Group 1 - TSMC reported a net profit of NT$398.27 billion (approximately RMB 94.78 billion) for Q2 2025, with its Arizona factory contributing NT$6.447 billion (approximately RMB 1.534 billion) in investment income after four years of losses [1] - The Arizona factory had accumulated losses exceeding NT$39.4 billion over the past four years, with losses of NT$4.976 billion and NT$4.979 billion in Q3 and Q4 of 2024, respectively [1] - Despite the contribution from the Arizona factory, it only accounted for 1.62% of TSMC's total net profit for Q2 [1] Group 2 - TSMC announced a total investment of $65 billion for three advanced chip factories in the U.S., followed by an additional $100 billion for three more advanced chip factories, two advanced packaging plants, and a research center [2] - The P1 factory began production in Q4 of last year, while the P2 factory is expected to start equipment installation in Q3 of next year and begin mass production in 2027 [2] Group 3 - TSMC's subsidiary in Japan, JASM, continues to operate at a loss, with losses reported at NT$11.19 billion, NT$11.87 billion, NT$32.49 billion, and NT$29.73 billion over recent quarters [4] - The low capacity utilization rate of approximately 50% at JASM's first wafer fab is attributed to intense competition in mature process nodes [4] - The slow recovery in the automotive and consumer markets is cited as a reason for the delayed construction of JASM's second factory [4] Group 4 - TSMC's Arizona factory has achieved a monthly production capacity of approximately 34,000 wafers for 4nm chips, fully booked by clients such as Apple and AMD [5] - The profitability of the Arizona factory is contingent on capacity utilization and product margins, with TSMC indicating that overseas factory mass production will dilute margins by 2-3% annually in the initial years, increasing to 3-4% later [5] Group 5 - U.S. government officials have expressed concerns about the return on investment from subsidies provided to semiconductor manufacturers, including TSMC [6] - The U.S. government is considering acquiring equity stakes in companies like TSMC as part of the Chip Act funding [6][7] - There is a push from U.S. officials to relocate some chip manufacturing back to the U.S. for national security reasons [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $30.07 billion in Q2 2025, which is a year-on-year increase of 44.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.8%, exceeding the previous guidance of $28.4 to $29.2 billion [2][3] - The gross margin was 58.6%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating margin was 49.6%, up 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][3] - The company has raised its full-year revenue growth target for 2025 to nearly 30%, up from the previous estimate of around 25% [2] Revenue and Profitability - Q2 2025 net revenue was $30.07 billion, with a net income attributable to shareholders of $398.27 million, reflecting a 10.2% increase from the previous quarter and a 60.7% increase year-on-year [3] - The company expects Q3 2025 revenue to be between $31.8 billion and $33 billion, with a midpoint of $32.4 billion, representing a 7.7% quarter-on-quarter increase [2] Advanced Process and Downstream Distribution - In Q2 2025, 74% of revenue came from processes of 7nm and below, with 3nm accounting for 24%, 5nm for 36%, and 7nm for 14% [2] - High-Performance Computing (HPC) revenue increased by 14% quarter-on-quarter, making up 60% of total revenue, while smartphone revenue accounted for 27% [2] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure (CapEx) for Q2 2025 was $9.63 billion, a decrease of $430 million from Q1 2025 [2] - The company anticipates total capital expenditures for 2025 to reach between $38 billion and $42 billion, maintaining previous expectations [2] AI Business Outlook - The company aims for a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45% for AI business revenue from 2024 to 2028, citing strong demand in the AI sector [2] Global Capacity Planning - The company has invested a total of $165 billion in the U.S., with the first factory in Arizona expected to start mass production in Q4 2024 [2] - Plans include building 11 wafer fabs and 4 advanced packaging plants in Taiwan over the next few years [2]

Core Insights - TSMC reported a record net profit of NT$398.3 billion in Q2, driven by surging AI demand [1][2][6] - The net profit increased by nearly 61% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of NT$376.4 billion [2][6] - Following the earnings announcement, TSMC's stock rose by 2.9% in after-hours trading, reaching US$244.5 [3] Financial Performance - TSMC's Q2 revenue was NT$933.79 billion, a year-on-year increase of 38.6%, surpassing analyst expectations of NT$931.24 billion [5][8] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was NT$15.36 [7] - Gross margin stood at 58.6%, while operating margin was 49.6% [8] Segment Performance - Revenue from high-performance computing (HPC) related to AI accounted for 60% of total revenue, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 14% [11] - Mobile chip revenue represented 27% of total revenue, increasing by 7% quarter-on-quarter [11] - Revenue from IoT chips and automotive chips each accounted for 5% of total revenue, with IoT chips growing by 14% [11] Future Guidance - TSMC expects Q3 sales to be between US$31.8 billion and US$33 billion, with an operating margin forecast of 45.5% to 47.5% [14] - The company anticipates full-year capital expenditures to reach between US$38 billion and US$42 billion [14] Market Dynamics - The growth of TSMC is primarily driven by strong demand for AI-related chips, particularly those with process nodes smaller than 7nm, which accounted for 74% of total wafer revenue [14] - The AI demand is expected to remain sustainable in the short term as the technology continues to expand across various industries [14] - However, TSMC may face challenges in the second half of the year due to the appreciation of the New Taiwan Dollar and potential declines in orders from smartphone and PC customers [14]