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“躲过”震荡!基金经理:或跌出新的操作空间
证券时报· 2025-12-18 00:40
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent actions of some funds in response to market volatility, indicating that certain fund managers are reducing positions to secure year-to-date gains while others are adjusting their portfolios for the upcoming year-end market trends [1][2] - Many fund managers maintain an optimistic outlook for the market, suggesting that the recent adjustments in high valuations are healthy and may create new opportunities for future operations [1][7] - Specific examples include the performance of the Guangfa Xinyi fund, which has shown a relatively stable net value despite market fluctuations, and the strategies employed by fund managers to manage their portfolios effectively [3][4] Group 2 - Flexible allocation funds are noted for their ability to adjust stock holdings more freely compared to traditional equity funds, allowing them to mitigate risks during market downturns and capitalize on opportunities during uptrends [5][6] - Fund managers emphasize the importance of market judgment and position control, suggesting that effective management of these flexible funds requires a higher level of skill and adaptability [6][7] - Investment directions highlighted include sectors such as computing infrastructure, AI-driven applications, and emerging consumer companies, which are expected to maintain growth potential despite current market conditions [8][9]
算力“牛”回?——通信ETF(515880)大涨超5.5%点评
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 11:00
2、此外,此前市场普遍担忧日本加息影响全球股市流动性。前日本央行副行长、政府政策小组委员若田部昌澄表示,日本必须通过财政政策、增长战略 提高中性利率。如果日本的中性利率因财政政策而上升,日本央行加息将是很自然的事情。但目前日本央行应避免过早加息、过度收紧货币政策。 【市场行情】 市场午后大涨,沪深两市成交额1.81万亿元,较上一个交易日放量870亿元。截至收盘,沪指涨1.19%,深成指涨2.4%,创业板指涨3.39%。算力板块大 涨,截至收盘,通信ETF上涨5.56%,创业板人工智能ETF上涨5.10%。 资料来源:wind 【上涨因素分析】 1、自从谷歌发布Gemini3系列模型以来,市场对于2026年算力的预期逐步走高。除了GPU之外,ASIC成为上游计算芯片的重要增量,或持续带动光模块 等配件加速放量。 | 光模块占比 | 48.26% | | --- | --- | | 铜连接占比 | 2.73% | | 服务器占比 | 20.04% | | 光纤占比 | 8.24% | | 合计 | 76.83% | 资料来源:中证指数,Wind,数据截至2025年12月15日,以上含量为持仓与Wind概念指数重合 ...
长城基金赵凤飞:2026年科技行情大概率延续,市场风格或更趋均衡
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 08:59
即将过去的2025年,科技产业历经诸多变革,助推科技股成为贯穿全年的行情主线。年末之际,人工智 能、芯片、新能源等科技主题的行情波动明显放大。随着AI泡沫之争再起,新一年的科技投资脉络成 为市场关注焦点。 一是算力板块中的海内外算力趋于均衡,过去几年海外算力个股涨幅显著,后续持续大幅上涨的难度加 大。而国产算力正迎来关键突破期,收入与利润即将进入大幅释放阶段,有望加速突围。 二是AI领域内部的结构均衡。过去三年,市场投资重心集中在算力等"卖铲子"的基建类企业,经过长期 布局,基础设施建设已日趋完善,应用端批量爆发的条件逐渐成熟。2026年,AI应用有望迎来实质性 突破。 第三,科技板块内部有望实现AI与非AI领域的更均衡发展。AI作为产业界主流话题,已在资本市场表 现三年且成绩亮眼;而商业航天、量子计算等新板块,若后续出现产业新变化,阶段性表现或不逊于 AI。 谈及科技板块中具体看好的细分方向,赵凤飞明确指出,2026年三大方向将迎来关键节点。首先是固态 电池,有望进入小批量量产元年,开启动力电池领域的技术迭代;其次是商业航天,可回收技术大概率 实现重大突破,破解卫星互联网建设的运力瓶颈,为太空算力等宏大场景 ...
12月17日:沪深三大指数均涨超1%,创业板指涨超3%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 07:48
♨博时基金市场异动陪伴 市场表现: 责任编辑:江钰涵 ♨博时基金市场异动陪伴 市场表现: 12月17日,沪深三大指数均涨超1%,创业板指涨超3%。 解析: ‼今日A股全线上涨,其背后是政策预期强化、资金面积极信号与科技板块情绪催化共同作用的结果。 一方面,中央经济工作会议精神的具体解读陆续释放,清晰传递了稳增长、扩内需的政策优先级,有效 稳定并提振了市场预期。另一方面,社保基金会明确将发挥长期资金作用支持科技创新,为成长股提供 了重要的资金面与信心支撑。同时,科技领域新股上市后的强劲表现,激发了市场对相关产业链的关注 热度,带动了通信、算力等板块的情绪。综合来看,市场在前期调整后,随着政策细节明朗与积极信号 累积,迎来了情绪与估值的同步修复。 ‼中央财办有关负责同志在中央经济工作会议后详解明年政策重点,清晰传递了扩大内需作为明年首要 任务的政策导向,要从供需两侧协同发力,包括提振消费、扩大投资及稳定房地产市场,明确对于新型 消费、新基建等领域的结构性支持。同时,关于货币政策保持流动性充裕、促进融资成本下行的表述, 进一步缓解了市场对资金环境的担忧。这一系统性阐述强化了经济回升向好的政策预期,有助于推动市 场风 ...
