在低利率与"资产荒"交织的宏观背景下，银行理财市场正经历收益来源重塑与产品结构转型的关键阶 段。当传统固收类资产收益空间不断收窄，理财行业将如何开辟新的发展路径？投资者该怎样调整配置 策略以应对市场变化？ 与此同时，随着居民养老投资需求不断升温，养老理财试点扩围后如何突破发展瓶颈？年内频现的"费 率战"又映射出怎样的竞争逻辑与行业转向？ 围绕这些市场关注的热点问题，《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称NBD）近日专访了西南财经大学信 托与理财研究所所长、普益标准专业委员会主任翟立宏。 理财产品收益来源重塑 NBD：当前，低利率环境及"资产荒"给理财市场的资产配置带来挑战。如何看待这一宏观背景对理财收 益率的长期影响？银行理财的产品结构可能会发生哪些变化？ 翟立宏：低利率和"资产荒"的宏观背景正在重塑理财产品的收益来源，长期看，对银行理财业来说既是 挑战，也是机遇。 一方面，传统固收类产品收益明显受限，债市利率下行持续挤压票息收益空间，存款利率下行和非银同 业存款利率管控导致配置存款收益承压。此外，在化债背景下，非标资产收益率也面临压降；另一方 面，增配权益类资产将成为行业提升产品收益弹性的主要探索方向，多资产、多策 ...

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者卢梦雪 北京报道 11月末，银行理财规模站上34.0万亿元的历史高峰，较上年末增加4.0万亿元。从2022年末"赎回潮"后的 27.65万亿元，到如今不断突破新高，市场用三年时间完成了一场深刻的压力测试与信心重建。 然而，与规模持续扩容形成鲜明反差的是，理财产品的收益能力正在持续承压：年内，银行理财为投资 者创造的收益逐季递减，理财产品平均年化收益率较2024年显著回落。 当低利率成为常态，在"资产荒"与市场高波动交织的复杂局面下，2025年的银行理财行业，正被迫走出 以债券为主的传统"舒适区"，开启一场围绕投资逻辑与资产配置结构的全面重构。 告别单一路径 普益标准数据显示，2025年上半年理财产品平均年化收益率为2.12%，较2024年的2.65%显著回落；到 三季度，银行理财市场到期封闭式和开放式固收类产品平均年化收益率分别为2.73%和2.54%，呈现普 降态势，且均未达到其平均业绩比较基准。受此影响，银行理财为投资者创造的收益正逐季递减：一季 度收益规模尚有2060亿元，二季度降至1836亿元，三季度进一步下滑至1792亿元，环比下降3.81%。 收益下行 ...

【导读】可投基金的"固收+"产品崛起，行业呼吁放宽投资比例 伴随着"固收+"市场大发展，可以10%比例投资基金的非FOF产品也快速发展。截至今年三季度末，非 FOF产品投资公募基金的市值已超过34亿元，同比增长381.81%。部分产品的投资比例甚至超过股票， 在"固收+"产品权益增强上发挥了不小的作用。 业内人士认为，在支持含权产品大发展的背景下，可适当放宽非FOF产品投资公募基金的比例上限，更 好地满足投资者的配置需求，进一步推动"固收+"市场发展。 在这类产品已获得初步发展，且市场鼓励含权产品发展的大背景下，业内对放宽其投资基金比例的呼声 日益高涨，不少观点建议将比例上限从10%提升至15%—20%。 可投基金的非FOF产品 悄然增长 2021年10月11日，中欧基金旗下中欧招益稳健一年持有期混合获批。这只产品开创了一个新的基金品类 ——可投资基金的非FOF产品。根据规定，这类产品可以不高于10%的比例投资公募基金。过去几年， 伴随着"固收+"市场大发展，这类创新产品无论是数量还是持仓规模均获得显著增长。 数据显示，截至今年三季度末，共有48只非FOF产品投资公募基金，合计持有公募基金市值达到34.18 ...

