Group 1: Report's Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - In early 2026, the market sentiment has significantly warmed up, and the market has risen strongly. However, the risk - return ratio of chasing the rising market may not be high. Thematic investment remains popular, and funds from previously over - heated themes are expected to shift to other thematic sectors [1][7]. - The technology main line is still the market consensus. Funds are likely to flow into sectors such as semiconductor computing power and robotics within the technology sector, while lithium battery, non - ferrous metals, power grid, chemical, and innovative drugs are important supplementary sectors for the market [2][22]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Which theme ETFs are expected to be the direction of capital return? - **Market situation**: In early 2026, the market has risen strongly, with commercial aerospace, AI applications, and non - ferrous metals becoming the focus. But there are signs of the market correcting irrational behaviors under regulatory guidance, and the risk - return ratio of chasing the rising market may be low. Thematic investment is still very popular. As of January 19, 2026, the cumulative net capital inflow of thematic index ETFs in the past five days exceeded 42.254 billion yuan, while industry index ETFs only had a net inflow of 9.763 billion yuan, and broad - based index ETFs showed a large net outflow [1][7]. - **Analysis from the perspective of rise and valuation**: Technological industries generally have high rises, while traditional cyclical industries such as liquor, coal, and breeding have relatively low rises. New energy sectors like lithium battery, photovoltaic, and new - energy vehicles, as well as the chemical industry, have risen but still have room to reach previous highs. From the valuation dimension, the current valuations of the game, intelligent driving, lithium battery, and breeding sectors are low [8]. - **Analysis using the quadrant chart**: - **First quadrant (high rise and high congestion)**: Mainly includes commercial aerospace, communication, AI, and non - ferrous metals. Non - ferrous metals (such as copper) and AI have relatively moderate congestion, and relevant sectors are still worthy of attention [2][17]. - **Second quadrant (high rise and low congestion)**: There are relatively few relevant industries, mainly semiconductor equipment (including related industrial chains such as storage) and lithium battery. The sector sentiment is not over - heated, and the industrial supply - demand pattern is optimized, so they are still worthy of attention [2][17]. - **Third quadrant (low rise and low congestion)**: Sectors such as innovative drugs, chemicals, and games have both industrial logic and market capacity, with large potential for a supplementary rise. For example, since 2026, the chemical ETF has re - entered the state of net inflow [2][17]. - **Fourth quadrant (low rise and high congestion)**: Includes robotics, power grid equipment, consumer electronics, and software. Power grid equipment has received renewed attention due to the unexpected increase in the 14th Five - Year Plan expenditure, and robotics has also been favored by the market because Tesla's third - generation robot has entered the scheme confirmation stage [2][21]. - **Specific ETF selection**: For ETFs tracking the same index, products with larger scale, relatively lower fees, and smaller tracking errors are selected. Specific ETF lists are provided in the report [22].

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market experienced significant net outflows, exceeding 400 billion yuan on January 19, marking the third consecutive day of substantial outflows, totaling over 1.9 trillion yuan in the past three trading days [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market continued its volatile trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% to 4114.00 points, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 0.05% [2]. - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets decreased to 2.73 trillion yuan, with weaker performance from large-cap stocks and stronger performance from growth-style sectors [2]. Group 2: ETF Fund Flows - The total scale of all stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 4.61 trillion yuan, with a net outflow of 418.23 billion yuan on January 19 [2]. - Industry and commodity ETFs saw net inflows of 155.04 billion yuan and 22.44 billion yuan, respectively, while broad-based ETFs experienced net outflows of 586.07 billion yuan, leading to a decrease in their scale by 694.95 billion yuan [4]. Group 3: Specific ETF Performance - The top net inflows were observed in industry ETFs, with the Huaxia Electric Grid Equipment ETF leading at over 25 billion yuan, followed by the Penghua Chemical ETF with over 11 billion yuan [6]. - Four major CSI 300 ETFs collectively saw net outflows exceeding 300 billion yuan, with the Southern CSI 1000 ETF experiencing over 50 billion yuan in outflows [5][6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Outlook - Analysts noted that the recent net outflows from broad-based ETFs have contributed to a cooling effect on the previously hot market, aiding in the stable operation of the A-share market [7]. - The market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, with potential support from funds adjusting their positions, while long-term sentiment remains optimistic [7].

Core Viewpoint - On January 16, the A-share market experienced a decline, with a net outflow of over 85.5 billion yuan from the stock ETF market, indicating a continued trend of capital withdrawal [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major indices in the A-share market closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.18%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.2% [3]. - The semiconductor industry chain saw significant gains, particularly in advanced packaging and memory sectors, while the cultural media and short drama gaming sectors experienced adjustments [3]. Group 2: ETF Fund Flows - As of January 16, the total scale of 1,308 stock ETFs in the market was approximately 4.9 trillion yuan, with a reduction of 15.365 billion units in fund shares, leading to a net outflow of 85.505 billion yuan [3][4]. - Industry-themed ETFs and strategy-style ETFs saw substantial inflows, amounting to 19.118 billion yuan and 1.768 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The ETF tracking the semiconductor materials and equipment index had the highest single-day net inflow of 2.995 billion yuan [4]. Group 3: Notable Inflows - A total of 57 ETFs had net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan on January 16, with the top three being the non-ferrous metals ETF, semiconductor equipment ETF, and electric grid equipment ETF, which saw net inflows of 1.811 billion yuan, 1.785 billion yuan, and 1.562 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Leading fund companies continued to attract net inflows, with E Fund's semiconductor equipment ETF and artificial intelligence ETF each receiving over 600 million yuan [4]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The broad-based ETFs experienced the largest net outflow, totaling 106.907 billion yuan, with the CSI 300 index products seeing a net outflow of 58.007 billion yuan [6]. - Market analysts expect a "spring offensive" driven by ample liquidity and improved risk appetite, particularly as 2026 marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [6].

