成长板块走低，创业板成长ETF、深成长ETF大成分别跌3%、2.79%。半导体设备板块回调，半导 体设备ETF、半导体设备ETF、科创半导体ETF、通信ETF、通信ETF华夏、5GETF博时、通信设备ETF 分别跌2.77%、2.75%、2.73%、2.52%、2.40%、2.33%和2.20%。 （责任编辑：贺翀 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com A股三大指数早盘集体下挫，截至午盘，沪指跌0.17%，深成指跌0.68%，创业板指跌1.46%，北证 50指数跌0.74%，沪深京三市半日成交额15966亿元，较上日缩量532亿元。全市场超2300只个股上涨。 板块题材上，小金属、算力租赁、云计算、煤炭开采加工、跨境支付、钢铁、光伏设备、AI应用、旅 游及酒店板块涨幅居前；造纸、PCB、CPO、存储芯片、电池、光刻机、PET铜箔板块跌幅居前。 ETF方面，AI应用回暖，创业板软件ETF华夏、 ...

人工智能算力方向延续强势，通信ETF华夏、通信ETF广发、通信ETF银华、通信ETF嘉实、通信ETF、 通信设备ETF涨超2%。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 跟踪指数 | 当日涨幅% | 年内涨幅% | 管理人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 515050.SH | 通信ETF华夏 | 5G通信 | 2.87% | 8.57% | 华夏星美 | | 159507.SZ | 通信ETF广发 | 国证通信 | 2.87% | 10.03% | 广发基金 | | 159994.SZ | 通信ETF银华 | 5G通信 | 2.65% | 8.39% | 银华基金 | | 159695.SZ | 通信ETF嘉实 | 国证通信 | 2.49% | 10.12% | 嘉实基金 | | 515880.SH | 通信ETF | 通信设备 | 2.49% | 8.25% | 国泰基金 | | 159583.SZ | 通信设备ETF | 通信设备主题 40 40 mix, ... J 14 11 10, 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 | ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of a strategy portfolio based on industry and thematic ETFs, leveraging insights from previous strategy reports on industry rotation and ETF market overview [2]. Strategy Update - The strategy portfolio includes various ETFs with specific holdings and weightings, such as: - Wine ETF with a market value of 184.16 billion, holding a significant position in the liquor industry (84.84%) [3]. - Real Estate ETF valued at 6.61 billion, fully invested in real estate development (100%) [3]. - Tourism ETF at 88.57 billion, primarily focused on the aviation and airport sector (33.21%) [3]. - New additions include Agriculture and Fishery ETF and Grain ETF, with respective holdings in aquaculture (46.89%) and planting (49.63%) [3]. - The strategy's performance for the period from February 9 to February 13, 2026, showed a cumulative net return of approximately -0.38%, underperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about -0.85% [3]. Performance Tracking - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy has achieved a cumulative return of approximately 37.93%, outperforming the CSI 300 ETF by about 14.43% [3][4]. - The report includes a performance chart illustrating the cumulative return of the industry rotation ETF strategy since its inception [4]. Weekly Holdings and Performance - The report details the weekly performance of various ETFs, indicating that the strategy will continue to hold Wine, Real Estate, Tourism, and Traditional Chinese Medicine ETFs while adding Agriculture and Grain ETFs [11]. - The average return of the ETF portfolio for the week was -0.38%, with a notable underperformance compared to the CSI 300 ETF [11].