Core Viewpoint - In a continuously declining interest rate environment, traditional fixed-income assets are providing diminishing coupon yields, making it increasingly difficult for investors to achieve returns. The core proposition of wealth management has shifted towards achieving stable asset appreciation, which is addressed by Yongying Fund through systematic multi-asset and multi-strategy layouts, particularly in the "fixed income enhancement" direction [1]. Group 1: Response to Low Interest Rate Environment - Yongying Fund's absolute return investment department general manager Liu Xingyu emphasizes that when interest rates remain low for an extended period, relying solely on bond assets to meet return targets is inadequate. Expanding into multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches is a necessary choice [3]. - Liu proposes a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" core solution, which involves diversifying asset classes (such as bonds, stocks, convertible bonds, gold, and overseas equities) to effectively broaden the investment portfolio's efficient frontier and optimize the risk-return ratio [3]. - Liu outlines seven specific paths to pursue absolute returns, highlighting the importance of identifying and enhancing long-term high Sharpe ratio assets, actively managing to achieve returns that exceed benchmarks [3]. Group 2: Deep Collaboration Between Stocks and Bonds - Yongying Fund's fixed income investment department general manager Wu Wei notes that the scale of fixed income enhancement products has returned to historical highs, with low to medium volatility being the core variety. Data shows that low to medium volatility strategies often better reflect the "synergistic effect of stocks and bonds" [5]. - The innovative "deep collaboration between stocks and bonds" operational model allows fixed income to play three core roles: liquidity management, providing basic coupon income, and assisting equity in enhancing returns and controlling drawdowns [5]. - Wu believes that under this model, fixed income managers will elevate their perspective from a single bond market to the overall product, focusing on comprehensive evaluations of the relationship between stocks and bonds to manage overall drawdown [5]. Group 3: Product Matrix and Performance - Yongying Fund has established a clear product matrix for fixed income enhancement, with a full range of low, medium, and high volatility layouts. For instance, the Yongying Xinxin A product achieved a return of 21.61% over the past two years, significantly outperforming the peer average of 11.93% [6]. - The Yongying Multi-Asset and Multi-Strategy product has a maximum drawdown of only -0.71%, better than the peer average of -1.39% [6]. Group 4: Systematic Research and Support - Effective execution of strategies relies on a robust systematic research and investment platform. Yongying Fund has developed five systems that span front, middle, and back offices, aiming to scientifically identify market cycle positions and capture various asset return opportunities [10]. - The Qianxing fixed income research system utilizes big data and AI technologies to construct intelligent rating, risk warning, and bond strategy modules, enhancing bond investment capabilities [10]. Group 5: Market Outlook - Looking ahead, Liu anticipates that global liquidity easing and fiscal expansion will likely continue, with U.S. tech stocks, U.S. Treasuries, and gold being noteworthy assets. The A-share market is expected to shift from valuation-driven to profit-driven, with improving corporate earnings as a key support [12]. - Wu provides a practical perspective on the bond market, suggesting that the monetary policy is likely to remain accommodative, with interest rate bonds expected to oscillate within a "low interest rate + high volatility" range, presenting trading opportunities [12].

