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我坐上雅万高铁,才看懂东南亚的基建困局
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-31 09:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the financial challenges faced by the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail (HSR) project in Indonesia, attributing these issues to a combination of over-optimistic demand forecasts, inadequate supporting infrastructure, and management shortcomings rather than solely to the financing model [5][6][10]. Financial Pressure Structural Roots: Gap Between Planning and Reality - The financial difficulties of the Jakarta-Bandung HSR stem from multiple factors, primarily the inadequacies in project planning and supporting infrastructure rather than the financing model itself [10]. - Demand forecasting was overly optimistic, with actual passenger numbers expected to be only 6 million in 2024, significantly lower than projected, leading to insufficient revenue to cover annual interest payments of nearly 20 trillion Indonesian Rupiah [10][11]. - The lack of supporting infrastructure, particularly the "last mile" connectivity, has severely impacted passenger access, negating the time advantages of the high-speed rail [11]. - Cost overruns increased the project cost from $6 billion to $7.2 billion, with management inefficiencies contributing to delays and additional expenses [11][12]. Debt Restructuring Rationality: Commercial Adjustment Rather Than Crisis Rescue - Indonesia's request for debt restructuring, including extending repayment terms and lowering interest rates, is a common practice in large infrastructure projects and reflects a pragmatic approach to market changes [13][14]. - Approximately 30%-40% of infrastructure projects in emerging economies require some form of debt adjustment during initial operations, indicating that such adjustments are not signs of project failure [14]. - China has shown flexibility in debt management in other countries, emphasizing that any restructuring should be based on substantial improvements in operational efficiency and market demand [15]. TOD Model Prospects: From Transportation Project to Urban Engine - The Indonesian government aims to leverage Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) to offset operational losses, which is a sound strategy if executed effectively [16][17]. - Successful international examples, such as Japan's JR East and Hong Kong's MTR, demonstrate the profitability of integrating commercial development around transit stations [17][18]. - Indonesia must avoid pitfalls such as short-term local government actions and excessive financialization that could lead to disorganized development [19]. Infrastructure Cooperation Paradigm Upgrade: From Project Delivery to Shared Operations - The Jakarta-Bandung HSR experience suggests a shift in China's overseas infrastructure cooperation model from a focus on construction to a more integrated approach that includes operational involvement [20][21]. - Engaging multilateral institutions in debt restructuring could facilitate fair and transparent solutions, enhancing project quality and international credibility [21][22]. - China recognizes the need for simultaneous capacity building in host countries, suggesting a comprehensive approach to training and institutional development [22]. Development Rights and Real Constraints: A New Understanding of Modernization - The article emphasizes that Indonesia has the right to pursue its modernization path, with high-speed rail representing a significant aspect of its industrial and technological aspirations [23][24]. - However, the pursuit of modernization must align with objective realities, as inadequate planning and institutional capacity can lead to financial pressures [24][25]. - The experience of the Jakarta-Bandung HSR serves as a learning opportunity for Indonesia to enhance its infrastructure planning and execution capabilities [25][26]. Conclusion: From Setbacks to Maturity - The financial pressures of the Jakarta-Bandung HSR highlight the complexities of large infrastructure projects and the importance of sustainable economic considerations in international cooperation [26][27]. - The initiation of debt restructuring negotiations reflects a mature approach from both parties, focusing on collaborative problem-solving rather than blame [27][28].
