一、服务业经济增长较快，对经济增长贡献显著 服务业"压舱石"作用更加凸显。初步核算，前三季度，服务业增加值592955亿元，同比增长5.4%。服务 业增加值占国内生产总值比重为58.4%，比上年同期上升0.8个百分点，对国民经济增长的贡献率为 60.7%，拉动国内生产总值增长3.1个百分点。其中，三季度，服务业增加值202641亿元，同比增长 5.4%。服务业增加值占国内生产总值比重为57.2%，对国民经济增长的贡献率为61.8%，拉动国内生产 总值增长3.0个百分点。9月份，服务业生产指数比上年同期增长5.6%，保持较快增长。 前三季度，各地区各部门坚决贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，坚定不移深化改革开放，积极发展新 质生产力，加快构建优质高效的服务业新体系，服务业经济实现较快增长，现代服务业引领发展，新兴 服务业向新向好，服务业高质量发展取得新成效。 企业生产经营稳中有进。1—8月份，规模以上服务业企业营业收入同比增长7.7%，延续较快增长态 势，其中信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业，租赁和商务服务业实现两位数增长。 二、创新活力持续激发，新动能发展向好 现代服务业蓬勃发展。人工智能等产业生态链加速构建，推 ...

文 | 赵伟、贾东旭、侯倩楠 联系人 | 贾东旭 摘要 近期，中央财经委会议、国务院第十五次专题学习等事关产业结构调整的会议密集召开，或为 "十五五" 规划先导。以往五年规划的产业调整路径是什么，"十 五五"规划又将如何推进？系统分析，供参考。 一、产业结构调整是我国五年规划的重要内容，"十五"至"十四五"均明确了详细的产业结构调整目标。 国民经济和社会发展五年规划为国民经济与社会发展的远景设定目标、指明方向，会针对经济、改革、社会发展等领域制定具体规划。 例如，"十三五"规划的 主要目标分为七个部分：经济、创新、发展协调性、民生、社会文明、生态环境、制度建设；"十四五"规划则将经济、创新与发展协调性的目标整合为"经济 发展取得新成效"，并进一步强化了对改革与国家治理能力的重视。 从五年规划的目标设定与实施逻辑来看，产业结构调整不仅是规划的重要组成部分，更是实现核心目标的"关键手段"。 从"十五"计划到"十三五"规划，产业结 构调整均设有明确量化指标，如"十一五"和"十二五"规划分别要求提高服务业增加值占比3个和4个百分点；自"十三五"规划起，政策重心转向先进制造业发 展，到"十四五"规划时，更细化了研发经费 ...