Core Insights - Listed companies are increasingly favoring private equity funds that include rights-related products, with a total subscription amount exceeding 800 million yuan this year [1][2] - The performance of private equity products has been strong, leading to heightened interest from both listed companies and individual investors in rights-related products [3][4] - The market is witnessing a structural opportunity as the Shanghai Composite Index surpasses 4000 points, prompting a reallocation of assets towards equity investments [4][5] Group 1: Investment Trends - As of November 12, 10 listed companies have disclosed investments in private equity securities funds, with a total subscription amount of 818 million yuan [2] - Companies such as HeShun Petroleum and Yongji Co. have actively invested in private equity funds, indicating a trend among listed firms to utilize idle funds for securities investment [2] - The majority of these investments are in subjective stock strategy private equity products, with notable examples including Yuanfeng Yuli No. 1 and Shanzha Tree Zhenzhu No. 5 [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The number of newly registered private equity securities funds reached 994 in October, a 205.85% increase from the previous year, with stock strategy products dominating the market [3] - The shift towards equity assets is driven by a decline in risk-free returns, making traditional fixed-income products less appealing to investors [4] - Private equity firms are optimistic about future market performance, supported by signs of economic stabilization and policy support [5][6] Group 3: Fundraising and Performance - Many private equity firms have successfully raised over 10 billion yuan this year, particularly in small-cap index enhancement and quantitative stock selection strategies [3] - The current market risk premium is at a historical median level, with equity asset valuations remaining reasonable, indicating potential for upward movement [6] - High levels of investment from large private equity firms, with many maintaining over 70% of their positions, reflect a positive outlook for the market [6]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes a dynamic balance strategy that considers both win rates and odds, achieving an annualized absolute return of 18.00% and a relative return of 12.00% from January 2015 to October 2025 [2][18] - Recommended industries for November 2025 include non-ferrous metals, electric equipment and new energy, communication, computer, machinery, and electronics [2][18] - The dynamic balance strategy outperformed the benchmark in October 2025 with an absolute return of 1.66% and an excess return of 0.27% [40] Group 2 - The macro-driven strategy has achieved an excess annualized return of 4.87% and a maximum drawdown of 9.51% from January 2016 to October 2025 [3][17] - Recommended industries for November 2025 under the macro-driven strategy include food and beverage, electric equipment and new energy, automotive, basic chemicals, consumer services, and machinery [3][17] - The macro-driven strategy recorded an absolute return of 25.46% since the beginning of 2025, ranking 57.50% among active equity funds [3][17] Group 3 - The multi-strategy approach has generated an annualized relative return of 6.57% since May 2011, with a maximum drawdown of 13.03% [4][23] - Recommended industries for November 2025 under the multi-strategy approach include textiles and apparel, communication, pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, electronics, non-bank financials, real estate, banking, and construction [4][23] - The multi-strategy recorded an absolute return of 16.27% since the beginning of 2025, ranking 76.50% among active equity funds [4][23] Group 4 - The report indicates that the October 2025 market saw a decline in the overall A-share market, with the CSI 300 index returning -0.001% and the ChiNext index returning -1.56% [11][12] - Among the sectors, coal, oil and petrochemicals, non-ferrous metals, and electric utilities were the top performers, while media, automotive, electronics, real estate, and defense industries lagged [12][13] Group 5 - The report highlights the importance of tracking industry crowding indicators, with multiple crowding alerts triggered in the oil and petrochemical, coal, and non-ferrous metals sectors in October [5][53] - The crowding indicators are based on four quantitative factors to assess the risk of future asset pullbacks in various industries [51][53]

Core Insights - The era of "beta-driven" investment is over, and the asset management industry is shifting towards multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches as a new paradigm for asset allocation [4][5] Industry Trends - The asset management industry is entering a phase of comprehensive competition and cooperation, with bank wealth management, public funds, and insurance asset management all exceeding 30 trillion yuan in assets under management (AUM), with wealth management reaching over 32 trillion yuan by the end of September [4] - The traditional asset allocation logic that supported growth is failing, leading to three main challenges: 1. In a "low interest rate, high volatility, and asset scarcity" environment, the consensus is shifting towards multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches [4] 2. The reallocation of household wealth presents growth opportunities, but wealth management is lagging behind insurance and public funds in terms of growth rates [4][5] 3. The "Net Value 3.0" era demands higher performance stability and consistency, requiring a shift from asset-driven models to strategy-driven models [5][6] Future Directions - The industry must develop a factory-like, industrialized management system that aligns with client risk-return needs, emphasizing professional division of labor, process control, and standardized output [5][6] - Key issues to address include: 1. Transforming "vague investment art" into "precise engineering blueprints" to enhance investment team capabilities and decision-making processes [6] 2. Upgrading from "workshop-style operations" to "standardized assembly line production" for precise process management [6][7] 3. Building a human-centered multi-strategy system to promote strategy upgrades and iterations, focusing on investment manager profiles and performance attribution analysis [7]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a dynamic balance strategy that considers both win rates and odds, achieving an annualized absolute return of 18.00% and a relative return of 12.08% from January 2015 to September 2025 [3] - The recommended industries for October 2025 include computer, electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, communication, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, and steel [3] - The macro-driven strategy has shown an annualized excess return of 4.88% from January 2016 to September 2025, with recommended industries including food and beverage, electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, consumer services, automotive, and oil and petrochemicals for October 2025 [4] - The multi-strategy approach has yielded an annualized relative return of 6.66% since May 2011, with October 2025 recommendations including real estate, construction, banking, pharmaceuticals, communication, non-bank financials, textiles and apparel, and media [5] Market Review - In September, the overall A-share market rose, with large-cap indices outperforming small-cap indices. The CSI 300 index had a return of 3.20%, while the ChiNext index saw a return of 12.04% [12][13] - The top-performing sectors in August included electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, electronics, real estate, and automotive, while the bottom sectors were banking, defense, non-bank financials, retail, and food and beverage [12] Strategy Performance - The dynamic balance strategy achieved an absolute return of 5.68% in September, outperforming the benchmark with an excess return of 4.64% [50] - The macro-driven strategy recorded an absolute return of 4.64% in September, with an excess return of 3.35% [20][29] - The multi-strategy approach had an absolute return of 0.17% in September, with an excess return of -0.73% [58] Industry Recommendations - The dynamic balance strategy recommends industries such as computer, electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, communication, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, and steel for October 2025 [46] - The macro-driven strategy suggests food and beverage, electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, consumer services, automotive, and oil and petrochemicals for October 2025 [20] - The multi-strategy approach highlights real estate, construction, banking, pharmaceuticals, communication, non-bank financials, textiles and apparel, and media for October 2025 [52][54] Industry Crowding Indicators - The report indicates moderate crowding signals in various industries, including coal, non-ferrous metals, electric equipment and new energy, and automotive, with multiple crowding triggers identified [67]

