Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a successful wave of PC upgrades driven by Windows 11, with stable profit margins reflecting supply chain resilience. Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY2026-2028 have been raised, indicating strong growth potential [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY2026Q2, the company reported revenue of $20.452 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, and a non-GAAP net profit of $512 million, up 25.2%, with a net profit margin of 2.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The IDG segment generated revenue of $15.11 billion, growing 11.8% year-on-year, with Lenovo's PC shipment growth outpacing the industry at 17.3% compared to 9.4% [1]. - The ISG segment achieved revenue of $4.087 billion, a 23.7% year-on-year increase, with strong demand for AI servers, although it reported an operating profit margin of -2.7%, indicating a narrowing loss rate [1]. - The SSG segment's revenue reached $2.556 billion, up 18.1% year-on-year, with deferred revenue of $3.6 billion, reflecting a 17% increase and enhancing business predictability [1]. Group 2: Supply Chain Resilience - The company demonstrates strong supply chain resilience, effectively managing price fluctuations in components due to its significant purchasing power and superior bargaining capabilities compared to peers [2]. - The stable performance of the IDG segment and the narrowing loss rate in the ISG segment serve as evidence of the company's ability to adapt to cost impacts through product and customer structure adjustments [2].

Core Insights - The company reported strong mid-year performance for FY2026, with revenue reaching $39.282 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.0%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at $850 million, up 40.5% [1] IDG Segment - The IDG business generated $28.57 billion in revenue for FY2026H1, reflecting a 14.6% year-on-year growth, with operating profit increasing by 13% and an operating margin of 7.2% [1] - The global market share for the company increased by 1.8 percentage points to 25.6%, achieving a historical high, and it leads the global Windows AI PC market [1] - In China, AI laptops with five key features accounted for 30% of total shipments, with higher average selling prices and profit margins for high-end products [1] - The smartphone segment saw strong performance from high-end models like edge and razr, with new device activations reaching record highs [1] ISG Segment - The ISG business reported $8.38 billion in revenue for FY2026H1, a 29.6% year-on-year increase, driven by cloud and enterprise infrastructure [2] - AI server business benefited from global AI training and inference demand, achieving high double-digit year-on-year revenue growth [2] - The Neptune liquid cooling system showed impressive performance, with first-quarter revenue growing double digits and second-quarter revenue increasing by triple digits, supported by over 100 patents [2] SSG Segment - The SSG business achieved a record revenue of $4.81 billion for FY2026H1, up 18.9% year-on-year, with an operating margin of 22% [2] - Revenue from operational services and project solutions increased to 58.9% of SSG business, marking a historical high [2] - TruScale platform orders saw triple-digit year-on-year growth, driven by the success of Device as a Service (DaaS) and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) initiatives [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company raised its net profit forecasts for FY2026-2028 to $1.87 billion, $2.09 billion, and $2.33 billion respectively, up from previous estimates [3] - The price-to-earnings ratios for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are projected at 9.0, 8.1, and 7.2 times respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

该合伙企业为创业投资基金，原则上投早投小，将主要对具身智能产业链相关的创新企业进行直接或间 接的股权投资、准股权投资或从事与投资相关的活动，包括但不限于上游关键原材料及零部件，如伺服 系统、电机、控制器、减速器、传感器等；关键软件系统及人工智能算法等；中游机器人本体制造与集 成，以及机器人下游应用解决方案等。 龙旗科技表示，本次投资资金来源为龙旗智能的自有资金。协议的签署不会对公司2025年经营业绩构成 重大影响。 10月9日，据智元机器人消息，公司与龙旗科技就工业场景的具身智能机器人应用开展深度战略合作， 龙旗科技下达数亿元金额的智元精灵G2机器人框架订单。此次合作将部署近千台机器人，是目前国内 工业具身智能机器人领域最大订单之一。 11月24日晚间，龙旗科技(603341)公告称，全资子公司龙旗智能拟作为有限合伙人，以自有资金认缴出 资3000万元，参与认购上海瓴智新创创业投资合伙企业（有限合伙）的基金份额，占认缴出资总额的 23.08%。该合伙企业主要对具身智能产业链相关的创新企业进行直接或间接的股权投资。 此前接受调研时，龙旗科技也透露，目前公司内部已有专项团队，重点研究如何将机器人与AI技术结 合， ...