Core Insights - On January 13, the A-share market experienced adjustments, but stock ETFs saw a significant net inflow of 146.46 billion yuan, indicating a reverse trend in funding during market fluctuations [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The total scale of 1,301 stock ETFs in the market reached 5.06 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of 146.46 billion yuan on January 13 [2] - Industry-themed ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs attracted the most funds, with net inflows of 175.86 billion yuan and 33.68 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The media sector saw the most significant net inflow, with 45.35 billion yuan on January 13, and over 79 billion yuan in the past five days [2] - The satellite industry also experienced notable inflows of 37.8 billion yuan, with a single product, the Yongying Fund's satellite ETF, seeing a net inflow of 18.86 billion yuan [2] - Other sectors like artificial intelligence, computing, and non-ferrous metals also had substantial inflows, with net inflows of 37.6 billion yuan, 32.6 billion yuan, and 22.4 billion yuan, respectively [2] Group 2: Institutional Insights - The manager of the Rongtong Internet Media Fund anticipates that by 2026, the AI narrative will shift towards commercialization, with the AI application market expected to grow from hundreds of billions to trillions of yuan [3] - EasyOne Fund's AI ETF saw a net inflow of over 7 billion yuan, while other ETFs like software and cloud computing also experienced significant inflows [3] - Huaxia Fund's ETFs, including the electric grid equipment ETF and the Sci-Tech 50 ETF, had notable net inflows of 7.95 billion yuan and 6.26 billion yuan, respectively [3] Group 3: Market Trends - The broad-based ETFs faced significant outflows, totaling 57.65 billion yuan, with the CSI 300 index leading the outflows at 24.7 billion yuan [4] - The market is expected to maintain a stable upward trend in 2026, supported by policy and industrial drivers, with a favorable macro environment anticipated in the first quarter [4] - EasyOne Fund's index investment department believes that the market's rhythm is likely to remain stable and positive in January, with a focus on core growth assets [5]

Core Viewpoint - On January 13, the A-share market experienced adjustments, but stock ETFs saw a significant net inflow of 14.646 billion yuan, indicating a reverse trend in capital flow amidst market fluctuations [2]. Group 1: ETF Inflows - The total scale of all stock ETFs in the market reached 5.06 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of 14.646 billion yuan on January 13 [4]. - Industry-themed ETFs and Hong Kong market ETFs attracted the most capital, with net inflows of 17.586 billion yuan and 3.368 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The media sector saw the most significant capital inflow, with a net inflow of 4.535 billion yuan on January 13, and over 7.9 billion yuan in the past five days [4]. - The satellite industry also experienced notable inflows of 3.78 billion yuan, with a single product, the Yongying Fund's satellite ETF, seeing a net inflow of 1.886 billion yuan [4]. - Other sectors such as artificial intelligence, computing, and non-ferrous metals also had substantial inflows, with net inflows of 3.76 billion yuan, 3.26 billion yuan, and 2.24 billion yuan, respectively [4]. Group 2: ETF Outflows - The broad-based ETFs faced significant outflows, totaling 5.765 billion yuan on the same day, with a decrease in scale of 34.343 billion yuan [9]. - The CSI 300 index saw the largest outflow at 2.47 billion yuan, followed by the CSI A500 index with 1.92 billion yuan, and the ChiNext index with 1.64 billion yuan [10]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Analysts expect a stable and positive market rhythm in January, with macro policies providing a solid foundation for economic recovery [12]. - The market is anticipated to maintain an upward trend in 2026, supported by a favorable macro environment and structural opportunities [11].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of low-cost investment tools, suggesting that by choosing these options, investors can retain more profits and benefit from compounding effects [1][2] - Legendary investors like John Bogle and Warren Buffett advocate for low-cost index funds, highlighting their long-term benefits [1] - Recent policy initiatives aim to reduce investor costs by encouraging the reduction of management and custody fees for large-scale index funds [1] Investment Tools - E Fund has been a leader in reducing ETF fees, with its CSI 300 ETF management fee dropping from 0.5% to 0.15% over the years, making it the lowest in the market [2] - As of December 31, 2025, over 370 ETFs in the market have a combined management and custody fee of 0.2% per year, with E Fund managing 62 of these products [2] - The article lists various E Fund ETFs, all with a management fee of 0.15% per year, including products tracking broad indices, industry themes, and style factors [3][5]