纯苯苯乙烯日报 | 2025-07-11 纯苯期货升水幅度扩大 纯苯与苯乙烯观点 市场要闻与重要数据 纯苯方面：纯苯主力基差-268元/吨（-103）。纯苯港口库存17.40万吨（-0.30万吨）；纯苯CFR中国加工费140美元/ 吨（-5美元/吨），纯苯FOB韩国加工费126美元/吨（-5美元/吨），纯苯美韩价差113.9美元/吨（-7.0美元/吨）。华东纯 苯现货-M2价差-95元/吨（-15元/吨）。 纯苯下游方面：己内酰胺生产利润-1910元/吨（-105），酚酮生产利润-564元/吨（+0），苯胺生产利润-171元/吨（-305）， 己二酸生产利润-1487元/吨（-72）。己内酰胺开工率95.72%（+0.00%），苯酚开工率78.00%（-0.50%），苯胺开工率 70.90%（+1.66%），己二酸开工率65.70%（+1.40%）。 苯乙烯方面：苯乙烯主力基差205元/吨（-80元/吨）；苯乙烯非一体化生产利润219元/吨（+26元/吨），预期逐步压 缩。苯乙烯华东港口库存111500吨（+12700吨），苯乙烯华东商业库存39000吨（+7700吨），处于库存回建阶段。 苯乙烯开工率79. ...

下游硬胶方面：EPS生产利润41元/吨（-30元/吨），PS生产利润-259元/吨（-30元/吨），ABS生产利润391元/吨（-27 元/吨）。EPS开工率55.88%（-3.84%），PS开工率51.10%（-1.30%），ABS开工率65.04%（-0.96%），下游开工季节 性低位。 市场分析 纯苯方面：纯苯港口库存17.40万吨（-0.30万吨）；纯苯CFR中国加工费145美元/吨（-7美元/吨），纯苯FOB韩国加 工费131美元/吨（-5美元/吨），纯苯美韩价差120.9美元/吨（+7.1美元/吨）。华东纯苯现货-M2价差-80元/吨（-5元/ 吨）。 纯苯下游方面：己内酰胺生产利润-1560元/吨（+0），酚酮生产利润-564元/吨（+0），苯胺生产利润134元/吨（-389）， 己二酸生产利润-1415元/吨（-27）。己内酰胺开工率95.72%（+6.41%），苯酚开工率78.50%（-0.50%），苯胺开工率 69.24%（-0.10%），己二酸开工率64.30%（+2.00%）。 纯苯盘面再度走强，期货升水扩大 苯乙烯方面：苯乙烯主力基差285元/吨（-44元/吨）；苯乙烯非一体化生产利 ...