Group 1 - Communication concept stocks strengthened, with Tianfu Communication rising over 7%, Zhongji Xuchuang up over 4%, and Xinyi Sheng and Industrial Fulian increasing over 3% [1] - Influenced by the market, 5G and communication-related ETFs rose over 2% [1] Group 2 - Major communication ETFs showed positive performance, with the main communication ETF at 3.190, up 2.44%, and the main 5G ETF at 1.949, up 2.42% [2] - Analysts indicate that AI may represent the largest industrial opportunity since cloud computing, with hardware growth driven by GPUs and ASICs expected to become a second growth engine this year [2] - The North American computing power industry chain is anticipated to maintain high growth in the coming quarters, supported by increased cloud revenue and capital expenditure from North American cloud companies [2] - The current AI trend is clear, with high capital expenditure growth from domestic and international cloud companies, suggesting that the communication sector, as a "shovel seller" in the computing power industry, is likely to see sustained market growth [2]

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.97%, the ChiNext Index down 1.79%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index down 2% [1] - The total trading volume across the three markets reached 28,041 billion yuan, an increase of 720 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,100 stocks in the three markets showing losses [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included epoxy propylene, precious metals, glyphosate, cultivated diamonds, real estate, construction materials, banking, and airport shipping [1] - Conversely, the sectors that saw the largest declines were commercial aerospace, military equipment, CPO, copper cable high-speed connections, and photovoltaic equipment [1] ETF Performance - Domestic demand sectors saw a broad increase, with the real estate industry chain leading the gains; notable ETFs included: - Fuguo Fund Construction Materials ETF up 3.96% - Guotai Fund Construction Materials ETF up 3.88% - E Fund Construction Materials ETF up 3.39% - Huabao Fund Real Estate ETF up 3.22% - Yinhua Fund Real Estate ETF up 2.87% [1] - Gold prices reached a new historical high, with Ping An Fund Gold Stock ETF rising by 3.24% [1] - Hong Kong consumer stocks also rose, with the Huitianfu Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer 50 ETF increasing by 2.8% [1] Declining ETFs - The commercial aerospace sector led the declines, with satellite ETFs such as Satellite ETF, Satellite ETF Penghua, and Satellite ETF Guangfa falling by 4.69%, 4.63%, and 4.58% respectively [1] - The photovoltaic sector experienced a pullback, with the Kexin New Energy ETF down 3.94% [1] - The CPO sector also declined, with the communication equipment ETF down 3.76% [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The strategy based on industry and theme ETFs was constructed by the Financial Street Securities Research Institute, and the portfolio was updated weekly. From January 5 - 9, 2026, the strategy's cumulative net return was about 8.72%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 5.94%. From October 14, 2024, to January 9, 2026, the strategy's out - of - sample cumulative return was about 41.66%, and the cumulative excess relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 15.74% [3] - In the week of January 12, 2026, the model recommended allocating sectors such as aviation equipment, aerospace equipment, and aviation airports. The strategy would add holdings of products like Aerospace ETF, Grain ETF, and Power Grid Equipment ETF, and continue to hold products like Satellite Industry ETF, Tourism ETF, and Communication Equipment ETF [13] Group 3: Summary According to the Catalog Strategy Construction - The Financial Street Securities Research Institute constructed a strategy portfolio based on industry and theme ETFs, referring to the strategy reports "Strategy Portfolio Report under Industry Rotation: Quantitative Analysis from the Perspective of Industry Style Continuity and Switching" (20241007) and "Research on the Overview and Allocation Methods of the Stock - type ETF Market: Taking the ETF Portfolio Based on the Industry Rotation Strategy as an Example" (20241013) [2] Strategy Update - The strategy updated the holdings of ETFs. Newly added holdings included Aerospace ETF, Grain ETF, and Power Grid Equipment ETF. Continued holdings included Satellite Industry ETF, Tourism ETF, etc. [3][13] Performance Tracking - From January 5 - 9, 2026, the strategy's cumulative net return was about 8.72%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 5.94%. From October 14, 2024, to January 9, 2026, the strategy's out - of - sample cumulative return was about 41.66%, and the cumulative excess relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 15.74% [3] Future Recommendations - In the week of January 12 - 16, 2026, the model recommended allocating sectors such as aviation equipment, aerospace equipment, and aviation airports, and recommended products for investment [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting performance and investor preferences between actively managed equity funds and ETFs in the context of a strong stock market in 2025, highlighting the challenges faced by active fund managers despite some impressive returns [4][5][6]. Group 1: Performance of Active Equity Funds - In 2025, the average annual return of actively managed equity funds reached 31.14%, a significant improvement compared to the previous four years [5]. - Over 70 funds achieved annual returns exceeding 100%, with the top-performing fund, managed by Ren Jie, yielding 233.69%, surpassing the previous record set by Wang Yawei in 2007 [5][6]. - Despite these gains, investor confidence in active equity funds remains low, as evidenced by a 5.7% quarter-over-quarter decline in overall fund shares in Q3 2025 [5][6]. Group 2: ETF Growth and Investor Preferences - ETFs saw a substantial growth of over 2 trillion yuan in 2025, reaching a total size of 6 trillion yuan, with stock ETFs alone accounting for 3.8 trillion yuan [6]. - The preference for ETFs over actively managed funds is evident, as even high-performing active funds did not attract significant