2025年下半年，白银价格出现补涨，使得金银比价得到修复。截至12月9日，COMEX黄金期货价格年 内涨幅约为60%，而COMEX白银期货价格在下半年启动补涨，尤其是8月之后加速上涨，年内涨幅超过 100%。 从实物供需看，世界白银协会11月发布的数据显示，2025年全球白银开采供应预计与去年持平，为8.13 亿盎司，回收量约为1.97亿盎司，增幅仅为1%。与此同时，2025年全球白银需求预计降至11.2亿盎司， 同比下降4%，但依旧远高于白银供应。全球白银供应缺口预计在1亿～1.18亿盎司，这是连续第5年出 现供应缺口。 需求方面，尽管白银首饰需求持续下降，但近年来光伏和电动汽车需求持续支撑工业用银增长。2025年 全球光伏产业用银量预计达到7560吨，占全球白银总需求的比例从2022年的20%大幅上升至55%。2025 年全球新能源汽车行业白银消耗量预计为2566吨，同比增长12%。此外，AI算力服务器及数据中心建设 对未来白银消费也形成拉动。 金银价格的上涨源于金融属性和商品属性的共振。其中，黄金价格上涨主要是受投资需求和全球央行购 金推动，而白银价格上涨除了受投资需求影响外，还受实物供应短缺以及低库存 ...

转自：期货日报 2025年下半年，白银价格出现补涨，使得金银比价得到修复。截至12月9日，COMEX黄金期货价格年 内涨幅约为60%，而COMEX白银期货价格在下半年启动补涨，尤其是8月之后加速上涨，年内涨幅超过 100%。 金银价格的上涨源于金融属性和商品属性的共振。其中，黄金价格上涨主要是受投资需求和全球央行购 金推动，而白银价格上涨除了受投资需求影响外，还受实物供应短缺以及低库存支撑。如果全球货币政 策持续宽松，金银价格的涨势就很难结束，但需要警惕美联储降息后利多出尽带来的回调风险。 从实物供需看，世界白银协会11月发布的数据显示，2025年全球白银开采供应预计与去年持平，为8.13 亿盎司，回收量约为1.97亿盎司，增幅仅为1%。与此同时，2025年全球白银需求预计降至11.2亿盎司， 同比下降4%，但依旧远高于白银供应。全球白银供应缺口预计在1亿～1.18亿盎司，这是连续第5年出 现供应缺口。 需求方面，尽管白银首饰需求持续下降，但近年来光伏和电动汽车需求持续支撑工业用银增长。2025年 全球光伏产业用银量预计达到7560吨，占全球白银总需求的比例从2022年的20%大幅上升至55%。2025 年全 ...

"充满变化""令人激动"，这是芝加哥商业交易所集团（CME Group）董事总经理兼全球金属产品主管Jin Hennig对今年金属市场的概括。 尽管10月以来金价震荡加剧，但据Hennig观察，黄金期货交易市场整体表现"比以往更健康"。她根据未 平仓合约数据分析称，当市场过度波动或出现大规模获利了结时，往往会出现交易量大幅增加、未平仓 合约数量下降的情况。"但10月的情况并非如此。虽然确实存在一些获利了结的仓位调整，但同时市场 上也有大量新建仓活动在进行，说明市场参与度持续提升。" Hennig告诉记者，当前整个贵金属板块都保持着良好的交易活跃度。 与此同时，亚太地区的交易参与度也值得关注。据Hennig提供的数据，目前芝商所黄金期货日均名义成 交额约850亿美元，亚洲交易时段交易量从占全球总量的25%提高至今年的近三分之一。 黄金、白银、钴等多种金属迎来配置热潮。芝商所黄金期货今年以来的日均名义交易额约850亿美元， 而2024年为每天约600亿美元，与此同时，其他贵金属品种也备受关注。芝商所微型白银期货合约今年 以来的日均成交量为2.2万手，同比增长22%；而铂金期货合约历史成交量排名前十五的交易日，全部 ...

Core Insights - The metal market in 2023 is characterized as "full of changes" and "exciting," with significant trading activity in gold, silver, and cobalt, driven by various market dynamics [1][4]. Trading Activity - CME Group's gold futures have seen an average daily nominal trading volume of approximately $85 billion in 2023, with projections of around $60 billion per day for 2024 [1]. - The trading volume for micro silver futures has increased by 22% year-on-year, averaging 22,000 contracts per day [1]. - Overall, CME's gold futures and options trading volume has increased by 20% compared to last year, reaching record levels [2]. Retail Investor Participation - Retail investors are significantly returning to the gold market, with micro gold futures and newly launched one-ounce gold futures seeing trading volumes more than doubling [2]. - The average daily trading volume for micro gold futures exceeds 1 million contracts, while one-ounce gold futures average around 180,000 contracts [2]. Central Bank Demand - Continuous gold purchases by global central banks, including those from China, the U.S., Europe, and Japan, are driving demand for physical gold, which also positively impacts other precious metals like silver and platinum [2]. Market Health and Activity - Despite increased volatility in gold prices since October, the overall performance of the gold futures market is described as healthier than before, with new positions being established alongside some profit-taking [3]. - The participation rate in the precious metals market remains strong, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, where the trading volume during Asian hours has increased from 25% to nearly one-third of the global total [3]. Cobalt Market Dynamics - The cobalt market has experienced significant fluctuations due to export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a rise in cobalt prices [4]. - The demand for cobalt is driven by companies looking to lock in costs and hedge risks, with current positions in CME's cobalt products reaching approximately 20,000 contracts [4]. Risk Management Tools - The frequency of black swan events has increased the demand for risk management tools, prompting CME to introduce short-term options for gold and silver [5]. Chinese Market Participation - Chinese clients are increasingly influential in CME trading, showing a preference for regulated trading environments and contributing significantly to global demand, particularly in copper, where they account for over 40% of global consumption [6]. - The ongoing transition to carbon neutrality is expected to sustain long-term demand for both industrial and precious metals, with a focus on infrastructure and energy storage needs [6]. - The recycling of metals is anticipated to gain momentum, with China making notable progress in enhancing resource utilization efficiency through large-scale recycling initiatives [6].

