Core Insights - The report presents two industry rotation models: one based on similar expected return differentials and another based on changes in analyst expectations, both aimed at identifying investment opportunities in various sectors [11][22]. Group 1: Similar Expected Return Differential Model - The latest configuration suggests focusing on sectors such as coal, communication, basic chemicals, automotive, real estate, and machinery [21]. - In September 2025, the model achieved a monthly return of +4.56%, outperforming the equal-weighted industry index by +3.66% [21]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 shows that the model has a mean Information Coefficient (IC) of 0.09, indicating strong selection ability [14][15]. Group 2: Analyst Expectation Change Model - The latest configuration highlights sectors including non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, communication, steel, and computers [33]. - In September 2025, the model recorded a monthly return of +1.03%, with an excess return of +0.13% over the equal-weighted industry index [33]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 indicates a mean IC of 0.06, demonstrating significant industry selection capability [23][24]. Group 3: ETF Portfolio Construction - The recommended ETF portfolio for October 2025 includes sectors such as non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, communication, basic chemicals, and automotive [35]. - Specific ETFs listed include the Huabao CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF and the Southern CSI Non-Ferrous Metals ETF, among others, with significant fund shares [35].

隔夜原油收跌，标普油气ETF跌2.67%。AI硬件板块走低，通信ETF、通信设备ETF分别跌2.05%和 1.82%。券商板块回调，证券ETF龙头跌1.5%。 节前最后一个交易日全线收红，上证指数涨0.52%，深证成指涨0.35%，创业板指持平，北证50跌 0.70%。沪深京三市全天成交额21972亿元，较上日放量191亿元。全市场超2600只个股上涨。 板块题材 上，半导体、能源金属、存储芯片板块走高，大金融板块调整。 ETF方面，有色板块全天领涨，华富基金稀有金属ETF基金、广发基金稀有金属ETF和工银瑞信基 金稀有金属ETF基金分别涨4.99%、4.38%和4.35%。军工板块拉升，富国基金军工龙头ETF、华夏基金 航空航天ETF分别涨4.3%和3.94%。半导体板块延续涨势，国泰基金集成电路ETF涨3.81%。 （责任编辑：刘静 HZ010） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Group 1 - The ETF market opened with mixed performance on September 29, with notable gains in specific sectors [1] - The Southern Science and Technology Growth ETF (589700) increased by 9.61%, indicating strong investor interest in this sector [1] - The Energy Storage Battery ETF from GF (159305) rose by 2.24%, reflecting positive sentiment in the energy storage market [1] Group 2 - The Information Technology ETF (562560) saw a gain of 2.09%, suggesting a stable outlook for technology investments [1] - Conversely, the Communication Equipment ETF (159583) declined by 1.98%, indicating potential challenges in this sector [1] - The ChiNext Artificial Intelligence ETF from Huaan (159279) fell by 1.7%, and the Innovative Drug ETF from Tianhong (517380) decreased by 1.65%, highlighting some volatility in these emerging sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Nvidia and OpenAI, involving a significant investment and the construction of large AI data centers, is expected to drive demand for optical communication modules, indicating a robust growth outlook for the optical module industry. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 23, major market indices showed mixed results, with the communication equipment ETF (159583) rising over 3%, and constituent stocks such as NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang increasing by more than 5% [3][4]. Group 2: Nvidia and OpenAI Collaboration - Nvidia and OpenAI announced a partnership that includes a plan to build large data centers and Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in OpenAI. This news led to Nvidia's stock price rising over 4%, reaching a historical high with a market capitalization nearing $4.5 trillion [5]. - OpenAI will utilize Nvidia's systems to build and deploy at least 10 gigawatts of AI data centers, which is equivalent to the electricity consumption of 8 million American households [5]. Group 3: Optical Module Demand - The rapid development of AI technology is leading to an exponential increase in data processing needs, which traditional electrical connections cannot meet. The demand for high-speed optical modules is expected to surge as data center internal data traffic increases significantly [5]. - Deployment of 400G and above high-speed optical modules is projected to grow by 250% year-on-year in 2024, with further growth expected in 2025, including a 100% increase in 800G module shipments [5]. Group 4: Market Forecast - LightCounting predicts that the global optical module market will grow at a CAGR of 22% from 2024 to 2029, potentially exceeding $37 billion by 2029. The Chinese market is expected to reach approximately 60.6 billion yuan in 2024 and 67 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - Guosheng Securities highlights that the exponential growth in AI computing demand necessitates faster and more efficient data transmission capabilities, which will drive long-term growth in the optical module industry [7]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The communication equipment ETF (159583) is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Communication Equipment Theme Index, with significant holdings in NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang, which together account for over 10% of the ETF [7][8].