心相近丨习近平主席关心的“幸福路”联通亚太新未来
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-29 03:18
Core Points - The article emphasizes the importance of connectivity and cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region, as highlighted by President Xi Jinping's speech at the APEC Business Leaders Summit, where he stated that the Pacific can become a pathway for prosperity and growth [1] - The "Happy Road" initiative is presented as a symbol of development and collaboration, with various projects under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) significantly enhancing regional connectivity and economic growth [1] Group 1: Infrastructure Projects - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, a flagship project of the BRI, officially opened on October 17, 2023, reducing travel time between Jakarta and Bandung from over three hours to approximately 40 minutes, thus aiding Indonesia's economic development [2] - The railway has become one of Indonesia's busiest transit lines, attracting over 500,000 international tourists and boosting local tourism and employment [2][3] - The opening of the Qianhai Port in Peru has significantly reduced shipping time to China to about 23 days and lowered logistics costs by over 20%, enhancing trade between Peru and China [4][5] Group 2: Economic Impact - The Qianhai Port has led to a 34.9% increase in trade volume between Shanghai and Peru, facilitating the import of fresh fruits from Latin America and the export of Chinese electric vehicles [5] - The East Coast Rail Link project in Malaysia is expected to create over 23,000 jobs and collaborate with over 2,000 Malaysian companies, contributing to local economic growth [6][7] Group 3: Technological and Educational Collaboration - The Qianhai Port employs advanced technologies and provides professional training to local staff, enhancing operational efficiency and skill development [4][5] - The East Coast Rail Link project includes a training program for locomotive drivers in collaboration with a Chinese technical college, fostering skill development in the local workforce [6][7]
心相近|习近平主席关心的“幸福路”联通亚太新未来
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-29 02:57
Core Points - The article emphasizes the importance of connectivity and cooperation in the Asia-Pacific region, highlighting the "Happy Road" concept as a pathway to prosperity and growth [1] - Xi Jinping's speech at the APEC Business Leaders Summit underscores the significance of open and connected routes for regional development [1] Group 1: Infrastructure Projects - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, a flagship project of the Belt and Road Initiative, officially opened on October 17, 2023, significantly reducing travel time between Jakarta and Bandung from over three hours to approximately 40 minutes [2] - The railway has become one of Indonesia's busiest transit lines, enhancing local employment and income levels, with over 500,000 international tourists using the service [2][3] - The opening of the new port in Peru, which reduces shipping time to China to about 23 days and cuts logistics costs by over 20%, represents a significant advancement in regional trade [4][5] Group 2: Economic Impact - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway is seen as a symbol of Indonesia's modernization and has improved the attractiveness of local industrial parks to foreign investment [2] - The "QianKai-Shanghai" shipping route has led to a 34.9% increase in trade volume between Shanghai and Peru, facilitating the import of fresh produce from Latin America to China [5] - The East Coast Rail Link project in Malaysia is expected to create over 23,000 jobs and has already trained over 2,000 local technicians, contributing to regional economic development [6][7] Group 3: Technological and Educational Advancements - The QianKai port utilizes innovative technologies and has provided professional training to local staff, enhancing operational efficiency [4][5] - The East Coast Rail Link project includes a training program for locomotive drivers in collaboration with a Chinese technical college, fostering skill development in the local workforce [6][7]
生日快乐 雅万高铁
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-24 22:09
Core Insights - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway (J-B HSR) has successfully transformed transportation in Indonesia, marking the beginning of a high-speed rail era in Southeast Asia [1][4] - Over the past two years, the J-B HSR has transported over 12 million passengers and significantly reduced travel time between Jakarta and Bandung to just 46 minutes [2][3] Transportation Impact - The J-B HSR has drastically reduced travel time from over 3 hours to 46 minutes, enhancing the travel experience with a punctuality rate exceeding 95% [2][3] - The number of daily train services increased from 14 to 62, with seating capacity expanding from over 8,400 to 37,000, alleviating congestion on highways and traditional railways [2][3] Economic Development - The railway has stimulated local economies, creating a "high-speed rail economic zone" with numerous small businesses emerging around stations, leading to increased employment opportunities [2][3] - From 2019 to 2023, the J-B HSR contributed approximately $5.7 billion to the GDP of Jakarta and West Java, showcasing its role as a catalyst for regional economic growth [3][4] Tourism Enhancement - The J-B HSR has become a significant tourist attraction, with over 500,000 foreign tourists using the service to explore Indonesian culture and landscapes [3][4] Regional Influence - The success of the J-B HSR has inspired neighboring countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Malaysia to accelerate their own high-speed rail projects, indicating a regional "high-speed rail fever" [4][5] - Future plans include extending the J-B HSR to Surabaya and integrating it with new transportation systems in Indonesia, enhancing connectivity across the archipelago [5][6] Environmental Considerations - The J-B HSR operates with a low carbon footprint of 6.9 grams of CO2 per kilometer, significantly lower than that of fuel vehicles, and utilizes electric trains to reduce fossil fuel dependency [4][5] - Advanced safety features, including a Chinese-developed earthquake early warning system, ensure safe operations in Indonesia's challenging environmental conditions [4][5] Workforce Development - The project has trained over 45,000 Indonesian employees in various fields, ensuring that key operational roles are filled by local talent, which enhances the sustainability of the railway's operations [5][6]
个别自媒体称“雅万高铁因资金短缺运营困难”,外交部驳斥
第一财经· 2025-10-20 08:21
Core Viewpoint - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway (HSR) has been operational for two years, demonstrating stable growth in passenger traffic and contributing positively to the local economy and employment [1]. Group 1: Project Performance - The Jakarta-Bandung HSR has transported over 11.71 million passengers in its first two years of operation, with a continuous and stable increase in passenger flow [1]. - The project has received recognition and support from various sectors in Indonesia for its economic and social benefits [1]. Group 2: Government Collaboration - Both the Chinese and Indonesian governments are committed to the development of the HSR, ensuring close cooperation between relevant departments and enterprises to maintain safe and stable operations [1]. - The emphasis on evaluating high-speed rail projects includes not only financial data and economic indicators but also public benefits and comprehensive returns [1].
外交部驳斥自媒体涉雅万高铁谣言
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-20 08:09
Core Viewpoint - The Indonesian government is negotiating with China regarding the debt restructuring of the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail project, amidst claims of operational difficulties due to funding shortages. However, the project has been operational for two years, demonstrating stable growth and significant socio-economic benefits [1]. Group 1: Project Performance - The Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail has been in operation for two years, with over 11.71 million passengers transported, indicating a steady increase in passenger flow [1]. - The project has created numerous job opportunities and has significantly contributed to the economic development along its route, receiving positive recognition from various sectors in Indonesia [1]. Group 2: Government Collaboration - Both the Chinese and Indonesian governments are placing high importance on the development of the project, with close cooperation between relevant departments and enterprises to ensure safe and stable operations [1]. - The emphasis on evaluating high-speed rail projects should extend beyond financial metrics to include public benefits and comprehensive returns, highlighting the project's broader impact on Indonesia's socio-economic development and regional connectivity [1].
雅万高铁运营困难?外交部:除了看财务数据,还要看公共效益、综合收益
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 07:43
Core Viewpoint - The Indonesian government is negotiating with China regarding the debt restructuring of the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail project, amidst claims of operational difficulties due to funding shortages. However, the project has been operational for two years, with positive outcomes in terms of passenger volume and economic benefits [1]. Group 1: Project Performance - The Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail has been in operation for two years, successfully transporting over 11.71 million passengers [1]. - Passenger traffic continues to grow steadily, indicating a positive trend in usage and demand [1]. - The project has created numerous job opportunities and significantly contributed to the economic development along its route, receiving recognition from various sectors in Indonesia [1]. Group 2: Government Collaboration - Both the Chinese and Indonesian governments place high importance on the development of the project, ensuring close cooperation between relevant departments and enterprises [1]. - This collaboration is aimed at providing a solid guarantee for the safe and stable operation of the high-speed rail [1]. Group 3: Evaluation Criteria - When assessing high-speed rail projects, it is essential to consider not only financial data and economic indicators but also public benefits and comprehensive returns [1]. - China expresses willingness to work with Indonesia to ensure high-quality operation of the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail and to enhance its role in promoting economic and social development in Indonesia and regional connectivity [1].