"充满变化""令人激动"，这是芝加哥商业交易所集团(CME Group)董事总经理兼全球金属产品主管Jin Hennig对今年金属市场的概括。 黄金、白银、钴等多种金属迎来配置热潮。芝商所黄金期货今年以来的日均名义交易额约850亿美元， 而2024年为每天约600亿美元，与此同时，其他贵金属品种也备受关注。芝商所微型白银期货合约今年 以来的日均成交量为2.2万手，同比增长22%；而铂金期货合约历史成交量排名前十五的交易日，全部 出现在今年的5月、6月和9月。 Hennig近日接受中国证券报记者专访时表示，今年以来贸易紧张局势、关税问题等挑战此起彼伏，但碳 中和转型背景下，能源结构调整带来的基础设施、储能需求，使金属市场长期前景总体依然积极。 ● 本报记者葛瑶 散户重回黄金市场 从整体来看，芝商所今年的黄金期货和期权交易数据再创新高，在去年已达到创纪录水平的基础上,今 年整体交易量增加了20%。 交易量激增的背后，最引人注目的现象是散户投资者正在大规模重返黄金市场。"从芝商所的合约交易 数据来看，面向散户的微型黄金期货合约(10盎司)和今年1月新推出的一盎司黄金期货合约，交易量均 增长了一倍以上。"Hennig ...

"充满变化""令人激动"，这是芝加哥商业交易所集团（CME Group）董事总经理兼全球金属产品主管Jin Hennig对今年金属市场的概括。 黄金、白银、钴等多种金属迎来配置热潮。芝商所黄金期货今年以来的日均名义交易额约850亿美元， 而2024年为每天约600亿美元，与此同时，其他贵金属品种也备受关注。芝商所微型白银期货合约今年 以来的日均成交量为2.2万手，同比增长22%；而铂金期货合约历史成交量排名前十五的交易日，全部 出现在今年的5月、6月和9月。 ● 本报记者 葛瑶 除黄金外，白银作为既是贵金属又是工业金属的特殊品种，同样表现亮眼。"白银往往跟随黄金上涨， 但节奏略有滞后。"Hennig称，从10月初开始，印度不断增加对白银实物的购进。此外，金价偏高令部 分投资者转向白银，这一行为进一步推升了价格。 钴市场今年也经历显著波动。受刚果（金）出口限制影响，钴价大幅上行。芝商所当前钴产品组合的持 仓量升至约2万手。Hennig告诉记者，企业为锁定成本、对冲风险，提前建仓的需求明显增强。 Hennig近日接受中国证券报记者专访时表示，今年以来贸易紧张局势、关税问题等挑战此起彼伏，但碳 中和转型背景下，能源 ...

Core Insights - The global gold spot market is experiencing explosive growth in 2025, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and escalating geopolitical risks, with gold prices surpassing $3,674 per ounce in early September, marking a 38% increase year-to-date [1] - The Asian market is particularly notable, with gold futures trading volume in the Asian session exceeding one-third of the total, and daily trading volume of micro gold futures contracts increasing fivefold compared to two years ago, indicating a significant rise in retail investor participation [1] Market Data - In China, the total transaction value of all gold varieties reached 10.70 trillion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.85%, while domestic gold ETF holdings surged by 327.73% [3] - Central banks are on a gold-buying spree, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold reserves for ten consecutive months, reaching 74.02 million ounces by the end of August, and global central bank purchases expected to remain between 900-950 tons in 2025 [4] Trading Platform Requirements - As the influence of the Asian trading session grows, investors' demands for gold trading platforms are evolving, necessitating three core standards: easy verification of regulatory qualifications, system stability for order execution during high volatility, and comprehensive risk management tools [3] Compliance and Security - Jinsheng Precious Metals meets the core requirements of a compliant gold trading platform, being an AA class member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, with transparent trading processes and independent transaction codes for trades over 0.1 lots [6] - The platform implements a "funds separation custody" system, ensuring client funds are stored separately from operational funds, and offers a rapid two-hour withdrawal service, significantly faster than the industry average [7] Investment Guidelines for New Investors - New investors are advised to verify platform regulatory qualifications, test small transaction processes, and learn basic trading rules to avoid scams [8] - It is emphasized that with gold prices at historical highs, there is no possibility of "guaranteed high returns," and investors should establish rational expectations and utilize regulated trading platforms [8]