◎记者 朱妍 今年以来，多家公募基金管理人收到《关于指数基金纳入个人养老金产品名录相关工作的通知》，明确 了将指数基金纳入个人养老金产品名录的标准。根据通知，公募基金管理人可以在每季度结束后1个月 内，将符合标准的指数产品申请纳入名录。目前，在个人养老金基金名录中，指增基金的数量已增至24 只，涉及上证50、沪深300、中证500、中证800等多个指数。 指增基金丰富投资者选择 在赚钱效应下，指增基金的市场关注度不断提升。Choice数据显示，截至8月21日，24只纳入个人养老 金产品名录的指增基金，成立以来平均收益接近12%，且最早成立的产品成立时间为2024年12月。养老 基金Y份额投资者的风险偏好与指增基金较为匹配。 南方基金此前发布的《2024年中国个人养老金发展报告》显示，在一般基金投资者中，无法接受大幅收 益波动的投资者占比为46.6%。但在已购买养老基金Y份额的投资者中，此类投资者占比为23%，希望 赚取高收益并愿意承担有限甚至较大本金损失的投资者占比达到77%。 博道基金认为，此次个人养老金基金增加多只指增基金，有助于投资者结合自己的风险偏好和个人养老 规划等因素，进行养老资产的配置。指增基金 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This year, public - offering equity funds have outperformed the market. Leading equity active funds are a mix of focused, rotational, and gambling types in terms of industries, with mid - growth and mid - high valuation styles. Their returns mainly come from stock - picking and trading abilities, and they are more concentrated in the consumer sector. Leading equity quantitative funds may deviate towards large - cap and value, with less under - allocation of finance and less over - allocation of machinery and electronics compared to other public - offering quantitative funds [1][14][33]. - In June 2025, the equity market's sentiment will continue to recover, and investors should take advantage of trading opportunities; the 10Y Treasury bond rate may decline by 9BP to 1.60%; gold should be continuously allocated; the real - estate supply - side pressure will rise; foreign capital will continue to flow in slightly, and the Indian equity market will have a phased rebound, but its current allocation value is relatively limited [2][35]. - In terms of market style, it is recommended to focus on the expected growth style, and the institutional attention to small - cap stocks is accelerating [4][91]. - For industry allocation, the high - probability and high - odds strategy recommends non - ferrous metals, electronics, power equipment and new energy, computers, machinery, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery; the industry clearance and reversal strategy recommends non - ferrous metals, electronics, and communications [5][107]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Year's Characteristics of Leading - Performance Funds 3.1.1 Equity Active Funds - As of May 30, 2025, public - offering equity active funds have achieved good results. The average absolute return is 2.51%, the median is 1.13%, and the proportion of positive absolute returns is 57.30%. The average excess return relative to their respective benchmarks is 2.45%, the median is 1.49%, and the proportion of positive excess returns is 61.19%. The average information ratio is 2.67%, and the average information ratio of the top 20 is 26.1% [10][12]. - The top 20 equity active funds with an information ratio and established for more than one year are a mix of focused, rotational, and gambling types in industries, mainly with mid - growth and mid - high valuation styles, and their scale is generally below 1 billion. There are three main models: focused on consumption - mid - growth and high - valuation, industry rotation - mid - growth and mid - valuation, and industry gambling - mid - growth and high - valuation [14][15]. - The returns of these three models mainly come from stock - picking and trading contributions. Style and industry returns contribute relatively little to the total return. The leading - performance equity active funds' returns mainly come from stock - picking and trading abilities [19]. - In terms of industry distribution, these funds are mainly concentrated in the consumer sector. Focused funds are concentrated in medicine and food and beverage; rotational funds are relatively diversified, mainly in consumer and manufacturing sectors; gambling funds are concentrated in food and beverage, basic chemicals, and commerce and retail [21]. 3.1.2 Equity Quantitative Funds - In terms of style exposure relative to the benchmark, the top 20 public - offering quantitative funds in terms of information ratio may deviate towards large - cap and value. They have less deviation in small - cap and greater deviation in non - linear small - cap, indicating an increase in large - cap stocks. They also have higher exposure to undervaluation factors, showing a preference for value, and obvious deviations in low - liquidity and low - volatility [29]. - In terms of industry exposure, these top 20 funds have less under - allocation of finance and less over - allocation of machinery and electronics compared to other public - offering quantitative funds. They also have over - allocation in construction and food and beverage [31]. 3.1.3 Summary This year, public - offering equity funds have outperformed the market. Leading equity active funds are a mix of different types in industries, with mid - growth and mid - high valuation styles, and their returns mainly come from stock - picking and trading abilities, and are concentrated in the consumer sector. Leading equity quantitative funds may deviate towards large - cap and value, with different industry exposure characteristics [33]. 