Investment Rating - The investment rating for Meituan-W (03690.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The report indicates that the impact of the fierce competition in the food delivery sector on the company's revenue and profit is expected to gradually diminish. The company achieved a revenue of 95.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2%, primarily affected by intensified competition in its core local business. Adjusted losses reached 16 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of -17%, indicating a shift from profit to loss [1][8] - The company maintains its long-term goal of achieving a high daily order volume of 100 million and believes that as the industry returns to rationality, the profitability of the food delivery business will return to reasonable levels [1][8] Summary by Sections Overview - The report highlights that the competition in the food delivery market has significantly impacted the company's revenue and profit, with a revenue of 95.5 billion yuan for the quarter. Revenue breakdown shows a year-on-year decline of 17% in instant delivery services, a 1% increase in transaction commissions, and a 6% increase in marketing services [1][8] - The gross margin, sales expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio have all weakened, leading to an adjusted loss of 16 billion yuan, with a continued increase in losses quarter-on-quarter [1][8] Core Local Business - The core local business revenue decreased by 3% year-on-year, resulting in an operating loss of 14.1 billion yuan and an operating profit margin of -21.0%, a decline of 42 percentage points year-on-year. The company plans to continue significant investments in membership and promotional budgets in Q4 2025 [2][23] - Instant delivery saw a total order volume growth of 17%, with average losses per order of 2.6 yuan for food delivery and 1.1 yuan for flash purchase. The restaurant delivery order volume grew by approximately 15% [2][24] - The in-store travel and accommodation segment experienced a revenue growth of 13% year-on-year, but the operating profit margin decreased to 29% due to increased advertising costs and subsidies [2][28] New Business - New business revenue grew by 16% year-on-year to 28 billion yuan, with an operating loss of 1.3 billion yuan. The management noted that the user experience in Hong Kong's Keeta turned positive in October, leading to improved user retention and higher average prices [3][30] - The company plans to expand its overseas business by opening three new locations in Gulf countries and piloting in Brazil, although significant losses are expected to increase [3][34] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 360.5 billion yuan, 427 billion yuan, and 509.2 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease in growth expectations. Adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are -16 billion yuan, 12.4 billion yuan, and 33.2 billion yuan, indicating a significant downward adjustment [3][35] - The report also provides detailed financial metrics, including adjusted EPS and profit margins, indicating a challenging outlook for the core local business due to competitive pressures [4][38]

Core Insights - Meituan reported a revenue of 95.5 billion RMB for Q3 2025, a 2% year-on-year increase, but faced a core local business operating loss of 14.1 billion RMB due to intensified competition [1][2][3] - The company emphasized prioritizing market scale, user engagement, and long-term competitiveness over short-term profits [1][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 2025 was 95.5 billion RMB, with a breakdown of core local business revenue at 67.4 billion RMB, including delivery service revenue of 23.0 billion RMB, commission revenue of 26.4 billion RMB, and online marketing service revenue of 14.2 billion RMB [2][4] - The operating loss for the core local business was 14.1 billion RMB, attributed to increased direct subsidies in the food delivery sector to counter irrational competition [3][4] User Engagement and Market Position - The number of transaction users on the platform exceeded 800 million in the past 12 months, with daily active users (DAU) growing over 20% year-on-year [1][5] - Meituan maintained a leading position in the mid-to-high price order market, capturing over 70% of orders above 30 RMB [5] New Business Growth - New business segment revenue grew by 15.9% year-on-year to 28 billion RMB, although operating losses increased by 24.5% to 1.3 billion RMB [6] - The company is expanding its international presence, with Keeta achieving profitability in Hong Kong and entering new markets in the Middle East and Brazil [6][7] Technological Advancements - Meituan is advancing its AI initiatives, launching tailored AI tools for restaurant businesses and a smart assistant app for users, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and user experience [9] - The company plans to continue its "retail + technology" strategy to meet user needs and drive sustainable industry growth [9]

