[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|软件与服务 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【广发医药&海外】平安好医生（01833.HK） 前瞻：预计收入稳健增长，利润率继续提升 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Invest] 公司评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 13.34 港元 | | 合理价值 | 19.65 港元 | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-02-25 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% 46% 103% 159% 216% 272% 02/25 04/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 02/26 平安好医生 恒生指数 | [分析师： Table_Author]杨琳琳 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260514050004 | | SFC CE No. BNC117 | | | 0755-23480370 | | | yll@gf.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 罗佳荣 | | | SAC 执证号：S02605160900 ...

Summary of Leidos Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Leidos - **Market Position**: A $17.5-$18 billion company with 48,000 employees, primarily serving the U.S. government in federal IT, national security, intelligence, health, and veterans health sectors. Significant presence in Australia and the U.K. [4][5] Core Business Lines - **Business Sectors**: 1. **Digital Modernization**: Core focus on IT services. 2. **Defense**: Consolidated defense products into one sector, focusing on maritime and space growth pillars. 3. **Homeland**: Encompasses work related to Australia, the U.K., energy, and Department of Homeland Security (DHS). 4. **Health**: Services for veterans and active service members. 5. **Intelligence**: Focused on serving the intelligence community effectively. [7][8][9] Market Trends and Opportunities - **Defense Budget Growth**: Anticipation of the Department of Defense budget exceeding $1 trillion by 2027, potentially reaching $1.5 trillion, which is expected to benefit Leidos' defense business. [10][11] - **Agency Spending**: Expectation of increased spending from agencies due to the reconciliation package, particularly in TSA and FAA modernization. [11][12] - **Intelligence Community Growth**: Increased budget allocation for the intelligence community, with Leidos positioned to play a significant role. [14] - **Digital Modernization**: Emphasis on AI as a growth pillar, with plans to leverage AI for business growth. [14][15] Strategic Initiatives - **R&D Investments**: Increased internal R&D spending from 17% to 24% to enhance technological capabilities and service offerings. [29][32] - **Acquisitions**: Recent acquisition of EnTrust to enhance capabilities in the energy sector, with plans for integration and efficiency improvements. [35][39] - **AI Strategy**: Leidos has been proactive in adopting AI, deploying OpenAI across desktops for employees to enhance business processes. [55][56] Financial Performance - **Record Earnings**: Despite headwinds, Leidos reported record earnings, cash flow, and profitability, with a profit margin of 14.1% last year. [5][15] - **Growth Expectations**: Anticipation of continued growth in 2026, driven by established growth pillars and new opportunities in modernization projects. [75] Challenges and Responses - **DOGE Administration**: Viewed as an opportunity rather than a threat, with proactive engagement to improve government efficiency. [17][18] - **Market Differentiation**: Leidos is recognized as a multifaceted service provider, distinguishing itself from peers in the federal services and IT sector. [24][25] Conclusion - **Outlook**: The company is optimistic about its trajectory, with a strong execution engine and clear growth pillars, expecting 2026 to be another exceptional year. [75]

Group 1 - The core focus of local government reports is on "service consumption" as a key growth area, with various initiatives proposed to accelerate its development [2][3] - By 2025, significant growth in service consumption is expected, with Beijing's performing arts economy seeing a 25.8% increase in large events, Shandong's tourism revenue growing over 10%, and Chongqing's inbound tourism rising by 68.2% [2] - Local governments are emphasizing the importance of enhancing service offerings in areas such as elderly care, childcare, health, and home services to meet diverse consumer demands [3] Group 2 - The integration of culture, sports, and tourism is identified as a fertile ground for expanding service consumption, with initiatives like Jiangsu's "football+" and Chongqing's "watching drama and touring" plans driving new consumer growth [4] - By 2026, localities are expected to continue innovating in the integration of culture and tourism, with Zhejiang focusing on developing popular "cultural tourism + consumption" IPs and enhancing consumer experiences in various sectors [4] - New business models such as low-altitude tourism and aviation sports are emerging, with suggestions for regulatory reforms to foster low-altitude economic development [6] Group 3 - The shift in consumer demand from material satisfaction to emotional and experiential fulfillment is driving the need for more engaging service offerings [6] - Local governments are encouraged to enhance service consumption scenarios by developing event-driven economies and promoting personalized service experiences [6][7] - The youth demographic is becoming a significant driver of service consumption trends, with recommendations for targeted initiatives to engage this group through social and entertainment activities [7] Group 4 - Digital technologies and artificial intelligence are reshaping service landscapes, with local governments focusing on tech-enabled solutions to enhance consumer experiences [8] - Initiatives include the development of smart tourism platforms and AI-driven consumer services to improve operational efficiency and customer engagement [8] - The overall goal is to cultivate new growth points in service consumption, aligning with the trend of consumers prioritizing experiences over products [8]

