中国经济的韧性，正成为美联储高压货币政策的最大挑战。这场全球金融角力中，美联储的鹰派策略，远未能如其所愿地"收割"中国。 曾经，国际贸易结算几乎必须以美元计价。如今，人民币跨境支付系统在发展中国家市场广泛应用。越南的太阳能电池板制造商用人民币采购中国光伏组 件，刚果的矿业公司也更倾向于使用人民币结算。美元在这些新兴市场的传统主导地位正受到前所未有的挑战。 这并非简单的固执。华尔街分析报告揭示了美联储的深层战略：通过延长高利率周期，制造美元流动性虹吸效应，迫使新兴市场，特别是中国，出现资本外 流，为美国金融机构创造抄底机会。这套"紧缩-动荡-抄底"的模式，曾在上世纪90年代末的亚洲金融风暴中奏效，成为美国转嫁经济危机的惯用手法。 然而，中国经济展现出了前所未有的韧性，令美联储的算盘落空。尽管人民币兑美元汇率出现阶段性调整，但中国拥有3万亿美元的外汇储备——这如同为 国民经济系上了一层坚固的"防冲击装甲"。 面对国际资本的短期流出，中国央行及时启动市场稳定机制，国家队资金迅速介入，有效化解了市场风险，避 免了类似新兴市场常见的恐慌性资本外逃。 去年A股市场就是一个典型的例子：面对境外投资者数十亿元的集中抛售，国家 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the financial technology sector, particularly the financial technology ETF, which has shown significant growth and investor interest [3][4][5] - As of July 8, 2025, the financial technology ETF has increased by 130.77% over the past year, ranking 2nd out of 2901 index stock funds, placing it in the top 0.07% [5] - The financial technology ETF's latest scale reached 1.101 billion yuan, marking a new high in nearly a year [4] Group 2 - The recent revision of the People's Bank of China's rules on the Renminbi cross-border payment system is expected to accelerate the application of stablecoins in cross-border payments, positively impacting related concept stocks [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index account for 51.2% of the index, indicating a concentrated investment in key players within the sector [6] - The financial technology ETF has experienced a net inflow of 1.61 billion yuan over the past five trading days, with an average daily net inflow of 32.28 million yuan [4]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View On July 4, the liquidity was abundant and loose. The yields of the bond market showed a divergent trend, with the medium - and short - end yields continuing to decline and the long - end yields rising slightly. The convertible bond market also showed divergence following the equity market, and most convertible bond issues declined. The 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies also showed a divergent trend [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: Minister of Finance Lan Fuan attended the 2025 BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, expressing China's willingness to deepen BRICS financial cooperation. The New Development Bank of BRICS approved Colombia and Uzbekistan as new members. The central bank solicited public opinions on the revised business rules of the RMB Cross - border Payment System. The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges revised the ETF risk management business guidelines, which will take effect on August 1, 2025 [3][4]. - **International News**: Elon Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party" on July 5, aiming to "avoid US bankruptcy" and indicating participation in the 2026 mid - term elections. This marked the breakdown of his political alliance with Trump [6]. - **Commodities**: On July 4, Brent crude oil futures for September delivery fell 0.72% to $68.30 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 2.24%. Spot gold rose 0.33% to $3337.15 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 1.92%. NYMEX natural gas prices fell 0.53% to $3.387 per ounce [7]. 3.2 Liquidity - **Open Market Operations**: On July 4, the central bank conducted 34 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate of 1.40%. With 525.9 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 491.9 billion yuan [9][10]. - **Funding Rates**: On July 4, the liquidity was abundant and loose, and major repurchase rates continued to decline. DR001 dropped 0.10bp to 1.314%, and DR007 dropped 4.52bp to 1.422%. Various inter - bank lending and repurchase rates also showed downward trends [11][12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Rate Bonds**: - **Yield Trends**: On July 4, the trends of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds diverged. The medium - and short - end yields continued to decline due to loose liquidity, while the long - end yields rose slightly due to the stock - bond seesaw effect. For example, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose 0.15bp to 1.6410% [14]. - **Bond Tenders**: Information on the tendering of several bonds such as 25进出清发02, 25附息国债07(续2), and 25附息国债11(续2) was provided, including issuance scale, winning yields, and multiples [16]. - **Credit Bonds**: - **Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 4, the transaction prices of two industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%, with "H1碧地01" falling more than 66% and "H0中骏02" falling more than 19% [16]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Companies such as Sunac China, Fantasia Holdings, Vanke, and Yida China announced matters related to share issuance, debt restructuring, guarantee balances, and loan defaults [17]. - **Convertible Bonds**: - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices**: On July 4, the three major A - share indices showed different trends, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.32%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling 0.25% and 0.36% respectively. The convertible bond market also showed divergence, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index and Shanghai Convertible Bond Index rising 0.15% and 0.24% respectively, and the Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index falling 0.01%. Most convertible bond issues declined [18]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: Some convertible bonds such as Jingao Convertible Bond proposed to lower the conversion price, and some such as Jingduan Convertible Bond announced early redemptions [24]. - **Overseas Bond Markets**: - **US Bond Market**: The US bond market was closed on July 4 due to the Independence Day holiday [21]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 4, the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies showed a divergent trend. Germany's 10 - year government bond yield dropped 1bp to 2.57%, France's rose 1bp, and those of Italy and the UK remained unchanged, while Spain's dropped 1bp [22]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - Issued US - Dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of some Chinese - issued US - dollar bonds as of July 4 were provided, including information on credit entities, bond codes, bond balances, and yields [25].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining market stability as a primary regulatory task, highlighting the need for a balanced approach between efficiency and fairness in capital market operations [8][9]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) held a meeting on July 2, 2025, stressing the need for a stable market environment and the implementation of mechanisms to prevent risks in areas such as bond defaults and private equity funds [8]. - The CSRC aims to optimize capital market mechanisms, including stock and bond financing and mergers and acquisitions, to support technological and industrial innovation [8][9]. Group 2: Cross-Border Payment System - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) released a draft for public consultation regarding the rules for the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System, indicating a move to adapt to the evolving needs of cross-border payment systems [6][7]. Group 3: Quantitative Trading Regulations - New regulations for quantitative trading came into effect on July 7, 2025, tightening the supervision of high-frequency trading, which could lead to increased costs and a shift in trading strategies [12]. - The new rules may result in a short-term decrease in market liquidity, with daily trading volumes potentially dropping by approximately 100 billion yuan due to high-frequency trading accounting for 20%-30% of A-share trading [12]. Group 4: Hong Kong IPO Market - In the first half of 2025, Hong Kong's IPO market raised over 107 billion HKD, ranking first globally, with a 22% increase compared to the previous year [13]. - The rise in IPOs reflects Hong Kong's strengthened position as an international financial center, driven by regulatory innovations and improved market conditions [13].

