01 8月25日，A股主要指数收涨，市场成交额约3.18万亿元。1260余只ETF中，仅25只收跌，超过180只ETF单日涨幅大于 3%。 02 涨幅前十ETF多为行业ETF，以主投稀土和有色行业的产品居多，涨幅居全市场ETF前两位的均投向稀土行业，单日涨 超7%。部分主投云计算、通信等行业的产品涨幅居前。 03 前一交易日（8月22日），ETF市场整体净流入超110亿元。多只产品单日净流入超10亿元，净流入金额最高为50亿 元。当天涨幅较大的科创、半导体主题ETF出现资金"落袋为安"，部分产品单日净流出近50亿元。 稀土主题ETF领涨 8月25日，稀土和有色板块表现亮眼。全市场单日涨幅前十的ETF中，4只为稀土主题产品，2只为有色主题产品。 稀土ETF易方达（159715.SZ）以7.89%涨幅位居首位。稀土ETF（516780）、稀土ETF（159713）等涨幅也超过7%。3 只基金均挂钩中证稀土产业指数，截至收盘，42只成分股中，38只收涨。金力永磁"20CM"涨停，大地熊涨超11%，金 风科技、中钢天源、领益智造、包钢股份涨停。 其中，稀土ETF（516780）今日成交额为5.44亿元，为该基金上市以 ...

策略说明: · 恒泰证券研究所基于策略报告《行业轮动下的策略组合报告:基于行业风格延续和切 换视角下的定量分析》(20241007)和《股票型ETF市场概览与配置方法研究:以基于 行业轮动策略的ETF组合为例》（20241013）,构建基于行业和主题ETF的策略组合。 恒泰证券 HENGTAI SECURITIES 研究所 行业轮动ETF策略周报 (20250818-20250824) 证券研究报告·策略周报 证券分析师:张一 S0670524030001 010-83270999-97050 zhangy i@cnht. com. cn 2025年8月25日 证券分析师:李杜 S0670524040001 021-50800937 l idu@cnht. com. cn 图表3: 行业轮动ETF策略建仓以来累计收益率(20241014-20250822) 策略更新: | 基金代码 | ETF名称 | ETF市值 | 持有情况 | 重仓申万 行业 | | 周度择时信号 日度择时信号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (亿元) | | 及权重 ...

Strategy Overview - Hengtai Securities has developed an ETF strategy based on industry rotation and thematic investments, referencing previous reports from October 2024[2] - The strategy includes a combination of industry and thematic ETFs to optimize investment performance[2] ETF Holdings and Performance - The total value of the ETFs held is approximately 144.96 billion CNY, with significant allocations in sectors such as communication equipment (73.61%) and gaming (81.29%)[3] - The strategy achieved a cumulative net return of about 2.04% from August 11 to August 15, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 ETF by 0.64%[3] - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy's cumulative return is approximately 9.26%, with an underperformance of 1.20% relative to the CSI 300 ETF[3] Weekly Recommendations - For the week of August 18 to August 22, 2025, the recommended sectors include communication equipment, precious metals, and gaming[12] - New positions will be added in communication equipment ETF, industrial metals ETF, and innovative pharmaceuticals ETF, while continuing to hold positions in gold stocks, gaming ETF, and satellite ETF[12] Risk Considerations - There is a risk of rapid style shifts within a week, which could impact ETF performance[7] - Some ETFs may experience abnormal increases in discount rates, posing additional risks to investors[7]