Core Viewpoint - Longqi Technology (龙旗科技) is actively investing in the embodied intelligence sector through its subsidiary Longqi Intelligent, aiming to enhance its competitive strength and secure quality investment targets in the industry [1] Group 1: Investment Activities - Longqi Intelligent plans to invest 30 million yuan in the Shanghai Lingzhi New Venture Capital Partnership, representing 23.08% of the total subscription amount [1] - The partnership focuses on direct or indirect equity investments in innovative companies related to the embodied intelligence industry, including key upstream materials and components, critical software systems, and downstream application solutions [1] Group 2: Business Expansion and Partnerships - Longqi Technology is a leading ODM for smart products, serving major global consumer electronics brands and has diversified its product offerings to include smartphones, tablets, AI PCs, automotive electronics, and more [2] - The company has entered a strategic partnership with Zhiyuan Robotics, placing a significant order for the Zhiyuan Spirit G2 robots, marking one of the largest orders in the domestic industrial embodied intelligence robot sector [2] Group 3: AI Hardware Developments - Longqi Technology has made breakthroughs in AI glasses and AI PCs, with the first smart glasses project entering mass production and two new self-developed AI PC products launched [3] - In Q3 2025, revenue from AIoT products reached 2.282 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 47%, accounting for 20% of the company's total revenue [3]

投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/11/21 | 初敏（分析师） | 杨哲（分析师） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 9.680 | chumin@kysec.cn | yangzhe@kysec.cn | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 13.600/6.570 | 证书编号：S0790522080008 | 证书编号：S0790524100001 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 1,200.77 | | | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 1,200.77 | | | | 总股本(亿股) | 124.05 | | | | 流通港股(亿股) | 124.05 | | | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 44.01 | | | win11 换机潮如期兑现，利润率稳健体现供应链韧性 win11 换机潮、AI PC 渗透率提升如期兑现，三大业务利润率稳定验证公司供应 链的韧性，我们上调 FY2026-2028 财年 non-gaap 归母净利润至 17.6/20.7/23.6 亿 美元（前次为 16.7/19.6/23.0 亿美元），同比增长 21.8%/ ...

联想集团 20251121 摘要 联想集团整体营收稳健增长，各业务和区域营收均实现双位数增长，人 工智能相关业务营收占比达 30%，同比提升 13%，表明 AI 驱动战略成 效显著。 个人智能领域，联想推出一体多端战略，计划于 2026 年 1 月推出个人 超级智能体，IDG 营收同比增长 12%，个人电脑市场份额突破 25%，AI 终端设备占比提升至 36%，同比增长 17%。 企业智能领域，基础设施市场向本地数据中心和边缘侧推理转变，SGG 营收同比增长 24%，AI 基础设施订单储备强劲，SSG 营收连续 18 个季 度实现双位数增长，运营利润率超 22%。 针对存储器件涨价，联想作为行业最大买家之一，通过长期合约确保未 来 1-2 个季度及明年的足够供应，并保证具有竞争力的成本，有效应对 供应短缺和价格波动。 联想预计第三财季收入将实现中高个位数增长，2025-2026 财年下半 年 PC 和 SG 业务将实现双位数增长，全年收入预计实现低双位数增长， 净利润同样预期双位数增长。 Q&A 联想集团在 2025-26 财年中期的整体业绩表现如何？ 在 2025-26 财年第二季度，联想集团取得了创纪录的 ...

