Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index rebounded, reaching 5156.06 points, up 0.91% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 11.73 billion shares and a turnover of 32.5 billion HKD, indicating a moderate increase in trading activity [1] - The current PE-TTM of the Hang Seng Technology Index is 21.35 times, which is at a historical low of 26.0% over the past year, providing a significant valuation advantage compared to the STAR 50 Index (165 times) and the NASDAQ 100 Index (34 times) [1] - The market sentiment is gradually improving, as evidenced by the Hang Seng Index rising 0.96%, reflecting a recovery in overall market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The moderate rise in the Hang Seng Technology Index reflects a gradual repair of market sentiment, supported by the AI partnership emphasis from Anthropic, alleviating concerns about traditional software companies being replaced by AI [2] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (520570) closely tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index and includes 30 large-cap, liquid tech companies listed in Hong Kong, making it a key tool for capturing trends in the Hong Kong tech sector [2] - The combination of low historical valuations, continued inflow of southbound funds, and the acceleration of AI commercialization suggests that the index may continue to experience structural upward movement in the short term, with a sustained recovery logic in the medium term [2]

恒生科技指数，在很多投资者心里是个让人"又爱又恨"的存在。 爱的是它的弹性：在市场行情启动时，常常表现突出，且弹性很大； 恨的是它的波动：一轮上涨之后，往往伴随着剧烈回调，想要从中获益，不仅要找准进入时点，还要精准把握退出时机。 今天，我们就换一个视角来看待这个高波动资产。就像经历四季轮回，恒生科技也有自己的"春夏秋冬"。理解它处在哪个 季节，或许比预测明天的涨跌更重要。 01 冬：暗流涌动，体感不好 先来看看恒生科技指数最近的走势。 近一个月以来，恒生科技指数从1月26日的5725.99点跌至2月25日的5260.50点，区间跌幅9.27%，多数交易日呈现下跌态 势，仅少数日期出现短暂反弹。持有体验确实不太好。 （数据来源：wind，20260126-20260225，指数历史表现不预示未来，也不代表基金业绩） 这背后有清晰的宏观逻辑。港股市场在盈利端，和A股一样受益于中国经济的基本面； 但在估值端，作为离岸市场，它更受美元流动性环境的影响。近期美元流动性趋紧，是恒生科技表现承压的重要原因。 虽然美联储正处于降息周期，但下一任美联储主席人选沃什，市场普遍认为属于"结构性鹰派"。他计划在降息的同时缩减 美联储 ...

来源：智通财经 截至2026年2月13日 10:06，恒生科技ETF南方(520570)成交3013.88万元。跟踪指数恒生科技指数成分股 方面涨跌互现，华虹半导体领涨2.66%，联想集团上涨2.11%，中芯国际上涨0.72%。 华泰证券指出，港股上周伴随全球风险资产波动。全球软件行业回调、港股科技巨头入口补贴引发争 议、美元反弹及商品市场余波未消等都导致市场日间和日内波动率有所放大。但资金面依然相对充裕， 外资和南向继续大幅流入港股市场，驱动农林牧渔、食品饮料、交运等"传统经济"明显走强。展望未 来，美股科技股业绩期高峰即将结束、贵金属波动有望下降，且春节前后或依然有较多科技和消费主线 催化。 恒生科技ETF南方(520570)紧密跟踪恒生科技指数，恒生科技指数代表经筛选后最大30间与科技主题高 度相关的香港上市公司。指数前十大权重股分别为阿里巴巴-W、中芯国际、比亚迪股份、美团-W、小 米集团-W、腾讯控股、网易-S、快手-W、京东集团-SW、百度集团-SW。 恒生科技指数主要涵盖与科技主题高度相关的香港上市公司，包括网络、金融科技、云端、电子商贸及 数码业务。经过是否利用科技平台进行营运、研究发展开支占 ...

