证券研究报告 机械设备 | 通用设备 北交所|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 28 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | 2025 | 年 | 08 | | | | 月 | 26 | | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | | | | | | 42.70 | | | 年 高 最 低 | / | | | | | 最 | 内 | | | 一 | 68.00/9.95 | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | | 3,134.18 | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | | 1,619.64 ...

Core Insights - The rapid growth of artificial intelligence is driving a surge in demand for data centers, leading to a significant increase in market capitalization for four major European industrial groups: ABB, Legrand, Schneider, and Siemens, which collectively gained over €150 billion in value, with Siemens experiencing a growth of over 60% [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Schneider is a leading power supplier in the data center sector, currently valued at €127.9 billion, and anticipates that data center orders will account for approximately 24% of its total orders by 2024 [2] - Legrand has shifted its business focus towards data centers, expecting data center orders to represent 20% of its sales by 2024, which is double the figure from 2019 [2] - ABB has transitioned its sales focus towards data centers, projecting that data center orders will constitute 15% of its electrification division's $16.4 billion orders by 2024, with electrification accounting for nearly half of ABB's $33 billion annual revenue [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The demand for data processing is identified as a long-term trend, with Dell'Oro analysts forecasting that total capital expenditures for data centers will rise from nearly $600 billion in 2025 to over $1 trillion by 2028 [1] - The annual growth rate of data center orders for ABB from 2019 to 2023 was 24%, with an acceleration in growth over the past year due to the intensifying AI competition [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Increase Holding (Maintain)" [4] Core Viewpoints - The company has maintained stable performance in Q2, with expectations for the release of production capacity bottlenecks [3] - The company is recognized as a "small giant" in the fan industry, with promising prospects in nuclear power and IDC new businesses [3] - The company is expected to benefit from policy dividends and the expansion of downstream application scenarios, leading to new growth potential [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 529 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.06%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 55 million, a year-on-year decrease of 9.76% [4][7] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 125 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.11%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 11 million, a year-on-year decrease of 14.84% [4][7] - The company's gross profit margin for 2024 was 28.07%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points [7] Revenue and Profitability Insights - The revenue from cooling systems in 2024 was 110 million, a growth of 5.54% compared to 2023, while the revenue from ventilation fans was 409 million, a year-on-year increase of 3.59% [7] - The company’s R&D investment reached 27 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.21%, accounting for 5.09% of operating revenue [7] - The company holds 136 patents, including 22 invention patents, indicating a strong focus on innovation [7] Market and Industry Trends - The national strategy supports high-end equipment manufacturing, emphasizing high-end, intelligent, and green transformation [8] - The railway fixed asset investment is projected to exceed 900 billion in 2025, creating significant investment opportunities [8] - The global market for gas turbines is expected to reach 28.1 billion in 2024, with a projected CAGR of 7.4% until 2034 [8] Future Projections - The company’s projected operating revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 591 million, 679 million, and 813 million respectively, with net profits of 66 million, 77 million, and 97 million [8] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 46.4 for 2025, 39.9 for 2026, and 31.7 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue growth, with opportunities arising from high-demand sectors such as rail transit, nuclear power, marine engineering, and data centers [5] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 529 million yuan (up 4.06% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54.66 million yuan (down 9.76% year-on-year) [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling an expected distribution of 29.36 million yuan [5] - The company’s cooling systems and ventilation business generated revenues of 109.52 million yuan (up 5.54% year-on-year) and 40.87 million yuan (up 3.59% year-on-year) respectively in 2024 [5] - The company has a strong order backlog, with 507 million yuan in hand as of December 31, 2024, including 141 million yuan in the nuclear power sector [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of April 29, 2025, was 37.50 yuan, with a market capitalization of 2,752.50 million yuan and a circulating market value of 1,422.40 million yuan [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected operating revenue for 2025 is 600 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.57% [6] - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 61 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.83 yuan per share [7] - The company’s P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 45.11, 36.86, and 29.77 respectively [7] Business Opportunities - The company is expected to benefit from the growing wind turbine market, projected to reach 136.6 billion yuan by 2030 [5] - The company’s products have been recognized in national energy-saving and carbon reduction technology equipment directories, enhancing its market position [5] - The establishment of a new factory in Mexico is part of the company’s strategy to accelerate overseas expansion [5]

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 18.85 billion (up 9.3% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.25 billion (up 10.6% year-on-year) [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.85 billion (up 3.5% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.4 billion (up 11.5% year-on-year) [1] - The dividend proposal for 2024 is a cash dividend of 1.5 per 10 shares (including tax) [1] Operational Insights - Domestic revenue growth is strong, while overseas cost control shows effectiveness, leading to sustained improvement in profitability [2] - The overall gross margin increased year-on-year, with domestic revenue showing positive growth and overseas business revenue remaining stable [2] - The net profit margin for 2024 reached 6.6%, with Q1 2025 further improving to 8.2% [2] Business Segments - The lightweight and air suspension segments showed significant revenue growth, while traditional rubber business remained stable [2] - The air suspension business's revenue growth and gross margin were slightly below expectations due to lower-than-expected customer growth [2] - The lightweight business saw a notable improvement in gross margin, attributed to achieving economies of scale, with total orders amounting to 14.2 billion for 2024 [2] Robotics Development - The company established a new subsidiary, Anhui Ruisi Bo, to focus on humanoid robot component assembly [3] - The company has a competitive advantage in harmonic reducer technology and is expanding into related products such as force sensors [3] - Strategic partnerships have been signed with several companies to enhance capabilities in humanoid robot components [3] Profit Forecast - The net profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 1.67 billion and 1.89 billion, respectively, with a new forecast of 2.04 billion for 2027 [4] - The traditional rubber damping business remains stable, while air suspension and lightweight businesses are in a high growth phase [4] - The strategic focus on humanoid robotics opens new growth opportunities for the company [4]