智通财经APP获悉，广发证券发布研报称，股票和证券投资基金是2026年保险机构普遍看好的境内投资 资产。债券方面，今年保险机构更看好高等级产业债、银行永续债及二级资本债以及可转债。多数保险 机构对2026年A股市场持较乐观态度，多数机构计划小幅增配A股。中长期看，长端利率企稳叠加资本 市场上行驱动资产端改善，存量负债成本迎来拐点，报行合一优化渠道成本，上市险企中长期利费差趋 势有望改善。 广发证券主要观点如下： 境外投资方面 港股是2026年保险机构最看好的境外投资品种，同时黄金投资和美股投资也受到保险机构较多关注。半 数保险资产管理机构计划小幅增配港股，四成保险公司计划维持现有港股配置比例。 上市险企权益弹性持续提升，中长期利费差趋势有望改善 大类资产配置方面 股票和证券投资基金是2026年保险机构普遍看好的境内投资资产，部分机构意愿适度或微幅增加股票投 资，而银行存款和债券的配置比例预计与2025年保持持平。 债券市场方面 多数保险机构对2026年债券市场整体持中性态度，整体久期策略以基本维持现有不变为主。利率债方 面，预计10年期国债收益率将处于1.8%-1.9%区间，30年期国债收益率将集中在2.2% ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that insurance institutions are optimistic about domestic investments in stocks and securities investment funds for 2026, with a tendency to slightly increase stock investments [1] - Most insurance institutions plan to maintain their allocation ratios for bank deposits, bonds, securities investment funds, and other financial assets similar to 2025, with some intending to moderately increase stock investments [1] - In the bond market, insurance institutions hold a neutral outlook for 2026, favoring high-grade corporate bonds, perpetual bonds, subordinated debt, and convertible bonds, primarily focusing on bonds with maturities between 10 to 30 years [1] Group 2 - Regarding the A-share market, insurance institutions are generally optimistic for 2026, favoring indices such as the Sci-Tech Innovation 50, CSI 300, and ChiNext, and industries like electronics, non-ferrous metals, and pharmaceuticals [1] - The main factors influencing the A-share market are expected to be corporate profit recovery and liquidity conditions, with most insurance institutions planning to slightly increase their allocation to A-shares [1] - In terms of fund investments, insurance asset management institutions prefer equity funds, secondary bond funds, and mixed equity funds, with nearly half planning to slightly increase their allocation to public funds [2] Group 3 - For overseas investments, Hong Kong stocks are the most favored by insurance institutions for 2026, with gold and US stocks also receiving attention [2] - About half of the insurance asset management institutions plan to slightly increase their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, while 40% of insurance companies intend to maintain their current allocation levels [2]

——2026 年 1 月信用利差月报 作者 分析师 姚宇彤 2026 年 2 月 9 日 关注东方金诚公众号 获取更多研究报告 配置盘支撑下，1 月信用利差全线收窄 2026 年 1 月，债市整体偏强震荡：年初至中旬股市和商品市场表现强劲， 对债市形成压制；下旬，受获利盘出逃、融资保证金升高等因素影响，权益 市场情绪降温，加之公募基金费率新规正式稿温和落地，缓解债基赎回担忧， 以及央行结构性货币政策工具降息、配置型机构大力买入等因素支撑，债市 呈现修复行情。由于信用债相对利率债更具票息优势，银行、保险"开门红" 增加信用债配置需求，以及摊余债基集中开放期投资偏好转向信用债，1 月 信用债表现好于利率债，信用利差全线收窄。 核心观点 ·· 时间 东方金诚 研究发展部 部门执行总监 于丽峰 部门执行总监 冯琳 1 月，债券市场整体偏强震荡，在信用债相对利率债更具票息 优势，银行、保险"开门红"增加信用债配置需求，以及摊 余债基集中开放期投资偏好转向信用债等因素带动下，信用 债表现好于利率债，信用利差全线收窄。目前，短久期信用 债利差普遍已压缩至历史低位，中长久期部分品种仍有一定 的利差空间，且考虑到摊余债基开放对 ...