消息面上，据业内统计，截至2月11日，跨境ETF规模达到1万亿元，其中港股主题ETF规模合计8224.51 亿元。今年来，截至2月11日，港股主题ETF净流入544.35亿元。在港股市场近期的调整行情中，大量资 金借道ETF逆势入场，推动跨境ETF规模重返万亿元。随着资金涌入，多只港股主题ETF份额创上市以 来新高。同时，韩国投资者再度扫货中国股票，大举买入大模型龙头Minimax-WP。2026年伊始，韩国 投资者再度大量买入中国股票，加仓中国人工智能大模型领军企业。 恒生科技指数主要涵盖与科技主题高度相关的香港上市公司，包括网络、金融科技、云端、电子商贸及 数码业务。经过是否利用科技平台进行营运、研究发展开支占收入之比例及收入增长等三项指标筛选 后，选出市值最高的30只个股作为指数成分，指数可代表港股科技企业龙头的整体表现。 2月12日，小米集团创办人，董事长兼CEO雷军公布了小米机器人团队的阶段性研究成果：具身智能 VLA模型Xiaomi-Robotics-0，该模型在众多主流测试集中均取得了当前最优成绩，并已完成开源。据了 解，Xiaomi-Robotics-0拥有47亿参数、兼具视觉语言理解与高性能 ...

消息面上，券商普遍认为港股科技板块当前估值处于近五年低位，恒生科技指数与创业板指收益差处于 历史高位，安全边际较高，同时，港股科技板块在AI应用端和商业化环节占据核心位置，盈利增长确 定性较强，叠加海外弱美元和人民币企稳预期南向资金与外资回流有望共同支撑板块估值修复。南向资 金方面，2月4日港股通净买入约61.6亿港元，其中腾讯控股、阿里巴巴等科技龙头获大额净买入，2月5 日盘中南向资金净买入已超80亿港元。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 2月6日，港股低开，恒生科技指数一度跌超2%，随后跌幅收窄。截至10:38，恒生科技指数报5349.48。 南方基金旗下恒生科技ETF南方（520570）当日盘中跟随指数震荡上行，盘中成交活跃，成交金额约 9662万元，换手率约3.70%。 这波港股调整中，资金逆势加仓，该ETF2月4日获净申购约7785万元，在跨境ETF中净流入排名第 17/212，近5日累计净流入约7875万元，资金呈现"越跌越买"特征，显示中长期资金对港股科技板块的 配置意愿较强。 ...

