Group 1: Gold ETF Performance - As of July 10, the Gold ETF (159937) increased by 0.73% with a turnover rate of 0.65% and a transaction amount of 184 million yuan [1] - The Gold ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past four days, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 87.7045 million yuan, totaling 185 million yuan and an average daily net inflow of 46.2391 million yuan [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Federal Reserve Policy - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July have cooled significantly, with the two-year Treasury yield rising over the past week [2] - The expectation for a rate cut in July has decreased to about 4 basis points, with an annual cumulative rate cut expectation of 63 basis points, slightly down from the end of June [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the need to understand the impact of tariffs on inflation before making any rate cuts, ignoring calls for immediate significant cuts [2] Group 3: Geopolitical Situation and Central Bank Actions - The geopolitical situation has recently cooled, with a low probability of further escalation in the short term [3] - The People's Bank of China reported an increase in gold reserves, reaching 73.9 million ounces as of June 2025, marking the eighth consecutive month of growth [3] Group 4: Trading Strategies and Long-term Outlook - SPDR Gold ETF holdings have shifted to outflows since June 30, but overall holdings remain higher than early June levels [4] - Analysts suggest that while the delay in rate cut expectations and easing geopolitical risks may lead to a weaker short-term gold price, the long-term upward trend remains clear due to ongoing global central bank gold purchases and geopolitical uncertainties [4][6] - Investment strategies recommend accumulating gold positions during market dips, focusing on geopolitical risks and inflation hedging [6] Group 5: Technical Analysis and Investment Recommendations - Short-term strategies suggest investors should accumulate gold gradually based on technical signals, while maintaining a long-term allocation to gold as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty [6] - The Gold ETF (159937) and its linked funds offer low-cost, diversified trading options, aligning closely with domestic gold prices [6]

7月9日（周三），受市场情绪影响，黄金ETF基金（159937）早盘呈短期震荡下跌趋势，跌幅1.07%。盘中换手率1.90%，成交金额5.35亿元。 | 画线 | 除权 窗 区 信息 删自选 | | 黄金ETF基金 159937 | | 5日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 389 MA60: 7.329 | | | | | 60H | | | 8.140 | | 7. 306 -0.079 -1.070% | | 年初至今 | | -8.010 | | 委比 | +18.93% | 5670 | 52周最高 | | | 7.853 | | | | 文时 | | | | 5 | 7.312 | 200 | | | | | | | | 等数 | | | | 4 ラ | 7.311 | 7314 | | | | 7.561 | 3 | 7.310 | 2006 | | | | | | | | 金额 | | | | 盘 2 | 7.309 | 1065 | | | | 7.274 | | | | 申凌清单 | | | | 1 | 7.308 | 1558 | 昌小 ...

7月4日周五早盘，现货黄金最新报价3327.74美元/盎司，涨幅0.05%，最高报3334.44美元/盎司。 因美国就业数据强劲打消了市场对美联储近期的降息预期，美元指数在美盘前大幅上涨，现货黄金回落，昨日最终收跌0.92%，收报3326.09美元/盎司； 据报道，美东时间周四，美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示，美国6月非农就业人数大幅超预期。这显示劳动力市场成功抵御了特朗普政府贸易和移民政策带 来的不确定性。 黄金ETF基金（159937）及联接基金（A:002610，C:002611）通过投资上海黄金交易所AU9999现货合约，实现与国内金价的高度拟合，具有低门槛、低成 本和交易形式多样化等特点，支持T+0交易。长期来看，黄金中枢随信用货币规模而稳定抬升，以及其在资产组合中对冲尾部风险的作用依然是其长期配置 价值所在。黄金资产在过热与衰退经济周期里的整体表现较好，投资者可采用定投黄金ETF基金的方式参与投资。 产品风险等级：中（此为管理人评级，具体销售以各代销机构评级为准） 黄金板块相关个股：潮宏基、湖南黄金、西部黄金、老铺黄金、四川黄金、赤峰黄金、紫金矿业、山东黄金、中金黄金、周大福（文中个股仅作示例，不构 ...