Market Performance - A-shares' three major indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an eight-day winning streak, reaching its highest level since December 2021, closing up 0.48% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.76%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.62% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,509 billion [1] ETF Performance - The top-performing ETF was the ChiNext 50 ETF (159367), which surged by 6.89% [2] - Other notable ETFs included the Communication ETF (215880) and Communication Equipment ETF (159583), both rising by 6.45% [2][3] - Several AI-related ETFs also saw significant gains, with the ChiNext AI ETF (Dacheng) increasing by 6.25% [3] AI Industry Developments - Kimi K2's new model ranked first in daily downloads on Hugging Face, while Baidu AI Search led in monthly active users domestically [4] - OpenAI launched its new flagship AI model, GPT-5, which integrates capabilities from various models to enhance performance [5] Banking Sector Insights - Bank-related ETFs experienced collective declines, but there is potential for growth driven by increased insurance capital allocation to bank stocks [6] Trading Activity - The Hong Kong Securities ETF (513090) had the highest trading volume, reaching 24.636 billion [8] - The turnover rate for the Shenzhen 100 ETF (Rongtong) was the highest at 392% [9] Upcoming ETF Launch - A new product, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (159277), is set to launch, tracking the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index [10]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - The market is expected to evolve into a trend - upward market as anti - involution boosts listed companies' performance, and the inflow of funds is likely to accelerate in the future. Commodity prices are optimistic in the medium - term [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - On Tuesday, major indices first declined and then rose, closing slightly higher, with the science - innovation style leading the market. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.80 trillion yuan, showing a slight increase. The CSI 1000 index closed at 6773 points, up 43 points or 0.65%; the CSI 500 index closed at 6356 points, up 32 points or 0.52%; the SSE 50 index closed at 2808 points, up 5 points or 0.21%; the SSE 300 index closed at 4152 points, up 16 points or 0.39%. In the industry and theme ETFs, the top gainers were the Innovent Biologics ETF Tianhong, Communication Equipment ETF, ChiNext Artificial Intelligence ETF Huaxia, Biopharmaceutical ETF, and Communication ETF, while the top losers were the Bank ETF, Aquaculture ETF, and Film and Television ETF. Among the sector indices of the two markets, the top gainers were the medical service, communication equipment, CXO concept, sports, and general steel indices, and the top losers were the aquaculture, small and medium - sized banks, insurance, grain concept, and white goods indices. The CSI 1000, SSE 300, and CSI 500 index futures saw net outflows of 19, 9, and 7 billion yuan respectively [1] Important Information - The national parenting subsidy system implementation plan was announced. From January 1, 2025, families with one - child, two - child, or three - child can receive an annual subsidy of 3600 yuan until the child reaches 3 years old [1] - Recently, multiple departments held economic situation seminars, mid - year work meetings, or relevant press conferences, revealing future work priorities. The policy focus in the second half of the year is on expanding domestic demand, "anti - involution", and stabilizing the property and stock markets [1][2] - The National Industry and Information Technology Department held a symposium for responsible comrades, deploying key tasks for the next stage, including implementing a new round of ten key industries' stable - growth actions, formulating action plans to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand to boost consumption, and promoting the in - depth integration of informatization and industrialization [1][2] - The "Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing" action will be further promoted, with efforts to strengthen the research on the underlying technology and application in key scenarios. The application of the industrial Internet will be deepened in a hierarchical and classified manner to cultivate a number of industrial intelligent agents [1] - At the closing ceremony of the Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Conference, a number of major projects were signed, covering fields such as intelligent driving, embodied intelligence, and robots. A total of 31 projects were signed, with an investment of over 15 billion yuan [1] - The chief economist of the China Institute for the Development Strategy of New - Generation Artificial Intelligence believes that artificial intelligence is reshaping the underlying logic of economic growth. China's advantages in AI scenario application and technological innovation are gradually transforming into industrial competitiveness [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that by 2030, the Chinese RoboTaxi market will reach 14 billion US dollars, with a fleet size of about 535,000 vehicles [2] - After the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Morgan Stanley and the Hungarian government successfully issued panda bonds in the Chinese inter - bank market. As of July 28, 2025, the issuance scale of panda bonds in the inter - bank market this year was 111.2 billion yuan [2] - Oil traders expect OPEC+ to finalize a new round of significant production increases this weekend, further restoring the group's suspended production capacity. Most traders and analysts predict that Saudi Arabia and its partners will approve an additional production increase of 548,000 barrels per day in September at the video conference on August 3 [2] - EU officials clarified that since the 600 - billion - dollar investment in the US will come entirely from private - sector investment, the European Commission has no jurisdiction and cannot guarantee the achievement of the investment target [2] Market Logic - On Tuesday, major indices first declined and then rose, showing strong performance and closing slightly higher. The policy focus in the second half of the year is clear. The regulatory authorities have included index funds in personal pension products, and many index funds have recently added Y - shares. The continuous expansion of the personal pension product portfolio provides more choices for investors and injects long - term stable funds into the capital market [2] Future Outlook - On Tuesday, major indices first declined and then rose, showing strong performance and closing slightly higher. The symposium of the National Industry and Information Technology Department deployed key tasks for the next stage. The market has seen a widespread inflow of institutional funds, and with the accumulation of profit - making effects, the inflow of retail investors is accelerating. The market is gradually reaching a consensus that China has unique and attractive investment opportunities, especially those related to the developing technology ecosystem. The re - allocation of global financial assets away from the US is expected to accelerate the inflow of international funds into A - shares. The anti - involution will boost the performance of listed companies, and the market is expected to evolve into a trending upward market. The wealth effect of the stock market is emerging, and the inflow of funds is expected to accelerate. Commodity prices generally rebounded on Tuesday, and the sharp decline on Monday was a correction in the bull market, with an optimistic medium - term outlook [2] Trading Strategy - For futures trading, anti - involution boosts the performance of listed companies, and the market is evolving into a capital - driven upward trend. The wealth effect of the stock market is emerging, and growth - style stock index futures have stronger offensive capabilities [2] - For option trading, as the market evolves into a trending upward market, investors should buy out - of - the - money long - term index call options [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the innovative drug-themed ETFs have shown remarkable performance, with six ETFs increasing over 100% this year, all belonging to the innovative drug sector [1][4]. - The top-performing ETFs on July 29 include various innovative drug-themed ETFs, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF rising by 5.06%, marking it as the largest gainer of the day [4][6]. - The innovative drug sector is expected to experience a "Davis Double Play" due to supportive policies, international breakthroughs, improved R&D efficiency, and continuous capital inflow, indicating a shift from defensive to offensive investment strategies [4][5]. Group 2 - On July 29, ten ETFs had transaction volumes exceeding 10 billion yuan, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF and the Hong Kong Securities ETF being particularly active [3][9]. - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF has seen significant growth, with its scale reaching 10.31 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of over 750% [5]. - The bond ETFs have also attracted substantial inflows, with the South China Science and Technology Bond ETF leading with a net inflow of 25.56 billion yuan on the previous trading day [11][12]. Group 3 - The largest drop in ETFs on July 29 was observed in the 180 Governance ETF, which fell by 2.71%, alongside several other cross-border and bank-themed ETFs [2][8]. - The trading activity indicates a strong market liquidity, with the average daily transaction volume for the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF exceeding 11 billion yuan in July [5]. - The overall market sentiment remains positive, with expectations for indices to continue reaching new highs in the second half of the year, supported by domestic policies and liquidity [13].

