【2026全球资本再配置：中国资产从"可选项"变为"必答题"】在全球经济格局深刻变革的背景下，2026 年正被视为全球资本进行战略性再配置的关键一年。近期，包括中金公司、霸菱资产、摩根士丹利、渣 打银行在内的多家中外金融机构密集发声，共同指向一个趋势：随着全球资金寻找新的"安全高地"，中 国资产凭借"估值优势+增长动能"的双重吸引力，已成为国际投资者不可或缺的配置选项。 国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖日前指出，中国新兴产业发展壮大，引领支撑作用日益增强。数字经济快 速发展，绿色低碳转型持续深入，人工智能赋能产业发展，数字制造、智能制造等行业成长壮大，为经 济发展注入新动能。1至10月份，规模以上数字产业制造业增加值同比增长9.5%，智能设备制造、电子 元器件及设备制造行业增加值分别增长11.1%和12.3%。新能源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等发展 潜力巨大，量子科技、生物制造、具身智能等前景广阔，未来有望成为新兴支柱产业，有力支撑新动能 发展壮大。 除此之外，中金公司研究部执行负责人、首席策略师缪延亮向记者表示，国际秩序和产业创新的叙事反 转，推动中国资产实现重估。在缪延亮看来，货币秩序重构的本质是美元资产安全 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's economy remains stable, with key sectors showing solid growth, particularly in the digital manufacturing industry, which saw a 9.5% year-on-year increase in value added for the first ten months [2] - Emerging industries such as aerospace, low-altitude economy, quantum technology, and embodied intelligence are expected to become new pillars of high-quality economic development, as highlighted in the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The transition towards high-end, intelligent, and green industries is crucial for economic quality improvement, with significant growth in green product output, including a 19.3% increase in new energy vehicles and a 30.4% increase in lithium-ion batteries for vehicles in October [3] Group 2 - The potential for achieving annual economic and social development goals is supported by favorable conditions, including the release of demand potential and the steady expansion of market sales, with a 4.3% year-on-year increase in retail sales of consumer goods for the first ten months [3] - The service consumption sector is particularly vibrant, driven by the dual holiday effect of National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, indicating a significant release of service consumption demand [3] - The ongoing adjustment of China's economic structure is progressing steadily, with a focus on promoting technological and industrial innovation to optimize the economic structure and achieve effective qualitative and reasonable quantitative growth [4]

Economic Overview - The slowdown in external demand, weakened domestic demand, and high base effects from the previous year have led to fluctuations in major economic indicators since the fourth quarter, necessitating an increase in macroeconomic policy support [1] - In October, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 4.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from September; retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points from September [1] - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408.914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.7% [1] Government Policy and Economic Measures - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, held a meeting to discuss the implementation of "two major" constructions, focusing on enhancing the adaptability of supply and demand in consumer goods and promoting consumption policies [1][6] - The government aims to rationally arrange project construction and fund disbursement, strengthen project and fund matching, and encourage more private capital participation [1][6] - The "two major" constructions involve significant national strategic implementations and key area safety capability enhancements, with 800 billion yuan allocated for 1,459 projects by 2025 [6][7] Consumption Trends - Despite a decline in industrial, consumption, and investment data, structural highlights remain, with service consumption becoming an important growth point [3] - From January to October, retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.3%, with service retail sales growing by 5.3% [3] - Digital and green consumption are expanding, significantly boosting overall consumption growth, with online retail sales rising by 9.6% year-on-year [4] Investment Dynamics - Fixed asset investment has shown a rare cumulative year-on-year negative value for two consecutive months, primarily due to a slowdown in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate investments [5] - The investment growth slowdown is attributed to various factors, including a complex external environment, fierce domestic market competition, and weak corporate profitability [4][5] - The government has introduced measures to stimulate private investment and has accelerated the deployment of new policy financial tools to support effective investment [7] Supply and Demand Adaptability - Enhancing supply and demand adaptability is seen as a key measure to release consumption potential and facilitate economic circulation [8][10] - The government emphasizes the need for consumption upgrades to lead industrial upgrades, aiming for a dynamic balance between supply and demand [9][10] - The interaction between new supply and new demand is expected to promote a virtuous cycle of potential consumption and effective investment, enhancing the reliability of domestic circulation [10]

