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【研选行业】2030年市场规模剑指115亿!EMB成智能网联汽车“必选项”,产业链迎来爆发前夜,核心产业链标的全面梳理
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 11:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant growth potential in the smart connected vehicle market, targeting a market size of 11.5 billion by 2030, with a critical period identified between 2025 and 2026 [1] - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing a global race for dominance, with key milestones set for equipment specification in 2026 and mass production in 2027, indicating three main investment themes [1] - A price increase of 60% by overseas giants has sparked a bullish trend in the storage chip market, confirming the ongoing prosperity cycle [1] - NVIDIA is intensifying its investment in autonomous driving, leading to a potential revaluation of the industry chain [1]
研报掘金丨浙商证券:维持伯特利“买入”评级,人形机器人业务齐头并进
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-07 05:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the progress of Bertelli's L3 and the imminent mass production of EMB, indicating a strong growth trajectory in the humanoid robot business [1] - The company has secured multiple clients for its EMB solutions, including a major domestic automotive enterprise, which will provide a complete EMB solution for its entire range of pure electric mid-to-large luxury sedans by October 31, 2025 [1] - The EMB production line has been completed and is expected to deliver small batches by the end of 2025, with full-scale production commencing in the first half of 2026 [1] Group 2 - The company plans to initiate the development of robot screws and motors in 2026, with mass production anticipated by mid-2026 [1] - The research report maintains a "buy" rating for the company's stock, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects [1]
浙商证券:2026年汽车国补超预期 L3商业化开启、增量空间广阔
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 08:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the 2026 national subsidy policy for automobiles emphasizes quality improvement and efficiency, with a shift from fixed subsidies to percentage-based subsidies based on new car prices, along with a cap on the subsidy amount [1][2] - The new energy vehicle (NEV) scrap and replacement subsidy is set at 12% of the new car price, with a maximum of 20,000 yuan, while the replacement subsidy is 8% with a cap of 15,000 yuan. Compared to the 2025 policy, the subsidy decreases for cars priced below 166,700 yuan for scrap updates and below 187,500 yuan for replacement updates [2][3] - For fuel vehicles (2.0L and below), the scrap update subsidy is 10% of the new car price, capped at 15,000 yuan, and the replacement subsidy is 6%, capped at 13,000 yuan. Similar to NEVs, the subsidy decreases for vehicles priced below 150,000 yuan for scrap updates and below 216,700 yuan for replacement updates [3] Group 2 - The 2026 national subsidy policy is expected to exceed expectations, potentially driving demand for mid-to-high-end models and mitigating the negative impact of the reduction in purchase tax incentives for new energy vehicles. The policy's cap remains unchanged, but lower-priced electric vehicle subsidies decrease, which may boost sales and prices of higher-end models [3] - The commercialization of L3-level autonomous driving is set to begin, with the first batch of L3 vehicles receiving product access permits. This development is expected to enhance the penetration rate of core incremental components, such as EMB, which aligns with the stringent requirements for response speed and control precision in L3 and above autonomous driving [4] - Recommended stocks include Xpeng Motors and Geely Automobile for complete vehicles, Bertley for electronic control chassis, and Shanghai Yanpu, Jifeng Co., and Tiancai Zikong for automotive seating [4]
伯特利(603596):智能电控产品在手订单充足,前瞻布局EMB和机器人
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-12-30 07:45
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has shown robust growth in the first three quarters, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 27.0% to 8.36 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 14.6% to 890 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 19.3%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 10.7%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s smart electronic control products are the main growth driver, with sales of 4.733 million units in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 41.6% [2]. - The company has a strong order backlog and is actively advancing capacity construction, with 536 projects under research, a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [3]. - The company raised 2.802 billion yuan through convertible bonds in July 2025 to invest in various production projects, including the production of 600,000 units of EMB and 1 million units of WCBS annually [3]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 12.8 billion, 15.8 billion, and 19.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.42 billion, 1.81 billion, and 2.23 billion yuan [4]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025-2027 are 22, 17, and 14 times, respectively [4]. - The gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecast of 20.5% for Q3 2025, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter [1].