7月3日（周四），黄金ETF基金（159937）上涨0.52%，盘中换手率1%，成交金额2.84亿元。拉长时间看，截至2025年7月2日，黄金ETF基金（159937）近 3月累计上涨4.98%。 | 多周期 设置 画线 | | 除权 窗 区 信息 删自选 ◎ | | 黄金ETF基金 159937 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 425 MA30: 7.418 MA60: 7.398 | | 8.140 | | | | | | 8.010 | | | 7.416 +0.038 +0.515% | | | | | 7.853 | 载化 | +2.06% | 548 | | | | | 5 | 7.420 | 1208 | | | | | | 7.419 | 1373 | | | | 7.561 | 3 | 7.418 | 2301 | | | | | 盛 2 | 7.417 | 7584 | | | | 7.274 | 1 | | | | | | | | 7.416 | 564 | | | | | 1 | 7.415 | 6105 | | | | 6.98 ...

今日（7月2日）午盘，黄金ETF基金（159937）上涨0.15%，盘中成交额4.19亿元。黄金ETF基金（159937）近5天净流入4.45亿元。拉长时间看，截至7月1 日，黄金ETF基金近1月日均成交6.86亿元，排名可比基金前3。 | 日 周 月 季 年 多周期 设置 画线 | 删自选 区 信息 十 一 ◎ | | | 黄金ETF基金 15 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | : 最新: 7.391 均价: 7.379 IOPV: 7.3908 | | | | | | | | 0.31% | | 7. 395 +0.011 +0. | | | | 0.28% | | | | | | 0.26% | 委北 | -6.02% | | | | 0.24% | 5 | 7.399 | | | | 0.21% | | | | | | 0.19% | 4 Fi | 7.398 | | | | 0.17% | 3 | 7.397 | | | | 0.14% | 智 2 | 7.396 | | | | 0.12% | | | | | | 0.10% | | 7.395 | | | | ...

7月1日（周二）早盘，黄金ETF基金（159937）上涨0.47%，成交额2.38亿元，换手率0.85%。 | 设置 画线 | 除权 窗 区 信息 删自选 ◎ | | 黄金ETF基金 159937 | | ਦ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 30: 7.411 MA60: 7.386 | | | | | 60H | | | 8.140 | | 7. 339 +0.034 +0.465% | | 年初至 | | 8.010 | | | | | 52 制最 | | | 7.853 | 委托 | +3.16% | | 实时 | | | | 5 | 7.343 | 578 | | | | | | 7.342 | 1125 | | | | 7.561 | | 7.341 | 2312 | | | | | | 7.340 | 5722 | | | | 7.274 | | | | 甲海道 | | | | | 7.339 | 254 | | | | | | | | 昌//申 | | | | | 7.338 | 1195 | 肌金替 | | | 6.982 | | | | | ...

黄金ETF基金（159937）日内下跌1.2%，盘中换手率2.06%，成交额5.67亿元。截止6月27日，黄金ETF基金（159937）近一个月涨幅7.68%。 | 画线 | 除权 窗 区 信息 删自选 ◎ | | | 黄金ETF基金 159937 | | 5日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 402 MA60: 7.376 | | 8.140 | | | | 60日 | | | -8.010 | | | 7. 304 -0.089 -1.204% | | 年初至今 52間最高 | | | | | 载 | -1.57% | -462 | | | | | 7.853 | 5 | 7.308 | 1724 | 实时 | | | | | | | | 笔数 | | | | | Freeholder, France | 7.307 | 1463 | | | | | 7.561 | 3 | 7.306 | 2986 | 手数 | | | | | | | | 金额 | | | | | 盘 2 | 7.305 | 8029 | | | | | 7.274 | | ...