期货研究报告|纯苯专题 2025-07-03 纯苯下游格局 研究院化工组 研究员 梁宗泰 020-83901031 liangzongtai@htfc.com 从业资格号：F3056198 投资咨询号：Z0015616 陈莉 020-83901135 cl@htfc.com 从业资格号：F0233775 投资咨询号：Z0000421 联系人 杨露露 0755-82790795 yanglulu@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03128371 吴硕琮 020-83901158 wushuocong@htfc.com 从业资格号：F03119179 刘启展 020-83901049 摘要 华泰期货纯苯上市专题系列之四：纯苯下游格局。分为横向对比分析及纵向自身分 析。 横向对比的分析，第一是纯苯下游苯乙烯、己内酰胺、酚酮、苯胺、己二酸五大品种 的下游需求占比及基础介绍；第二是按照外采纯苯比例加权后的纯苯下游需求占比， 找出对纯苯需求边际影响更大的品种；第三是列出五个品种的年度产能增速，对比 5 个品种的投产周期；第四是分析纯苯需求分地区占比，且各地区下游占比分析，特别 是定价主要集中地的华东的下游需求占比分析，还 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In recent years, the demand for pure benzene has shown double - digit growth, significantly higher than other bulk chemicals. The compound annual growth rate from 2019 - 2024 was 14.6%. However, due to changes in the industrial ecosystem, the future demand growth rate of pure benzene may decline, with an estimated growth rate of 5 - 7% from 2025 - 2029 [1][86][87] - The high growth of pure benzene demand in the past five years was mainly due to import substitution, large - scale capacity expansion of direct and indirect downstream industries, and the alignment of terminal demand with the country's new productive forces and industrial transformation and upgrading [25] - In the medium - to - long term, the contribution of import substitution to demand growth will decrease, and the actual demand increment from future capacity expansion may be dominated by terminal demand. But the terminal demand for pure benzene still has certain support due to the transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry [3][39][87] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Recent High - Growth State of Pure Benzene Demand and Its Incremental Sources - Pure benzene has many direct and secondary downstream products, with a wide range of terminal applications. From 2019 - 2024, the annual consumption of pure benzene in China nearly doubled, with an annualized compound growth rate of 14.58%. The production of its five major downstream products also showed double - digit growth [13][18][25] - The high growth of pure benzene demand in the past was mainly driven by downstream industry import substitution, large - scale capacity expansion of direct and indirect downstream industries, and the alignment of terminal demand with the country's new productive forces and industrial transformation and upgrading [25] 3.2 Remaining Potential of Downstream Industry Import Substitution - From 2019 - 2024, the import dependence of the pure benzene downstream industry decreased significantly, and the overall structure shifted from a net importer to a net exporter. The import substitution contributed an annualized compound growth rate of about 5 - 6% to pure benzene demand [27] - Currently, the remaining import volume available for substitution is less than 2 million tons (calculated by pure benzene unit consumption), and the substitution difficulty has increased. The future import substitution may contribute an annualized compound demand growth rate of about 1.2%. The focus will gradually shift to export expansion, but the incremental estimate is not overly optimistic [28][32] 3.3 Maturity of the Downstream Industrial Chain Ecosystem and Terminal - Dominated Incremental Demand - From 2019 - 2024, the capacity of the five major direct downstream and indirect downstream industries of pure benzene expanded significantly, with high compound growth rates. The integration of the downstream industrial chain deepened, providing a buffer for upstream capacity expansion [33][36] - Currently, the pure benzene downstream industry is mostly in the mature stage, with saturated competition and the disappearance of excess profits. Although there is still a lot of planned capacity expansion in the future, the actual demand increment may be dominated by terminal demand [39] 3.4 Support for Pure Benzene Terminal Demand from China's Industrial Structure Transformation and Upgrading - The demand for pure benzene related to the construction and real - estate sector accounts for about 10%. The demand structure of some downstream products has adjusted, reducing the proportion of real - estate demand. The terminal demand is mainly from electrical machinery and equipment, transportation equipment, and other fields [52][83] - China's manufacturing transformation and upgrading will drive the demand for pure benzene downstream derivatives. These derivatives have good comprehensive mechanical properties, which are more suitable for high - end manufacturing. Also, due to their relatively small market base, the growth potential is greater [67][69] - The demand growth rate of nylon (PA6) in the pure benzene downstream industry is higher than that of polyester. The development of outdoor activities and the outdoor economy will continue to drive the development of the pure benzene - caprolactam - PA6 industrial chain [79][80] 3.5 Summary: Future Growth Rate of Pure Benzene Demand - The future demand growth rate of pure benzene will decline compared to the past five years, but it will still be higher than most chemical products. The estimated growth rate from 2025 - 2029 is around 5 - 7% [86][87][88]

证券代码：600955 证券简称：维远股份 公告编号：2025-011 利华益维远化学股份有限公司 2025年第一季度主要经营数据公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证本公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号行业信息披露： 第十三号——化工》的相关要求，利华益维远化学股份有限公司（以下简 称"公司"）现将 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据披露如下： 二、主要产品及原材料的价格变动情况 （一）主要产品的价格变动情况（不含税） 1 主要产品 2025 年 1-3 月产量 （吨） 2025 年 1-3 月外销量 （吨） 2025 年 1-3 月销售金额 （万元） 酚酮相关产品 295,115.39 181,116.76 116,187.96 新能源新材料 相关产品 120,158.27 64,175.80 47,841.64 专用化学品 350,201.85 173,961.18 62,721.11 工业气体 304,365.73 187,845.17 8,593.03 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现 ...

证券代码：600955 证券简称：维远股份 公告编号：2025-010 利华益维远化学股份有限公司 2024年度主要经营数据公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证本公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号行业信息披露： 第十三号——化工》的相关要求，利华益维远化学股份有限公司（以下简 称"公司"）现将 2024 年度主要经营数据披露如下： 注：1、酚酮相关产品主要包括：苯酚、丙酮、异丙醇、双酚 A。 2、新能源新材料相关产品主要包括：碳酸二甲酯、碳酸丙烯酯、聚碳酸酯、聚碳酸酯改性 合金等产品。 3、专用化学品主要包括：丙烯、环氧丙烷、双氧水、碳四、丙二醇等。 4、工业气体主要包括：氢气、氮气、氧气、仪表空气、二氧化碳、液氧、液氮、液氩等。 二、主要产品及原材料的价格变动情况 （一）主要产品的价格变动情况（不含税） 1 主要产品 2024 年度产量（吨） 2024 年度外销量 （吨） 2024 年度销售金额 （不含税）（万元） 酚酮相关产 品 1,167,532.87 640,843.01 449,56 ...