Group 1 - The core focus of local government reports is on "service consumption," with various initiatives proposed to accelerate the growth of this sector by 2025 [1] - Significant achievements in service consumption by 2025 include Beijing hosting 2,295 large events (up 25.8%), Shandong seeing over 10% growth in tourist numbers and revenue, and Chongqing receiving over 500 million tourists with inbound tourism increasing by 68.2% [1] - By 2026, local governments plan to enhance service consumption through investments in diverse sectors such as elderly care, health, and cultural services, with specific initiatives like creating convenient living circles and upgrading traditional service sectors [1][2] Group 2 - The integration of culture, sports, and tourism is seen as a fertile ground for expanding service consumption, with various regions reporting successful initiatives [2] - Jiangsu's "football+" initiative and Chongqing's "viewing and touring" plan are examples of how localities are leveraging cultural events to drive consumer traffic [2] - By 2026, regions like Zhejiang and Tianjin aim to innovate in the cultural and tourism sectors to enhance consumer experiences and expand service offerings [2] Group 3 - New business models such as low-altitude tourism and aviation sports are emerging, with suggestions for regulatory reforms to foster these sectors [3] - There is a shift in consumer demand from material satisfaction to experiences that offer cultural and social value [3] Group 4 - Enhancing emotional, experiential, and self-satisfying service offerings is a key strategy for expanding service consumption [4] - Events like the fourth Zhengjia Datang Lantern Festival in Guangzhou are designed to boost interaction and experience for visitors, leading to increased foot traffic and sales [4] - Various regions are focusing on personalized service offerings and expanding event-driven economies to stimulate consumer spending [4] Group 5 - The youth demographic is becoming a significant force in the service consumption market, driving trends through events like drama, anime, and music festivals [5] - Recommendations include collaboration between business and cultural sectors to enhance consumer experiences and introduce new consumption formats [5] Group 6 - The concept of "youth economy" has been officially recognized in government reports, with proposals for targeted electronic consumption vouchers for young people to stimulate engagement in various social and cultural activities [6] Group 7 - Digital technologies and artificial intelligence are reshaping service consumption landscapes, with local governments emphasizing tech-driven enhancements to improve consumer experiences [7] - Initiatives include the development of smart tourism platforms and AI-driven data analysis to optimize consumer interactions and service delivery [7] - The focus is on transitioning consumer behavior from purchasing goods to enjoying services and experiences, which is expected to invigorate the economy [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to fulfilling social responsibilities sustainably while providing quality pharmaceuticals and health services to more patients in alignment with national policies and local needs [1]. Group 1 - The company acknowledges its role as a listed entity in meeting social responsibilities [1]. - Future efforts will focus on integrating national policy directions with local actual needs [1]. - The aim is to ensure that quality medicines and professional health services benefit a larger patient base [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Dongcheng District aims to implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress and subsequent plenary sessions, focusing on enhancing capital functions and achieving a strong start in the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][2] Group 1: Economic Development - Dongcheng District will enhance economic momentum by constructing a "two axes, two belts, and multiple clusters" industrial layout, focusing on cultural, financial, and technological innovation industries [1] - The district plans to strengthen its headquarters economy and explore mechanisms for the evaluation of special medical foods, aiming to establish standardized pilot projects in traditional Chinese medicine and smart healthcare [1] - Efforts will be made to expand effective investment and promote the commencement of key projects [1] Group 2: Cultural Confidence - The district will emphasize its cultural identity by enhancing urban characteristics and launching renovation projects for key cultural heritage sites such as the Yongdingmen Tower and the Bell Tower [2] - There will be a focus on activating the cultural industry by innovating in emerging fields like animation, gaming, and digital performances, aiming to enhance both brand recognition and market sales [2] - The district plans to upgrade cultural venues and improve services for the Beijing Cultural Forum, contributing to a vibrant cultural landscape [2] Group 3: Social Welfare - Dongcheng District will prioritize employment stability, particularly for key groups such as recent graduates, and will work on comprehensive renovations of old residential areas [2] - The district aims to deepen educational reforms, expand secondary school capacities, and enhance healthcare services through integrated medical networks [2] - A three-year action plan for environmental quality improvement will be initiated, focusing on projects like the enhancement of the surrounding areas along the North-South River Avenue [2]

Core Viewpoint - The joint release of the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of the Pharmaceutical Retail Industry" by nine departments aims to enhance the pharmaceutical retail sector's integration into the healthcare system, ensuring medication safety and improving health management services for the public [1][2] Group 1: Policy Measures - The policy outlines 18 specific measures across five areas, focusing on improving pharmaceutical services and strengthening emergency supply guarantees [1] - It emphasizes the combination of government guidance and market leadership to transform retail pharmacies into "health stations" for the public [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Services Enhancement - The policy encourages retail pharmacies to enhance their pharmaceutical service capabilities by equipping them with licensed pharmacist teams and allowing chain enterprises to establish their own pharmaceutical service platforms [1] - It promotes the continuous advancement of prescription outsourcing and electronic prescription circulation, optimizing medical insurance settlement and outpatient coordination policies for easier access to medications [1] Group 3: Innovation in Health Services - Retail pharmacies are supported in expanding their service functions to include medication guidance and health consultations, with encouragement to collaborate with communities and medical institutions to provide elderly and disability care services [1] - The policy advocates for the integration of internet hospitals with physical pharmacies to align with digital trends [1] Group 4: Emergency Services - Large chain pharmacies are encouraged to establish inventory monitoring and early warning mechanisms to act as "sentinels" for drug supply [1] Group 5: Industry Structure and Market Order - The policy supports retail pharmacies in legally conducting mergers and acquisitions, promoting integrated development of wholesale and retail to reduce circulation costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Municipal Committee has released recommendations for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the implementation of strategies to expand domestic demand and enhance consumption [1] Group 1: Consumption Strategies - The plan includes a continuation of special actions to boost consumption and the development of Shanghai as an international consumption center [1] - There is a focus on expanding service consumption, particularly in cultural, tourism, sports, and health sectors, to improve the quality of service supply [1] - The initiative promotes green and smart consumption, aiming to upgrade and expand product consumption [1] Group 2: Innovation and Integration - Encouragement for innovation in consumption models and formats, promoting the integration of online and offline consumption [1] - The plan supports the development of "AI + consumption," intellectual property derivative products, and interactive, immersive, and experiential consumption [1] - There is a push for the growth of the live-streaming economy and the deep integration of culture, tourism, commerce, and sports [1] Group 3: Economic Environment and Infrastructure - The recommendations include optimizing the consumption environment and advancing the construction of world-class business districts [1] - Development of distinctive commercial streets and enhancement of tax refund and cross-border payment convenience to increase inbound consumption [1] - The plan aims to create an all-age-friendly quality living circle to better match supply and demand in consumer goods, stimulating consumption potential among the elderly and youth [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the consumption industry is expected to show a moderate recovery in 2026, driven by service consumption and resilient essential consumption, with a focus on CPI-driven recovery opportunities [1][2] - In 2025, the consumption industry demonstrated characteristics of stabilization, structural optimization, and confidence restoration, supported by a 5.4% year-on-year growth in service consumption from January to November [2][3] - The shift in China's economic growth drivers from "goods consumption" to "service consumption" is anticipated, with recovery elasticity ranking as "service industry > mass goods > high-end consumption" [3] Group 2 - New consumption opportunities are emerging due to supply-side challenges like brand aging and product homogeneity, alongside demand-side changes such as generational shifts and the rise of Generation Z as a key consumer group [4] - The supply side is focusing on innovation through product rejuvenation and leveraging new channels for enhanced efficiency, while the demand side is driven by the unique consumption values of Generation Z, who are willing to pay for diverse and niche products [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of new productive forces driven by technological innovation in facilitating the upgrade of consumption and addressing the challenges of insufficient effective demand in China's economic development during the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period [1]. Group 1: New Productive Forces and Consumption Upgrade - New productive forces, characterized by high quality and efficiency, are essential for industrial upgrading and driving new consumption patterns [1]. - The integration of new productive forces and new consumption is a necessary outcome of consumption upgrades and productive development, aligning with the economic principle of "supply creates demand, and demand drives supply" [1]. Group 2: Mechanisms of New Productive Forces Empowering New Consumption - Technological innovation redefines the consumption supply system, leading to comprehensive upgrades in product forms, service models, and supply efficiency [2]. - Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and renewable energy technologies have significantly reduced costs and expanded the availability of smart and green products, enhancing new consumption supply [2]. - The deep integration of digital technology with the real economy enables flexible and customized production, effectively addressing the disconnect between traditional supply and consumer demand [2]. Group 3: Expanding Consumption Scenarios through Industrial Upgrading - New productive forces promote the construction of a modern industrial system, facilitating the integration of advanced manufacturing, modern services, and agriculture, thus creating innovative consumption scenarios [3]. - The development of low-altitude economy has led to new consumption scenarios such as low-altitude tourism and short-distance commuting [3]. - The integration of humanoid robotics with services like elderly care and education has created new consumption scenarios that cater to high-quality living service demands [3]. Group 4: Practical Pathways for Empowering New Consumption - Focusing on technological innovation is crucial for enhancing the supply capacity of new consumption, including breakthroughs in digital technologies and expanding the supply of green products [4]. - The integration of advanced manufacturing with modern services is essential for upgrading consumption from product-based to service-oriented consumption [4]. - Emphasizing demand-driven strategies will cultivate new consumption hotspots, such as promoting green and health-oriented consumption [4]. Group 5: Policy Support for New Consumption - Establishing a cross-departmental coordination mechanism is vital for integrating policies related to technology, industry, consumption, and finance to avoid fragmentation [5]. - Increasing financial support for technology innovation in the consumption sector is necessary to enhance residents' consumption capacity [5]. - Strengthening legal frameworks and market regulation in the new consumption sector will protect consumer rights and ensure fair market practices [6].