inflows, with some funds having less than 10 million yuan in size despite impressive returns [6][7]. - The article emphasizes that the growth in active equity fund sizes is primarily due to net asset value increases rather than new subscriptions from investors [5][6]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Market Dynamics - Active fund managers are increasingly focusing on niche sectors, particularly in technology and AI, to differentiate themselves from ETFs [9][14]. - The concentration of top-performing funds in specific sectors, such as communication and AI, has led to a high degree of overlap in holdings, making it difficult for investors to distinguish between different funds [16][19]. - The article notes that while active managers have the potential for higher returns through deep research and sector focus, many struggle to maintain consistent performance over time [32][33]. Group 4: Challenges Faced by Active Fund Managers - Many active fund managers face challenges in outperforming ETFs, particularly in sectors where ETFs have strong performance, such as communication [17][18]. - The article highlights that the strategies employed by many active managers are becoming increasingly homogenized, leading to a lack of differentiation in performance [16][19]. - The potential for active managers to capture excess returns is limited by their inability to adapt quickly to changing market conditions, particularly when sectors experience downturns [25][26].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Financial Street Securities Research Institute constructs a strategy portfolio based on industry and theme ETFs [2] - In the week of 20260105, the model recommends allocating sectors such as aviation equipment, aerospace equipment, and aviation airports. The strategy will newly hold products like Aerospace ETF, Satellite Industry ETF, Tourism ETF, Rare Metals ETF, and continue to hold products like Gold Stocks ETF [12] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Strategy Update - Multiple ETFs are adjusted in the portfolio, including Aerospace ETF, Satellite Industry ETF, Tourism ETF, etc. [3] Performance Tracking - From 20251229 - 20251231, the strategy's cumulative net return is about -1.44%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF is about -0.80%. From October 14, 2024 to now, the strategy's out - of - sample cumulative return is about 30.30%, and the cumulative excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF is about 7.80% [3] ETFs' Information - Information on ETFs' market value, holding status, heavy - held Shenwan industries and weights, and timing signals are provided [3] ETFs' Adjustment in the Recent Week - Some ETFs are调出, and the future - week strategy recommends new holdings and continued holdings [3][12]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry has witnessed a record-breaking annual return, with Yongying Technology Smart Selection achieving a total return of 233.29%, surpassing the previous record held by Wang Yawei for 18 years [1][6]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Yongying Technology Smart Selection, managed by Ren Jie, secured the top position in the 2025 public fund rankings with a return of 233.29% [3][6]. - The second place was taken by Zhonghang Opportunity Navigation, managed by Han Hao, with a return of 168.92% [3][4]. - The third place was claimed by Hongtu Innovation Emerging Industry, managed by Liao Xinghao, with a return of 148.64% [3][4]. - A total of 90 funds achieved returns exceeding 100% in 2025, with 75 of these being actively managed equity funds, indicating a highly competitive environment [9]. Group 2: Market Trends - The A-share market saw all major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 18.41% and the ChiNext Index leading with nearly 50% annual growth [2]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares reached a new high of nearly 109 trillion yuan [2]. - Various sectors experienced active market trends, with robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and hard technology sectors leading the charge [2]. Group 3: Fund Management Insights - The success of Yongying Technology Smart Selection is attributed to its concentrated holdings in high-performing sectors, particularly in CPO, with top ten holdings accounting for 73.25% of the fund's net value [8]. - The fund's top four holdings saw significant gains, with the first holding, Xinyi Sheng, increasing by 187.96% in the fourth quarter [8]. - The active management capabilities of funds have allowed them to outperform passive index products in a volatile market [3]. Group 4: ETF Market Developments - The ETF market in China reached a total scale of 6.03 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a significant increase from 3.73 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year [10]. - The top-performing ETFs included the Guotai Communication ETF with a return of 125.81% and the Guotai Communication Equipment ETF with 121.37% [10][14]. - Gold-themed ETFs also performed well, with several funds achieving returns exceeding 90% [12]. Group 5: Fixed Income + Fund Growth - The "Fixed Income +" strategy saw substantial growth, with the total scale of related funds reaching 2.52 trillion yuan, a 50% increase from the end of 2024 [15]. - The median return for fixed income + funds in 2025 was 10.2%, with the top performer, Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond, achieving a return of 48.77% [16][18].

Core Insights - The top-performing ETFs of 2025 have been identified, with significant returns across various sectors [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Communication ETF achieved the highest annual return with a growth of 125.81% [1] - The Communication Equipment ETF followed closely, securing the second position with a return of 121.37% [1] - The Mining ETF ranked third with a return of 106.11% [1] Group 2: Notable ETFs - The ChiNext AI ETF from Huabao and the Non-ferrous Mining ETF from China Merchants both saw their returns double within the year [1] - The Industrial Non-ferrous ETF also experienced a doubling of its returns [1] - A total of 15 ETFs, including Non-ferrous Metals ETF and Gold Stocks ETF, recorded annual gains exceeding 90% [1]