Key Points - The report indicates that there is still potential for credit spread compression, particularly in the context of different bond types and their excess spreads compared to similar maturity and rating bonds [1][3][35] - As of January 30, 2026, the excess spreads for 3Y AAA-rated bank subordinated bonds, perpetual bonds, and industrial bonds are 6.1BP, 6.6BP, and 11.0BP, respectively, which are at the 92%, 79%, and 44% percentiles since early 2025 [1][3][35] - The report suggests that the selection of bonds based on value for money ranks as follows: bank subordinated bonds > perpetual bonds > urban investment bonds > industrial bonds [1][35] Credit Strategy Review for January 2026 - The yield of bank subordinated bonds has significantly decreased, and the excess spreads remain high, indicating potential for further compression [3][6] - The report notes that the 3Y AA+ urban investment bond yield decreased by 9BP, with the yield at the end of January 2026 being 1.91% [11] - Factors contributing to the decline in credit bond yields include limited corporate financing demand, stable credit issuance, and a loose funding environment [11][14] Performance of Different Credit Strategies - In January 2026, the performance of various credit strategies ranked as follows: duration extension > barbell strategy > 3Y bullet strategy > short-end sinking [15] - The returns for the duration extension strategy for urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, bank subordinated bonds, and perpetual bonds were 0.65%, 0.85%, 0.76%, and 0.82%, respectively [15][18] - The report highlights that the short-end sinking strategy yielded returns of 0.16%-0.19% across different bond types, although its performance was generally average [17][18] Outlook for February 2026 - The report anticipates that the overall funding environment will remain tight, with a weak recovery in the fundamentals [35] - It is expected that the central bank's operations will lead to a decrease in funding rates, potentially resulting in a further decline in long-term bond yields by 5-10BP in Q1 2026 [35] - The report emphasizes that the credit spread compression trend is likely to continue, with a focus on the performance of various bond types [35]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of January 30, the weighted average transaction terms of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.26 years and 2.43 years respectively. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average transaction terms of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 4.00 years, 3.52 years, and 2.05 years respectively, with secondary capital bonds at a relatively high historical level. The durations of other financial bonds, such as securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds, were 1.70 years, 2.09 years, 3.26 years, and 1.44 years respectively. The overall duration of other financial bonds was slightly shorter than the previous week, and the historical quantile of the duration of leasing company bonds was at a relatively high historical level [2][9]. - The coupon duration congestion index has increased. After reaching its highest value in March 2024 and then declining, the index rose this week compared to last week and is currently at the 64% level since March 2021 [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 All - Variety Term Overview - The weighted average transaction terms of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.26 years and 2.43 years respectively. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average transaction terms of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 4.00 years, 3.52 years, and 2.05 years respectively. The durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.70 years, 2.09 years, 3.26 years, and 1.44 years respectively [2][9]. - The coupon duration congestion index increased this week compared to last week and is currently at the 64% level since March 2021 [11]. 3.2 Variety Microscope Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average transaction term of urban investment bonds hovered around 2.26 years. The duration of Shaanxi provincial - level urban investment bonds extended to 9.16 years, while the transaction duration of Hebei provincial - level urban investment bonds shortened to around 1.19 years. The historical quantiles of the durations of prefecture - level cities in Hunan, district - level counties in Jiangsu, and district - level counties in Beijing have exceeded 90%, and the duration of prefecture - level cities in Anhui is approaching the highest since 2021 [3][15]. Industrial Bonds - The weighted average transaction term of industrial bonds remained the same as last week, generally around 2.43 years. The transaction duration of the coal industry extended to 2.25 years, and the transaction duration of the public utilities industry shortened to 2.75 years. The transaction durations of the food and beverage and real estate industries are in the neutral historical quantile range, while those of the non - ferrous metals and pharmaceutical and biological industries are at relatively high historical quantiles [3][21]. Commercial Bank Bonds - The duration of general commercial financial bonds extended to 2.05 years, at the 53.3% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year. The duration of secondary capital bonds shortened to 4.00 years, at the 80.2% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year. The duration of bank perpetual bonds shortened to 3.52 years, at the 56.9% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [3][24]. Other Financial Bonds - In terms of the weighted average transaction term, insurance company bonds > securities subordinated bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at historical quantiles of 65.4%, 46.6%, 60.4%, and 86.9% respectively. The overall duration of other financial bonds was slightly shorter than last week [3][27].