开盘大涨!算力大牛股,重大采购!
券商中国· 2025-12-17 01:52
加码布局算力! 12月16日晚间,算力概念大牛股协创数据在深交所公告,公司拟不超90亿元采购服务器,主要用于为客户提供 云算力服务。 今年以来,包括上述公告在内,协创数据已累计发布了5次算力服务器采购公告,合计采购金额不超212亿元。 值得注意的是,二级市场上,A股算力概念股近日出现调整。12月17日早盘,相关概念股再度活跃,截至记者 发稿,奕东电子涨超13%,环旭电子涨超8%,长飞光纤涨超7%,协创数据涨超4%。接下来,这个板块还有机 会吗? 二级市场上,协创数据是一只大牛股。自2024年9月20日以来,该公司股价累计涨幅超过330%,最新市值为 483亿元。 大规模采购 协创数据16日晚间公告,根据经营发展需要,公司拟向多家供应商采购服务器,并签署相关采购合同,采购合 同总金额预计不超过90亿元。 协创数据称,上述交易因出于商业秘密及战略发展的考虑,按照规则披露交易对手方信息将导致违约或可能引 致不当竞争,损害公司及投资者利益,因此公司根据相关规定对交易对方的相关信息履行豁免披露程序,故不 予披露交易对手方的具体情况。 协创数据表示,购买服务器主要用于为客户提供云算力服务。交易完成后,将促进公司主营业务的 ...
资金涌入,持续加仓!
Market Overview - On December 16, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a pullback, with only about 50 out of over 1300 ETFs closing higher, and 6 of these ETFs rising by 1% or more. Financial technology, tourism, and automotive sector ETFs showed relative resilience [1] - In the cross-border ETF segment, two Brazilian ETFs and one S&P Consumer ETF led the market in terms of gains [1] ETF Performance - Notably, several ETFs that rose against the market trend saw significant increases in trading volume. The S&P Consumer ETF (159529) had a turnover rate of 199.92%, with a trading volume nearing 2 billion yuan, four times that of the previous day. The Smart Driving ETF (516520) also saw its trading volume increase to approximately seven times that of the previous day [2] - On December 16, financial technology, tourism, and automotive sector ETFs performed well, with multiple products ranking among the top gainers. The financial technology ETFs linked to the CSI Financial Technology Index saw over half of their constituent stocks close in the green, with notable gains from companies like Chuangshi Technology (300941) and Cuiwei Co. (603123) [4] Fund Flows - On December 15, despite the market pullback, ETFs experienced a net inflow of approximately 6.7 billion yuan, with broad-based ETFs attracting significant capital. Several ETFs linked to the CSI A500 Index ranked among the top for net inflows, with three A500 ETFs collectively receiving over 13.5 billion yuan in net inflows over the past five trading days [3][9] - The A500 ETF from Southern Fund (159352) led with a net inflow of 3.915 billion yuan on December 15, significantly outpacing other products [11] Sector-Specific Insights - The gold stock ETFs faced a sharp decline on December 16, with the largest drop exceeding 4%. Six out of the top ten ETFs with the largest declines were gold-related, reflecting a cautious market sentiment ahead of key economic data releases [7] - The CSI A500 Index has over 280 public funds linked to it, with more than 80 asset management firms involved, totaling over 240 billion yuan in assets. Over 80% of this is held in ETF products, with 40 ETFs exceeding 210 billion yuan in total assets [10] Upcoming Products - On December 19, Huatai-PB Fund will launch the Sci-Tech Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETF, adding to the growing list of innovative ETF products in the market [13]
长城基金汪立:布局春季行情,关注三大方向
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 11:22
上周市场风格延续科技成长占优,周期与消费回调。AI相关的光模块/光芯片进一步走强,可控核聚变 与数据中心电力大涨,智能电网等绿电消纳相关热度提升,商业航天延续高热度;炭黑/磷化工/甲醇和 地产/家纺等表现落后。 国内方面,上周中央经济工作会议举行,中央提出做好新形势下经济工作的五点新的认识和体会,确定 了八项重点任务。会议明确"不断巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头",并提出财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主 导","推动投资止跌回稳",房地产"去库存"。中财办副主任表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策, 继续实施"国补"与靠前实施"十五五"重点项目,实现"十五五"良好开局。 从宏观数据来看,11月国内核心CPI同比维持高位,PPI同比降幅扩大;社融数据延续此前财政支撑走弱 和私人信用疲软的格局;出口动能修复但基数将升。具体来看: 11月CPI同比回升至0.7%,PPI同比回落至-2.2%,CPI主要受到食品、消费补贴政策及金价上涨推动, 国际油价下行对PPI价格形成压力,下游耐用品消费价格仍然偏弱。财政支撑走弱和私人信用疲软, M1-M2缺口在11月迅速扩大,但后续M1仍有边际企稳的可能。11月美元计价的中国出口增速5.9 ...