3.2 Quantitative Views on Major Asset Classes 3.2.1 Equity: Sentiment Continues to Recover, Seize Trading Opportunities in June - In May, the overall sentiment recovered, with a slight decline in the financial sector and a steady recovery in the industrial sector. The full - A net profit in Q2 may further improve [39]. - Credit expansion has weakened, and the structure still needs improvement. It is estimated that the new social financing in May 2025 will be about 2.33 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.27 trillion yuan year - on - year. Government bonds will continue to support the growth of social financing [45]. - The market will remain in a volatile pattern in June. Investors can increase excess returns by seizing trading opportunities. The market is in a volatile pattern, and the overall market center may gradually rise, but the pace may be slow. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index has a healthy microstructure, and investors can buy low and sell high [48]. 3.2.2 Interest Rates: The 10Y Treasury Bond Rate May Decline by 9BP to 1.60% in June - Since 2023, the out - of - sample direction prediction of the 10Y Treasury bond rate has been correct for 20 months, with a winning rate of 69%. - Economic growth, inflation, and short - term interest rate factors are declining, while the debt - leverage factor has slightly increased. Overall, the 10Y Treasury bond rate may continue to decline in June [35]. 3.2.3 Gold: Continue to Allocate - Since 2023, the out - of - sample direction prediction of gold has been correct for 22 months, with a winning rate of 76%. - Various factors jointly drive the continued rise of gold. The US economic factor is declining, the fiscal factor is rising but at a slower pace, the employment factor is recovering, and the external debt factor is increasing [62]. - The slowdown in the upward rate of the fiscal factor is due to the reduction in defense spending, while overall consumption and investment expenditures have not declined [67]. 3.2.4 Real Estate: Supply - Side Pressure Rises - As of May 31, 2025, the three - month moving average of the real - estate industry pressure index is 0.569, indicating an increase in overall industry pressure. The supply - side pressure has increased due to the weak performance at the start - up end, while the demand - side pressure is basically the same as last month [72]. 3.2.5 Overseas: Foreign Capital Continues to Flow in Slightly, and Indian Equity Has a Phased Rebound - In May, there was a small inflow of foreign capital into the Indian equity market, with a net FPI inflow of $2.344 billion. The NIFTY 50 index rose 1.71% in May. - India is currently in a stage of foreign - capital outflow and valuation downward - adjustment due to lower - than - expected profit growth, and its current allocation value is relatively limited [80][88]. 3.3 Quantitative Views on Binary Styles 3.3.1 Comprehensive View on Styles: Recommend Focusing on the Expected Growth Style - The advantage gap of actual - growth assets continues to recover, and it is recommended to maintain the allocation of actual - growth strategies. The advantage gap of expected - growth assets continues to recover, and it is recommended to increase the allocation of expected - growth strategies. - The ROE advantage gap is declining marginally, with low crowding, and the profitability strategy is not recommended although it has short - term performance. The crowding of high - dividend assets remains high, and there is a crowding risk for pure dividend assets. - Currently, both Δg and Δgf are expanding, and the expected growth sector is more worthy of attention. It is recommended to focus on the growth style in June [91]. 3.3.2 Supplementary Observation on Styles: Institutional Attention to Small - Cap Stocks is Accelerating - The downward trend of the US Treasury bond rate is unlikely to reverse. Although there may still be short - term opportunities for dividends, it is expected to have reached an inflection point in the long run. - In May, the institutional attention to small - cap stocks relative to large - cap stocks continued to accelerate. The crowding of the small - cap style increased slightly in May and remains at a high level. There is no significant difference between large - cap and small - cap stocks in June based on the seasonal effect since 2010 [95][100][105]. 3.4 Quantitative Views on Industry Allocation 3.4.1 Industry Recommendation: High - Probability and High - Odds Strategy - This strategy recommends non - ferrous metals, electronics, power equipment and new energy, computers, machinery, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery. Since 2024, the absolute return is 12.59%, and the excess return relative to the equal - weighted benchmark of CITIC first - level industries is 0.97% [5][110][114]. 3.4.2 Industry Recommendation: Industry Clearance and Reversal Strategy - This strategy recommends non - ferrous metals, electronics, and communications. It defines the state where both industry demand and supply are declining as the industry clearance state, and the state where the demand side recovers after clearance, the supply side has not turned around, and the concentration declines as the end - of - clearance reversal state [116][124].

