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调查鲍威尔,黄金探底大涨;多空双方没有隔夜仇,你来我往成常态
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 02:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, highlighting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake, regardless of the market conditions [1] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices demonstrate a pattern of rapid reversals, indicating a volatile trading environment where both bulls and bears are actively engaged [5][9] - The article notes that gold experienced a significant rebound after breaking below the 3320 level, contrasting with previous trends where it had surged before declining [3][5] Group 2 - The analysis indicates that the gold market is currently characterized by a "super sweep" phenomenon, where prices are subject to rapid changes both intraday and over longer periods [5] - Short-term support levels for gold are identified at 3336 and 3320-25, with resistance levels at 3356-58 and 3375-80, suggesting a cautious trading approach [7] - The commentary on silver suggests that it will continue to experience volatility, with key support at 37.3 and resistance at 38.4, indicating potential trading opportunities [7][9]
重磅数据来袭,黄金会冲击3400吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 06:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake [1] - Gold prices have recently surged, reaching a peak of 3275, followed by a correction, which aligns with previous expectations [1][3] - The upcoming U.S. CPI data is anticipated to influence gold prices significantly, with potential volatility expected [1][10] Group 2 - Current gold trading strategies suggest a bullish outlook if the price breaks above 3375, with targets set at 3400 and beyond [3][5] - A recent small bearish candle on the daily chart indicates a normal adjustment after a series of gains, but the overall bullish trend remains intact [5][7] - The support levels for gold are identified at 3340-3345, with critical resistance at 3375 and 3400 [5][7] Group 3 - The silver market has shown volatility, with a recent spike above 37.3 followed by a pullback, which was anticipated [8] - The focus remains on key resistance levels for silver at 39-39.2, where short positions were established [8] Group 4 - The U.S. dollar index is at a critical juncture, with potential upward movement depending on breaking through resistance levels around 101 [7][10] - Crude oil prices have been fluctuating, with recent trades indicating bullish sentiment around the 64-65 range, targeting higher levels [10][12]
黄金多头逆袭大涨,冲高回落又要来了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 02:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a significant drop followed by a recovery, suggesting potential bullish momentum if key support levels hold [1][2]. - The analysis highlights critical price levels for gold, including support at 3280 and resistance at 3345, with expectations for further movements towards 3365 and possibly 3400 if the 3345 resistance is broken [2]. - The commentary on crude oil and stock indices suggests a cautious approach, with recommendations to take profits on long positions and consider shorting at higher levels, particularly for the S&P 500 [5]. Group 2 - The trading strategy emphasizes a high-low trading approach, advising against chasing prices in either direction and suggesting profit-taking on successful trades [2]. - The commentary on gold and other commodities indicates a bullish outlook, with expectations for continued upward movement in gold prices and other sectors [8].
黄金,避险却大跌!暴跌在路上还是酝酿多头?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 02:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the ongoing volatility in the gold market, with a significant focus on the current bearish trend led by short sellers, despite some fluctuations in price [3][5] - The average daily volatility of gold has decreased to between $30 and $60, compared to previous periods where it was often over $80 or even $100 [3] - The current gold price behavior resembles the pattern observed in 2011 before a significant drop in 2013, indicating a prolonged period of market fluctuations [5] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in the Middle East, are being used as excuses for short sellers to drive prices down rather than as a catalyst for a safe-haven rally [5] - Specific price levels for gold are highlighted, with resistance noted at $3372-75 and potential support at $3345-50, indicating a cautious trading strategy [5] - Silver is also experiencing upward pressure, with resistance at $37.3 and potential short positions suggested if prices exceed this level [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai gold and silver markets are following the international gold trend, with recommendations for short positions above certain price levels [7] - The crude oil market is experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical factors, with recent price movements comparable to the past two months [7] - The U.S. dollar index shows signs of stabilization, with a potential rebound target set at the 102 level, contingent on market movements [12]
特朗普大骂美联储,黄金多头岌岌可危,多空大战一触即发!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 02:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake, regardless of the market conditions [1] - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, characterized by rapid price swings and a "super sweep" phenomenon, which is expected to continue [1][3] - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Iran, have not significantly influenced gold prices, which remain under pressure below the 3400 level [3] Group 2 - Current support for gold is precarious at the 3120 level, with potential downward movements targeting 3345-50, 3330, and 3300 if broken [5] - Resistance levels for gold are identified at 3385 and 3400, with a breakout above 3400 necessary for bullish momentum to continue [5] - Silver is expected to face resistance at 37.3, with further levels at 37.7 and 38.2 for short positions, while support is noted at 35.5 and 34.6 [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai gold and silver markets suggest a bearish outlook, with short positions recommended above 9000 for silver and specific resistance levels for gold at 795 and 800 [7] - The crude oil market is also experiencing significant volatility due to geopolitical factors, with recent fluctuations comparable to the past two months [7] Group 4 - The US dollar index shows signs of stabilization after a decline, with potential targets set at the 102 level if recent lows are not breached [12] - The S&P 500 futures are being held in short positions, with expectations of breaking the 5920 level, while caution is advised against unexpected market rallies [9][16]
黄金,继续大跌还是上涨补缺口?关键看3200!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 01:50
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 重大利空突袭,中美关税大降,印巴停火,避险情绪迅速降温,黄金上周冲高回落后继续大跌;昨天早盘低开51美元后亚盘继续大跌,连续下破3260-3220 重点支撑,欧盘新低3207一线后迎来反弹;美盘时段则3250-20间震荡,日线最终以巨阴线收盘! 周线3500美元当周长上影小阴线,然后一根中阴线及一根100余美元长上影的中阳线,表明上方抛压严重!日线来看,空头明显,下方3200区域是多头关 键,向下破位则有望形成M头,向下跌破3160-65逐步3120-3100及3050--3000大关。 标普期货重点阻力新高6130-50区域,短期5900及6020区域;支撑5750-5700区域,也是多空分水岭,多空关键。道琼斯,纳斯达克同步! 美原油,走势符合我们预期,短线大涨63.6一线后回落,关注调整后再涨!目前产油国增产利空,关税利多,全球经济利空,地缘局势利多! 日线55区域双底明显,周线看涨信号强,关注调整后再涨,支撑60区域,然后57.5-57及56-55和双底区域,多头目标65突破展开新 ...
