Group 1: Oil Market Insights - On June 13, international crude oil prices surged significantly, with WTI crude futures rising over 14% to a peak of $77.62 per barrel, the highest since January 21 of this year [1][2] - Domestic crude oil futures also saw a spike, reaching a limit-up price of 535.2 yuan per barrel, marking a new high since April 7, before closing at 529.9 yuan per barrel, up 7.9% [2] - Analysts attribute the surge in oil prices to escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East, a weaker dollar due to lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data, and strong fundamentals in the oil market [2][4] Group 2: Gold Market Developments - International gold prices also rose sharply, with London spot gold exceeding $3440 per ounce, reaching a high of $3444.49 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures hitting $3467 per ounce, both marking new highs since April 22 [1][3] - The increase in gold prices is driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and a decline in U.S. economic data, which has raised expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [3][5] - Domestic gold futures also experienced significant gains, with the main contract closing at 794.36 yuan per gram, up 1.72%, and peaking at 801.14 yuan per gram, the first time surpassing 800 yuan per gram since May 9 [3] Group 3: Future Price Projections - Analysts suggest that while short-term volatility in oil prices is expected due to market speculation, gold may exhibit stronger long-term performance due to its monetary and safe-haven attributes [4][5] - The potential for gold prices to reach between $3000 and $3200 per ounce for long positions, with a possibility of surpassing $3500 per ounce if geopolitical conflicts persist, is highlighted [5] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and the shift in monetary policy are likely to support gold prices, with projections indicating a potential rise to $3800 per ounce in the future [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East has led to significant concerns regarding the stability of the oil supply chain, resulting in a sharp increase in international oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil futures experiencing their largest single-day gains in over three years, rising by more than 13% at one point [1]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Domestic energy futures in China surged collectively following the spike in international oil prices, with domestic crude oil futures hitting the limit up and closing nearly 8% higher, while fuel futures rose over 7% and low-sulfur fuel oil futures increased by more than 5% [2]. - Geopolitical risks have become the primary driver of the oil market, with market sentiment likely to support high oil prices in the short term. The recent U.S. CPI data being lower than expected has weakened the dollar, further contributing to the upward momentum in oil prices [3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current geopolitical tensions are primarily driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Iranian oil supply, which is currently at approximately 1.5 million barrels per day. A short-term disruption of this level could lead to a price premium of $3 to $4 per barrel, indicating that current prices may be significantly overvalued [4]. - Despite the short-term boost from geopolitical events, the long-term outlook for the oil market will likely revert to supply and demand fundamentals, with existing oversupply pressures remaining unaddressed [6]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Following the recent price surge, both Brent and WTI crude oil futures have broken through key resistance levels, indicating strong upward momentum. Brent crude has stabilized above $70 per barrel, which was previously a strong resistance level, while WTI has surpassed $72 per barrel [9]. - If oil prices maintain above $70 per barrel, the technical outlook remains bullish, with potential resistance levels identified between $80 and $82.5 per barrel for Brent, and $80 per barrel for WTI, suggesting that further geopolitical tensions could drive prices higher [9].

WTI原油期货日内暴涨超7%，现报73.39美元；国内原油期货主力合约封涨停，报535.2元/桶。 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 往期推荐 于东来：今年胖东来八千多名员工税后月均收入9000元，未来员工每周 工作不超36小时，年假40天起！ 最新爆料！哪吒汽车通知员工今起居家办公！董事长方运舟已前往桐乡 6月13日，油气股开盘大涨，截至发稿，通源石油20%涨停，贝肯能源、准油股份涨停，中曼石油、潜 能恒信、新锦动力、惠博普、仁智股份、中海油服等多股跟涨。 | THE | 名不 | HORD . | 机价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920088 | 科力股份 | +26.22% | 39.95 | | 300164 | 通掠石沼 | +19.91% | 5.01 | | 300191 | 潜能恒信 | +11.42% | 22.25 | | 300483 | 三十八十 | +10.91% | 10.37 | | 002828 | 贝肯能源 | +10.03% | 10.04 | | 002207 | 灌油股份 | +9.94% | 6.86 | | GOS ...

WTI原油期货日内暴涨超7%，现报73.39美元；国内原油期货主力合约封涨停，报535.2元/桶。 来源：第一财经 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 往期推荐 于东来：今年胖东来八千多名员工税后月均收入9000元，未来员工每周 工作不超36小时，年假40天起！ 最新爆料！哪吒汽车通知员工今起居家办公！董事长方运舟已前往桐乡 6月13日，油气股开盘大涨，截至发稿，通源石油20%涨停，贝肯能源、准油股份涨停，中曼石油、潜 能恒信、新锦动力、惠博普、仁智股份、中海油服等多股跟涨。 | THE | 名不 | HORD . | 机价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920088 | 科力股份 | +26.22% | 39.95 | | 300164 | 通掠石沼 | +19.91% | 5.01 | | 300191 | 潜能恒信 | +11.42% | 22.25 | | 300483 | 三十八十 | +10.91% | 10.37 | | 002828 | 贝肯能源 | +10.03% | 10.04 | | 002207 | 灌油股份 | +9.94% | 6.86 ...