materials, with weak production and sales [20]. - The bottle - chip market has improved trading volume, but the processing fee may still be under pressure [24]. - PVC is in a short - term price - oscillation state and a long - term supply - surplus situation; caustic soda requires short - term observation and medium - term short - selling [27][28]. - Plastic and PP are recommended to be short - sold at high prices in the medium and short - term [29]. - The price of soda ash is expected to decline due to cost reduction and lack of significant driving factors [32]. - Glass prices are expected to be weak in the short - term and enter the off - season, with mid - term concerns about cost reduction and factory cold - repair [34]. - Methanol is recommended to be short - sold on rebounds [37]. - Urea is expected to be in a short - term oscillatory state, with a focus on policy changes [39]. - The corrugated and box - board paper market is expected to rebound due to tariff relaxation, but policy continuity and other factors need to be monitored [40][41]. - The double - offset paper market continues to be weak, with slow demand release [43]. - The log market is expected to be stable in the short - term but faces challenges in the long - term [44]. - For natural rubber, the RU 09 contract should hold short positions, and the NR 07 contract should be observed [47]. - For paper pulp, the SP 07 contract should be observed [49]. - For butadiene rubber, the BR 07 contract should be observed, and relevant spreads and options should be operated according to specific strategies [52]. Summary by Related Catalogs Oil - **Market Review**: WTI2506 settled at $62.56, down $0.13 (- 0.21%); Brent2507 settled at $65.38, down $0.16 (- 0.24%); SC2507 rose 3.2 to 464.6 yuan/barrel, and 3.2 to 467.8 yuan/barrel at night [1]. - **Related News**: Israel is reported to be preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities; the EU and the UK imposed new sanctions on Russia [1]. - **Logic Analysis**: Geopolitical conflicts lead to short - term price volatility, and the long - term supply surplus pressure is difficult to resolve [2]. - **Trading Strategy**: Short - term oscillation is strong, and medium - term is weak; gasoline and diesel cracking spreads are weak; options are on hold [3][4]. Asphalt - **Market Review**: BU2506 closed at 3523 points (- 0.51%) at night; BU2509 closed at 3450 points (- 0.17%) at night [4]. - **Related News**: The mainstream transaction prices in Shandong, the Yangtze River Delta, and South China have different trends, affected by supply, demand, and crude oil prices [4][5][6]. - **Logic Analysis**: Cost support and low inventory support the price, and the peak - season outlook is optimistic [7]. - **Trading Strategy**: High - level oscillation; the asphalt - crude oil spread oscillates at a high level; options are on hold [7]. LPG - **Market Review**: PG2506 closed at 4236 (- 0.19%) at night; PG2507 closed at 4160 (- 0.36%) at night [7]. - **Related News**: The market in South China, East China, and Shandong has different trends, affected by supply and demand [8][9]. - **Logic Analysis**: Cost increases, supply rises, and demand in the off - season is weak [10]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillation and weakness [10]. Fuel Oil - **Market Review**: FU07 closed at 3031 (- 0.13%) at night; LU07 closed at 3525 (- 1.04%) at night [10]. - **Related News**: China's fuel oil imports increased in April; Russia's exports increased; Saudi Arabia may increase crude oil power - generation [11]. - **Logic Analysis**: High - sulfur fuel oil has increasing demand, while low - sulfur fuel oil has a supply increase and weak demand [12][13]. - **Trading Strategy**: On hold for single - side trading; FU 9 - 1 positive spread takes profit, and LU 7 - 8 reverse spread enters at high prices [13]. Natural Gas - **Market Review**: HH closed at 3.427 (+ 10%); TTF closed at 36.979 (+ 4.98%); JKM closed at 12.595 (+ 5.09%) [13]. - **Logic Analysis**: US inventory accumulation is higher than average, with supply and demand changes; European prices are affected by geopolitics and supply reduction [14]. - **Trading Strategy**: US natural gas is volatile and weak, while European natural gas is volatile and strong [15]. PX - **Market Review**: PX2509 closed at 6668 (- 1.24%) during the day and 6706 (+ 0.57%) at night [15]. - **Related News**: Northeast PX device starts maintenance; polyester production and sales are weak [15][16]. - **Logic Analysis**: The short - term start - up rate changes little, and the supply - demand situation is tight in the third quarter [16]. - **Trading