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to develop a differentiated path for its index business, focusing on enhancing investor experience and leveraging the overall strategy of the parent bank [1][4]. Group 1: Index Fund Market Overview - The public fund industry has entered a new era of index investment, with index funds becoming essential tools for both individual and institutional investors due to their high liquidity, low fees, and transparent strategies [2]. - As of May 21, the scale of ETFs has surpassed 4 trillion yuan, with over 120 new ETFs established this year [2]. - The industry is experiencing a "Matthew effect," where new product issuance increasingly relies on the comprehensive strength, experience, and collaboration of fund companies, posing significant competitive pressure for latecomers like the company [2]. Group 2: Development Strategy - The company emphasizes a steady and methodical approach to development, progressing from broad-based to strategic and then to thematic industry products [3]. - The current goal is to complete the product chain of index funds before gradually diversifying the product categories [3]. Group 3: Enhancing Investor Experience - The company prioritizes improving investor experience as a core aspect of its development, aiming to create a professional and inclusive index business system [4]. - There is a paradigm shift in index fund development from prioritizing trading attributes to focusing on holding experience, with a need for predictable returns and controlled volatility [4]. - The company plans to prioritize products with lower drawdowns and volatility, ensuring strong explanatory logic for investment strategies [4]. Group 4: New Growth Points in Index Business - In the competitive index market, Smart Beta strategies and index-enhanced funds are emerging as new growth points [5]. - Compared to pure index products, index-enhanced products have advantageous fee structures and can potentially increase returns while meeting client and channel needs [5]. - The company recognizes the challenges in promoting Smart Beta strategies due to the need for financial knowledge and the lack of standardized definitions within the industry [6]. Group 5: Future Product Diversification - The company sees potential for further diversification of Smart Beta products, with core strategies including growth, dividends, quality, and value, which can be further segmented [6]. - These foundational strategies exhibit more regular cyclical patterns in market conditions, providing new development opportunities for index products [6].