伯特利(603596.SH):公司EMB的产线已经调试完成,今年年底将小批量交付
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The company Bertli (603596.SH) has completed the debugging of its EMB production line, with small batch deliveries expected by the end of this year and full-scale production anticipated in the first half of next year [1] Group 1: Product Advantages - The core advantages of EMB include faster response times compared to traditional braking systems, a fully redundant functional architecture, and higher safety, making it suitable for advanced intelligent driving systems [1] - EMB can be deeply integrated with chassis domain control, aligning with the trend of electronic and integrated automotive development [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - As the automotive industry progresses towards higher levels of intelligent driving, EMB products are expected to become the mainstream solution for braking safety redundancy and will be a key growth driver for the company in the future [1]
伯特利(603596.SH):目前EMB已经获得多家客户的定点项目
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 09:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Bertli (603596.SH) has received multiple designated projects from various clients for its EMB product, with mass production expected to commence in the first half of next year [1] Group 2 - The company is actively engaging with clients and has secured several projects, indicating a positive outlook for future revenue generation [1] - The anticipated start of mass production in the upcoming months suggests a significant milestone for the company's operational capabilities [1]
伯特利:预计明年上半年EMB陆续实现量产
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-17 08:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Bertli (603596) has received multiple customer orders for its EMB projects, which are expected to begin mass production in the first half of next year [1] Group 2 - Bertli announced on its interactive platform that it has secured designated projects from several clients [1] - The company anticipates that the mass production will commence gradually starting in the first half of next year [1]
亚太股份:公司目前暂未涉及机器人相关业务,但公司的线控制动、EMB等产品会使用到滚珠丝杠和无刷电机
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-17 07:42
Core Viewpoint - The company is currently not involved in robotics-related business but is actively advancing research on ball screws and brushless motors, which are used in its products like electronic control brakes (EMB) [2] Group 1: Company Development - The company has received inquiries regarding the research progress of ball screws and brushless motors [2] - The company is focusing on the development of its existing products that utilize ball screws and brushless motors [2] - Future plans regarding the robotics sector will be disclosed in accordance with regulatory requirements if they arise [2]
伯特利20251031
2025-11-03 02:35
Summary of Boteli's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Boteli - **Industry**: Automotive components, specifically focusing on intelligent electronic control products and braking systems Key Financial Performance - **Net Profit**: - Q1-Q3 2025: CNY 889 million, up 14.6% YoY [2][3] - Q3 2025: CNY 369 million, up 15.2% YoY, and up 46.5% QoQ [2][3] - **Revenue**: - Q1-Q3 2025: CNY 8.357 billion, up 27% YoY [3] - Q3 2025: CNY 3.193 billion, up 22.5% YoY, and up 26.4% QoQ [3] - **Gross Margin**: - Q1-Q3 2025: 19.32%, down 1.9 percentage points YoY [3] - Q3 2025: 20.6%, down 1 percentage point YoY but up 1.4 percentage points QoQ [3] Product Performance - **Intelligent Electronic Control Products**: - Revenue: CNY 4 billion, up 37.2% YoY [2][4] - **Disc Brakes**: - Revenue: CNY 2.1 billion, up 29% YoY [2][4] - **New Projects**: - 417 new projects added, up 38% YoY, with expected annualized revenue exceeding CNY 8 billion [2][4] Capacity Expansion - **New Production Lines**: - Two new WBS control lines and additional production lines for electronic control braking and air suspension are expected to be delivered by year-end [2][7] - **International Expansion**: - New factory planned in Morocco for EPP and electronic control products [2][8] Market Performance - **Overseas Revenue**: - Exceeded CNY 1 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, up 33% YoY [2][8] - Q3 revenue from the Mexico factory reached CNY 200 million, up 28% QoQ [2][8] - **North American Market**: - Actively promoting products like EBB, OneBox, and EMB, with significant orders received [3][14] Future Outlook - **Growth in Robotics**: - A CNY 200 million fund established for humanoid robots and low-altitude economy sectors, aiming for key component development and mass production in 3-4 years [2][10] - **Sales Projections**: - Anticipated 40% growth in OneBox sales next year, with a target of 100,000 units for EMB [3][19][20] Strategic Initiatives - **R&D Investment**: - R&D expenses reached CNY 444 million, up 15.6% YoY, accounting for 5.3% of total revenue [6] - **Intellectual Property**: - Actively applying for domestic and international patents for strategic products [6] Additional Insights - **Customer Base**: - Significant growth in market share with key clients like Chery (40% market share) and Geely (97% growth) [4] - **Challenges**: - Net profit growth lagging behind revenue growth due to customer compensation and reduced government subsidies [3][4] Conclusion - **Overall Performance**: - Despite pricing pressures, Boteli has achieved stable growth and is optimistic about future sales, particularly in the robotics sector and overseas markets [24][25]
伯特利(603596)季报点评:布局机器人丝杠打造新增长极
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 08:28
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q3 results with revenue of 3.193 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 22.48% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 26.43%, along with a net profit of 369 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.15% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 46.50%, surpassing previous expectations due to reduced pricing pressure and the release of scale effects [1][2]. Revenue Growth - Q3 revenue increased by 22.5% year-over-year and 26.4% quarter-over-quarter to 3.193 billion yuan, driven by rapid growth in sales from core clients such as Geely and Chery [2]. - Sales of intelligent electronic control, disc brakes, and lightweight products grew by 39%, 25%, and 10% year-over-year, and by 34%, 26%, and 24% quarter-over-quarter, respectively [2]. - The company secured a record number of new orders for WCBS and ADAS, with 29 and 14 new projects, respectively, indicating strong future growth potential in the intelligent electronic control business [2]. Profitability Improvement - Q3 gross margin decreased slightly by 0.38 percentage points year-over-year and increased by 1.36 percentage points quarter-over-quarter to 20.55%, attributed to reduced pricing pressure from core clients [3]. - The sales expense ratio increased by 0.13 percentage points quarter-over-quarter to 0.45%, while the management expense ratio decreased by 0.24 percentage points to 2.56% [3]. - The net profit margin for Q3 was 11.56%, reflecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.58 percentage points [3]. Product Development and Growth Opportunities - The company is making progress in developing new products in the intelligent chassis sector, including WCBS, EMB, and intelligent suspension systems, which are expected to meet future L3 autonomous driving demands [4]. - The establishment of a joint venture with Zhejiang Jianzhuang Transmission aims to develop and produce ball screws and other components for humanoid robots, creating a new growth avenue [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.445 billion, 1.857 billion, and 2.351 billion yuan, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.83% [5]. - The target price is set at 72.83 yuan based on a 23.8x PE ratio for 2026, slightly adjusted from the previous target of 73.3 yuan [5].