Strategy**: High - level oscillation; long PX and short PTA; double - selling options [16]. PTA - **Market Review**: TA509 closed at 4732 (- 0.92%) during the day and 4750 (+ 0.38%) at night [16]. - **Related News**: Polyester production and sales are weak; some PTA devices have start - up and restart changes [17]. - **Logic Analysis**: Supply is expected to increase, and the third - quarter supply - demand is expected to be in a tight balance [18]. - **Trading Strategy**: High - level oscillation; long PX and short PTA; double - selling options [18]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Review**: EG2509 closed at 4413 (+ 0.34%) during the day and 4416 (+ 0.07%) at night [18]. - **Related News**: Polyester production and sales are weak; some MEG devices have start - up and shutdown changes [19]. - **Logic Analysis**: Supply is expected to increase in June, and the supply - demand gap is expected to narrow [19]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillation and consolidation; on hold for arbitrage; sell call options [19][20]. Short - Fiber - **Market Review**: PF2507 closed at 6506 (- 0.58%) during the day and 6506 (0%) at night [20]. - **Related News**: Polyester production and sales are weak [20]. - **Logic Analysis**: Prices follow raw materials, with weak production and sales [20]. - **Trading Strategy**: On hold for single - side trading; on hold for arbitrage; on hold for options [20][21]. Bottle - Chip - **Market Review**: PR2507 closed at 6022 (- 1.08%) during the day and 6028 (+ 0.10%) at night [21]. - **Related News**: Polyester bottle - chip factory export quotes are mostly lowered [24]. - **Logic Analysis**: Prices follow raw materials, with improved trading volume but processing fees under pressure [24]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillation and consolidation; on hold for arbitrage; sell call options [24][25]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Market Review**: PVC spot prices are slightly adjusted, and caustic soda prices rise slightly [25]. - **Related News**: Shandong alumina manufacturers increase the purchase price of caustic soda [27]. - **Logic Analysis**: PVC is in a short - term oscillation and long - term surplus situation; caustic soda demand has uncertainties [27][28]. - **Trading Strategy**: PVC is short - sold on rebounds; caustic soda requires short - term observation and medium - term short - selling; on hold for arbitrage and options [27][28]. Plastic and PP - **Market Review**: LLDPE prices fall in some regions, and PP prices have slight fluctuations [28][29]. - **Logic Analysis**: New capacity is being realized, and demand is weak, so they are recommended to be short - sold at high prices [29]. - **Trading Strategy**: Short - sell at high prices in the medium and short - term; on hold for arbitrage and options [29]. Soda Ash - **Market Review**: The soda ash futures 09 contract closes at 1280 yuan/ton (- 0.3%), and the SA9 - 1 spread is 6 yuan/ton [29]. - **Related News**: Some soda ash enterprises start maintenance, and the market is lightly adjusted [31]. - **Logic Analysis**: Production is expected to decrease in the short - term, but the market trades the post - maintenance surplus situation, and demand is weak [32]. - **Trading Strategy**: Cost reduction leads to price decline; short soda ash and long glass; on hold for options [32]. Glass - **Market Review**: The glass futures 09 contract closes at 1025 yuan/ton (0.69%), and the 9 - 1 spread is - 56 yuan/ton [32]. - **Related News**: Glass prices in different regions have different trends, and the LPR is lowered [33][34]. - **Logic Analysis**: Prices are in a bottom - seeking trend, with supply decline and inventory pressure in the off - season [34]. - **Trading Strategy**: Prices are volatile and weak; long glass and short soda ash; on hold for options [34]. Methanol - **Market Review**: Methanol futures close at 2269 (- 0.53%) at night [34]. - **Related News**: Northwest methanol signing volume decreases [36]. - **Logic Analysis**: International supply is high, imports will increase, and domestic supply is loose, so it is recommended to short - sell on rebounds [37]. - **Trading Strategy**: Short - sell on rebounds; on hold for arbitrage; sell call options [37]. Urea - **Market Review**: Urea futures close at 1849 (+ 0.11%) [37]. - **Related News**: Urea production and inventory changes, and export policies are discussed [38][39]. - **Logic Analysis**: Production is at a high level, demand is weak, and inventory is decreasing. It is expected to oscillate in the short - term [38][39]. - **Trading Strategy**: Short - term