Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the automotive industry, highlighting potential growth opportunities in the sector [10][42]. Core Insights - The logistics robot production by ByteDance has exceeded 1,000 units, indicating a significant growth trajectory with over 100% year-on-year increase in production [4]. - Tesla's Q2 2025 global deliveries reached 384,122 units, showing a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 14.09%, despite a year-on-year decline of 13.48% [5][7]. - The report emphasizes that 2025 is a pivotal year for robot application scenarios, suggesting that companies with platform-based layouts will have competitive advantages [5]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance in the A-share market showed a 0.2% increase, lagging behind the broader market by 1.3 percentage points [15]. - The automotive industry PE (TTM) stands at 35.3, placing it in the 50.2% percentile over the past four years [24]. Industry Data Tracking and Commentary - In June 2025, the average daily retail of passenger cars reached 9.5 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3% [36]. - The wholesale statistics for June indicated a total of 247.3 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 14% [37]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several companies based on their potential in the humanoid robot and automotive sectors, including: - Shuanglin Co., Ltd. (300100.SZ) with a projected EPS of 1.24 for 2024 and a "Buy" rating [10]. - Leadrick (300652.SZ) with a projected EPS of 1.22 for 2024 and a "Buy" rating [10]. - Jianghuai Automobile (600418.SH) with a projected EPS of 0.12 for 2024 and a "Buy" rating [10]. Company Announcements and Industry News - The establishment of a joint venture by Baolong Technology to develop active suspension systems, indicating strategic moves in the automotive technology space [45]. - CATL's battery joint venture in Indonesia is set to produce 15 GWh of batteries, supporting the electric vehicle market [50].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies, including Changan Automobile, Asia-Pacific Holdings, and Haon Electric, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating for the overall automotive industry [1][4]. Core Insights - The automotive sector experienced a slight increase of 0.1% from June 30 to July 4, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.44 percentage points. The passenger vehicle segment rose by 0.43%, while commercial vehicles increased by 1.49% [9][36]. - Heavy-duty truck sales in June 2025 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 32% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. Approximately 94,000 units were sold, with major manufacturers like China National Heavy Duty Truck and Dongfeng showing significant growth [2][36]. - The report highlights the launch of the Xiaopeng G7, the first AI car with L3-level computing power, priced between 195,800 and 225,800 yuan, showcasing advanced technology features [5][36]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The automotive sector's performance from June 30 to July 4, 2025, showed a 0.1% increase, with various segments performing differently against the CSI 300 index [9][36]. - The overall PE-TTM for the automotive industry was 25.95, reflecting a slight increase from the previous week [10][36]. Major Company and Industry Events - Heavy-duty truck sales in June reached approximately 94,000 units, with significant contributions from major manufacturers [2][36]. - Xiaopeng G7 was officially launched, marking a significant advancement in AI automotive technology [5][36]. New Vehicle Launches - A total of 33 new models were launched during the week, including the Xiaopeng G7 and various updated versions of existing models [34][36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a cautious approach to investment in the automotive sector, given the mixed performance of different segments and the overall market conditions [36].

海外行业报告 | 行业动态研究 港股周报（2025.06.30-2025.07.04） 证券研究报告 南向资金维持流入，持续看好港股中概整体估值重估 本周港股通 5 个交易日共净买入 126.803 亿元，年初至今净买入 6921.0405 亿元，相当于 2024 年全年净买入 7440.3081 亿元的 93.02%。南向资金重点加仓建设银行、中芯国际、美团。当前 互联网公司处于估值相对低位，小米、腾讯、阿里巴巴、美团、百度、拼多多、京东、快手 25 年 （阿里巴巴为 FY26）PE 分别为 28.1/ 15.7/ 10.8/ 14.1/ 8.7/ 10.3/ 7.2/ 11.2。 AI 方面，快手发布多模态大语言模型 Kwai Keye VL，深度融合文本、图像、视频信息、具有强大 的视频理解和逻辑推理能力，Kwai Keye-VL 在 2025 高考全国数学卷中取得了 140 分的成绩。 蚂蚁集团发布 AI 健康应用 AQ，提供健康科普、就诊咨询、报告解读、健康档案等 AI 功能，连 接全国超 5000 家医院。我们继续看好模型迭代的性能提升以及性价比提升下 AI 在应用侧的商业 化进展。 智能驾驶方面 ...

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-07-07 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观深度报告 20250704：基于 43 个国家的比较：我国服务消费比重是否 偏低？ 我们利用 43 个国家和地区 2019 年的消费数据，从自下而上的视角对我 国消费结构进行国际比较。数据年份如无特别说明均为 2019 年，关于样 本国家和数据的详细说明参考正文第四节附录部分。主要结论如下： 我 国消费率偏低是服务消费影响吗？我国整体消费率偏低，服务和商品消 费都有待提高，并不是商品消费高、服务消费低。2019 年我国居民消费 率为 39.3%=服务消费率 21.1%+商品消费率 18.2% ，而 43 个国家居民消 费率为 55.2%=服务消费率 28.4%+商品消费率 26.8%。我国商品消费率比 43 国平均水平低 8.6 个点，服务消费率比 43 国平均水平低 7.3 个点，都 有较大的提升空间。 我国服务消费比重真的低吗？不低。跟人均 GDP 在 2.5 万美元以上的国家相比，我国服务消费比重是偏低的；但跟人均 GDP 在 2.5 万美元以下的国家 ...