服务出口领域迎重磅利好。9月24日，商务部、中央网信办、财政部等9部门联合发布了《关于促进服务 出口的若干政策措施》（以下简称《政策措施》），包含13项具体措施，为服务出口提供全面政策支 持。其中提出，鼓励中国出口信用保险公司和其他保险机构加大对服务出口的支持力度。 在完善保税监管制度方面，《政策措施》提出，出台对综合保税区内开展研发、检测业务和培训业态所 需进口货物实施保税监管的支持措施，对实施白名单管理的综合保税区内企业，简化相关研发、检测用 物品（特殊物品除外）进境审批流程，允许综合保税区内企业根据实际耗用核销保税检测业务所需的样 品和耗材。在符合国家相关进口监管要求的前提下，试点对综合保税区外开展"两头在外"的集成电路、 消费电子产品检测业务实行保税监管。 在优化跨境资金流动管理方面，《政策措施》提出，有序推进跨国公司本外币一体化资金池试点，支持 服务类企业作为成员企业加入跨国公司资金池业务试点，便利集团内资金调配。 在提升服务贸易跨境资金结算便利化水平方面，《政策措施》明确，持续推进服务贸易结算便利化，指 导银行优化诚信合规企业的跨境资金收付手续。对于境内外长期合作的企业间发生的小额、高频服务贸 易 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights Qinghai Province's significant growth in foreign trade, achieving a total import and export value of 35.9 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 57.7% [1][2] - Qinghai's economic high-quality development focuses on building a world-class salt lake industry base, a national clean energy industry hub, an international ecological tourism destination, and a source of green organic agricultural products [1] - The province's export of green organic agricultural products reached 3.4 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 56%, ranking first in the nation. Notably, exports of cool-season vegetables increased nearly twofold, and products like frozen trout were exported to Japan for the first time [1] Group 2 - In the secondary industry, Qinghai's exports of new energy and salt chemical products saw explosive growth, with new energy product exports totaling 18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6 times [1] - Exports of lithium-ion batteries surged to 14.4 billion yuan, marking a 32-fold increase, while salt lake chemical products reached 5.1 billion yuan, growing 2.5 times [1] - The service trade sector also experienced growth, with service trade imports and exports reaching 6.834 million USD, a 49.6% increase, and non-financial foreign direct investment rising to 1.87 million USD, up 306.7% [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the resilience and growth of China's foreign trade despite facing significant pressures, describing the situation as "stormy seas" [1] - China's position as a major trading power is reinforced, with merchandise trade expected to reach $6.16 trillion in 2024, a 32.4% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan in 2020 [1] - The diversification of trade partners is emphasized, with ASEAN being the largest trading partner for five consecutive years and trade with Belt and Road Initiative countries exceeding 50% in 2024 [3] Group 1 - The scale of China's merchandise trade is projected to be $6.16 trillion in 2024, marking a 32.4% growth from 2020, maintaining its position as the world's largest trading nation for eight consecutive years [1] - Service trade has also seen significant growth, surpassing $1 trillion and ranking second globally, reflecting China's expanding trade scale and influence in the global trade landscape [1] - The ability to maintain stable and resilient supply chains has been crucial, allowing China to effectively respond to global economic uncertainties [1] Group 2 - National-level exhibitions such as the China International Import Expo and the Canton Fair have played a vital role in supporting trade, serving as practical platforms for the three pillars of trade: goods, services, and digital trade [2] - The Chain Expo has seen increased international participation, with 102 companies signing intentions to exhibit, indicating its growing influence as a significant international trade event [2] - The strength of China's trade is not only in its scale but also in its balanced trade structure and innovative capabilities, allowing for effective global resource allocation [2] Group 3 - The resilience of foreign trade has improved significantly, with a more diverse range of trading partners contributing to this strength [3] - The proactive approach of Chinese businesses, such as language learning among shop owners in Yiwu, reflects a deep integration with the global economy [3] - Looking ahead to the 14th Five-Year Plan, there is a commitment to enhancing high-quality trade development, increasing imports, and fostering international cooperation for mutual benefits [3]

Group 1: Service Trade Growth - In the first five months of 2025, China's service trade grew steadily, with a total import and export value of 32,543.6 billion yuan, an increase of 7.7% year-on-year [4] - Service exports reached 14,033.7 billion yuan, growing by 15.1%, while imports were 18,509.9 billion yuan, increasing by 2.7% [4] - The service trade deficit was 4,476.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,352.2 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [4] Group 2: Knowledge-Intensive Services - Knowledge-intensive service trade maintained growth, with imports and exports totaling 12,492.7 billion yuan, up by 5.0% [4] - Major contributors included other business services and telecommunications, computer, and information services, with respective trade values of 5,384.1 billion yuan and 4,400.6 billion yuan, growing at 3.2% and 10.7% [4] - Knowledge-intensive service exports were 7,196.5 billion yuan, increasing by 6.6%, while imports were 5,296.2 billion yuan, up by 2.9%, resulting in a surplus of 1,900.3 billion yuan, an increase of 293 billion yuan year-on-year [4] Group 3: Travel Services - Travel services experienced the fastest growth, with total imports and exports reaching 9,200.5 billion yuan, a growth of 12.2%, making it the largest sector in service trade [5] - Travel service exports surged by 74.2%, while imports grew by 5.3% [5]

Core Insights - The impact of U.S. tariffs extends beyond goods trade, affecting service trade and financial markets as well [1] Group 1 - U.S. tariffs have significant implications for the overall trade landscape, influencing not only the exchange of physical goods but also the dynamics of service trade [1] - Financial markets are also affected by the imposition of tariffs, indicating a broader economic impact that goes beyond traditional trade metrics [1]