好 究 所 行业轮动 [F策略周报 (20250922-20250928) 证券研究报告·策略周报 证券分析师:张一 S0670524030001 010-83270999-97050 zhangyi@cnht.com.cn 2025年9月29日 证券分析师:李杜 S0670524040001 021-50800937 l idu@cnht. com. cn 策略说明: · 金融街证券研究所基于策略报告《行业轮动下的策略组合报告:基于行业风格延续和 切换视角下的定量分析》(20241007)和《股票型ETF市场概览与配置方法研究:以基 于行业轮动策略的ETF组合为例》(20241013),构建基于行业和主题ETF的策略组合。 策略更新: | 基金代码 | ETF 名称 | ETF市值 | 持有情况 | 重仓申万 行业 | | 周度择时信号 日度择时信号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (亿元) | | 及权重 | 参考 | 参考 | | 159227 | 航空航天ETF | 13.51 | 继续持有 | 航空装备 (58.23%) | 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of index investment in the context of deepening capital market reforms and optimizing investor structure, with the total market ETF scale exceeding 5 trillion yuan by early September this year [1] Group 1: Index Investment Growth - The ETF management scale of Yongying Fund has surpassed 19 billion yuan, launching several industry-first products such as gold stock ETF, general aviation ETF, satellite ETF, and Hong Kong medical ETF [1] - The company emphasizes that index investment requires a deep understanding of industry development trends and forward-looking layouts rather than mere product replication [1] Group 2: Differentiated Development Strategy - Yongying Fund has adopted a unique "cake-cutting" strategy since 2020, focusing on niche opportunities within large industries, such as concentrating on the medical device sector instead of the entire medical industry [2] - This differentiated approach stems from in-depth research on industry trends, aligning with government strategic directions like low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace [2] Group 3: Performance and Growth - The strategy of early positioning in promising but under-explored areas has shown initial success, with products like gold stock ETF and medical device ETF performing well, contributing to the ETF total scale growing nearly threefold from 4.7 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [3] - Specific product performance includes gold stock ETF exceeding 10 billion yuan in scale within two years, medical device ETF nearing 5 billion yuan, and both general aviation ETF and satellite ETF surpassing 1 billion yuan [3] Group 4: Product Matrix Expansion - Following the validation of its differentiated layout, Yongying Fund has accelerated the development of its product matrix, establishing 11 ETF products covering various sectors [4] - The company aims to create a comprehensive "product shelf" to provide suitable investment tools regardless of market conditions, with plans to expand into core sectors like consumption, manufacturing, technology, and finance [4] Group 5: Quantitative Investment Development - Yongying Fund is actively developing its quantitative investment sector, primarily focusing on index enhancement strategies across multiple indices [5] - The company plans to increase investment in active quantitative strategies, including fundamental quantitative, multi-factor quantitative, and machine learning approaches [5] Group 6: Risk Management and Future Outlook - Yongying Fund emphasizes that quantitative investment is a technology-driven model that requires continuous effort and cannot guarantee easy success [6] - The company has established a strict risk management system to proactively manage risks, ensuring a better investment experience for investors [6] - Future plans include further enhancing product layout and research capabilities to provide more high-quality tool-type products, aiming for a differentiated development path through continuous innovation and refined management [6]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of index investment in the capital market is highlighted, with the total market ETF scale exceeding 5 trillion yuan by early September 2023, driven by public fund institutions accelerating their layout and product innovation [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - Yongying Fund has surpassed 19 billion yuan in ETF management scale over six years, launching several industry-first products such as gold stock ETF, general aviation ETF, satellite ETF, and Hong Kong medical ETF [1][3] - The company adopted a "cake-cutting" strategy since 2020, focusing on niche opportunities within large industries, such as the medical device sector instead of the entire medical industry, which proved to be a successful choice [2][3] - The company emphasizes the importance of understanding industry trends and aligning with national strategies, as seen in their ETFs related to low-altitude economy and satellite communication [2] Group 2: Product Development - Yongying Fund has accelerated the establishment of its product matrix, launching 11 ETF products covering various sectors, including A500, Sci-Tech Innovation Index, and Hong Kong medical [4] - The company aims to create a comprehensive "product shelf" to provide suitable investment tools regardless of market conditions, with plans to expand into core sectors like consumption, manufacturing, technology, and finance [4] Group 3: Quantitative Investment - The company is actively developing its quantitative investment sector, focusing on index enhancement strategies across multiple indices, with plans to increase investment in active quantitative strategies [5] - Yongying Fund recognizes that quantitative investment is a technology-driven model that requires continuous effort and cannot guarantee easy success [6] - The company has established a robust risk management system to actively manage risks and enhance the investment experience for clients [6]