Core Viewpoint - Meituan reported its first quarterly loss in three years, with an adjusted net loss of 16 billion RMB in Q3, and expects losses to continue into Q4, indicating an intensifying competition in the food delivery sector [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3, Meituan's core local commerce business shifted from profit to loss, recording an operating loss of 14.1 billion RMB compared to a profit of 14.6 billion RMB in the same period last year [3][4]. - The company anticipates a slight increase in losses for its flash purchase business in Q4, despite confidence in achieving reasonable and sustainable profitability in the medium to long term [4][11]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Management criticized the ongoing price war in the food delivery industry as "malicious competition" and stated that they will not engage in it, instead opting to adjust resources dynamically based on competitive conditions [4][5]. - The company noted a recovery in market share and order volume in October and November, with over two-thirds of orders priced above 15 RMB and about 70% above 30 RMB, indicating a focus on higher-value transactions [4][5]. Group 3: User Engagement and Strategy - Core users maintain high retention rates, with consumption frequency and loyalty steadily increasing, reflecting strong brand recognition and service advantages [6][12]. - Meituan plans to enhance user experience through faster and more reliable delivery, a diverse supply across all price ranges, and exclusive benefits from its membership system [6][12]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Investments - The company is committed to investing in supply-side operations to ensure optimal user experience and will continue to educate users during promotional events like Double Eleven [11][18]. - Meituan's strategy includes expanding its instant retail supply chain and enhancing service experiences to meet the evolving consumer demand for immediate satisfaction [9][10]. Group 5: International Expansion - Meituan's new business segment, KeeTa, achieved its first monthly profit in Hong Kong, indicating a successful market entry strategy that may be replicated in other regions like Saudi Arabia and the GCC [16][18]. - The company is optimistic about the potential for growth in Brazil, which is one of the largest food delivery markets globally, despite existing competition [17][18].

Core Viewpoint - Meituan reported its first quarterly loss in three years, with an adjusted net loss of 16 billion RMB in Q3, indicating a fierce competition in the food delivery sector [2] - The company's core local commerce business shifted from profit to loss, recording an operating loss of 14.1 billion RMB in Q3 compared to a profit of 14.6 billion RMB in the same period last year [2] Group 1: Financial Performance and Market Dynamics - The management stated that the food delivery price war is essentially a low-quality and unsustainable competition, which they firmly oppose [3] - Despite believing that losses have peaked, the food delivery business will still face pressure in Q4, with expectations of slightly increased losses in the flash purchase business [4][12] - The average net order value remains significantly higher than other platforms, with over two-thirds of orders priced above 15 RMB and about 70% above 30 RMB [4][5] Group 2: User Engagement and Competitive Strategy - Core users maintain high retention rates, with consumption frequency and loyalty steadily increasing, reflecting strong brand recognition and service advantages [6] - The company focuses on enhancing user experience through faster and more reliable delivery, diverse supply across all price ranges, and exclusive benefits from the Meituan membership system [7] - Management emphasizes the importance of protecting rider rights and supporting small merchants as a path to sustainable industry development [5] Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to expand high-quality supply, ensure rapid and reliable delivery, and maintain price competitiveness while defending its market position [8] - The management believes that the current irrational competition will eventually transition to a rational and mature stage, where companies with industry insights and operational excellence will lead [7] - In the context of new competition, Meituan plans to deepen partnerships with brands and enhance its instant retail capabilities, leveraging its existing supply chain advantages [10][11] Group 4: International Expansion and New Markets - Meituan's new business segment, KeeTa, achieved its first monthly profit in Hong Kong, indicating a significant milestone and a potential model for other markets [27] - The company is expanding into the GCC markets and Brazil, where it sees substantial untapped potential, despite existing competition [28][29] - The management expects that the new business segment's losses will not significantly increase next year, following a similar path of unit economic improvement as seen in Hong Kong [30]