Market Overview - On July 7, A-shares saw a decline across all three major indices, with total trading volume at 1.23 trillion yuan, a decrease of 227.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The market focus shifted towards sectors such as electricity, cross-border payments, stablecoins, and digital currencies, while pharmaceuticals, CROs, innovative drugs, and biological products experienced significant declines [1] Stock Performance - A total of 67 stocks hit the daily limit up, with 12 stocks achieving consecutive limit ups, and 10 stocks failed to maintain their limit up status, resulting in a limit up rate of 87% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [3] - Key stocks included: - Huayin Electric: 5 consecutive limit ups, driven by mid-year report pre-increase and new energy installations [4] - Changcheng Electric: 6 consecutive limit ups, focusing on nuclear power and electrical products [4] - Jinyi Culture: 7 consecutive limit ups, linked to digital RMB and AI models [4] Top Gainers and Losers - Notable gainers included: - Qingdao King: +9.99%, with a trading volume of 169.71 million shares and a turnover of 15.33 billion yuan, attracting institutional net buying of 944.943 million yuan [21] - Xinling Electric: +20.00%, with a trading volume of 4.88 million shares [24] - Significant losers included: - Liugang Co.: -7.95%, with a trading volume of 235.86 million shares and institutional net selling of 1 billion yuan [21] - Xiangxin Technology: -8.32%, with a trading volume of 20.58 million shares [21] Institutional Activity - The top three net buying stocks by institutions were: - Qingdao King: 1.95 billion yuan [6] - Jingbeifang: 1.61 billion yuan [6] - Rongfa Nuclear Power: 1.35 billion yuan [6] - The top three net selling stocks were: - Liugang Co.: 751.583 million yuan [7] - Xiangxin Technology: 659.155 million yuan [7] - Longyang Electronics: 501.416 million yuan [7] Sector Highlights - Qingdao King is positioned in the cross-border payment sector, benefiting from the People's Bank of China's new rules on the CIPS system, with a projected 41.43% increase in overseas revenue for 2024 [10] - Jingbeifang focuses on digital currency and stablecoin concepts, with significant involvement in blockchain and AI technologies [13] - Rongfa Nuclear Power is a key supplier in the nuclear power sector, recently winning a contract worth 189.24 million yuan for a major project [16]

Domestic News - The Minister of Finance, Lan Fan'an, attended the 2025 BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, emphasizing China's commitment to deepen financial cooperation among BRICS nations and support the development of the New Development Bank [2] - The People's Bank of China released a draft for public consultation regarding the rules for the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), aiming to optimize its functions and services [2] Market Dynamics - On July 4, the interbank market showed a mixed trend in major interest rate bonds, with short- to medium-term bonds continuing to decline due to ample liquidity, while long-term bonds experienced a slight increase [9][10] - The yield on the 10-year government bond rose by 0.15 basis points to 1.6410%, while the 10-year policy bank bond yield also increased by 0.15 basis points to 1.7175% [9][10] Credit Bonds - On July 4, two industrial bonds experienced significant price deviations, with "H1碧地01" dropping over 66% and "H0中骏02" declining over 19% [11] - Sunac China announced plans to issue 754 million shares to raise approximately 5.6 billion yuan to repay domestic bonds [11] Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market showed divergence, with the China Securities Index for convertible bonds rising by 0.15% and the Shenzhen index declining by 0.01% on July 4 [14] - The trading volume in the convertible bond market reached 82.835 billion yuan, an increase of 15.047 billion yuan from the previous trading day [14] - Notable performers included the newly listed electric chemical convertible bond, which hit the upper limit, and the Anke convertible bond, which rose over 36% [14][15] International Market - The yield on 10-year government bonds in major European economies showed mixed trends, with Germany's yield decreasing by 1 basis point to 2.57% while France's yield increased by 1 basis point [17]