Core Insights - The rapid development of index investment in the capital market is highlighted, with the total market ETF scale exceeding 5 trillion yuan by early September this year, driven by public institutions accelerating their layout and product innovation [1] - Yongying Fund has achieved an ETF management scale of over 19 billion yuan, launching several industry-first products such as gold stock ETF, general aviation ETF, satellite ETF, and Hong Kong medical ETF [1][2] - The company emphasizes the importance of understanding industry development trends and making forward-looking arrangements rather than merely replicating products [1][2] Differentiated Development Strategy - Yongying Fund has adopted a unique "cake-cutting" strategy since 2020, focusing on niche opportunities within large industries, such as concentrating on the medical device sector instead of the entire healthcare industry [2][3] - This differentiated approach stems from in-depth research on industry trends, aligning with government strategic directions, such as low-altitude economy and satellite communication [2] Performance and Growth - The strategy has shown initial success, with products like gold stock ETF and medical device ETF performing well, contributing to the total ETF scale growing nearly threefold from 4.7 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to over 19 billion yuan [3] - Specific product achievements include the gold stock ETF surpassing 10 billion yuan in scale within two years, and the medical device ETF nearing 5 billion yuan, with general aviation and satellite ETFs also leading in their categories [3] Product Matrix Expansion - Following the validation of its differentiated strategy, Yongying Fund is accelerating the expansion of its product matrix, having established 11 ETF products covering various sectors [4] - The company aims to create a comprehensive "product shelf" to provide suitable investment tools regardless of market conditions, with plans to expand into core sectors such as consumption, manufacturing, technology, and finance [4] Quantitative Investment Development - Yongying Fund is actively developing its quantitative investment sector, focusing on index enhancement strategies across multiple indices [5] - The company plans to increase investment in active quantitative strategies, incorporating fundamental quantitative, multi-factor quantitative, and machine learning approaches [5][6] Risk Management and Future Outlook - A strong risk management framework is in place, with tools like the Mingjing risk management system to proactively manage risks and enhance expected return characteristics [6] - The company is committed to continuous innovation and refined management to carve out a differentiated development path in a competitive market [6]

Core Viewpoint - Yongying Fund has differentiated itself in the ETF market by innovating and exploring various index products, achieving a management scale of over 15 billion yuan as of September 4 this year [2] Group 1: Business Development - Yongying Fund's index business began with broad-based indices like the CSI 300 and ChiNext Index, and later focused on niche sectors such as medical devices, which was established during a significant market trend in the pharmaceutical sector in 2020 [3] - The company employs a "cake-cutting" strategy to identify potential sectors by focusing on government-recommended strategic directions, such as general aviation and satellite industries [3][4] - The company emphasizes a flat organizational structure that enhances cross-departmental collaboration, allowing for efficient idea generation and product development [4] Group 2: Product Expansion - In 2023, Yongying Fund significantly accelerated its index product offerings, launching seven new ETF products, including the Yongying CSI A500 ETF and the Yongying CSI Hong Kong Medical Theme ETF [5] - The company plans to continue enriching its product matrix across various sectors, including consumption, manufacturing, technology, and finance, while enhancing its infrastructure to adapt to different market conditions [5][6] Group 3: Investor Services and Quantitative Investment - Yongying Fund is committed to improving investor services by developing quantitative models that enhance decision-making capabilities, focusing on educational content related to gold and gold stocks [6] - The company is also expanding its quantitative investment strategies, incorporating fundamental quant, multi-factor quant, and machine learning techniques, supported by significant hardware resources [6][7] - The team aims to refine strategy systems to improve timing success rates and asset allocation effectiveness, ensuring that products align with investor risk-return preferences [7]

