特斯拉盘前涨超2%，英伟达、谷歌、亚马逊涨近2%。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the alarming rise in layoffs in the U.S. job market, with over 1.17 million employees laid off by November 2025, a 54% increase from the previous year, drawing parallels to the 2008-2009 financial crisis [4][5]. Group 1: Causes of Layoffs - The primary cause of layoffs is attributed to the efficiency revolution led by the DOGE department, resulting in 293,753 federal employees and contractors losing their jobs, with an additional 20,976 in the private and non-profit sectors, an eightfold increase compared to 2024 [15]. - The macroeconomic environment, characterized by high costs and tariffs, is also a significant factor, as many companies face debt repayment pressures from loans taken during the low-interest period of 2020-2021 [18][19]. - Companies, particularly those owned by private equity, are cutting jobs at a rate 1.5 times higher than publicly traded firms due to high leverage costs and cash flow constraints [21][22]. Group 2: Impact on Various Industries - The retail sector is the hardest hit, with a significant drop in consumer confidence and companies like Target and Starbucks announcing substantial layoffs due to decreased sales [27][28]. - The service industry has seen a 64% increase in layoffs, with UPS cutting 14,000 management positions to improve efficiency [30][31]. - The food industry has also been affected, with 34,165 job losses throughout the year, particularly in beef processing due to rising costs [32][33]. Group 3: Technology and Management Changes - The technology sector has contributed significantly to layoffs, with 35% of the total layoffs coming from this industry, primarily affecting middle management roles [46][47]. - A new corporate mantra has emerged: "Every employee generates revenue," leading to layoffs becoming a normalized management tool rather than a crisis response [51]. - Companies like Amazon and IBM have reported increased profits while simultaneously announcing significant layoffs, indicating a trend where cost-cutting measures are prioritized over workforce stability [53][54]. Group 4: Future Implications - The trend of layoffs is expected to continue, with predictions that the technology sector will see a peak in cost-cutting benefits by 2026, potentially reducing operational costs significantly [58]. - However, the loss of middle management, which often holds critical technical knowledge, could extend product development cycles and hinder innovation [62][71]. - The article warns that excessive cost-cutting may erode the foundation of innovation within the technology sector, leading to long-term negative consequences [72].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 25,498.13, up by 29.35 points or 0.12% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) decreased by 39.66 points, down 0.73% to 5,418.29 [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) slightly fell by 2.06 points, down 0.02% to 8,841.51 [1] - Sectors such as coal, transportation, banking, and oil & petrochemicals showed gains, while sectors like paper, electrical equipment, machinery, and real estate experienced declines [1] Airline Sector Performance - Airline stocks saw a general increase, with China Eastern Airlines rising over 8%, China Southern Airlines up more than 5%, and Air China increasing by over 4% [2] - The airline index (887825) reported a rise of 42.84 points, or 5.07%, reaching 887.06 [3] - Notable airline stock performances include: - China Eastern Airlines (0670.HK) at 5.350, up 8.08% - Beijing Capital International Airport (0694.HK) at 2.850, up 6.74% - China Southern Airlines at 5.880, up 5.57% - Air China at 7.050, up 4.75% [3] Technology Sector Performance - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with SenseTime dropping over 4%, Xiaomi down more than 2%, and Alibaba, JD Health, BYD, and Sunny Optical Technology each falling over 1% [2] - Specific declines include: - SenseTime (商汤-W) at 1.890, down 4.06% - Xiaomi Group (小米集团-W) at 40.200, down 2.47% - Lenovo Group at 9.400, down 1.88% - Sunny Optical Technology at 65.350, down 1.80% [5][6]

| < W | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | | 4338 288 F2 | | | 4337.970 | 总量 | | 0 | | +0.263 | +0.01% 开盘 | | 4337.970 | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 4340.740 仓 | 持 | 0 | 4 물 | | 0 | | 最低价 | එ 4335.415 | 赛 | O | 内 盘 | | 0 | | 关时 | 日K 五日 | | 周Ｋ | 月K | 电子 | | | 叠加 | | | | 均价:0.000 | | | | 4340.740 | | | | 0.06% | = 4338.773 | | | | | | | | - 4338.233 | | | | | | | | 7:35 4338.285 | 0 | | | | | | | 7:35 4338.080 | 0 | | 1-1-1979- | | | | -0-0-9-9- | 7:35 4338.263 ...