Economic Overview - The slowdown in external demand, weakened domestic momentum, and high base effects from the previous year have led to fluctuations in major economic indicators since the fourth quarter, necessitating an increase in macroeconomic policy support [1] - In October, the industrial added value above designated size grew by 4.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from September; retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.9%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points from September; fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408.914 billion yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year [1] Policy Measures - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, held a meeting to discuss the implementation of "two major" constructions, focusing on enhancing the adaptability of supply and demand in consumer goods and promoting consumption policies [1][6] - The meeting emphasized the need to rationally arrange project construction and fund disbursement, strengthen project and fund matching, and encourage more private capital participation [1][6] Consumption Trends - Despite a decline in industrial, consumption, and investment data in October, there are structural highlights, particularly in service consumption, which has become an important growth point [3] - From January to October, retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.3%, with service retail sales growing by 5.3% [3] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) saw a year-on-year decline of 1.7%, with private fixed asset investment down by 4.5% [4] - The slowdown in investment growth is attributed to various factors, including a complex external environment, fierce domestic market competition, and weak corporate profitability [4][5] - Investment in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate has decelerated significantly, leading to a rare cumulative year-on-year negative value for two consecutive months [4][7] Emerging Consumption - Digital and green consumption are expanding, significantly contributing to consumption growth, with online retail sales increasing by 9.6% year-on-year [4] - The ongoing upgrade in consumption structure is creating new opportunities in sectors like cultural tourism and healthcare, alongside the rapid development of the silver economy and first-time economy [4] "Two Major" Construction - The "two major" construction initiative is positioned as a key driver for effective investment and the cultivation of new productive forces, with a planned investment of 800 billion yuan for 1,459 projects by 2025 [6][7] - This initiative aims to enhance strategic and safety capabilities in key areas, including ecological restoration and major infrastructure projects [6][7] Supply and Demand Adaptability - Enhancing supply and demand adaptability is crucial for releasing consumption potential and facilitating economic circulation [8] - The focus is shifting from merely stimulating consumption to achieving a dynamic balance and positive interaction between supply and demand [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is expected to intensify fiscal policies to boost consumption and stabilize economic growth amid challenges such as slowing external demand and weakened domestic momentum [1][2]. Economic Indicators - In October, the industrial added value increased by 4.9% year-on-year, slowing down by 1.6 percentage points from September; retail sales of consumer goods grew by 2.9%, a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points from September [1]. - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 4089.14 billion yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year [1]. Consumption Trends - Service consumption is becoming a significant growth point, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 4.3% year-on-year and service retail sales growing by 5.3% from January to October [3]. - Digital and green consumption are expanding, with online retail sales rising by 9.6% year-on-year [4]. Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment has shown a rare cumulative year-on-year negative value for two consecutive months, primarily due to a slowdown in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate investments [5]. - Despite the nominal decline, fixed asset investment remains positive when adjusted for price factors, indicating its continued role in economic growth [5]. Policy Measures - The "Two Major" construction initiative is highlighted as a key strategy for expanding effective investment and nurturing new productive forces, with a planned allocation of 800 billion yuan for 1459 projects by 2025 [6][7]. - The government aims to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand to release consumption potential and improve economic circulation [8]. Future Outlook - The interaction between new supply and new demand is expected to foster a virtuous cycle of potential consumption and beneficial investment, enhancing the internal dynamics of the domestic economy [9].

Core Insights - The national economy is maintaining overall stability and progress, with industrial value-added growth of 4.9% year-on-year in October and retail sales of consumer goods reaching 46,291 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year [1][2] Economic Performance - Industrial production remains stable, with significant growth in equipment manufacturing, which increased by 8%, contributing positively to overall industrial growth [2] - The accommodation and catering industry saw a production index increase of 3.9% year-on-year, boosted by the overlapping National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [2] - Retail sales of consumer goods are expanding, with notable growth in communication equipment (23.2%) and cultural office supplies (13.5%) [2] New Demand and Investment - New demands from the digital economy and platform economy are expanding, supporting stable economic operations [4] - Investment in high-tech sectors is growing rapidly, particularly in new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence [4][5] - The manufacturing value-added of the digital industry increased by 9.5% year-on-year from January to October, with smart equipment and electronic components growing by 11.1% and 12.3%, respectively [5] Future Outlook - The economy is expected to achieve its annual targets due to favorable conditions, including the continuous release of demand potential and the strengthening of domestic and international market cycles [6][7] - The introduction of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools aims to enhance local government financial capacity and stimulate effective investment [7] - Recent economic policies are characterized by moderate efforts to ensure the achievement of annual economic and social development goals while promoting growth and high-quality development [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the acceleration of new momentum cultivation and economic structure optimization in China, which is beneficial for economic development [1] Group 2 - Market demand is revitalizing, with new demands continuously expanding. From January to October, online retail sales of physical goods accounted for 25.2% of total retail sales, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous period [1] - Investment in key areas is increasing, with high-tech sectors seeing rapid growth. From January to October, investment in the aerospace and equipment manufacturing industry grew by 19.7%, while information services investment increased by 32.7% [1][2] - The export of electromechanical and high-tech products is expanding, with electromechanical products accounting for 60.7% of total exports from January to October [2] Group 3 - The trend of industrial upgrading is evident, with advanced manufacturing and modern service industries increasing their share. From January to October, the added value of large-scale equipment manufacturing grew by 9.5%, contributing 58.7% to the growth of large-scale industrial added value [2] - The development of emerging industries is strengthening, with digital economy and green low-carbon transformation advancing. From January to October, the added value of the digital industry manufacturing sector grew by 9.5% [3] - The future outlook indicates that new production capacity and high-quality economic development trends are positive, with a focus on promoting high-quality development and integrating technological and industrial innovation [3]