6月24日（周二），国际现货黄金最新报价3352.85%美元/盎司，跌幅0.44%。受地缘局势变化影响，今日最高价为3369.81美元/盎司，COMEX黄金期货最新 报价3365.6美元/盎司，下跌-0.85%，黄金ETF基金（159937）-0.32%，盘中成交额为2.53亿元。 此前，当地时间23日，以色列又一次袭击伊朗，并摧毁了15架战斗机和武装直升机。同日俄罗斯总统普京在莫斯科会见到访的伊朗外长阿拉格齐。普京表 示，俄罗斯愿意为伊朗人民提供协助。 23日，外交部发言人就伊朗拟关闭霍尔木兹海峡表示，呼吁国际社会加大努力，推动冲突降级，防止地区局势动荡对全球经济发展造成更大的影响。 FXStreet分析师Eren Sengezer认为，展望本周，中东危机的演变，以及美联储主席鲍威尔的证词，可能会在短期内推动黄金走势。此外，美国PCE通胀数据 也将影响金价表现。 上周末，美国对伊朗3处核设施发动了打击。受周末中东局势升级影响，现货黄金周一高开近23美元，最高触及3396.33美元/盎司。 6月23日，美联储副主席鲍曼意外发表鸽派言论，称最早可能在7月降息，因其对劳动力市场风险的担忧超过了对关税引发通胀的顾虑 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting, aligning with market expectations [3] - The Fed's dot plot indicates that interest rates are expected to remain unchanged in the next meeting, with two rate cuts anticipated by the end of the year, bringing the rate to 3.75%-4.00% [3] - Economic growth expectations have been downgraded while inflation expectations have been raised, indicating ongoing stagflation risks [3][4] Group 2 - Recent indicators show that U.S. economic activity continues to expand steadily, with low unemployment and a stable labor market, although inflation remains "slightly high" [4] - The Fed is closely monitoring risks to its dual mandate and is prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed [4] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Palestine conflict, have not significantly escalated, leading to a reduction in safe-haven demand for gold [4] Group 3 - UBS forecasts that global central banks will continue to increase gold holdings, predicting a gold price of approximately $3,500 per ounce by the end of the year [5] - The World Gold Council's latest survey indicates that central banks have added over 1,000 tons of gold annually for the past three years, double the average growth rate of the previous decade [5] - 95% of survey respondents expect an increase in global central bank gold reserves over the next 12 months, supporting the bullish outlook for gold prices [5] Group 4 - The gold ETF fund (159937) is designed to closely track domestic gold prices, offering low entry barriers and diverse trading options [5] - Long-term, gold's value is expected to rise in line with the expansion of credit money supply and its role in hedging tail risks in investment portfolios [5] - Gold assets have historically performed well during both overheated and recessionary economic cycles, suggesting a favorable investment environment for gold ETFs [5]

世界黄金协会：近43%央行计划在未来一年内增加黄金储备 6月17日，世界黄金协会发布了《2025年全球央行黄金储备调查》(CBGR)，调查共收集了来自全球73家央行的回应，创下历年参与央行数量新高。这样表示 全球各央行对黄金的关注度正在提升。 《调查》数据显示。超过95%的受访央行认为，未来12个月内全球央行将继续增持黄金。这一比例创下自2019年首次针对该问题进行调查以来的最高纪录， 同时也较2024年的调查结果上升了17个百分点，这表明各国央行对黄金的预期持续向好。调查还发现，近43%的央行计划在未来一年内增加自身黄金储备， 且无人预期黄金持有量会下降。据介绍，即便金价屡创新高，且全球央行已连续15年净购入黄金，各央行依然对黄金青睐有加。 此外，主动管理黄金储备的央行比例从2024年的37%升至2025年的44%，提升收益仍是主因，但风险管理或成为第二大动机。 6月18日（周三）早盘，国际金价最新报3384.33美元/盎司，最高报3396.34%，跌幅-0.08%。COMEX黄金最新报3401.4美元/盎司，跌幅0.16%。黄金ETF基 金（159937）上涨0.04%，成交额2.06亿元。 来源：Win ...