Macro Analysis - The recovery in U.S. non-farm employment in June 2025 shows concerns as government jobs contributed nearly half of the new jobs, raising doubts about sustainability [1] - Private sector employment weakened, with service sector job additions dropping from 141,000 to 68,000, indicating potential economic pressure from tariffs [1] - The probability of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of the year remains significant [1] Tax Policy Impact - The successful implementation of the tax reduction bill may partially offset economic pressures from tariffs, but its limited impact suggests it will not provide strong stimulus [2] - The tax bill is expected to increase the U.S. government deficit by approximately $4 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating supply-demand mismatches in U.S. Treasury bonds [2] Trade Agreements - The U.S. is focusing on negotiating 10 trade agreements with Asian countries, with preliminary agreements reached with Vietnam and potential agreements with India, Malaysia, and Indonesia [3] - The deadline for negotiations has been extended to September 1, indicating a flexible approach from the U.S. government [3] REITs Market - As of June 30, 2025, the number of public REITs in China reached 68, with a total issuance scale of 177.06 billion yuan [4] - The secondary market for public REITs experienced a price correction but still achieved a positive return of 1.95% for the month [4] Credit Bonds - The total outstanding credit bonds in China reached 29.96 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, with a monthly issuance of 1,316.36 billion yuan, reflecting a 62.65% increase month-on-month [5] - Credit spreads for various levels of local government bonds widened slightly compared to the previous month [5] Automotive Industry - In Q2 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume showed a recovery, while domestic competitors like Li Auto and NIO stabilized [12] - The Xiaomi YU7 has seen a surge in orders, prompting new energy vehicle companies to enhance their purchasing incentives [12] Chemical Industry - MXD6, a special nylon, exhibits high gas barrier properties and rigidity, with significant application potential in food packaging and automotive sectors [13] - The increasing production capacity of domestic manufacturers is expected to enhance the cost-effectiveness of MXD6 composite materials, expanding its market applications [13] Company Analysis - The report highlights the investment value of YUEJIANG (2432.HK), a leading global collaborative robot manufacturer, emphasizing its strong market position and technological advantages [14] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 500 million, 670 million, and 890 million yuan from 2024 to 2027, respectively, with an "accumulate" rating assigned [14]

