从大类来看，宽基&策略板块ETF净流入居前，达+506.71亿元，主要中证A500板块的流入；行业&主题板块ETF净流出居前，达-143.41亿元。 二、资金加减仓方向 具体到细分板块，宽基&策略板块ETF中，净流入前三大板块依次为：中证A500、策中证500、中证1000；净流出前三大板块依次为：沪深300、创业板、其 他宽基指数。 行业&主题板块ETF中，净流入前五大板块依次为：有色金属、新能源、文娱传媒、主要消费、机器人；净流出前五大板块依次为：半导体芯片、军工、人 工智能、电池储能、食品饮料。 一、全市场概况 截至上周末，全市场权益类ETF总规模50458.92亿元，过去一周场内总规模增加1437.22亿元，总份额增加276.32亿份，资金净流入401.66亿元。 | | | 当周净流入前五及后五的行业&主题板块 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 板块 | 本周流入资金 | 本周规模变动 | 本年流入资金 | 本年规模变动 | 其余规模 | | 有色金属 | 15.50 | 40.66 | 248.45 | 366.25 | 439.58 ...

近来商业航天催化不断，国家航天局成立商业航天司，并发布商业航天高质量发展行动计划，涵盖火 箭、卫星、新兴产业布局和资金支持等多个维度；可回收运载火箭朱雀三号实现入轨，长征十二A、天 龙三号近期有望集中首飞。 卫星端：1）通信星座：星网今年七月底以来加速组网，新一代卫星技术架构正在确认中，大规模组网 即将开始，看好价值量较高的载荷端及市场空间较大的终端；2）算力星座：可实现天数天算，解决之 前天数地算中数据利用率较低的问题，谷歌、Starlink等巨头纷纷开始布局，我国有望同步进行规划。 东方证券指出，近期除了朱雀三号首飞还有长征十二号甲、天龙三号等火箭将首飞，催化不断。随着可 回收技术继续突破，未来火箭端成本有望大幅降低，我国商业航天有望迎来规模化、常态化发展的新阶 段。短期来看，民营火箭有望成为运力的有效补充，可以解决发射端火箭不足的问题；长期来看，三到 五年内我国有望实现可回收复用商用化，之后商业火箭的发射成本有望大幅降低，发射次数将迎来大幅 提升。 国防ETF紧密跟踪中证国防指数，中证国防指数选取隶属于十大军工集团公司旗下的上市公司证券，以 及为国家武装力量提供武器装备，或与军方有实际装备承制销售金额或 ...

Core Insights - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket marks a significant milestone for China's commercial space industry, addressing the core issue of insufficient launch capacity [1] - The launch validates the rocket's basic launch capabilities, enabling it to undertake commercial orders [1] - The establishment of the National Commercial Space Administration is expected to optimize management and catalyze growth in the commercial space sector during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Industry Developments - The successful launch is anticipated to accelerate the construction of satellite internet constellations and open new business models such as space tourism and space manufacturing [1] - Several reusable rockets, including Long March 12A and Tianlong 3, are lined up for their maiden flights, indicating a period of intensive validation and potential explosive growth in the industry [1] Market Performance - As of December 4, 2025, the CSI Defense Index (399973) rose by 1.07%, with notable increases in stocks such as Aerospace Electronics (600879) up 8.82% and Yingli Technology (300395) up 4.35% [1] - The National Defense ETF (512670) also saw a rise of 0.91%, reflecting positive market sentiment towards defense-related stocks [1] Index Composition - The CSI Defense Index includes stocks from the top ten military industrial groups and companies that provide weaponry or have contracts with the military, reflecting the overall performance of defense industry stocks [2] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 44.06% of the total index, with significant players including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760) and Aero Engine Corporation of China (600893) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing a strong performance driven by multiple favorable factors, contributing to the recent upward trend in the stock market indices, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index, which closed at 3633.99 points, up 0.45% [1]. Group 1: Military Industry Performance - The military sector has shown significant strength, with various sub-sectors such as PEEK materials, liquid cooling servers, military equipment, and humanoid robots all performing well [3][5]. - The defense ETF (512670) has seen a year-to-date increase of 23.02%, leading its category, and has achieved three consecutive monthly gains [7][11]. - The overall market for defense and military indices has seen substantial growth, with the China Securities Defense Index rising by 22.95% since the beginning of the year, outperforming other similar indices [11][12]. Group 2: Investment Trends and Market Dynamics - There is a notable increase in capital expenditure (Capex) from overseas manufacturers, reinforcing the "investment-growth-reinvestment" cycle in the AI industry, which is closely linked to the military sector [6]. - The military industry is benefiting from geopolitical tensions, with global military spending projected to reach $2.7 trillion in 2024, a 9.4% increase year-on-year, which is expected to enhance China's share in the international arms trade [14]. - The military sector is entering a new order cycle, with a high degree of certainty for future demand, particularly in areas such as aviation, armaments, and drones, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [17][15]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Fund Inflows - As of July 27, 42 military stocks reported a net profit of nearly 5.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 45%, marking the highest level in five years [18]. - Institutional investors have begun to increase their allocation to military stocks after ten consecutive quarters of reduction, with military-themed funds growing significantly in the second quarter [18]. - The defense ETF (512670) has attracted a net inflow of 394 million yuan from June 23 to August 5, with a substantial increase in trading volume and fund size [27].