重磅,关税大利空,黄金大跌!多头还有救吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 04:47
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are heavily influenced by trade news and tariffs, with significant daily price movements observed, including a drop of $126 in one day [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold experienced a significant drop of $126, with daily price movements exceeding $100 becoming common since April [1]. - The price of gold fluctuated between $3202 and $3414, with a notable drop below $3360 leading to a decline of $40 [2]. - The market is characterized by a "super sweep" trend, with alternating bullish and bearish pressures making it difficult for traders to establish a clear direction [3]. Group 2: Price Levels and Trading Strategy - The gold price has breached the $3300 mark, with expectations to test the $3200 level, which is a critical support area [5]. - Key resistance levels are identified at $3320-23, with a potential for further declines if this level is not maintained [5]. - The strategy involves shorting at resistance levels while monitoring support at $3270-65 and $3240 [5]. Group 3: Broader Market Context - The U.S. dollar index has surpassed the 100 mark, indicating a potential for further rebounds, while the stock market outlook remains bearish [7]. - Recent trade news has provided short-term bullish sentiment, but the overall market is expected to face downward pressure [9].
避险冲击波来袭,黄金大涨100美元,多头王者归来?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 01:03
止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 关税谈判阻力重重,印巴冲突、美伊关系紧张、俄乌冲突和谈僵局、巴以重新开打等等地缘局势叠加避险回归;黄金多头王者归来,周一大涨100美元;五 一假期,国内休市5天后开盘。本周四凌晨美联储利率决议将公布,这是本周大事件;另外,周三央妈公布黄金储备数据,也要重点关注。 黄金继续保持大震荡格局,多头单边或空头单边都难以发生。上周五和昨天亚盘连续两天大涨,关注规律的延续!在3500美元阶段触顶下跌以前亚盘也是 大涨规律,3500阶段触顶以后亚盘大跌规律延续8天,上周五打破下跌规律,回归上涨规律! 昨日黄金大涨100美元,日线收巨阳线。昨天我们强调,白盘不会跌,要维持上涨规律,突破3270区域可看涨3310-20区间;白盘只能低多,要空需要在美 盘。行情和预期一致,美盘前保持多头,欧盘突破3270-72区域后多头加速上涨,美盘3328一线最大回落至3305后企稳再上涨破高! 昨天100+大涨后,多头强势,继续看涨。当前唯一对多头不利因素是指标短期超买严重,日内关键位支撑昨日美盘低点3305-3300区 ...
黄金,探底大涨迎非农,反弹后再向下!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 12:50
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent trading pattern for gold shows a consistent decline during the Asian session, followed by a rebound in the US session, with a significant drop of $88 to a low of 3202 before recovering [1][3] - The breaking of the downward trend since reaching a peak of 3500 indicates a potential reversal, with a short-term support level established around 3200 [1][5] - The upcoming US non-farm payroll data is expected to be favorable for gold, with a market consensus predicting an increase of 130,000 jobs, significantly lower than the previous 228,000, which could lead to a short-term rally in gold prices [3][4] Group 2: Market Indicators and Predictions - The US dollar index has shown a rebound but is expected to face resistance, with the focus on the non-farm payroll data for further direction [4] - The overall sentiment in the gold market suggests that excessive bearishness may not be warranted, as a rebound is anticipated before any further declines [5] - The S&P futures have broken through resistance levels, indicating potential upward movement towards historical highs unless significant resistance is encountered at the 5750 level [6][7] Group 3: Oil Market Insights - Crude oil has shown signs of recovery, with a focus on buying on dips, particularly around the support levels of 58.5 and 56.5, with a target of 65 for the upside [9]
黄金,重磅支撑破位,空头有望扩大战果!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 03:37
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, suggesting that holding onto losing positions is always a mistake [1] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices were noted, with a significant drop of $60 during the Asian session, followed by a rebound and subsequent decline in the US session [1] - Upcoming economic indicators, including US non-farm payroll data, are highlighted as critical for market movements, alongside geopolitical tensions in regions such as India-Pakistan and the Middle East [1] Group 2 - A clear bearish trend in gold prices is identified, with a breakdown below the support level of 3260-70, indicating potential further declines [2] - The article suggests that if the price remains below the 3260-65 resistance level, traders should continue to adopt a bearish stance, targeting lower levels such as 3230 and 3200 [4] - Silver prices are also expected to decline, with a focus on resistance levels around 33.3-5 for short positions [4] Group 3 - The US dollar index is anticipated to maintain a rebound outlook, with the 100 level being crucial for determining the extent of the rebound [4] - The US stock market showed resilience with a rebound after a dip, but medium-term forecasts suggest potential declines after reaching resistance levels [4] - Crude oil prices are expected to find support around the 57.5-55 range, with a focus on the 65 level as a key resistance point [4]