Core Viewpoint - The central economic work meeting emphasizes a positive outlook for China's economy, projecting a growth rate of around 5% for 2025, with the total economic output expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan [1] Group 1: Macroeconomic Policies - China will continue to implement more proactive fiscal and monetary policies in 2026, maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and debt levels while optimizing fiscal expenditure structures [2] - The total government bond issuance for 2025 is projected to be 11.86 trillion yuan, with a deficit rate expected to rise to around 4% [2][3] - Monetary policy will focus on maintaining liquidity and supporting economic growth, with tools such as interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments being utilized flexibly [3][4] Group 2: Income and Employment - A series of measures to promote income growth and stabilize employment are expected in 2026, including the implementation of a plan to increase urban and rural residents' income [5][6] - The government aims to enhance the basic pension for residents and improve consumption capacity, with a focus on ensuring that income growth aligns with economic growth [6][8] Group 3: Consumption and Investment - Expanding domestic demand is a top priority for 2026, with a shift from goods consumption to a balanced focus on both goods and service consumption [9] - Investment is expected to stabilize, with a focus on infrastructure and social welfare projects, while also encouraging private investment in high-tech and service sectors [10][11][12] - The government plans to enhance investment in areas such as urban renewal, healthcare, and childcare, while also leveraging government funds to stimulate private sector investment [11][12]

还记得那些年，几乎零成本就能借到钱的日子吗？那个全球投资者都在玩的"免费杠杆"游戏，可能真的 要彻底说再见了。 日本央行，那个坚持了二十多年超宽松货币政策的"异类"，终于要扣动加息的扳机。这不仅仅是日本国 内的一个政策调整，它像一块投入平静湖面的巨石，激起的涟漪，最终会波及到每一个人的钱袋子。 你或许觉得这离自己很遥远。但真相是，过去二十年，全球金融市场的繁荣，某种程度上是建立在这近 乎"免费"的日元借贷之上的。如今，这个基础要动摇了。 别再以为日本加息只是"狼来了"的故事。这一次，多重压力已经堆叠到了临界点，让加息从一个"选 项"变成了"必答题"。 通胀，这个在日本消失了三十年的"幽灵"，正以意想不到的方式回归。 核心通胀率连续五十个月上 涨，这不是温和复苏，而是持续不断的压力测试。更棘手的是，工资增长远远追不上物价的涨幅，老百 姓口袋里的钱实际在缩水。当通缩的噩梦被通胀的灼热取代，继续维持零利率，无异于往火堆里浇油。 另一边，日元汇率已经跌到了让人心惊肉跳的地步。从一美元兑110日元，一路滑向160日元，贬值幅度 超过30%。对于严重依赖能源和食品进口的日本来说，日元贬值意味着输入性通胀被急剧放大。每一滴 ...

上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 重磅数据搅动美联储降息前景。 北京时间12月16日晚间，美国劳工统计局一次性公布了10月和11月的非农就业数据，其中显示，美国11 月失业率却意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来的新高。有分析称，这 很可能是促使美联储进一步降息 的关键因素。 非农数据公布后，交易员押注美联储2026年将降息两次。据CME"美联储观察"，美联储明年1月降息25 个基点的概率一度升至26.6%，数据公布前这一概率为22%。受此影响，美元指数直线跳水，一度跌破 98，为10月6日以来首次。美股三大指数集体低开后，震荡分化，纳指拉升翻红，大型科技股多数收涨。 另据最新消息，美国总统特朗普将于当地时间周三面试另一位美联储主席候选人——美联储理事克里斯托 弗·沃勒（Christopher Waller）。在所有被考虑的美联储主席人选中，沃勒在《华尔街日报》10月对经 济学家的调查中被评为首选，华尔街普遍对沃勒评价较高。 重磅数据出炉 美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国11月非农就业人口增长 6.4万人，高于预期的5万人；美国11月失 业率意外 ...