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing a strong performance driven by multiple favorable factors, leading to a rebound in the stock market and a potential continuation of this trend [5][12][29]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.45% to close at 3633.99 points, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also showing gains of 0.64% and 0.66% respectively [3]. - The defense ETF (512670) has seen its year-to-date increase expand to 23.02%, ranking first among similar ETFs, with a three-day consecutive rise in the monthly K-line [12][15]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The military sector is currently in a favorable economic cycle, with strong demand driven by upcoming events such as the September 3 military parade and performance disclosures [14][15]. - The overall market for defense and military indices has shown significant growth, with the China Securities Defense Index rising by 22.95% since the beginning of the year, outperforming other similar indices by approximately 4% [15][16]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The hardware sector related to AI has been performing exceptionally well, with specific segments like liquid cooling servers and humanoid robots gaining traction [8][9]. - The liquid cooling server market is expected to see accelerated growth due to increased demand from major cloud service providers and advancements in AI technology [9]. - The humanoid robot sector is also experiencing growth, with companies like Yushutech launching new products that enhance capabilities in challenging environments [10][11]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Funding Trends - Major automotive parts manufacturers are expanding into the humanoid robot sector, indicating a growing interest and investment in this area [11]. - Institutional investors have begun to increase their allocation to the military sector after ten consecutive quarters of reduction, with the defense industry theme fund size reaching 99.5 billion yuan, a significant increase from the previous quarter [23][24]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The military industry is expected to maintain a positive outlook as new orders are confirmed and performance improves, with a projected increase in overall industry demand in the second half of the year [22][29]. - The global military expenditure is projected to reach 2.7 trillion USD in 2024, marking a 9.4% year-on-year increase, which could enhance China's share in the international military trade market [18][19].

Market Overview - On August 6, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.64%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.66%. The STAR 100 Index led with a rise of 1.62% [1][2] - In the Hong Kong market, major indices also collectively rose, with the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.20% [4][5] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector led the gains with an increase of 3.07%, followed by machinery equipment at 1.98% and coal at 1.89%. Conversely, the pharmaceutical and biological sector saw a decline of 0.65%, along with commercial trade and construction materials, both down by 0.23% [6] Hot Topics - The defense sector is heating up as the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War approaches, with the National Defense ETF (512670) rising by 2.4% to a new high of 0.855. The upcoming military parade on September 3, 2025, is expected to draw significant attention, particularly towards new technologies in military equipment [7] - Analysts highlight three advantages for the securities sector: 1. High cost-performance ratio due to improved mid-year performance and potential for rotation and rebound [8] 2. Multiple catalysts from relaxed financial regulations and potential for increased trading sentiment from stablecoins [8] 3. Long-term value in brokerage firms, particularly top-tier firms, due to enhanced business leverage and low public fund allocation [8]

