| 华安研究 2025年5月金股组合 | 归母净利润（百万） | 归母净利润增速 | 营业收入（百万） | 营业收入增速 | eps | pe(pb有说明) | 行业 | 金股代码 | 金股 | 核心推荐逻辑 | 风险提示 | 研究员 | 报告依据 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][10] Core Views - The company continues to exceed expectations with a Q1 2025 revenue of 21.05 billion yuan, up 19.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.47 billion yuan, up 56.4% year-on-year, driven by strong domestic and international demand [2] - The company benefits from a high demand for excavators, with domestic sales increasing by 38% in Q1 2025, and a recovery in non-excavator machinery [2][4] - The company has demonstrated excellent cost control, with a significant reduction in expense ratios, and is expected to further decrease costs as the upcycle continues [3] Financial Performance - The company forecasts total revenue of 89.6 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 14.31% [1] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 8.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 42.23% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 1.00 yuan per share for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 19.14 [1][10] Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the excavator market, with a strong domestic presence and ongoing global expansion efforts [4] - The company has made significant strides in electrification, achieving 4.03 billion yuan in revenue from new energy products in 2024, a 23% increase year-on-year [4] - The company’s competitive advantages are expected to strengthen as it continues to execute its globalization and electrification strategies [4]