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基本面高频数据跟踪:地产销售再回落
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-13 13:03
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View The report updates the high - frequency data of the national economic fundamentals from October 6th to October 10th, 2025. The national high - frequency fundamental index shows an expanding year - on - year increase, while the bull - bear signal of interest - rate bonds remains unchanged. Different sectors have different trends, such as a slight decline in real - estate sales, an expanding increase in infrastructure investment, etc. [1][8][9] Summary by Directory Total Index - The national high - frequency fundamental index is 128.1 points (previous value: 128.0 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.9 points (previous increase: 5.8 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The bull - bear signal of interest - rate bonds remains unchanged, with a signal factor of 5.0% (previous value: 5.0%). [1][8][9] Production - The high - frequency industrial production index is 127.3 (previous value: 127.2), with a year - on - year increase of 5.5 points (previous increase: 5.4 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The electric - furnace operating rate slightly declined, with the current rate at 59.6% (previous value: 60.3%). [1][8][14] Real - Estate Sales - The high - frequency real - estate sales index is 42.3 (previous value: 42.4), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.1 points (previous decrease: 6.2 points), and the year - on - year decline is narrowing. The land premium rate of large and medium - sized cities increased, with the current rate at 4.8% (previous value: 1.9%), while the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities decreased to 11.4 million square meters (previous value: 25.7 million square meters). [1][9][22] Infrastructure Investment - The high - frequency infrastructure investment index is 121.8 (previous value: 121.5), with a year - on - year increase of 8.1 points (previous increase: 7.3 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The daily average pig - iron output slightly declined to 241.5 tons (previous value: 241.8 tons). [1][9][36] Export - The high - frequency export index is 143.7 (previous value: 143.7), with a year - on - year increase of 1.6 points (previous increase: 1.8 points), and the year - on - year increase is narrowing. The CCFI index continued to decline to 1015 points (previous value: 1087 points), and the RJ/CRB index decreased to 299.3 points (previous value: 300.3 points). [1][9][39] Consumption - The high - frequency consumption index is 120.6 (previous value: 120.5), with a year - on - year increase of 3.6 points (previous increase: 3.5 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The daily average box office of movies slightly declined to 14,803 million yuan (previous value: 15,858 million yuan). [1][9][50] CPI - The month - on - month CPI forecast remains at 0.2% (previous value: 0.2%). The average wholesale price of pork continued to decline to 18.7 yuan/kg (previous value: 19.3 yuan/kg). [2][9][57] PPI - The month - on - month PPI forecast is 0.0% (previous value: - 0.1%). The crude - oil price slightly declined, with the Brent crude - oil futures settlement price at 65 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 66 US dollars/barrel), while the copper and aluminum prices continued to rise. The LME copper spot settlement price is 10,718 US dollars/ton (previous value: 10,358 US dollars/ton), and the LME aluminum spot settlement price is 2,753 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2,685 US dollars/ton). [2][9][60] Transportation - The high - frequency transportation index is 131.5 (previous value: 131.3), with a year - on - year increase of 10.0 points (previous increase: 9.8 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities declined to 3,097 million person - times (previous value: 3,550 million person - times). [2][9][72] Inventory - The high - frequency inventory index is 162.4 (previous value: 162.3), with a year - on - year increase of 8.5 points (previous increase: 8.6 points), and the year - on - year increase is narrowing. The electrolytic - aluminum inventory declined to 13.6 million tons (previous value: 18.8 million tons). [2][9][78] Financing - The high - frequency financing index is 239.2 (previous value: 238.6), with a year - on - year increase of 30.2 points (previous increase: 30.1 points), and the year - on - year increase is expanding. The net financing of local government bonds is negative, with a value of - 246 billion yuan (previous value: 632 billion yuan). [2][9][89]
1-7月地产链数据联合解读
2025-08-18 01:00