Group 1 - The "Second Golden Unicorn Best Investment Advisor Selection" event is currently ongoing, with over 3,000 professional investment advisors participating in simulated trading competitions [1] - The event aims to provide a platform for investment advisors to showcase their capabilities, expand services, and enhance skills, thereby promoting the healthy development of China's wealth management industry [1] Group 2 - The top ten most frequently bought ETFs as of September 15 include Communication ETF, Broker ETF, and Sci-Tech Chip ETF, indicating strong interest in these sectors [2] - The top ten ETFs by purchase amount include the China Concept Internet ETF and Broker ETF, suggesting significant capital flow into these investment vehicles [3] Group 3 - The data for the top bought stocks/ETFs is based on the frequency of purchases by all participating advisors, while the purchase amount data reflects the total investment amounts in the top ten stocks/ETFs [4] - The competition includes categories for stock simulation, on-site ETF simulation, and public fund simulation, with specific trading rules regarding holding proportions, maximum drawdown, and rebalancing frequency [4]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.63%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.52% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 23,031 billion yuan, a decrease of 2,452 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3,300 stocks in the market experienced declines [1] Sector Performance - The gaming, pork, film and television, automotive parts, and CRO sectors saw the largest gains [1] - The semiconductor and new energy industry chains experienced a pullback, while precious metals, satellite internet, and copper cable high-speed connection sectors faced the largest declines [1] ETF Highlights - The AI application sector performed strongly, with gaming ETFs leading the gains: Huaxia Fund's gaming ETF rose by 4.38%, Huatai-PB's gaming ETF increased by 4.02%, and Guotai Junan's gaming ETF went up by 3.88% [1] - The film and television sector saw afternoon gains, with Yinhua Fund's film ETF rising by 3.09% and Guotai Fund's film ETF increasing by 2.85% [1] - The new energy sector experienced a pullback, with ICBC Credit Suisse's lithium battery ETF rising by 2.92% and Invesco Great Wall's battery 30 ETF increasing by 2.82% [1] Declines in Specific Sectors - The AI hardware sector faced a correction, with communication ETFs, 5G50 ETF, and communication equipment ETF declining by 1.75%, 1.72%, and 1.68% respectively [1] - The telecommunications sector weakened, with telecom ETFs and telecom 50 ETF both down by 1.5% [1] - Hong Kong financial stocks were in the red, with non-bank ETFs and Hong Kong securities ETF both declining by 1.3% [1]

ETF上涨方面，通信设备ETF涨超6%，科创芯片、科创人工智能相关ETF涨超3%。 今日市场冲高回落，三大指数集体收跌。从板块来看，有色金属板块表现活跃，存储芯片板块逆势上涨，创新药概念股局部大涨。下跌方面，大金融、白酒 板块集体下跌。 每日经济新闻 有券商表示，目前AI在全球的产业趋势已经形成，有望成为牛市中科技板块的核心主线。国产算力为半导体板块带来新的宏大叙事和估值逻辑，同时，半 导体板块代表了我国工业制造的最高水平，有望成为A股优质资产重估的重要赛道。 有券商表示，随着下游实际应用不断落地，人工智能有望从概念、主题投资进入景气投资阶段。这一趋势的背后，是AI行业已从早期的概念验证阶段成功 迈入规模化应用阶段，市场的关注点也随之从"技术能否实现"转变为"企业能否盈利"，投资决策更加强调技术商业化的进度、企业的盈利能力以及整个行业 的景气度，人工智能赛道中盈利预期确定向上的标的具备良好投资价值。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159583.SZ | 通信设备ETF | 2.141 | 6.4 | | 588780.SH | 科创芯片设计ETF ...

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance at the midday close on September 12, with notable gains in the communication equipment and mining sectors [1] - The communication equipment ETF (159583) increased by 7.11%, while the mining ETF (159690) rose by 3.89% [1] - Other mining ETFs also experienced gains, with ETF (561330) up by 3.03% [1] Group 2 - Conversely, the communication ETFs (515880 and 159695) saw declines of 2.26% and 2.11% respectively [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159246) decreased by 1.95%, indicating a downturn in the AI sector [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.24% at midday, reaching a new high during the session, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.52% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 1.6487 trillion yuan, an increase of 152.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3,000 stocks in the market experienced declines [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector made a strong comeback, with superhard materials and non-ferrous copper leading the gains [1] - Chip stocks remained active, with companies like Chip Origin Technology Co., Ltd. (芯原股份) resuming trading and hitting the daily limit, boosting the ASIC and storage chip concepts [1] - The solid-state battery concept saw a significant surge in the morning session [1] - The AI hardware sector began to show divergence, with PEEK materials, liquor, and financial stocks generally weakening [1] ETF Performance - In the ETF market, the AI hardware sector showed divergence, with the Fortune Fund Communication Equipment ETF rising by 7.11% [5] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw gains in ETFs, with the China Merchants Fund Mining ETF and the Guotai Junan Fund Mining ETF increasing by 3.89% and 3.03%, respectively [5] - The chip sector continued to be active, with the Guolian An Fund Sci-Tech Chip Design ETF and the GF Fund Artificial Intelligence ETF rising by 2.85% and 2.77%, respectively [5] - Internet stocks performed well, with the Wanji Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Huaan Fund Hang Seng Internet ETF increasing by 2.84% and 2.56%, respectively [5] - The CPO sector experienced a pullback, with the Communication ETF and the Fortune Fund Entrepreneurial AI ETF declining by 2.26% and 1.95%, respectively [5] - The gaming sector weakened, with both the Gaming ETF and the Huatai-PB Gaming ETF dropping by 1.67% [5]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropping by 2.83%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 4.25% [1] - The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 25,819 billion yuan, an increase of 1,862 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - Consumer sectors such as dairy, retail, and beauty showed positive performance, leading the gains [1] - Conversely, sectors including computing hardware, rare earth permanent magnets, and military industry faced significant declines [1] ETF Activity - In the ETF market, certain sectors performed well despite the overall market downturn, with the Huabao Fund Green Energy ETF and the Fortune Fund Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy ETF rising by 3.46% and 3.03%, respectively [4] - Cross-border ETFs saw a rally, with the ICBC Credit Suisse Fund Nikkei ETF, Huaxia Fund Nikkei ETF, and Invesco Great Wall Fund NASDAQ Technology ETF increasing by 2.65%, 2.42%, and 2.25% respectively [4] - The tourism sector also saw gains, with the Huaxia Fund Tourism ETF rising by 1.41% [4] - The AI hardware sector faced significant losses, with several ETFs related to artificial intelligence dropping over 9% [4] - The chip sector also weakened, with the Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF and the Sci-Tech Chip ETF from Southern Asset Management declining by 8.63% and 8.2% respectively [4]