中方:愿同印尼一道继续做好雅万高铁高质量运营
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-20 07:40
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government expresses willingness to collaborate with Indonesia for the high-quality operation of the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, emphasizing its positive impact on local economic development and job creation [1]. Group 1: Project Status - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway has been in operation for two years, successfully transporting over 11.71 million passengers, with a stable increase in passenger flow [1]. - The project has received recognition and support from various sectors in Indonesia for its contributions to local economic growth [1]. Group 2: Government Collaboration - Both the Chinese and Indonesian governments prioritize the development of the high-speed railway, ensuring close cooperation between relevant departments and enterprises for its safe and stable operation [1]. - The Chinese side highlights the importance of considering public effects and comprehensive benefits, beyond just financial data and economic indicators, when evaluating high-speed rail projects [1].
雅万高铁累计发送旅客超1200万人次
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-17 20:00
Core Viewpoint - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway in Indonesia has been operational for two years, significantly enhancing passenger transport and contributing to regional economic development [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - As of October 17, the railway has transported over 12 million passengers, with a peak daily capacity of 26,700 passengers [1] - The average number of trains operating daily has increased from 14 at the start to 62 during peak periods [1] - The total safe operation mileage of the trains has exceeded 5.65 million kilometers [1] Group 2: Economic Impact - The railway has attracted over 500,000 international travelers, promoting models such as "high-speed rail + tourism" and "high-speed rail + urban development" [1] - It has accelerated the formation of the Indonesian high-speed rail economic corridor, serving as a new engine for regional economic growth [1] Group 3: Environmental Benefits - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway is marked by its green and low-carbon travel, with a per capita carbon dioxide emission of only 6.9 grams per kilometer, significantly lower than that of fuel-powered cars [1] Group 4: Infrastructure and Connectivity - The railway, built through cooperation between China and Indonesia, spans 142.3 kilometers with a maximum speed of 350 kilometers per hour, reducing travel time between Jakarta and Bandung from over 3 hours to 46 minutes [1] - It has reshaped the travel dynamics between Jakarta and Bandung and stimulated socio-economic development along the route [1]
雅万高铁两年发送旅客1200万人次 正点率95%以上
Core Insights - The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway (JKT-BDG HSR) has been operational for two years as of October 17, 2023, with over 12 million passengers transported and a peak daily ridership of 26,700 [1][2] - The railway has significantly improved transportation efficiency, reducing travel time between Jakarta and Bandung from over 3 hours to 46 minutes [4] - The project has positively impacted local economies, creating new job opportunities and enhancing connectivity between industrial zones and major transport hubs [2][3] Group 1: Operational Performance - The average daily train services increased from 14 to 62 during peak periods, with seating capacity rising from over 8,400 to more than 37,000 [1][2] - The on-time performance rate has been maintained at over 95%, with safety measures adapted to local environmental conditions [2][3] - The railway has achieved a carbon emission rate of only 6.9 grams per kilometer per person, significantly lower than that of fuel-powered vehicles [1] Group 2: Economic and Social Impact - The JKT-BDG HSR has transformed the transportation landscape between Jakarta and Bandung, benefiting local communities through modern transport access [2] - The opening of stations has led to the establishment of hundreds of small and medium enterprises, contributing to local employment and income growth [2] - The railway has attracted over 500,000 international tourists for sightseeing and travel since its opening [2] Group 3: Management and Training - The operational management incorporates Chinese high-speed rail safety practices while addressing Indonesia's unique geographical challenges [3] - There has been a concerted effort to increase the proportion of Indonesian staff in operational roles, with training programs for local employees [3] - As of now, 34 Indonesian train drivers are certified to operate the trains independently, with ongoing training for additional staff [3]