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The real estate sector is characterized as a "three low" industry (low price-to-book ratio, low positioning, low attention), suggesting that the valuation gap will eventually close [3][5] - The construction and real estate sectors are experiencing significant challenges, with broad infrastructure investment growth declining by 1.9% year-on-year in July 2025, marking the first negative growth in two years [6][9] - The construction investment growth rate in July 2025 was negative 5.1%, indicating a severe decline in local government-funded projects and highlighting fiscal difficulties [6][9] Key Points and Arguments - Real estate stocks are not to be viewed pessimistically; the market is in a phase of orderly expansion, and the sector's win rate is high due to its low valuation metrics [3][5] - In July 2025, real estate investment fell by 17.1%, while manufacturing investment decreased by 0.3%, both showing significant declines and marking a critical turning point [11] - The cash flow situation in the real estate market has improved compared to last year, with financing costs and completion rates showing strength, suggesting potential recovery in construction data in the second half of the year [2] - The introduction of special bonds and government debt in July has significantly increased, aiding in resolving real estate debt issues and enhancing macroeconomic stability [7] Notable Companies and Their Performance - Companies like Vanke, JinDi, Longfor, and New Town are identified as having high elasticity due to improved competitive dynamics [8] - Service-oriented companies such as Wanwu Cloud, China Resources Mixc, and China Overseas Property are also highlighted for their dividend performance in the mid-year reports [8] - Recommended companies in the consumer building materials sector include Oriental Yuhong and Henkel Group, which are expected to perform well due to improved market conditions [19] Risks and Future Outlook - The upcoming mid-year reports for construction companies are anticipated to be risky, with potential for lower-than-expected performance due to increased receivables and declining revenues [13][16] - Despite short-term risks, there is potential for a rebound in the fourth quarter, particularly for companies with mineral resource attributes, such as China Metallurgical Group and China Railway [14] - The cement industry is projected to face a demand decline of 4.5% for the year, with July's demand down by 5.6% [17] Additional Insights - The consumer building materials sector is showing signs of recovery, with improved fundamentals and reduced price wars, which may lead to enhanced profitability [18] - The western region's infrastructure projects are expected to significantly impact the building materials industry, with strong demand and funding availability [24] - Investors are advised to adjust their positions cautiously in anticipation of potential volatility following the mid-year report disclosures [15]
专项债券发行明显提速 有力支持基础设施投资
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-15 17:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the acceleration in the issuance and utilization of local government special bonds, which is significantly supporting infrastructure investment and overall economic growth [1][2]. - From January to July, infrastructure investment increased by 3.2% year-on-year, contributing 43.0% to total investment growth, which is 6.0 percentage points higher than the first half of the year [1]. - As of August 15, approximately 28,369 billion yuan of new special bonds have been issued, representing a 39.7% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. Group 2 - The issuance efficiency of new special bonds has improved, with over 2.8 trillion yuan issued this year, surpassing 64% of the annual target, which is higher than the 52% of the previous year [2]. - The funds from the bonds are primarily directed towards infrastructure and real estate sectors, indicating a focus on stabilizing the economy and boosting domestic demand [2]. - The third quarter is expected to be a peak period for bond issuance, with projections that new local government bonds will accelerate and be largely utilized by the end of the year [3].
中国宏观数据点评:7月实体经济数据走弱
SPDB International· 2025-08-15 08:29
Economic Performance - In July, China's retail sales growth declined to 3.7% year-on-year, down from 4.8% in June and below the market expectation of 4.6%[2] - Fixed asset investment growth fell significantly by 1.2 percentage points to 1.6%, much lower than the expected 2.7%[3] - Industrial production growth decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 5.7%, also below the market expectation of 6.0%[5] Sector-Specific Insights - Real estate development investment fell by 12.0% year-on-year in July, worsening from a decline of 11.2% in June[3] - Retail sales of automobiles dropped by 1.5% in July, contrasting with a growth of 4.6% in June[2] - The manufacturing investment growth rate decreased by 1.3 percentage points to 6.2%[7] Policy and Future Outlook - The government is expected to introduce additional fiscal support of 0.5-1 trillion yuan by the end of September to bolster economic recovery[1] - Recent policies include a nationwide childcare subsidy starting in 2025, which is projected to directly aid consumption[10] - The central bank may implement a 50 basis point reserve requirement ratio cut and a 10-20 basis point interest rate cut by the end of September[14]
李嘉诚旗下长和最新表态:预计今年不会完成港口交易,将邀请内地投资者加入!