重磅数据搅动美联储降息前景。 北京时间12月16日晚间，美国劳工统计局一次性公布了10月和11月的非农就业数据，其中显示，美国11 月失业率却意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来的新高。有分析称，这很可能是促使美联储进一步降息 的关键因素。 非农数据公布后，交易员押注美联储2026年将降息两次。据CME"美联储观察"，美联储明年1月降息25 个基点的概率一度升至26.6%，数据公布前这一概率为22%。受此影响，美元指数直线跳水，一度跌破 98，为10月6日以来首次。美股三大指数集体低开后，震荡分化，纳指拉升翻红，大型科技股多数收 涨。 另据最新消息，美国总统特朗普将于当地时间周三面试另一位美联储主席候选人——美联储理事克里斯 托弗·沃勒（Christopher Waller）。在所有被考虑的美联储主席人选中，沃勒在《华尔街日报》10月对经 济学家的调查中被评为首选，华尔街普遍对沃勒评价较高。 重磅数据出炉 从修正数据来看，美国就业市场正加速"降温"。美国8月非农新增就业人数由-0.4万人修正至-2.6万人； 9月份非农新增就业人数由11.9万人修正至10.8万人。这意味着，美国8月和9月新增就业人数合计下 ...

重磅数据搅动美联储降息前景。 北京时间12月16日晚间，美国劳工统计局一次性公布了10月和11月的非农就业数据，其中显示，美国11 月失业率却意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来的新高。有分析称，这很可能是促使美联储进一步降息 的关键因素。 非农数据公布后，交易员押注美联储2026年将降息两次。据CME"美联储观察"，美联储明年1月降息25 个基点的概率一度升至26.6%，数据公布前这一概率为22%。受此影响，美元指数直线跳水，一度跌破 98，为10月6日以来首次。美股三大指数集体低开后，震荡分化，纳指拉升翻红，大型科技股多数收 涨。 另据最新消息，美国总统特朗普将于当地时间周三面试另一位美联储主席候选人——美联储理事克里斯 托弗·沃勒（Christopher Waller）。在所有被考虑的美联储主席人选中，沃勒在《华尔街日报》10月对经 济学家的调查中被评为首选，华尔街普遍对沃勒评价较高。 重磅数据出炉 美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国11月非农就业人口增长 6.4万人，高于预期的5万人；美国11月失 业率意外升至4.6%，高于预期的4.5%，亦高于9月的4.4%，创2021年以来的新高。 报告显示， ...

重磅数据搅动美联储降息前景。 北京时间12月16日晚间，美国劳工统计局一次性公布了10月和11月的非农就业数据，其中显示，美国11月失业 率却意外升至4.6%，创下2021年9月以来的新高。有分析称，这 很可能是促使美联储进一步降息的关键因素。 非农数据公布后，交易员押注美联储2026年将降息两次。据CME"美联储观察"，美联储明年1月降息25个基点 的概率一度升至26.6%，数据公布前这一概率为22%。受此影响，美元指数直线跳水，一度跌破98，为10月6日 以来首次。美股三大指数集体低开后，震荡分化，纳指拉升翻红，大型科技股多数收涨。 薪资数据同样释放出降温信号。美国11月平均时薪同比增长3.5%，为2021年5月以来最低增速。尽管仍跑赢通 胀，但实际工资增速正在放缓，这意味着，美国家庭购买力改善的空间正在收窄。 经济学家表示，美国就业市场放缓与关税引发的高通胀双重冲击，仍对消费者支出构成潜在风险。 美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国11月非农就业人口增长 6.4万人，高于预期的5万人；美国11月失业率意 外升至4.6%，高于预期的4.5%，亦高于9月的4.4%，创2021年以来的新高。 报告显示，美国10 ...