Group 1 - The report highlights that the recent opening of amortized cost bond funds has led to a significant increase in credit bond allocations, with a total opening scale reaching 33 billion yuan, including 8.1 billion yuan for 2-year and 24.9 billion yuan for 5-year funds [1][9] - In the past two weeks, funds have significantly increased their allocation to credit bonds, with net purchases of 62.2 billion yuan from January 12 to January 16 and 105.9 billion yuan from January 19 to January 23, indicating a strong demand for 3-5 year credit bonds [1][9] - The report notes that the 3-5 year short-term bonds have shown outstanding performance, with yields declining by 3-7 basis points and spreads narrowing by 1-6 basis points, particularly highlighting the 4-year AA+ rated bonds which saw a yield drop of 7 basis points [2][10] Group 2 - The report anticipates continued demand for 3-5 year credit bonds in the upcoming weeks, with expected opening scales of 20.7 billion yuan and 22.8 billion yuan, although it cautions that the current spreads are at relatively low levels, limiting further compression [2][10] - The credit strategy suggests that the 4-year bonds have high convexity and should be closely monitored for their allocation value, especially as the amortized cost bond funds enter a concentrated opening period [3][36] - The report emphasizes that the overall sentiment in the bond market is improving, with credit bond yields generally declining and a notable performance in the 3-4 year segment, indicating a potential recovery in market conditions [17][32]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance rankings of public pure fixed-income products issued by wealth management companies, focusing on those with a maturity period of 2-3 years and established for over a year [4][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The bond market in 2025 experienced fluctuations with a continuous decline in interest rates. Many banks began issuing perpetual bonds to replace preferred shares to save on interest costs [5]. - By December 31, 2025, banks issued a record 71 perpetual bonds totaling 821.8 billion, with most new bonds having coupon rates between 2.0% and 3.0% [5]. - In 2025, 77 secondary capital bonds were issued, amounting to 934.67 billion, with an average coupon rate of 2.52%, down from 2.61% in 2024 [5]. Group 2: Product Performance - As of January 15, 2026, there were 980 public pure fixed-income products with a maturity of 2-3 years, of which 621 had disclosed annualized returns. The average weighted annualized return was 3.08%, with 131 products exceeding 3.5% [7]. - Seven wealth management companies made it to the ranking, with Xingyin Wealth Management having three products listed, while Minsheng Wealth Management had two, and others like Huaxia, Huizhou, Nanyin, Nongyin, and Xinyin each had one product [7]. Group 3: Highlighted Products - Huaxia Wealth Management's "Fixed Income Debt Type Closed-End Wealth Management Product 264" topped the list with a weighted annualized return exceeding 5%, achieving a return of 3.85% since inception. The product's investments include cash, bank deposits, interbank certificates, bonds, non-standard assets, and public funds, with a leverage level of 130.61% as of Q3 2025 [8]. - Xingyin Wealth Management's "Fengli Yuedong Stable Enjoyment Closed-End 12 Fixed Income Product" ranked second with a weighted annualized return of 4.92%. This product primarily invests in cash, bank deposits, and bonds, with over 40% of its top ten assets being secondary capital bonds issued between 2021 and 2022. Notably, its recent one-month annualized return reached 17.11%, surpassing all other products in the ranking [8].

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance rankings of public pure fixed-income products issued by wealth management companies, focusing on those with a minimum one-year establishment period and a 2-3 year investment horizon [4]. Market Performance - The bond market in 2025 experienced fluctuations with a downward trend in interest rates. Many banks began issuing perpetual bonds to replace preferred shares, aiming to reduce interest costs. By December 31, 2025, banks issued a record 71 perpetual bonds totaling 821.8 billion yuan, with most new bonds having coupon rates between 2.0% and 3.0% [5]. - The issuance of secondary capital bonds also expanded significantly, with 77 bonds issued in 2025, amounting to 934.67 billion yuan, and an average coupon rate of 2.52%, down from 2.61% in 2024 [5]. Product Overall Performance - As of January 15, 2026, there were 980 public pure fixed-income products with a 2-3 year term and at least one year of establishment. Among 621 products with complete annualized yield disclosures, the average weighted annualized yield was 3.08%, with 131 products exceeding 3.5% [6]. - Seven wealth management companies made it to the ranking list, with Xingyin Wealth Management featuring three products, while Minsheng Wealth Management had two, and Huaxia, Huizhou, Nanyin, Nongyin, and Xinyin Wealth Management each had one product listed [6]. Highlighted Product Analysis - Huaxia Wealth Management's "Fixed Income Debt Rights Closed-End Wealth Management Product 264H" topped the list with a weighted annualized yield exceeding 5%, achieving a historical annualized yield of 3.85%. The product's investment targets include cash, bank deposits, interbank certificates, bonds, non-standard assets (trust plans), and public funds, with a leverage level of 130.61% as of Q3 2025 [7]. - Xingyin Wealth Management's "Fengli Yuedong Stable Enjoyment Closed-End Product 12" ranked second with a weighted annualized yield of 4.92%. This product primarily invests in cash, bank deposits, and bonds, with over 40% of its top ten assets being secondary capital bonds issued between 2021 and 2022. Notably, its recent one-month annualized yield reached 17.11%, surpassing all other products in the ranking [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The duration of niche financial bonds has generally increased. As of January 16, the weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.10 years and 2.22 years respectively. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading durations of Tier 2 capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 3.92 years, 3.62 years, and 1.86 years respectively. The duration of general commercial financial bonds was at a relatively low historical level, while that of Tier 2 capital bonds was at a relatively high historical level. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.76 years, 2.41 years, 3.94 years, and 1.27 years respectively, all slightly longer than the previous week. The historical quantile of the duration of insurance company bonds was at a relatively high level [9]. - The ticket duration congestion index has decreased. After reaching its peak in March 2024, the index has declined. This week, it decreased compared to last week and is currently at the 36.6% level since March 2021 [12]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Full - Variety Term Overview - The weighted average trading durations of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.10 years and 2.22 years respectively. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading durations of Tier 2 capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 3.92 years, 3.62 years, and 1.86 years respectively. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.76 years, 2.41 years, 3.94 years, and 1.27 years respectively, all slightly longer than the previous week [9]. 3.2 Variety Microscope 3.2.1 Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average trading duration of urban investment bonds hovered around 2.26 years. The duration of urban investment bonds in prefecture - level cities in Guangdong extended to 4.09 years, while that of provincial - level urban investment bonds in Shandong shortened to around 1.09 years. The historical quantiles of the durations of urban investment bonds in prefecture - level cities in Guangdong, district - level in Beijing, and prefecture - level in Hunan exceeded 90%, and the duration of urban investment bonds in prefecture - level cities in Anhui approached the highest level since 2021 [16]. 3.2.2 Industrial Bonds - The weighted average trading duration of industrial bonds shortened compared to the previous week, generally around 1.86 years. The trading duration of the food and beverage industry extended to 1.66 years, while that of the steel industry shortened to 1.52 years. The trading duration of the real estate industry was at a relatively low historical quantile, while those of the building materials, food and beverage, and pharmaceutical biology industries were at relatively high historical quantiles [21]. 3.2.3 Commercial Bank Bonds - The duration of general commercial financial bonds shortened to 1.86 years, at the 25.4% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year. The duration of Tier 2 capital bonds shortened to 3.92 years, at the 73.3% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year. The duration of bank perpetual bonds extended to 3.62 years, at the 60.1% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [23]. 3.2.4 Other Financial Bonds - In terms of the weighted average trading duration, insurance company bonds > securities sub - bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at the 91.8%, 67.3%, 67.7%, and 70.1% historical quantiles respectively. The durations of all of them increased compared to the previous week [26].

Group 1: Credit Strategy - The report emphasizes a focus on high convexity coupon products across different maturities, suggesting a strategic allocation from short to long durations [11][19] - The credit bond market has seen a general decline in yields, with a divergence in credit spreads, indicating a mixed performance among different bond types [11][6] - The current market conditions present an important window for coupon allocation, particularly in the 3.5-4y, 5.5-6y, and 7.5-8y segments [19][32] Group 2: Market Overview - The yield for 1-year short-term bonds is currently in the range of 1.70%-1.80%, which is approximately 7-9 basis points higher than similar maturity certificates of deposit, indicating a favorable comparison [25][30] - For 2-3 year bonds, the yields are between 1.80%-2.15%, with spreads expected to remain low, making them attractive for investment [26][30] - The 4-5 year bonds show high convexity, with a focus on the value of public bonds, as their spreads have widened slightly, improving their relative value [29][32] Group 3: Policy and Events - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines for government investment funds, marking a systematic approach to fund allocation and investment focus [4] - Regulatory bodies are facilitating loan extensions for real estate companies, which is expected to improve their cash flow and market expectations [4] - Vanke has proposed multiple debt restructuring plans, indicating proactive measures to reach consensus with creditors [4]