long on pullbacks; 91 positive spread layout at low prices; sell put options [39][40]. Corrugated and Box - Board Paper - **Related News**: Paper prices rise, and waste yellow - board paper prices rise [40]. - **Logic Analysis**: Tariff relaxation promotes export recovery and price rebound, but factors such as policy continuity need to be monitored [40][41]. - **Trading Strategy**: No specific trading strategy provided. Double - Offset Paper - **Related News**: The market is stable, with weak demand [43]. - **Logic Analysis**: The market is weak, with slow demand release and stable cost support [43]. - **Trading Strategy**: No specific trading strategy provided. Log - **Related News**: Log spot prices are stable, and import and arrival data change [43][44]. - **Logic Analysis**: The short - term is expected to be stable, but the long - term faces challenges from real - estate demand and inventory [44]. - **Trading Strategy**: Observe for single - side trading; pay attention to the 9 - 11 reverse spread; on hold for options [45]. Natural Rubber and 20 - Number Rubber - **Market Review**: RU09, JRU10, NR07, TF08, and BR07 all decline [45][46]. - **Related News**: China's rubber tire exports increase in the first four months [46]. - **Logic Analysis**: Thailand's rubber exports and Japan's inventory have changes [47]. - **Trading Strategy**: Hold short positions for the RU09 contract; observe the NR07 contract; on hold for arbitrage and options [47]. Paper Pulp - **Market Review**: The SP07 contract closes at 5424 (+ 0.26%) [48]. - **Related News**: Two major state - owned enterprises in the pulp industry adjust management, which may enhance pricing power [48]. - **Logic Analysis**: CME wood prices and domestic paper - industry inventory have negative impacts on SP [49]. - **Trading Strategy**: Observe the SP07 contract; on hold for arbitrage [49]. Butadiene Rubber - **Market Review**: BR07 closes at 12095 (- 0.45%) [50]. - **Related News**: China's rubber tire exports increase in the first four months [51]. - **Logic Analysis**: Domestic butadiene inventory and tire exports have impacts on spreads [52]. - **Trading Strategy**: Observe the BR07 contract; reduce positions and observe the BR2507 - NR2507 spread; sell and hold the BR2507 put 11200 contract and set a stop - loss at last Friday's high [52].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Shanghai International Paper Exhibition will be held at the Shanghai New International Expo Center, featuring an exhibition area of 120,000 square meters, with an expected attendance of 100,000 visitors and 1,200 exhibitors, highlighting the importance of outstanding exhibition design for participating companies [1] Group 1: Exhibition Goals and Budget Planning - Companies must clearly define their exhibition objectives, such as launching new packaging paper or enhancing their green brand image through sustainable paper production [3] - Budget allocation is crucial, with recommendations to spend 40%-50% on design and construction, 20%-30% on exhibits, and 10%-20% on personnel and promotion [4] Group 2: Design Key Points - The exhibition style should reflect the company's product characteristics, such as using an art gallery theme for artistic paper or an industrial design for industrial paper [6] - Space layout should include designated areas for product display, meetings, and interactive experiences to enhance visitor engagement [9] Group 3: Material Quality and Construction - It is essential to select materials that meet safety and environmental standards, ensuring structural integrity and health safety during the exhibition [11] - Construction should adhere strictly to design specifications, with a detailed schedule to manage the setup process effectively [13][14] Group 4: Product Arrangement - Products should be displayed according to their characteristics, with lightweight artistic papers suspended and heavier materials stacked for visibility [15] - Special display props can enhance product features, such as showcasing waterproof capabilities through transparent containers [16]

十四届全国人大常委会第十五次会议于今年4月30日表决通过《中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》，自 今年5月20日起施行。今天是这部法律正式施行的第一天。 民营经济促进法第一次将坚持"两个毫不动摇"写入法律，第一次明确民营经济的法律地位，第一次在法 律中规定"促进民营经济持续、健康、高质量发展，是国家长期坚持的重大方针政策"。 记者注意到，近段时间以来，浙江、江苏、广东、江西、陕西等多省份围绕保护民营企业发展、破除民 营经济发展障碍等开展专项整治行动，或出台新政新举，促进民营经济高质量发展。 北京、浙江等地密集发布针对民营经济发展的政策包 从现象级游戏《神话：悟空》到宇树科技的扭秧歌机器人，再到今年人工智能领域的DeepSeek，浙江 省涌现了一批"话题级"的民营企业。 公开数据显示，截至2024年底，浙江民营企业在册总量350.53万户，占企业主体总量的92.06%。2024年 中国民营企业500强等榜单上，浙江有106家企业入围，数量连续26年居全国首位。 近年来，浙江鼓励和支持民营企业积极参与全球范围产业分工和资源配置，出台了一系列护航民营经济 发展的政策举措。 北京的这些新举措，首先聚焦"科技创新"，将持续 ...