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-14 13:53
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a net profit of HKD 11.32 billion for the first half of 2025, representing an 11% year-on-year increase, despite a decline in EBITDA by 9% to HKD 56.98 billion [1][4]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 240.66 billion, up 3% from HKD 232.64 billion in the same period of 2024 [2][4]. - EBITDA decreased to HKD 56.98 billion from HKD 63.42 billion, reflecting a 9% decline [2][4]. - EBIT also fell to HKD 23.16 billion from HKD 30.96 billion, indicating a significant drop [2][4]. - Basic earnings per share were reported at HKD 0.22, down from HKD 2.66 in the previous year [5]. Port Business Performance - The port business generated revenue of HKD 235.97 billion (approximately RMB 215.73 billion), a 9% increase compared to the first half of 2024 [7]. - EBITDA for the port segment was HKD 87.19 billion, up 10%, while EBIT rose by 12% to HKD 65.08 billion [7]. - Growth in the port business was driven by increased throughput at key ports and a significant rise in storage revenue from Mexico and Europe [7]. Strategic Developments - The company completed a major strategic transaction by merging its UK telecom business with Vodafone UK in May 2025, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency [4][5]. - The company is currently in discussions to invite major investors from mainland China to participate in the port business sale, which is anticipated to take longer than initially planned [3][11]. Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, the company held cash and liquid investments totaling HKD 1,372.68 billion (approximately RMB 1,254.9 billion) [8]. - The total debt amounted to HKD 2,565.89 billion, with a net debt of HKD 1,193.21 billion, resulting in a net debt to total capital ratio of 14.7% [8]. Market Performance - The company's stock price has increased over 30% year-to-date, closing at HKD 52 on August 14, 2025, with a total market capitalization of nearly HKD 1,992 billion [8].
基本面高频数据跟踪:地产销售连续回落
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-11 02:47
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 127.0 points (previous value: 126.9 points), with a week - on - week increase of 5.4 points (previous increase: 5.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The long - short signal factor for interest - rate bonds was 4.7% (previous value: 4.6%) [1][9]. - In terms of production, the industrial production high - frequency index was 126.3 (previous value: 126.2), with a week - on - week increase of 5.0 points (previous increase: 5.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged [1][9]. - Regarding total demand, the high - frequency index for commercial housing sales was 43.4 (previous value: 43.6), with a week - on - week decrease of 6.4 points (previous decrease: 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline rate remained unchanged; the high - frequency index for infrastructure investment was 120.1 (previous value: 120.0), with a week - on - week increase of 4.8 points (previous increase: 4.5 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded; the high - frequency index for exports was 143.8 (previous value: 143.9), with a week - on - week increase of 3.1 points (previous increase: 3.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrowed; the high - frequency index for consumption was 119.8 (previous value: 119.7), with a week - on - week increase of 2.7 points (previous increase: 2.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded [1][9]. - In terms of prices, the monthly环比 forecast for CPI was 0.2% (previous value: 0.1%); the monthly环比 forecast for PPI was 0.2% (previous value: 0.2%) [1][9]. - The high - frequency index for inventory was 161.1 (previous value: 161.1), with a week - on - week increase of 9.1 points (previous increase: 9.3 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrowed. The high - frequency index for transportation was 129.6 (previous value: 129.4), with a week - on - week increase of 9.1 points (previous increase: 9.0 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The high - frequency index for financing was 233.9 (previous value: 233.3), with a week - on - week increase of 29.7 points (previous increase: 29.