Core Insights - Yongying Fund has differentiated itself in the ETF market by innovatively developing a series of "first-of-its-kind" index products, including medical device ETFs, gold stock ETFs, general aviation ETFs, satellite ETFs, and Hong Kong medical ETFs, achieving an ETF management scale exceeding 15 billion yuan as of September 4 this year [1][3][5] Group 1: Business Strategy - The index business of Yongying Fund began with broad-based index products like the CSI 300 and ChiNext Index, and later focused on niche sectors such as medical devices, driven by significant market trends in the pharmaceutical sector [3][5] - The company employs a "cake-cutting" strategy to identify opportunities in mature sectors by exploring more attractive and potential sub-sectors [3][5] - Future plans include enhancing the product matrix while improving marketing support, personnel allocation, and investment services to strengthen overall business operations [1][7] Group 2: Product Development - Yongying Fund has accelerated its index product offerings this year, launching seven new ETF products, including the Yongying CSI A500 ETF and the Yongying Hong Kong Stock Medical Theme ETF [5][6] - The company aims to continue diversifying its product offerings across various sectors such as consumption, manufacturing, technology, cycles, finance, and military industry [5][6] Group 3: Infrastructure and Collaboration - The efficient collaboration mechanism within Yongying Fund, characterized by a flat organizational structure, facilitates high levels of cross-departmental communication and idea generation [4][5] - The company emphasizes the importance of infrastructure development to ensure the availability of suitable investment tools across different market conditions [6] Group 4: Quantitative Investment - Yongying Fund is also focusing on enhancing its quantitative investment business, with a primary emphasis on index enhancement strategies and plans to expand into active quantitative strategies [8] - The team is leveraging advanced technologies, including AI models, to improve strategy effectiveness and adapt to market conditions [8]

Core Insights - Yongying Fund has differentiated itself in the ETF market by innovatively developing a series of "first-of-its-kind" index products, including medical device ETFs, gold stock ETFs, general aviation ETFs, satellite ETFs, and Hong Kong medical ETFs, achieving an ETF management scale exceeding 15 billion yuan as of September 4 this year [1][4]. Group 1: Business Strategy - The index business of Yongying Fund began with broad-based indices like the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices, and in 2020, the company identified the medical device sector as a promising niche within the healthcare industry, establishing a strategy of "cutting the cake" to explore more attractive sub-sectors [2][3]. - The company focuses on aligning its product development with national policies and strategic directions, such as "new quality productivity," ensuring that its offerings support the real economy and government initiatives [2][3]. Group 2: Product Development - Yongying Fund has accelerated its index product offerings this year, launching seven new ETFs, including the Yongying CSI A500 ETF and the Yongying CSI Hong Kong Medical Theme ETF, with additional products in the pipeline [4][5]. - The company aims to enhance its product matrix across various sectors, including consumption, manufacturing, technology, cycles, finance, and military industry, while also improving its infrastructure to adapt to different market environments [5]. Group 3: Team and Culture - The organizational structure of Yongying Fund is relatively flat, promoting high efficiency in cross-departmental collaboration, which fosters a culture of innovation and proactive exploration of new opportunities [3][6]. - The team is described as young and imaginative, encouraging a collaborative environment where ideas can be shared and developed collectively, enhancing the overall effectiveness of product development [3][6]. Group 4: Quantitative Investment - In addition to its index business, Yongying Fund is also focusing on enhancing its quantitative investment strategies, with a current emphasis on index enhancement strategies covering various indices [5][6]. - The company is investing in advanced technologies, including AI and machine learning, to improve the effectiveness of its quantitative strategies, thereby enhancing decision-making capabilities for investors [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Yongying Fund has differentiated itself in the ETF market through innovative product development and strategic positioning, achieving an ETF management scale exceeding 15 billion yuan as of September 4, 2023 [1][3]. Group 1: Product Development and Strategy - The index business of Yongying Fund began with broad-based indices like the CSI 300 and ChiNext Index, later focusing on niche sectors such as medical devices, which was established during a significant market uptrend in the pharmaceutical sector in 2020 [1][2]. - The company aims to explore potential sectors by aligning with national policies on "new quality productivity," emphasizing the importance of serving the real economy and national strategies [2][3]. - Yongying Fund has accelerated its ETF product offerings this year, launching seven new ETFs, including the Yongying CSI A500 ETF and the Yongying