Group 1 - The AWE2026 (China Household Appliances and Consumer Electronics Expo) will take place from March 12 to 15, 2026, in Shanghai, featuring a new "one exhibition, dual zones" model [4] - The theme of AWE2026 is "AI Technology, Enjoying the Future," focusing on the innovative applications of artificial intelligence in the home appliance and consumer electronics sectors [6][10] - Over 1,500 exhibitors from more than 70 countries and regions are expected, with anticipated attendance exceeding 400,000, showcasing thousands of smart living products and solutions [6] Group 2 - Major Chinese brands such as Haier, Midea, Changhong, TCL, and Hisense will showcase their latest AI technologies and scenario-based products, highlighting China's technological leadership in manufacturing [6] - International brands like Bosch, Panasonic, Samsung, and LG will also participate, adding a global dimension to the expo [6] - The event will emphasize "full-domain interconnection," "proactive intelligence," and "personalized adaptation," marking a shift from focusing solely on product functionality to integrating advanced technologies [8] Group 3 - AWE2026 will introduce a new exhibition area in the Shanghai Oriental Hub International Business Cooperation Zone, aimed at showcasing advanced technologies in the consumer electronics industry [10] - This expo is positioned as a significant international event following the operational launch of the business cooperation zone, leveraging its unique advantages for global brand aggregation and technological innovation [10]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "old for new" policy in 2026 aims to stimulate consumer spending, particularly in the automotive and home appliance sectors, with significant financial support from the government [1][4]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have allocated 625 billion yuan for the first batch of special long-term bonds to support the "old for new" policy [2]. - The policy covers various sectors, including automotive, home appliances, and digital products, with a focus on enhancing consumer spending during the New Year holiday [3][4]. - The policy aims to optimize the implementation of the "two new" policies by removing unreasonable restrictions in the consumer sector [4]. Group 2: Consumer Impact - In Xi'an, most offline stores have begun to implement the new subsidy policy, offering around 1,000 yuan in subsidies for products like televisions, refrigerators, and washing machines [2][5]. - Sales data from January 1 to 2, 2026, in Hebei showed a total sales volume of 5.90 billion yuan, with 813.24 million yuan in subsidies utilized [7]. - In Henan, the sales of household appliances reached 26.86 million yuan in the first two days of the holiday, indicating a positive impact from the policy [8]. Group 3: Market Trends - The policy has led to a significant increase in sales of energy-efficient and water-efficient appliances, with 92% of products sold in major stores meeting these standards [5][12]. - The sales of smartphones and smartwatches saw a remarkable increase of 170% and 115% respectively, indicating a strong demand for digital products [6]. - The policy is expected to drive innovation and upgrades in the electronics and home appliance industries, benefiting both consumers and the economy [10][12]. Group 4: Policy Adjustments - The new policy includes specific adjustments, such as a maximum subsidy of 20,000 yuan for new car purchases and a 12% subsidy for electric vehicle scrappage [9]. - Subsidies for home appliances are set at 15% of the product price for energy-efficient models, with a cap of 1,500 yuan per item [9]. - The policy emphasizes the importance of standards in promoting energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions [12].