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged [2][10]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - Based on the report "Fundamental High - Frequency Data - An Effective Tool for Taking the Lead in Bond Market Investment" published on September 5, 2023, a high - frequency data system covering overall, production, demand, prices, and financing was constructed, and the Guosheng Fixed - Income Fundamental High - Frequency Index and its sub - items were developed [8]. - During August 4 - 8, 2025, the Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 127.0 points, with a year - on - year increase of 5.4 points and an expanding growth rate [1][9]. Production: PTA Operating Rate Declined Significantly - The electric furnace operating rate was 63.5% (previous value: 62.8%); the polyester operating rate was 86.2% (previous value: 86.8%); the semi - tire operating rate was 74.4% (previous value: 74.5%); the full - tire operating rate was 61.0% (previous value: 61.1%); the PTA operating rate was 75.9% (previous value: 79.7%); the PX operating rate was 82.4% (previous value: 82.4%); the coal dispatch at Qinhuangdao Port was 38.0 tons (previous value: 47.5 tons) [11][13]. Real Estate Sales: Transaction Land Premium Rate Declined - The commercial housing transaction area in 30 large - and medium - sized cities was 17.9 square meters (previous value: 24.4 square meters); the transaction land premium rate in 100 large - and medium - sized cities was 3.6% (previous value: 9.0%) [22]. Infrastructure Investment: Petroleum Asphalt Operating Rate Declined - The operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants was 31.7% (previous value: 33.1%) [32]. Exports: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continued to Decline - The CCFI index was 1201 points (previous value: 1232 points); the RJ/CRB index was 293.6 points (previous value: 301.9 points) [39]. Consumption: Daily Average Movie Box Office Continued to Rise - The daily average movie box office was 24,143 yuan (previous value: 23,068 yuan) [52]. CPI: Vegetable Wholesale Prices Continued to Rise - The average wholesale price of pork was 20.4 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.5 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key - monitored vegetables was 4.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.4 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key - monitored fruits was 7.0 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.1 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens was 17.4 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.2 yuan/kg) [59]. PPI: Steam Coal Price Continued to Rise - The ex - works price of steam coal (produced in Shanxi) at Qinhuangdao Port was 674 yuan/ton (previous value: 658 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil was 67 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 72 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper was 9613 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9672 US dollars/ton); the spot settlement price of LME aluminum was 2592 US dollars/ton (previous value: 2596 US dollars/ton) [65]. Transportation: Passenger Volume Remained Stable Overall - The subway passenger volume in first - tier cities was 3886 person - times (previous value: 3902 person - times); the road logistics freight rate index was 1050 points (previous value: 1050 points); the number of domestic flights was 14,580 (previous value: 14,562) [77]. Inventory: Electrolytic Aluminum Inventory Increased - The electrolytic aluminum inventory was 19.7 tons (previous value: 18.1 tons); the soda ash inventory was 185.8 tons (previous value: 179.0 tons) [85]. Financing: Local Government Bond Financing Continued to Decline - The net financing of local government bonds was 828 billion yuan (previous value: 2425 billion yuan); the net financing of credit bonds was 1973 billion yuan (previous value: 134 billion yuan); the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill transfer discount rate was 0.7% (previous value: 0.55%); the average value of the bill rate minus the certificate of deposit rate was - 0.9% (previous value: - 1.09%) [93].