Hong Kong Stock Medical Theme ETF, with additional products in the pipeline [3][4]. Group 2: Operational Efficiency and Team Dynamics - The company has a flat organizational structure that promotes high efficiency in cross-departmental collaboration, allowing for a dynamic exchange of ideas between the index and active equity teams [2][4]. - The team culture encourages innovation and exploration of new opportunities, which is crucial for the successful implementation of left-side layouts in potential industries [2][5]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Investor Services - Yongying Fund is focused on enhancing its infrastructure to ensure the availability of suitable investment tools across different market conditions, which is essential for capturing emerging opportunities [3][4]. - The company is also investing in investor education and decision-making tools, developing quantitative models to help investors understand the characteristics and investment logic of assets like gold and gold stocks [4][5]. Group 4: Quantitative Investment Focus - In addition to index products, Yongying Fund is intensifying its efforts in quantitative investment, primarily through index enhancement strategies covering various indices [5]. - The company is leveraging advanced technologies, including AI models, to improve strategy effectiveness in market analysis and asset allocation [5].

Core Viewpoint - Index funds have gained popularity among investors as a means to optimize asset allocation and diversify risk, with Yongying Fund adopting a dual-track strategy of "broad-based foundation + innovative breakthrough" to navigate the competitive landscape [1] Company Development - Yongying Fund's index business started relatively late, initially adopting a conservative defensive strategy and focusing on building a foundational framework and conducting extensive market research [2] - A strategic turning point occurred in 2020 when the company recognized the need to move beyond merely "following" the market and began to explore differentiated opportunities, particularly in the booming medical sector [2][3] - The decision to launch a medical device ETF was based on the recognition of the unique investment value in the medical device sector, which was less saturated compared to other areas in healthcare [3] Investment Strategy - The company embraces "left-side" opportunities, focusing on sectors aligned with clear national policy directions, such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace, which were highlighted in government reports [4] - Despite being a latecomer in the index product market, the company leverages the creativity and efficiency of its research team to pursue challenging yet promising investment opportunities [4] Recent Product Launches - In 2023, the company launched a gold stock ETF to fill a gap in the domestic market, which has seen a net value increase of over 68% year-to-date as of September 3, 2025 [5] - The company emphasizes the importance of research and risk control in index investment, countering the misconception that index investing requires no research [5] Future Directions - The company plans to enhance its product matrix by focusing on three dimensions: refining broad-based products, embracing Smart Beta opportunities, and implementing a "two-step" strategy for new productivity sectors [6] - The refinement of broad-based products will involve detailed operations to capture market opportunities, while Smart Beta products are expected to gain market share as the market shifts towards a more configuration-oriented approach [6] - The "two-step" strategy involves initially launching actively managed funds in emerging sectors before transitioning to index products as market conditions improve [6][7] - The company aims to continuously expand its product offerings to build a competitive and comprehensive product matrix [7]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment rating for sectors such as securities, communication equipment, and liquor [2]. Core Insights - The strategy report indicates a model recommendation for the week of September 1, 2025, to allocate investments in sectors including securities, communication equipment, and liquor, with additional holdings in various ETFs [2]. - The strategy has achieved a cumulative net return of approximately 6.58% during the period from August 25 to August 29, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 3.86% [2][11]. - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has recorded a cumulative return of approximately 23.53%, with an excess return of about 5.20% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2]. Summary by Sections Strategy Update - For the week of September 1, 2025, the model recommends adding holdings in the securities broker ETF, consumer 30 ETF, and defense ETF, while continuing to hold communication equipment ETF, satellite ETF, and battery ETF [2]. Performance Tracking - The strategy's cumulative net return from August 25 to August 29, 2025, is approximately 6.58%, with an excess return of about 3.86% over the CSI 300 ETF [2][11]. - The cumulative return since October 14, 2024, is approximately 23.53%, with an excess return of about 5.20% compared to the CSI 300 ETF [2].