在上周腾讯的业绩披露后，市场对恒生科技指数更有信心，一是腾讯的业绩全面超出市场预期，作为恒生科技权重仓股的腾讯开始回购，将为市场带来支 撑；二是美国政府停摆结束，未来1-2个月的宏观情况将逐渐清晰起来，12月有着美联储再降息的刺激，可能会为港股带来新一轮的上涨动力。 最近美股的波动也不小，但港股最近在美股MAG 7剧烈波动的情况下，像腾讯阿里这种大票的波动已经不大了，因为港股可以说是提前美股调整了一段 时间，而现在就等美股重新企稳，随着市场的风险偏好回升，回调后的恒生科技指数还是值得关注的。 首先，从点位来看，目前恒生科技的点位在上一轮行情的起涨点，而近期的低点是5700点附近，这个低点造成的原因是美股的大跌，全球资金的避险情绪 引起。 当时引发避险的原因，一是美国政府停摆引发的美国流动性紧张，当时美国SOFR的利率相当于没有降息；二是在没有宏观数据的情况下，美联储对12月 的降息表述是偏鹰的发言，包括现在也是偏鹰派的，因为缺失了一个月的数据证明。三是机构资金在年底前提前锁定利润，开始卖出减仓。 这3个原因对美股和港股都有不小的影响，但当前这两个原因都已解除了，反而跌多了是机构重新买入的机会。 理由很简单，临 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective pullback with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.97%, Shenzhen Component down by 1.93%, and ChiNext down by 2.82% on November 14, 2025, with a total trading volume of 1,958.1 billion yuan [1] ETF Performance - Oil and gas-related ETFs led the gains, with the top performers including: - Oil and Gas ETF Bosera (561760) up by 2.02% - Oil and Gas Resource ETF (159309) up by 1.68% - Oil and Gas Resource ETF (263150) up by 1.48% [2] - Conversely, the top decliners included: - Sino-Korea Semiconductor ETF (513310) down by 4.45% - Hang Seng Internet ETF (159688) down by 3.66% - ChiNext AI ETF Guotai (159388) down by 3.64% [4] Sector Insights - Guolian Minsheng Securities noted that OPEC+ unexpected production increases and U.S. tariffs are pressuring oil prices, but a slowdown in U.S. oil and gas production growth may provide fundamental support. The focus remains on leading oil and gas central enterprises with quality upstream assets and high dividends [3] - The current investment strategy is diversified, emphasizing "anti-involution," domestic demand, and emerging industries. The traditional cyclical chemical sector is expected to see improvements as excess capacity is gradually eliminated [3] A-share Strategy Outlook - Guoxin Securities projected that the bull market initiated in 2024 is not over, entering its second phase with a shift from sentiment to fundamentals. The focus for 2026 will be on technology, particularly in AI applications, robotics, and smart driving [5] - The market is expected to revolve around themes of technological self-reliance, industrial upgrades, and resource security, with opportunities in AI, semiconductors, and high-end manufacturing [5] ETF Trading Activity - The Short-term Bond ETF (511360) had the highest trading volume at 19.797 billion yuan, followed by Silver Hua Daily ETF (211880) at 12.553 billion yuan and Huabao Tianyi ETF (211990) at 11.818 billion yuan [6][7] - The National Debt Policy Bond ETF (511580) led in turnover rate at 275%, indicating high trading activity [7] New ETF Launch - A new QDII product, the Hang Seng Technology ETF Southern (520570), will be launched next Monday, tracking the Hang Seng Technology Index. It is suitable for investors optimistic about China's long-term tech development [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" in shaping investment strategies, highlighting the shift towards a modern industrial system and the prioritization of technological self-reliance and innovation as key drivers for economic growth [1][12]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The "15th Five-Year Plan" prioritizes the construction of a modern industrial system and sets "technological self-reliance" as the second development goal, providing quantifiable targets for the capital market [1]. Historical Context - Previous five-year plans have led to the emergence of significant industries: - The 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) focused on seven strategic emerging industries including energy conservation and new energy vehicles [2]. - The 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020) emphasized supply-side reforms [3]. - The 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) introduced a focus on carbon neutrality and supply chain security [4]. Investment Opportunities - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to drive investment in strategic emerging industries, with a focus on sectors such as new energy, biotechnology, and high-end equipment [7][12]. - Historical data shows that industries highlighted in the 14th Five-Year Plan have outperformed the market, with significant excess returns observed in sectors like photovoltaics and new energy vehicles [6][8]. Policy Tools - The article outlines the policy tools prepared for the "15th Five-Year Plan": 1. Fiscal measures to enhance macroeconomic policies and increase central government spending. 2. Monetary policies aimed at developing direct financing and financial markets. 3. Industrial policies to boost innovation and new productivity [4]. Strategic Focus Areas - The "15th Five-Year Plan" identifies key strategic areas for investment, including: - Advanced manufacturing, artificial intelligence, and semiconductor industries as core components of the hard technology sector [15][18]. - Emphasis on the integration of technology and industry, with a focus on scaling innovations [12][16]. ETF Recommendations - Specific ETFs are highlighted as investment vehicles to capitalize on the trends outlined in the "15th Five-Year Plan": 1. Chip ETF focusing on semiconductor industries. 2. AI ETF targeting companies in the artificial intelligence sector. 3. Robotics ETF covering the entire robotics supply chain [18][29]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the "15th Five-Year Plan" is not just a domestic economic strategy but also a framework for global capital reallocation, with significant implications for investment in technology and innovation [28].