AI 时代创新先锋，行业配置更进一竿 - 电子行业 2025Q3 基金持仓分析 20251121 摘要 2025 年第三季度电子板块涨幅显著，位居全行业第二，主要受益于算 力相关领域及 AI 消费电子新品，但后者放量预计在明年下半年或后年。 电子行业细分领域中，零部件及元器件配置增长最多，半导体配置比例 最高达 12.91%，重仓标的包括寒武纪、兆易创新等，受益于 AI、大算 力及存储扩产。 立讯精密、工业富联等公司被看好，工业富联新增大量主动型基金持仓， 预示未来成长潜力，并有望在明年业绩中体现。 全球半导体月度销售额创新高，预计未来一两年内可能突破万亿美元， AI 和存储需求共振，存储市场呈现缺货涨价状态，2026 年预计持续高 增速。 尽管存储涨价带来压力，但终端环节软硬件创新将带动电子产品及元器 件板块增长，富联、沪电等公司被大幅增配，仍具备配置价值。 显示器件市场格局稳定，利润趋于稳定，核心龙头公司分红潜力大，但 短期内受 AI 热潮影响，基金有所减配，长期前景依然看好。 外资通过陆股通增配蓝思科技、水晶光电等行业龙头，减配豪威集团等， ETF 重仓股持仓金额增加但集中度下降，AI 仍是确定性投入增 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) [1] Core Insights - Lenovo Group's FY2026H1 performance shows revenue growth driven by AI, with total revenue reaching $39.282 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.0%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at $850 million, up 40.5% year-on-year [8] - The company benefits from strong performance across its three main business segments, with AI driving revenue and profit growth, enhancing overall competitiveness [8] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - FY2024A: $56.864 billion - FY2025A: $69.077 billion - FY2026E: $76.417 billion - FY2027E: $83.943 billion - FY2028E: $90.407 billion - Year-on-year growth rates: FY2025A +21.48%, FY2026E +10.63%, FY2027E +9.85%, FY2028E +7.70% [1][9] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - FY2024A: $1.011 billion - FY2025A: $1.384 billion - FY2026E: $1.868 billion - FY2027E: $2.089 billion - FY2028E: $2.332 billion - Year-on-year growth rates: FY2025A +37.01%, FY2026E +34.93%, FY2027E +11.84%, FY2028E +11.64% [1][9] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - FY2024A: $0.08 - FY2025A: $0.11 - FY2026E: $0.15 - FY2027E: $0.17 - FY2028E: $0.19 [1] - **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratios**: - FY2026E: 9.04 - FY2027E: 8.08 - FY2028E: 7.24 [1] Business Segment Performance - **IDG (Intelligent Devices Group)**: - Revenue of $28.57 billion in FY2026H1, up 14.6% year-on-year, with a strong operating profit margin of 7.2% [8] - **ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group)**: - Revenue of $8.38 billion in FY2026H1, up 29.6% year-on-year, driven by demand for AI infrastructure [8] - **SSG (Solutions and Services Group)**: - Revenue reached $4.81 billion in FY2026H1, up 18.9% year-on-year, with a high operating profit margin of 22% [8]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 PC业务收入实现同比双位数增长，AI PC加速渗透。FY26Q2 IDG业务收入151.07亿美元，同比上升12%，受益 于AI PC渗透率提升和高端产品销售迅速增长；经营利润110.08亿美元，对应经营溢利率7.3%。受益于产品高 端化带动产品利润率增长，IDG业务盈利能力稳定。分业务看：1）FY26Q2 PC收入同比上升17%。根据IDC数 据，25Q3（对应FY26Q2）公司PC出货量份额25.5%，同比上升1.7pct；根据公司公告，公司的AI PC以31.1% 的出货量份额居全球Windows AI PC市场第一。FY26Q2 AI PC占公司总PC出货量的33%。2）FY26Q2 智能手 机新机激活量创历史新高，主要系Razr及Edge等高端机型销量增长强劲。分地区看，亚太地区销售情况及印度 市场的高端机销售情况较好。展望FY26，预计存储价格上涨将导致全球PC出货量及盈利能力下滑，公司积极 发挥供应链优势应对存储涨价压力，我们认为公司受影响幅度低于同业。 ISG业务（基础设施方案）： AI服务器需求强劲，海神液冷方案实现三位数同比增长。FY26Q2 ISG业务收入4 ...

Core Insights - Lenovo reported 2QFY26 revenue of $20.45 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations by 1.7% [1] - Non-HKFRS net profit reached $512 million, up 25.2% year-on-year, surpassing the company's previous guidance midpoint of approximately 19% [1] - The company disclosed that AI-related business revenue accounted for 30% of total revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13 percentage points [1] Group 1: PC and IDG Performance - IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 60%, demonstrating resilience amid rising storage costs [2] - Lenovo's global PC market share increased by 1.8 percentage points year-on-year to 25.6%, marking a record high and leading the second-place competitor by 5.7 percentage points [2] - Driven by hybrid AI, PC revenue rose by 17% year-on-year, with AI PC penetration increasing by 16 percentage points year-on-year, accounting for 33% of total PC shipments [2] Group 2: ISG and SSG Performance - ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) revenue increased by 23.7% year-on-year, driven by demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions [3] - AI server business recorded high double-digit revenue growth, with strong order reserves [3] - Neptune liquid cooling technology revenue surged by 154% year-on-year, reinforcing the company's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [3] - SSG (Solutions and Services Group) revenue grew by 18.3% year-on-year, maintaining double-digit growth for the 18th consecutive quarter, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [3] Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects to leverage its scale and supply chain advantages to mitigate the impact of rising storage costs, with AI anticipated to drive stable revenue growth in IDG [2] - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 14.0 (previously HKD 16.0), corresponding to a 14.6 times FY2026E PE, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [3]