贵州茅台2025年11月28日召开股东会，通过了回购方案，计划回购金额15亿元至30亿元，回购股份将用 于注销并减少公司注册资本。根据今晚公告，该公司2025年12月31日首次回购股份超过8.7万股，已支 付的总金额为1.2亿元。 2026年开年，沪市上市公司密集发布股份回购增持进展公告。截至1月4日17时，共有105家沪市公司披 露最新回购增持进展，包括回购类公告98份，增持类公告7份。其中，主板70家公司披露回购进展，对 应回购上限超过278亿元；6家公司发布股东增持进展或结果公告，对应增持上限超过40亿元。 今晚披露的回购类公告均为回购进展，其中，贵州茅台、海尔智家、三一重工、恒瑞医药、中远海控、 国电南瑞、中国核电等7家上证50指数公司披露的回购进展对应的已实施回购金额超过48亿元。 在大额回购计划中，部分公司已回购金额较为可观。中远海控董事会于2025年10月13日通过A股回购方 案，将在3个月内回购7.49亿元至14.98亿元。根据今晚公告，截至2025年12月31日，公司已累计回购A 股股份5511万股，累计已支付的总金额为8.25亿元。此外，海尔智家、三一重工今晚披露的回购进展显 示，已回购金 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the service consumption sector, particularly in light of the government's efforts to stimulate consumer spending through various holidays and subsidies [1][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in service consumption during the New Year holiday, with a total of 590 million people expected to travel, marking a 19.5% year-on-year increase [2]. - The introduction of a large-scale subsidy program for replacing old appliances is expected to boost consumer spending, with an initial allocation of 62.5 billion yuan (approximately 9.1 billion USD) for 2026 [4]. - Midea's decision to raise air conditioner prices is seen as a strategic move to counteract intense competition in the industry, with price increases of 2% and 4% planned for early January [4]. Summary by Sections Service Consumption Growth - The report notes that during the New Year holiday, railway passenger volume is projected to reach 48.22 million, a 53.1% increase year-on-year, while road travel is expected to account for 540 million people, up 15.5% [2]. - The recovery in travel is anticipated to drive growth in the cultural tourism, hotel, and restaurant sectors, making service consumption a key driver of domestic demand recovery [2]. Domestic and International Tourism - The report indicates a substantial increase in inbound tourism, with ticket bookings for inbound travel during the New Year holiday rising by 110% year-on-year [3]. - Major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou remain popular among international tourists, while smaller cities like Dali and Xishuangbanna have seen a threefold increase in inbound visitors [3]. Government Subsidies and Industry Response - The government has initiated a subsidy program for replacing old appliances, which is expected to support consumer demand during peak seasons like the New Year and Spring Festival [4]. - Midea's price adjustments are viewed as a necessary step to improve the competitive landscape of the air conditioning industry, which has faced rising costs due to increased copper prices [4].

智通财经APP讯，海尔智家(06690)发布公告，2025年12月当月，公司通过集中竞价交易方式已累计回购 A股(下同)股份192.32万股，占公司总股本的比例为0.021%，购买的最高价为27.54元/股、最低价为26.02 元/股，支付的金额为5163.83万元(不含手续费等，下同);本次回购实施起始日(2025年4月7日)至2025年 12月底，公司已累计回购股份4282.57万股，占公司总股本的比例为0.457%，购买的最高价为27.54元/ 股、最低价为23.60元/股，支付的金额为10.8亿元。 ...

- The report discusses the "Three-Dimensional Timing Framework" which includes liquidity, divergence, and prosperity as key factors for market timing[8][12][13] - The "ETF Hot Trend Strategy" is constructed by selecting ETFs with both highest and lowest prices in an upward trend, and further selecting those with the highest turnover rate in the past 5 days relative to the past 20 days to form a risk parity portfolio[29] - The "Three-Strategy Fusion" combines industry rotation strategies based on fundamental rotation, quality low volatility, and distressed reversal to achieve factor and style complementarity, reducing the risk of a single strategy[32][33][34] Model Backtesting Results - The "ETF Hot Trend Strategy" achieved a return of 43.6% year-to-date, with an excess return of 22.4% compared to the CSI 300 Index[29] - The "Three-Strategy Fusion" ETF rotation strategy had a return of 12.18% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.74 as of December 31, 2025, with a year-to-date return of 27.29%[37][38] Factor Construction and Performance - The "Beta Factor" recorded a positive return of 1.47% for the week, indicating a preference for high-beta stocks[50] - The "Growth Factor" recorded a positive return of 0.26% for the week, reflecting market attention to high-growth stocks[50] - The "Liquidity Factor" recorded a positive return of 0.16% for the week, indicating market preference for highly liquid stocks[50] Alpha Factor Performance - The "3-Month Average Trading Volume" factor showed the best performance with an excess return of 0.68% for the week[54][56] - The "3-Month Trading Volume Standard Deviation" factor also performed well with an excess return of 0.65% for the week[54][56] - In large-cap indices, the "Single Quarter ROA YoY Change" factor had an excess return of 28.46% in the CSI 300 Index[57][58] - In small-cap indices, the "Consensus Earnings Change (FY1)" factor had an excess return of 21.95% in the CSI 800 Index[57][58] Multi-Style Enhanced Strategy - The "Dividend Enhancement Strategy" performed well with an excess return of 0.68% for the week and an annualized excess return of 14.44% year-to-date[62][63]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the national subsidy policy for 2026 has undergone significant changes, particularly in the automotive and home appliance sectors, shifting from broad subsidies to more targeted support [1][4][5]. - The automotive subsidy structure has changed from a gradient fixed subsidy in 2025 to a proportional subsidy in 2026, with new energy vehicles receiving 12% of the purchase price as a subsidy (up to 20,000 yuan) and fuel vehicles receiving 10% (up to 10,000 yuan) [3][4]. - For vehicle trade-ins, the subsidy for new energy vehicles is 8% (up to 15,000 yuan) and for fuel vehicles is 6% (up to 13,000 yuan), indicating that only higher-priced vehicles will match or exceed last year's subsidy levels [4][5]. Group 2 - The home appliance subsidy has been significantly reduced, now covering only six types of products compared to twelve last year, with stricter eligibility criteria requiring products to be of at least first-level energy efficiency [4][5]. - Digital products maintain their subsidy levels at 15% of the purchase price, with a maximum of 500 yuan, and new categories like smart glasses have been added [5]. - The overall subsidy approach has shifted from a broad distribution model to a more precise targeting strategy, focusing on public infrastructure and essential consumer goods [5]. Group 3 - The 2026 subsidy policy will be implemented uniformly across the country, eliminating regional disparities in subsidy standards for vehicle and appliance trade-ins [7]. - Measures have been introduced to address issues of "funding accumulation" and "delayed payments," with penalties for regions that fail to distribute subsidies promptly [8][9]. - A combination of manual review and technological oversight will be employed to ensure that subsidy funds reach consumers and businesses effectively, with strict monitoring of the entire process [11][12].