Group 1 - The China Defense Index (399973) has seen a strong increase of 2.54%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Inner Mongolia First Machinery (600967) up 9.25%, and Gaode Infrared (002414) up 7.79% [1] - The current focus in the military industry sector is on emerging sub-sectors that represent future development directions, particularly in new combat capabilities like unmanned equipment, underwater operations, cyber warfare, and hypersonic technologies [1] - The newly established Emerging Resource Forces have begun to oversee the construction of the entire network information system, with expectations for comprehensive information construction to start in the third or fourth quarter of this year [1] Group 2 - Military electronics orders are expected to see significant improvements in September, driven by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the push for lower costs in downstream equipment, and increased demand for electronic components [2] - The report indicates that the price decline issues of the past two years are easing, leading to a more balanced supply-demand situation, with expectations for gross margins to stabilize or improve [2] - The Defense ETF closely tracks the China Defense Index, which includes listed companies under the ten major military groups and those providing weaponry to the armed forces, reflecting the overall performance of defense industry listed companies [2] Group 3 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Defense Index include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760) and AVIC Engine (600893), collectively accounting for 43.88% of the index [3]

Group 1: Market Trends - In the early trading session, major funds saw net inflows in sectors such as defense, non-bank financials, and electronics, while there were net outflows in computer, non-ferrous metals, and machinery sectors, with the computer sector experiencing a net outflow exceeding 5.3 billion [1] - As of July 28, the Defense ETF (512670.SH) rose by 1.22%, and its associated index, the China Defense Index (399973.SZ), increased by 1.42% [1] Group 2: Military Equipment Developments - On July 21, the China Weapon Industry Group conducted a demonstration of unmanned and counter-unmanned combat systems, showcasing new combat capabilities in the unmanned domain [2] - Unmanned systems, particularly loitering munitions, are expected to play a crucial role in future combat, offering low-cost advantages and high lethality against valuable targets [2] Group 3: Investment Insights - In Q2 2025, active funds increased their allocation to military industry stocks, with an overweight increase of 0.35 percentage points from Q1, indicating a growing interest in military trade and new combat capabilities [3] - The military trade sector is anticipated to become a second growth driver, with significant performance potential in the context of recovering market conditions [3] - Key stocks in the military sector include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company, Guorui Technology, and Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group, among others, which are expected to benefit from increased demand and investment [3][4]

Group 1 - The China Defense Index (399973) has seen a strong increase of 3.13%, with notable gains from stocks such as China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation (10.02%) and Northern Navigation (9.99%) [1] - The Defense ETF (512670) rose by 3.18%, reaching a latest price of 0.75 yuan, marking it as the top performer among defense and military ETFs [1] - The latest scale of the Defense ETF reached 5.462 billion yuan, achieving a new high in nearly a year [1] Group 2 - Recent developments include the launch of the world's first high-orbit commercial relay satellite project in Shenzhen, indicating a strategic focus on the aerospace industry for local economic transformation [1] - China Galaxy Securities highlights the underestimated long-tail effect of military trade and the acceleration of military transformation contributing to enhanced combat capabilities [2] - The Defense ETF closely tracks the China Defense Index, which includes listed companies under the top ten military groups and those providing equipment to the armed forces, reflecting the overall performance of defense industry stocks [2]

Group 1 - The defense ETF (512670.SH) increased by 3.37%, with its associated index, the Zhongzheng Defense (399973.SZ), also rising by 3.37% [1] - Major constituent stocks such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (中航沈飞) rose by 5.48%, AVIC Chengfei (中航成飞) by 6.41%, and AVIC Optoelectronics (中航光电) by 2.55% [1] - The defense and military sector experienced a rebound, with stocks like Tianjian Technology and Chengfei Integration achieving four consecutive trading gains, driving significant market interest [1] Group 2 - The favorable logic for the defense industry includes short-term tensions between India and Pakistan, medium-term acceleration of project 145, and long-term shifts in military trade orders from Europe and the U.S. to China [2] - The ceasefire between India and Pakistan is not fully stable, with recent skirmishes indicating potential ongoing military engagements and equipment testing [2] Group 3 - Related products include the Defense ETF (512670) [3] - Associated stocks include AVIC Optoelectronics (002179), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760), AVIC Power (600893), AVIC Xifei (000768), AVIC onboard (600372), and others [3]