第二批新增债额度已下达 下半年基建投资有支撑
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-08 07:28
Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has allocated a new government debt limit of 182.4 billion yuan for Fujian Province in 2024, signaling the issuance of the second batch of new debt limits, with local governments planning to issue over 2 trillion yuan in local bonds in the third quarter, indicating a peak in local bond issuance and strong support for infrastructure investment growth [1][2]. Group 1: Local Debt Issuance - Fujian Province's new government debt limit of 182.4 billion yuan represents a 3.7% increase from the previous year, indicating the second batch of new government bond quotas has been issued [2]. - A total of 27 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities plan to issue local bonds amounting to 2.36 trillion yuan in the third quarter, with ten regions including Sichuan, Guangdong, and Hunan planning to issue over 100 billion yuan each [2]. - As of June 25, local governments have issued a total of 3.3 trillion yuan in local bonds this year, with 1.35 trillion yuan being new special bonds [2]. Group 2: Project Support and Efficiency - Local governments are prioritizing the issuance of bonds for high-maturity projects to ensure quick formation of physical work volume, with Fujian's new debt limit including 14 billion yuan for general debt and 168.4 billion yuan for special debt [4]. - The focus is on supporting public welfare projects that can achieve financing and revenue balance, particularly ongoing and mature projects [4]. - The process from special bond issuance to the formation of physical work volume involves several stages, and delays in any stage can impact timely project execution [4]. Group 3: Infrastructure Investment - Local bonds are expected to significantly support major project construction, with Qingdao issuing 32.02 billion yuan in new special bonds for various key projects [6][7]. - The increase in government bond financing since May is anticipated to accelerate infrastructure investment growth, with the National Development and Reform Commission pushing for all new national bond projects to commence by the end of June [7]. - Overall, infrastructure investment is projected to play a stabilizing role in the macroeconomic landscape this year [7].
农发行邳州支行开展跨境人民币业务调研
Jiang Nan Shi Bao· 2025-07-30 06:30
Core Insights - The article discusses the efforts of the Agricultural Development Bank of China in promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) through cross-border settlement initiatives, particularly in collaboration with key enterprises like Pizhou Economic Development Holding Group [1][2] - The challenges faced by enterprises in adopting RMB for cross-border transactions include complex policies, compliance barriers, and insufficient offshore RMB liquidity, which hinder operational efficiency [1][2] Group 1 - The Agricultural Development Bank of China is actively engaging with Pizhou Economic Development Holding Group, a significant foreign-related enterprise involved in cross-border infrastructure investment and green energy equipment trade [1] - The group is exploring RMB cross-border settlement but faces challenges such as frequent policy updates and differing regulatory requirements between domestic and foreign jurisdictions, leading to high compliance costs [1] - Insufficient RMB liquidity in Southeast Asia and Central Asia complicates repayment sources and limits settlement efficiency for the group's green energy projects [1] Group 2 - The bank emphasizes that prioritizing RMB for cross-border settlements is more convenient and will accelerate the RMB internationalization process, especially in the context of the ongoing US-China trade tensions [2] - A tailored "one enterprise, one policy" approach will be developed, including the establishment of a dedicated cross-border service team to provide monthly policy updates and leverage provincial resources [2] - The bank aims to enhance the flow of policies, liquidity, and risk control through customized services, supporting enterprises in cautiously participating in the RMB internationalization process [2]
6月基建投资增速虽放缓,下半年稳定增长有支撑
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 05:18
Core Viewpoint - Infrastructure investment growth has slowed down in June, but overall remains stable in the first half of the year, contributing to economic stability within a reasonable range [1][2][3] Group 1: Infrastructure Investment Trends - Narrow infrastructure investment (excluding power, heat, gas, and water supply) grew by 4.6% year-on-year in the first half of the year, down from 5.6% in the first five months [1] - Broad infrastructure investment growth, including power and water supply, was approximately 8.9% in the first half, a decline of 1.5 percentage points from the previous five months [1] - June saw a significant slowdown in narrow infrastructure investment growth to about 2%, the slowest since August of the previous year [2] Group 2: Factors Influencing Investment - The slowdown in infrastructure investment growth is attributed to weather disturbances, low funding availability, and a significant drop in construction material prices [2] - Long-term trends indicate a shift in funding allocation towards more effective innovation and technology sectors, reducing the impact of government debt on traditional infrastructure investment [2][3] Group 3: Fiscal Policy and Funding - Fiscal spending has shifted towards social welfare and