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研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持中伟股份“买入”评级,目标价46元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-19 07:01
Core Viewpoint - Dongwei Securities report indicates that Zhongwei Co., Ltd. experienced a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2025, amounting to 730 million yuan, a decrease of 15.2% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 430 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 12% and a year-on-year decline of 38% [1] - The company's output of nickel, cobalt, phosphorus, and sodium products reached 188,000 tons in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34% [1] - The expected output for ternary precursors and four-cobalt products for the full year is around 230,000 tons, indicating a year-on-year growth of 15% [1] Group 2: Profitability and Market Position - The company is projected to achieve a profit contribution of 1.3 to 1.4 billion yuan from a single-ton profit of 6,000 yuan per ton [1] - In Q2, nickel prices further declined, while the cost of fire-smelting ore increased, leading to a forecast of marginal profits from metal nickel, with an expected contribution of 200 to 300 million yuan for the year [1] - As the largest precursor manufacturer in China, the company is expected to maintain a rising self-supply rate of nickel, with a target price of 46 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
东吴证券:上调中伟股份目标价至46.0元,给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-18 10:27
东吴证券股份有限公司曾朵红,阮巧燕,岳斯瑶,胡锦芸近期对中伟股份(300919)进行研究并发布了研究报 告《2025半年报点评:Q2四钴贡献利润弹性,三》,上调中伟股份目标价至46.0元,给予买入评级。 中伟股份 投资要点 Q2归母净利润环比提升38%,符合预期。公司25H1营收213.2亿元,同6.2%,归母净利润7.3亿元, 同-15.2%,毛利率12.1%,同-0.7pct;其中25Q2营收105.4亿元,同环比-2.4%/-2.3%,归母净利润4.3亿 元,同环比-12%/38%,毛利率12.3%,同环比0.1/0.3pct。 Q2受益于钴涨价,四钴贡献利润弹性。1H25公司镍、钴、磷、钠产品出货量18.8万吨,同比增34%,其中 我们预计三元前驱体9.6万吨、四钴1.7万吨,同比持平微增。我们预计Q2三元和四钴合计出货量6万吨+, 环比+30%,其中四钴1万吨。盈利情况看,三元前驱体1H25收入75亿,同比-15%,毛利率18%,同 比-0.3pct,基本稳定,对应均价9万左右,单吨利润0.5万。四钴1H收入14.5亿,同比+30%,毛利率26%, 同比+16pct,盈利大幅改善受益于钴涨价,我们预 ...
中伟股份(300919):Q2四钴贡献利润弹性,三元前驱体维持稳定
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-18 10:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 net profit increased by 38% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with expectations. For the first half of 2025, revenue reached 21.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while net profit was 730 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.2% [7] - The company benefited from rising cobalt prices, with four-cobalt contributing to profit elasticity. The total shipment volume of nickel, cobalt, phosphorus, and sodium products in the first half of 2025 was 188,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 34% [7] - The company is expected to maintain stable profitability in the three-element precursor segment, with a projected total shipment volume of around 230,000 tons for the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 15% [7] - The company has shown strong cash flow, with operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 reaching 1.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 1.72 billion, 2.02 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17%, 18%, and 33% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 34.273 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.95%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 68.083 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 17.89% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 1.947 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 26.15%. By 2027, this is expected to rise to 2.696 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 33.15% [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is projected at 2.08 yuan per share, with an expected increase to 2.87 yuan per share by 2027 [1][8] - The company’s P/E ratio is expected to be 19x in 2025, decreasing to 12.16x by 2027 [1][8]