Group 1 - The communication equipment ETF (159583) has risen over 4%, reaching a new 120-day high [1] - The trading volume amounted to 20.81 million yuan, an increase of 48.14% compared to the same time yesterday [1] - In the past month, the volume has increased by 11 million shares [1]

Group 1 - The overall performance of ETFs showed mixed results, with the Green Energy ETF (159669) leading gains at 5.51% [1] - The Machinery ETF (516960) increased by 4.14%, while the Engineering Machinery ETF (159542) rose by 3.51% [1] - On the downside, the ChiNext AI ETF (Huabao) (159363) experienced the largest decline at 1.69%, followed by the Communication Equipment ETF (159583) which fell by 1.63%, and the Communication ETF (515880) which decreased by 1.48% [1]

Group 1 - The ETF market showed mixed performance at midday, with the Southern AI ETF (159382) leading gains at 4.95% [1] - The Cloud 50 ETF (560660) increased by 4.77%, while the Communication Equipment ETF (159583) rose by 4.68% [1] - The Guozheng 2000 ETF (159543) experienced the largest decline at 4.36%, followed by the Real Estate ETF (512200) which fell by 2.6%, and the Coal ETF (515220) which decreased by 2.52% [1]

Group 1 - The ETF market opened with mixed performance, with the China 50 ETF (159371) leading the gains at 16.26% [1] - The 2000 ETF (159907) increased by 9.98%, while the A100 ETF (159630) rose by 3.87% [1] - On the downside, the 1000 Enhanced ETF (561780) fell by 1.01%, the Communication Equipment ETF (159583) decreased by 0.87%, and the Hang Seng New Economy ETF (513320) dropped by 0.86% [1]