Core Viewpoint - Asset allocation is considered the only "free lunch" in investing, emphasizing the importance of effective diversification into negatively or lowly correlated assets while seeking higher certainty [1] Group 1: Investment Performance and Strategies - The performance of the 招银理财 products, such as the 嘉裕系列 and 智远系列, shows significant returns, with 嘉裕日开180天 achieving an 8.8% cumulative increase and an annualized return of 3.4% since its inception [2][3] - The investment team proactively adjusted strategies in response to market downturns, such as increasing gold allocations and reducing exposure to volatile equities, which helped recover losses quickly [4] - 招银理财 employs a multi-asset, multi-strategy approach, covering various asset classes including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, US stocks, domestic bonds, US Treasuries, gold, futures, and options [4] Group 2: Team Structure and Operations - The 固收团队 (fixed income team) has undergone structural adjustments, elevating departments to enhance collaboration and efficiency, managing approximately 600 billion in fixed income products [8] - The investment management process is supported by a proprietary multi-asset management system that facilitates real-time monitoring and compliance, enhancing operational efficiency [10] - The team emphasizes collaboration over individual star managers, with a focus on collective decision-making and shared research among team members [14][15] Group 3: Risk Management and Return Control - 招银理财's products are designed with an absolute return focus, prioritizing risk management and minimizing drawdowns, with specific strategies in place to control volatility and ensure stable returns [12][24] - The 嘉裕系列 employs a down-side volatility control model, which mandates forced reductions in positions when drawdowns exceed predetermined thresholds [24][25] - The investment strategy includes a mix of defensive and offensive tactics, with a focus on maintaining liquidity and adjusting positions based on market conditions [30][41] Group 4: Market Outlook and Future Strategies - The 固收团队 anticipates opportunities in both stock and bond markets amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, suggesting a balanced approach to investment strategies [53] - The focus will be on structural alpha extraction in equities while maintaining a stable yield strategy in bonds, adapting to market fluctuations [53]

Group 1 - The report focuses on the ICBC Credit Suisse Active Quantitative Investment Team, highlighting their strong performance and innovative strategies in the current market environment [2][12][13] - The team operates under a "multi-perspective, multi-asset, multi-factor, multi-strategy" approach, led by experienced quant expert Jiao Wenlong, which provides them with a significant competitive advantage [2][12][13] - The team has a well-structured organization with diverse backgrounds, allowing for effective collaboration across various asset classes and investment strategies [3][15][24] Group 2 - The team has developed the ARC Investment Navigation System, which emphasizes active management, mean reversion, and certainty in investment decisions, enhancing their ability to navigate macroeconomic cycles [5][24] - The product line is diverse, primarily focusing on fundamental quantitative and index-enhanced strategies, which together account for over 80% of their total assets under management [35][36] - The team has achieved notable performance metrics, with specific products like ICBC New Value and ICBC New Opportunities showing strong returns compared to their benchmarks [4][20][36] Group 3 - The quantitative research framework is comprehensive, utilizing a combination of traditional multi-factor models and advanced algorithms to enhance stock selection capabilities [25][26][30] - The integration of subjective and quantitative analysis allows the team to leverage deep industry insights while maintaining a robust quantitative approach [30][31] - The team has established a systematic platform for research and investment, facilitating efficient collaboration and strategy implementation across the organization [32][33]