华尔街最热门的交易策略"Run it hot"正推动美股屡创新高。 "Run it hot"策略的核心逻辑是，减税和降息政策将共同为经济"加热"，从而激发新一轮增长浪潮。本 周，美联储预计将进行降息，华尔街则期待未来几个月会有更多宽松政策出台，这进一步强化了市场的 风险偏好。 市场表现印证了这种热情。上周，道琼斯工业平均指数首次突破46000点大关，标普500指数和纳斯达克 综合指数也纷纷触及历史新高。与此同时，对利率前景敏感的两年期美国国债收益率跌至三年来的最低 水平，反映出市场对降息的强烈预期。 然而，这种高涨的乐观情绪与主流经济叙事中的一些担忧形成鲜明对比。交易员们似乎对疲弱的就业报 告和关税可能拖累经济增长的风险视而不见，反而全心拥抱降息将提振企业利润的前景。这种分歧，也 让"Run it hot"策略成为当前市场中最受瞩目也最具争议的焦点。 押注宽松政策双重刺激 "Run it hot"交易的核心，是在经济面临不确定性时，选择相信政策的支撑力量。推广了这一术语的 Unlimited Funds首席执行官Bob Elliott指出： "'Run it hot'交易的内核在于，美国经济将在宽松的货币和财 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huitongda Network (09878) reported significant growth in its self-operated trading and service business segments for the first half of 2025, indicating a strategic shift towards quality improvement and innovation after its strategic upgrade in the second half of 2024 [1] Financial Performance - Revenue from the self-operated trading business reached 23.96 billion RMB, while service business revenue was 310 million RMB [1] - Self-owned brand sales exceeded 80 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of over 490% [1] - AI-related revenue in the service business accounted for 20% of total service revenue, conservatively estimated to be over 60 million RMB [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing efficiency and innovation, actively optimizing low-efficiency businesses, and improving revenue structure [1] - Plans for the second half of 2025 include expanding into "hard discounts," "instant retail," and "cross-border e-commerce" sectors [1] - A recent partnership with Alibaba Cloud aims to promote the "AI + industry" model in lower-tier markets, creating a sustainable growth channel for future AI revenue [1]

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 10% in its financial technology and enterprise services business for Q2 2025, reaching RMB 55.5 billion [2] Financial Technology Services - The growth in financial technology services revenue was driven by increases in consumer loan services, commercial payment activities, and wealth management services [2] Enterprise Services - The revenue growth rate for enterprise services accelerated compared to recent quarters, attributed to rising demand from corporate clients for AI-related services, including GPU leasing and API token usage, as well as an increase in merchant technology service fees [2]