Group 1 - The new national subsidy policy for automobiles and home appliances has significantly boosted consumer market activity during the New Year holiday [1] - In Nanjing, the "old for new" service has led to a notable increase in sales of major home appliances and digital products, particularly energy-efficient air conditioners and smart home devices [2] - In Mianyang, the implementation of the subsidy policy has encouraged consumers to upgrade their home appliances, with local businesses actively engaging with communities to promote the benefits of the new policy [3] Group 2 - In Xiamen, the new subsidy policy has resulted in a doubling of customer traffic at car dealerships during the holiday period [4] - In Meizhou, the introduction of the new subsidy policy for electric vehicles, combined with local infrastructure improvements, has led to a growing acceptance of electric vehicles among consumers [5]

2026 年 01 月 04 日 策略周报 研究所： 证券分析师： 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 陈艺鑫 S0350525010003 chenyx03@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 若人民币汇率持续升值，风格行业如何选择 ——策略周报专题 最近一年走势 相关报告 鹏》——2025-06-17 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：1、人民币强升值或弱升值期间，配置什 么风格或行业胜率弹性较高？2、当下应该关注哪些性价比较高的行业？ 核心要点: 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 《投资黄金如何增强收益——策略周报*陈艺鑫， 胡国鹏》——2025-09-28 《策略周报：反内卷行情有望进入第二阶段*陈艺 鑫，袁稻雨》——2025-08-24 《投资红利如何增强收益-——红利系列报告*陈艺 鑫，胡国鹏》——2025-07-25 《基于"三步走"的黄金交易策略*陈艺鑫，胡国 《我国财政货币双宽松下，大类资产如何配置*陈 艺鑫，胡国鹏》——2025-03-09 1、根据内需经济复苏强弱，将 2015 年 811 汇改后人民币升值阶段 ...

Group 1 - The 2026 national offline "national subsidy" program launched in Guangzhou, marking the first transaction on January 1, 2026, with consumers eager to participate [1] - The new subsidy policy extends beyond automobiles and home appliances to include digital and smart products, such as smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, smart glasses, and smart home products [2] - The first automotive transaction under the new subsidy program was completed with the purchase of a GAC Aion i60 electric SUV, highlighting the program's immediate impact on consumer behavior [2] Group 2 - Guangzhou's commercial enterprises leveraged the "national subsidy" policy to create a vibrant marketing campaign during the New Year holiday, enhancing consumer engagement through various promotional activities [3] - Retailers like Guangbai Electric and JD Mall organized diverse events, including street dance competitions and live performances, to create an immersive shopping experience [3] - The "Two New" policies implemented in 2025 have shown significant economic impact, with a total sales boost of 61.59 billion yuan from the old-for-new program, particularly in the automotive sector [4]