Group 1 - The scale of passive equity index funds in China reached 3.96 trillion yuan in 2024, surpassing active equity funds at 3.44 trillion yuan, marking a significant shift towards index investing [1] - The total scale of stock ETFs exceeded 2.9 trillion yuan, indicating the rapid growth of the index market [1] - Institutions are increasingly focusing on index-enhanced funds, with major distribution platforms shifting their business strategies towards these products [1] Group 2 - The demand for index-enhanced funds is expected to grow, as they combine the advantages of index and active funds, catering to investors seeking both passive investment and excess returns [2] - As of the end of Q3 2024, the scale of domestic index-enhanced funds surpassed 230 billion yuan, with a significant increase in the number of new issuances this year [2] - Over 78% of index-enhanced funds have outperformed their benchmarks this year, with the CSI A500-related index-enhanced funds becoming particularly popular among investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth of passive equity index funds in China indicates a shift towards an index-driven investment era, with passive funds surpassing active funds in scale for the first time. Group 1: Market Trends - By 2024, the scale of passive equity index funds reached 3.96 trillion yuan, exceeding active equity funds at 3.44 trillion yuan, with stock ETFs surpassing 2.9 trillion yuan [1] - The increasing effectiveness of the market has made it more challenging for active funds to achieve excess returns, leading to a growing preference for index funds due to their lower management fees and significant cost advantages over the long term [2] - Institutional investors are increasingly favoring index funds, with a reported 57% of index equity fund holdings attributed to institutional investors, which is shifting market pricing power towards passive instruments [2] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Ant Financial's stock index fund has surpassed 320 billion yuan in scale, with over 11 million investors participating in index fund regular investment plans, averaging a holding period of 1,239 days [3] - The average return for investors in Ant Financial's index funds was 4.14% in 2024, reflecting the growing popularity and acceptance of index investing among retail investors [3] Group 3: Future Opportunities - The demand for index-enhanced funds is expected to grow, as they combine the benefits of index funds and active management, catering to investors seeking both passive investment and excess returns [4] - As of Q3 2024, the scale of domestic index-enhanced funds exceeded 230 billion yuan, with over 78% of these funds outperforming their benchmarks this year [4] - The potential for excess returns in the A-share market remains significant, with the focus shifting towards the sustainability and stability of these returns over the long term [4][5]

Group 1 - The public offering of index-enhanced funds is experiencing explosive growth, with new issuances this year reaching nearly seven times that of the same period last year, despite recent stagnation in fund size growth [1] - The stagnation is attributed to high investor cognitive barriers and the instability of excess returns, prompting fund companies to optimize strategies and innovate services to explore new opportunities in index investment [1] Group 2 - Alibaba has open-sourced its new Qwen3 model, which has one-third the parameters of DeepSeek-R1, significantly reducing costs while outperforming leading models [1] - The Qwen3 model integrates "fast thinking" and "slow thinking" within a single framework, utilizing a mixture of experts architecture, with a total parameter count of 235 billion and activation requiring only 22 billion [1] Group 3 - OpenAI is entering the e-commerce space by allowing users to purchase products through ChatGPT, redirecting them to merchant websites for checkout [2] - The product recommendations are based on user preferences and reviews from across the web, with OpenAI not charging affiliate marketing fees for purchases made through ChatGPT [2] Group 4 - The oil service industry is facing challenges due to falling international oil prices, but companies like CNOOC Services and Jereh are reporting stable performance in their Q1 2025 results [3] - Oil service companies are diversifying their operations to enhance competitiveness in response to potential risks from oil price fluctuations [3] Group 5 - Several A-share companies are changing their stock names to reflect strategic transformations and enhance brand image, with over 20 companies reported to have announced name changes this year [8] - The name changes are seen as a way to attract investor attention and signal new directions for the companies [8] Group 6 - Foton Motor announced plans to subscribe for up to 2.5 billion yuan worth of shares in Beiqi Blue Valley, which is raising up to 6 billion yuan in total [9] - This transaction is classified as a related party transaction and does not constitute a major asset restructuring [9] Group 7 - Greenland Holdings reported a net loss of 247 million yuan in Q1 2025, with revenues declining by 30.97% year-on-year [10] - Gree Real Estate also reported a loss of 90.96 million yuan in Q1 2025, with revenues down 58.54% compared to the previous year [11]