technology, with infrastructure-related expenditures showing a slight decline [3] - Government bond issuance has been front-loaded, with cumulative financing of 7.6 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of approximately 4.3 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [3] - The issuance of super long-term special bonds and local government special bonds is set to accelerate in the second half of the year, with approximately 0.75 billion yuan in super long-term bonds and 2.24 trillion yuan in new special bonds expected [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The establishment of new policy financial tools is anticipated to address capital shortages for project construction, with estimates around 500 billion yuan [5] - Experts suggest that incremental policies may include increasing government borrowing to stimulate infrastructure investment [5]
基本面高频数据跟踪:房产成交回落
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-14 11:32
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of the national economic fundamentals from July 7th to July 11th, 2025. It shows that the overall high - frequency index of fundamentals is stable, while different sectors have different trends, such as a decline in real estate sales, an increase in infrastructure investment growth rate, and a narrowing increase in export growth rate [1][9]. Summary by Directory Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 126.6 points (previous value was 126.5 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.2 points (previous value was also an increase of 5.2 points), and the year - on - year increase rate remains unchanged. The long - short signal of interest - rate bonds remains unchanged, with a signal factor of 4.7% (previous value was 4.8%) [1][9]. Production: Electric Furnace Operating Rate Declines - The industrial production high - frequency index is 125.9 (previous value was 125.8), with a year - on - year increase of 4.9 points (previous value was also an increase of 4.9 points), and the year - on - year increase rate remains unchanged. The electric furnace operating rate drops to 57.1% from 59.0% [1][9][15]. Real Estate Sales: Property Transactions Decline - The high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 44.0 (previous value was 44.1), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.4 points (previous value was also a decrease of 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline rate remains unchanged. The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities is 19.6 million square meters, down from 37.8 million square meters [1][9][29]. Infrastructure Investment: Petroleum Asphalt Operating Rate Declines - The high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 119.3 (previous value was 119.0), with a year - on - year increase of 3.4 points (previous value was an increase of 3.0 points), and the year - on - year increase rate expands. The operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants is 32.7%, up from 31.7% [1][9][39]. Export: Export Container Freight Rate Index Continues to Decline - The export high - frequency index is 144.0 (previous value was 144.1), with a year - on - year increase of 4.4 points (previous value was an increase of 4.7 points), and the year - on - year increase rate narrows. The CCFI index drops to 1314 points from 1343 points [1][9][45]. Consumption: Passenger Car Manufacturers' Retail and Wholesale Decline - The consumption high - frequency index is 119.6 (previous value was 119.5), with a year - on - year increase of 2.1 points (previous value was an increase of 1.9 points), and the year - on - year increase rate expands. Passenger car manufacturers' retail is 39,660 units, down from 95,374 units; wholesale is 38,757 units, down from 154,429 units [1][9][57]. CPI: Fruit Prices Continue to Decline - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.0% (previous value was - 0.1%). The average wholesale price of 7 kinds of key - monitored fruits is 7.3 yuan/kg, down from 7.4 yuan/kg [1][9][65]. PPI: Copper and Aluminum Prices Decline - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast is 0.1% (previous value was 0.0%). The spot settlement price of LME copper is 9,769 US dollars/ton, down from 10,047 US dollars/ton; the spot settlement price of LME aluminum is 2,587 US dollars/ton, down from 2,598 US dollars/ton [1][9][74]. Transportation: Flight Numbers Continue to Rise - The transportation high - frequency index is 128.8 (previous value was 128.6), with a year - on - year increase of 8.6 points (previous value was an increase of 8.5 points), and the year - on - year increase rate expands. The number of domestic flights (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) is 14,401 flights, up from 13,985 flights [2][10][87]. Inventory: Soda Ash Inventory Increases - The inventory high - frequency index is 160.8 (previous value was 160.6), with a year - on - year increase of 9.5 points (previous value was an increase of 9.6 points), and the year - on - year increase rate narrows. The soda ash inventory is 185.6 million tons, up from 178.9 million tons [2][10][93]. Financing: 6M State - owned Joint - stock Bank Draft Rediscount Rate Decreases - The financing high - frequency index is 231.5 (previous value was 230.9), with a year - on - year increase of 29.5 points (previous value was an increase of 29.4 points), and the year - on - year increase rate expands. The 6M state - owned joint - stock bank draft rediscount rate is 0.91%, down from 1.01% [2][10][103].