Group 1: Trade and Economic Policies - Trump has signed 12 trade letters and plans to send them out on Monday, with significant announcements expected in the next two days regarding trade negotiations with the EU [2] - The White House is set to establish new unilateral tariff rates, which are likely to take effect from August 1, with rates potentially ranging from 10% to 70% [2] - The focus of broker strategies this week is on the progress of trade agreements and the sustainability of the "anti-involution" sector [5] Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - The global market pricing is primarily influenced by the trade agreement progress expected on July 9, with a noted weakening of export growth compared to the first half of the year [5] - A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with attention on sectors like wind power, thermal power, and robotics, which are anticipated to show positive mid-year performance [5] - The market may experience fluctuations in the coming weeks due to increased volatility in overseas markets, but a supportive liquidity environment is expected to sustain the current market conditions [5] Group 3: Industry Developments - The People's Bank of China has released a draft for the rules governing the cross-border payment system, which aims to lower entry barriers and simplify transaction processes, promoting the internationalization of the RMB [7] - The high temperatures affecting China are expected to boost air conditioning sales, with a correlation noted between temperature changes and air conditioning demand [10] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission is pushing for a comprehensive development strategy in the non-ferrous metals sector, focusing on resource exploration and investment [11] Group 4: Company Announcements - China Shipbuilding has received approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the absorption and merger with China Heavy Industry [14] - Xinhua Insurance is investing 11.25 billion yuan in a private equity fund [14] - Huadian New Energy is set to launch an IPO with a subscription price of 3.18 yuan per share [13]

每经记者｜杨建 每经编辑｜赵云 7月6日，根据有关法律法规，经批准，财政部决定在政府采购活动中对部分自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取 相关措施。现将有关事项通知如下：一、采购人采购预算金额4500万元人民币以上的医疗器械时，确需 采购进口产品的，在履行法定程序后，应当排除欧盟企业（不包括在华欧资企业）参与。对于参与的非 欧盟企业，其提供的自欧盟进口的医疗器械占比不得超过项目合同总金额的50%。二、本通知自2025年 7月6日起施行。 NO.5 民航局成立通用航空和低空经济工作领导小组 ｜2025年7月7日 星期一｜ NO.1 央行就《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见 7月4日，中国人民银行发布关于《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见的通 知。《业务规则》明确了CIPS参与者的账户管理、注资、资金结算等详细流程。随着CIPS功能和服务 的持续优化，有必要调整《业务规则》相关内容，仅对参与者业务行为提出原则性要求，确保规范性文 件的前瞻性和科学性，有效适应CIPS业务发展和功能升级的需要。 NO.2 国家发展改革委与巴西有关部门签署合作文件 巴西当地时间7月5日晚，在中巴两国领导 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China is revising the rules for the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System to adapt to the business development needs [1] - The 2025 BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting will be held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, discussing global economic conditions, governance, and financial cooperation topics [1] - As of now, a total of 379 institutional innovation achievements from the national level have been replicated and promoted in the Free Trade Zone pilot [1]

央视网消息：6月18日，中国人民银行与匈牙利国家银行签署《合作谅解备忘录》，涵盖经济金融形势交流、绿色金融、深化中匈央行合 作等内容。 人民币跨境支付系统与6家外资机构签约 6月18日，人民币跨境支付系统与标准银行、非洲进出口银行、阿布扎比第一银行等6家外资机构签约，这标志着人民币跨境支付系统境外 外资直接参与者首次覆盖非洲、中东、中亚及新加坡离岸人民币中心，将进一步便利跨境人民币使用。 金融监管总局、上海市人民政府：27条具体举措支持上海国际金融中心建设 6月18日，金融监管总局会同上海市人民政府联合印发《关于支持上海国际金融中心建设行动方案》，《方案》提出27条具体举措，进一 步增强上海国际金融中心的竞争力和影响力。 这些举措包括，推动重点对外开放项目优先在上海落地，支持更多国际金融组织、国际金融行业协会及新型多边金融组织落户上海。 鼓励在沪金融机构稳妥有序开展碳金融相关业务，支持上海参与国际碳金融定价权竞争，打造国际绿色金融枢纽。 探索在上海自贸试验区开展以国际良好实践为基础的跨境银团贷款等非居民贷款业务。大力推进上海国际再保险中心建设和航运保险发 展。 支持聚焦服务实体经济和对外开放等重点领域组织实施 ...