Group 1 - The National Market Regulation Administration has approved the release of two revised national standards for tourism services, which will enhance the tourism service standard system and stimulate the tourism consumption market [1] - Over 20 A-share companies have announced changes to their stock names, reflecting strategic transformations and aiming to attract investor attention [1] Group 2 - Multiple fund companies have received notifications about a 20% reduction in index usage fees from the China Securities Index Company, effective from April 1 [2] - The quarterly minimum fee for index products has been lowered to 20,000 yuan, with no minimum for certain non-stock index products [2] Group 3 - The scale of ETF funds has surpassed 4 trillion yuan, intensifying competition in the pure index sector, while the growth of index-enhanced funds has recently stagnated [3] - Industry insiders attribute the stagnation to high investor cognitive barriers and the instability of excess returns [3] - Oil service companies in A-shares report stable performance despite recent declines in international oil prices, with companies like CNOOC and Jereh showing solid results [3] Group 4 - The pace of new IPO approvals in A-shares has accelerated, indicating a gradual recovery in the IPO market, with expectations for slight growth in 2025 [4] - Deloitte China predicts that the new stock issuance in 2025 will focus on quality and support for technological innovation [4] Group 5 - The securities industry is expected to see a reversal of difficulties in 2024, with revenue and net profit growth, although investment banking services are still struggling [5] - Only 6 out of 38 listed brokerages reported positive growth in investment banking fees, with an average decline of 27% for the others [5] Group 6 - The "Guzi Economy" concept stock, Pop Mart, has seen significant stock price increases, becoming the first tenfold stock in this sector [6] - The transparency of algorithms used by major platforms is increasing, with implications for digital governance and business models [6] Group 7 - The National Development and Reform Commission has outlined measures to stabilize employment and promote high-quality economic development, focusing on effective investment and consumer support [7] - 15 out of 17 listed banks reported positive year-on-year growth in investment income for Q1 2025, with some banks showing over 100% growth [7] Group 8 - Beijing SKP is among the first stores to implement the "buy and return immediately" tax refund service, which is being expanded nationwide to enhance the consumer experience for international travelers [8]

◎记者 朱妍 随着ETF基金规模一举突破4万亿元大关，纯指数赛道的竞争进入白热化阶段。兼具被动与主动特征的 指增基金，能否成为指数投资领域的新增长点？数据显示，今年以来指增基金新发数量呈爆发式增长势 头，为去年同期的近七倍。然而，指增基金规模增长近期陷入停滞的困境。 业内人士认为，投资者认知门槛较高以及产品超额收益稳定性欠佳，是制约指增基金规模扩张的主要原 因。为了突破增长瓶颈，基金公司与代销机构以稳为主，从优化策略、升级风控、创新服务等多个维度 发力，开拓指数投资新蓝海。 锚定指数投资时代新增长点 国金基金量化团队人士认为，指增基金能满足投资者被动投资与获取超额收益的双重需求。不断丰富的 指数类型，也为指增产品提供了更多选择，未来指增基金发展空间广阔。 "布局ETF赛道需要具备一定的资源实力，大平台在这方面更具优势，且这种趋势可能会进一步加剧。 但指增产品规模的增长并非单纯依赖营销投入，在很大程度上取决于团队的专业能力。只有做出良好业 绩，产品才能逐渐获得投资者的认知与认可，进而实现规模增长。"杨梦说。 指增基金发展面临规模瓶颈 尽管基金公司频频发力，但指增基金规模增长面临瓶颈。天相投顾数据显示，截至一季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growing popularity of index funds in recent years, highlighting their advantages such as diversification, transparency, ease of trading, and lower costs, while also noting the limitations tied to the performance of the underlying index [1][2]. Summary by Sections Understanding Index Funds - Index funds are designed to track specific indices, which are composed of a basket of stocks selected based on certain criteria. For example, the CSI 300 index includes the top 300 stocks based on market capitalization and liquidity [5]. - There are two main types of index funds: broad-based index funds that cover multiple sectors and narrow-based index funds that focus on specific industries, which can present more volatility and trading opportunities [5]. Selection of Index Funds - When selecting index funds, it is important to understand the difference between fully replicated index funds, which passively track an index, and enhanced index funds, which incorporate some active management to potentially achieve excess returns [7][8]. - Key performance indicators for enhanced index funds include tracking error and information ratio, which help assess the fund manager's ability to generate excess returns while managing risk [8]. Investment Strategy - The article emphasizes the importance of aligning investment goals with the type of index fund chosen. For instance, broad-based index funds may not be suitable for investors seeking to significantly outperform the market, while they can be a good option for those looking to match market performance with less effort [9]. - A new index-enhanced fund, the Zhongtai CSI A500 Index Enhanced Fund, is currently being launched, encouraging potential investors to understand the underlying index and the fund manager's strategy before investing [10][13].