年度冠军基金收益超200%,一只重仓AI的基金如何“封神”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 10:57
Core Insights - The public fund industry is experiencing intense competition as the year-end ranking battle heats up, with 67 funds achieving over 100% annual returns as of December 12, 2025, including 57 active equity funds entering the "doubling club" [1][2] - Yongying Technology Smart Selection Mixed A Fund has a significant lead with an annual return of approximately 215.58%, almost securing the top position [1][2] Fund Performance - Yongying Technology Smart Selection Mixed A ranks first with a return of 215.58%, while Zhonghang Opportunity Leading A follows in second place with a return of 159.95%, showing a notable gap of about 55 percentage points [2] - The third place, Everbright Baodexin Sunshine Intelligent Manufacturing Mixed D, has a return of 157.46%, only 1.5 percentage points behind the second place [2] - The fourth to sixth places have returns concentrated in the range of 131%-140%, indicating potential volatility in rankings as slight fluctuations in net value could lead to reshuffling [3] Fund Holdings and Strategy - Yongying Technology Smart Selection Mixed A has a high concentration strategy, with its top ten holdings accounting for 73.25% of the fund's net value, featuring stocks like Xinyi Sheng (9.76%) and Zhongji Xuchuang (9.48%) [4][5] - The fund's portfolio is aligned with strong technology themes, including computing power chains and optical modules, which have seen significant growth in 2025, with related indices rising 93.83% and 172.08% respectively [5] - The fund's performance is attributed to its high concentration in key stocks, with the top ten holdings reflecting a strategic focus on high-growth sectors [6] Fund Growth and Investor Interest - Since its establishment on October 30, 2024, Yongying Technology Smart Selection Mixed A has seen its scale expand from 1.166 billion to 11.521 billion yuan by September 30, 2025, marking nearly a tenfold increase [7] - The proportion of individual investors in the fund surged from 21.78% at the end of December 2024 to 87.24% by June 2025, indicating strong retail investor interest [7][10]
年末机构调研马不停蹄 前沿科技赛道受关注
Group 1 - The A-share market has seen active institutional research activities, with over 260 listed companies attracting institutional attention, particularly in the computing power sector led by Zhongke Shuguang and Haiguang Information, each receiving interest from 341 institutions [1] - Zhongke Shuguang and Haiguang Information recently announced the termination of their significant merger and acquisition plan, citing changes in market conditions and the complexity of the transaction as reasons for the decision [1] - Haiguang Information's management indicated that significant fluctuations in the stock prices of both companies since the announcement of the merger plan contributed to the decision to terminate the deal [1] Group 2 - Weichuang Electric received attention from 112 institutions, highlighting its comprehensive "one core and two new" strategic layout and recent product launches in the robotics sector, including micro motors and bionic drive components [2] - Shenghong Technology engaged with 59 institutions, discussing its leadership in AI computing technology and proactive measures to address potential supply bottlenecks for high-end equipment [2] - Chaojie Co. conducted two collective research sessions with 73 institutions, revealing progress in its commercial rocket structure manufacturing and plans for a second production line to meet growing demand [3]
帮主郑重收评:科技“退潮”,消费“登场”,你的持仓跟对切换了吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 12:13
今天这行情,是不是有点"冰火两重天"的味道?一边是深成指、创业板双双跌超1%,CPO、半导体这 些前阵子的明星纷纷熄火;另一边,乳业、白酒却逆势飘红,中国平安更是大涨超5%,创出阶段新 高。市场似乎在用一种激烈的方式告诉我们:一场从"想象"到"现实"的风格切换,可能正在进行中。 今天的盘面,传递出几个非常清晰的信号。指数午后加速下行,尤其是创业板跌近2%,这明确反映了 资金正在从前期涨幅大、估值高的科技成长板块中阶段性撤离。而流出的资金去了哪里?答案就在涨幅 榜上:乳业、白酒、零售,还有保险。 这绝不是偶然。这说明,在年末这个时间点,一部分大资金的 偏好正在变得保守和务实,他们更愿意去拥抱那些位置相对较低、业绩可见度更高、或者分红更实在的 板块,这是典型的防御和避险心态在起作用。 所以,我的核心观点是:今天的下跌,不仅仅是技术调整,更可能是市场内在结构的一次重要再平衡。 资金正在为下一阶段的行情"调兵遣将",主攻方向似乎正从激昂的科技成长,部分转向稳健的消费复苏 与高股息资产。 基于这个判断,对于明天的操作,我给大家几点策略建议: 首先,对于今天逆势走强的消费和金融板块(比如白酒、乳业、保险),不要急于明天开 ...