2025 年 07 月 07 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 113 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 2025 年 6 月重卡销量同比显著增长，看好全年重卡内需景气度--行业动态研究 股市行情上涨，后续转债如何选择？--固定收益点评 全球领先玩具制造商，印尼新厂于年中投产--德林国际/文娱用品(01126/213605) 点评报告（港股美股） 医药行业深度报告：数说日本医疗的现代化历程，质量、效率和成本的特有平衡--产业 PPT 报告（无评级） 黄金价格波动的底层逻辑--宏观专题研究 谷歌与 CFS 签订 200MW 核聚变供电协议，产业长期发展趋势已立--事件点评 湖北省人形机器人产业投资母基金设立，步科发布第四代无框力矩电机及中空驱动器--行业周报 工信部召开光伏企业座谈会，海风政策催化不断落地--行业周报 红利资产从共识到分化的再审视--资产配置报告 光刻机行业深度报告（一）：核心部件篇，曙光已现--行业 PPT 报告 人形机器人灵巧手深度报告：灵巧手赛道蓝海可期，各类新 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The governance of "involution" competition is expected to promote healthy development in the industry, with continued focus on companies within the Huawei supply chain [1][13] - June sales in the automotive industry benefited from consumption promotion policies, with significant year-on-year growth observed [11][17] - The report suggests that companies related to the Huawei supply chain will be less affected by price competition, indicating a stable order growth for models like the Hongmeng Zhixing S800 [12][19] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends continued attention to the Huawei supply chain, including complete vehicles and auto parts, with a focus on competitive domestic brands and new forces in intelligent driving technology expected to expand market share by 2025 [2][14] - Suggested companies for investment include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, and several others in the automotive and parts sectors [15][16] Sales Tracking - In June, the wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 1.235 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15%, while retail sales reached 763,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [17] - Notable sales growth was reported for several new energy vehicle brands, with Hongmeng Zhixing delivering 52,747 units in June, marking a new monthly high [19] Industry Dynamics - The automotive industry is taking proactive measures to combat "involution" competition, including shortening supplier payment terms to 60 days and implementing various actions to stabilize pricing and improve profitability [13][22] - The report highlights that the central government is focusing on eliminating low-price disorderly competition and enhancing product quality across the industry [13] Market Performance - The automotive sector's overall performance has been relatively flat, with the motorcycle and other segments showing better performance [22] - The report notes that the automotive industry has underperformed compared to the broader market indices, indicating a need for strategic adjustments [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the mid-to-high-end market and strong alpha companies [3][4]. Core Insights - The Chinese automotive market is transitioning between the third and fourth consumption eras, with a notable expansion in mid-to-large SUVs and personalized products, indicating untapped consumer potential [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative supply to stimulate market demand, highlighting products like Yu7, Zun Jie S800, and upcoming models from Li Auto as key drivers [4]. - The report suggests continued attention to strong alpha manufacturers such as Li Auto, JAC, Xiaomi, and Seres, as well as their corresponding supply chain companies [4]. Industry Update - Retail sales of passenger cars reached 570,000 units in the 26th week of 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.38%. Traditional energy vehicles sold approximately 274,000 units, down 7.43%, while new energy vehicles sold 296,000 units, up 4.96%, achieving a penetration rate of 51.93% [4]. - The automotive industry experienced a total transaction value of 425.645 billion yuan this week, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 5.01% [4]. - The automotive industry index rose by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 1.54%, indicating that the automotive sector's performance was below the broader market [11]. Market Conditions - The report notes that 123 automotive stocks rose while 159 fell this week, with the largest gainers being TaoTao Automotive, Hunan Tianyan, and Zhengyu Industrial, which saw increases of 29.8%, 21.0%, and 18.3%, respectively [15]. - Key events include the launch of the Xiaopeng G7, which exceeded pricing expectations and features advanced autonomous driving capabilities, and the opening of BYD's factory in Brazil, enhancing its presence in the Latin American market [5][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaopeng, as well as companies involved in the trend of smart technology, including Jianghuai Automobile and Seres [4]. - It also suggests monitoring state-owned enterprise reforms, particularly with SAIC Motor, and identifying component manufacturers with strong growth potential, such as Fuyao Glass and New Spring [4]. Key Events - Xiaopeng G7 was launched with a starting price of 195,800 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities and a significant increase in autonomous driving performance [5][41]. - BYD's new factory in Brazil aims for an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles, with plans to expand to 300,000 units, marking a significant step in its global strategy [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The automotive industry saw a slight increase of 0.2% from June 29 to July 5, with various new energy vehicle manufacturers reporting significant sales growth [1][22]. - Notable performances include Leap Motor's delivery of 48,000 units in June, a year-on-year increase of over 138%, and Xiaopeng Motors' delivery of 35,000 units, a year-on-year surge of 224% [22]. - Changan Automobile plans to establish a factory in Europe to support its sales strategy, aiming to expand into at least 10 European markets by the end of 2025 [27]. - BYD launched its flagship luxury MPV, the M9, in Mexico, marking a significant step in its high-end new energy market strategy [23]. Market Performance Overview - The automotive sector's overall market performance was positive, with secondary segments like motorcycles and commercial vehicles showing notable increases of 5.1% and 1.5%, respectively [11]. - The report highlights that the automotive industry has a total of 259 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 4,051.4 billion [4]. Company-Specific Developments - Leap Motor's June deliveries reached 48,000 units, while Hongmeng Zhixing delivered 53,000 units, and the Wanjie brand delivered 45,000 units [22]. - The report emphasizes the strong sales potential of models like the Changan S800, which achieved over 6,500 pre-orders in its first month [23]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong sales performance or potential blockbuster vehicles, including BYD, Seres, Great Wall Motors, and Jianghuai Automobile [8]. Recent Vehicle Launches - Xiaopeng G7, a new AI smart family SUV, was launched with a price range of 195,800 to 225,800 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities [26]. - The report also notes the upcoming launches of new models from various manufacturers, including the i8 from Ideal Motors and the B01 from Leap Motor [21].

2025 年 7 月 6 日 行业研究 2Q25 特斯拉交付环比修复，小米 YU7 订单火爆引发新势力购车权益加码 ——特斯拉与新势力 6 月销量跟踪报告 要点 2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量环比修复：2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量同比 -13.5%/环比 +14.1%至 38.4 万辆（Model 3+Y 同比-11.5%/环比+15.4%至 37.4 万辆）。 6 月理想交付同环比下滑，小鹏/蔚来环比企稳：1）理想交付量同比-24.1%/环 比-11.2%至 36,279 辆；2）小鹏交付量同比+224.4%/环比+3.2%至 34,611 辆； 3）蔚来交付量同比+17.5%/环比+7.3%至 24,925 辆（乐道 L60 交付环比+1.9% 至 6,400 辆、萤火虫交付环比+6.8%至 3,932 辆）。 小米 YU7 订单火爆引发国内新势力权益加码，小鹏 G7 上市差异化策略清晰： 特斯拉：国产 Model 3 后驱版和长续航版交付周期维持 1-3 周、高性能版交付 周期延长至 8-10 周（vs. 6 月为 1-3 周），焕新版 Model Y 交付周期缩短至 1-3 周（vs. 6 月为 2-5 周 ...