Core Viewpoint - The current humanoid robots in the hardware sector have reached the commercialization threshold in logistics scenarios, but domestic embodied models still have room for improvement before full deployment [1] Summary by Categories Efficiency in Sorting - Overseas, the Figure 02 robot, based on Helix neural network, processes a package in an average time of 4.05 seconds, which is comparable to the sorting efficiency of skilled workers who take 3-5 seconds per standard small package [1] - Domestically, the Zhiyuan Spirit G1 robot's sorting speed still lags behind that of skilled workers [1] - There are notable gaps in sorting quality and handling exceptions between humanoid robots and skilled workers [1] Economic Viability - Currently, humanoid robots are at a critical point in replacing workers in sorting scenarios [1] - It is anticipated that in the second half of this year, humanoid robots will gradually transition from demo scenarios to customer trials, with a potential explosive growth expected next year after customer validation [1] - Due to higher labor costs, overseas markets are expected to be the first choice for the deployment of humanoid robots in logistics scenarios [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the humanoid robot industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [5]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is driven by "technological deepening" and "scene implementation," with Figure 02's technological breakthrough reflecting the industry's direction. The application scenarios are expanding from industrial to smart home environments [5]. - The report highlights the continuous technological transformation and exploration of application scenarios by domestic and international humanoid robot companies, indicating ongoing industrialization in the humanoid robot sector [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the recent demonstration of Figure 02, which successfully completed the complex task of folding clothes autonomously, showcasing advancements in humanoid robotics [2][5]. Technological Advancements - Figure 02 utilizes the Helix architecture and a new dataset to master the skill of folding clothes, demonstrating significant improvements in its technical capabilities. The robot's ability to handle various fabric types and dynamic variables highlights its advanced environmental perception and motion planning [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of algorithm optimization and data accumulation in expanding robotic skills, particularly in complex daily tasks [5]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the humanoid robot industry, including: - Joint module manufacturers: Zhongchen Technology, Shuanghuan Transmission, and Landai Technology - Linear actuator manufacturers: Hengli Hydraulic - Motor manufacturers: Mingzhi Electric - Encoder manufacturers: Yap Technology and Fengcai Technology - Dexterous hand and sensor manufacturers: Hanwei Technology and Zhaowei Electromechanical - Structural component manufacturers: Changying Precision [5][6]. Financial Projections - The report includes earnings forecasts for key companies, indicating expected growth in earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the years 2025 to 2027, with recommendations to "Accumulate" for several companies based on their projected performance [6].

Core Viewpoint - The humanoid robot industry is driven by "technological deepening" and "scene implementation," with a focus on the transition from industrial applications to smart home environments [1][3]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - Figure 02 has achieved a breakthrough in autonomous clothing folding through its Helix architecture and new datasets, showcasing significant technical capabilities in complex tasks [1]. - The ability to fold clothes requires high environmental perception, precision in force control, and motion planning, which Figure 02 has successfully demonstrated using neural network algorithms [1]. - The innovative design of the dexterous hand utilizes underactuated modular finger components, integrating all necessary components within the fingers, which enhances movement stability and adaptability for grasping [2]. Group 2: Market Trends and Applications - The breakthrough in clothing folding signifies a shift from industrial applications to household scenarios, indicating potential for expanding capabilities in daily service needs such as cleaning and caregiving [3]. - The collaborative upgrade path of "algorithm - data - components" is essential for the ongoing development of humanoid robots, emphasizing the importance of algorithm optimization and data accumulation [3].

Group 1 - Humanoid robots are becoming a key support for the breakthrough of intelligent technology, enabling seamless adaptation to human environments and interaction with physical tools [1][14] - The global humanoid robot market is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 12,400 units and a market size of 6.339 billion yuan by 2025, and over 640 billion yuan by 2030 [2][25] - By 2035, the market is anticipated to exceed 500 million units and 4 trillion yuan, with Goldman Sachs predicting a global market size of 154 billion USD [2][25] Group 2 - Major companies like Tesla and Boston Dynamics are leading the technological evolution of humanoid robots, with Tesla's Optimus series set for mass production by 2026 at a price of 20,000 to 30,000 USD [3][34] - Boston Dynamics is launching a new electric version of the Atlas robot in 2024, capable of complex movements and tasks [3][34] - Companies like Unitree and Figure AI are also making strides in humanoid robot development, focusing on various applications from industrial to household services [3][34][31] Group 3 - Humanoid robots are being applied in various sectors, including industrial manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, and home services, demonstrating their versatility and effectiveness [4][30] - Amazon is testing the humanoid robot Digit for tasks such as unloading trucks and managing shelves, while 1X and OpenAI are developing EVE for home and office assistance [4][30] - The healthcare sector is seeing humanoid robots transition from laboratory settings to clinical practice, addressing resource shortages and improving diagnostic accuracy [4][30] Group 4 - The future development of humanoid robots will focus on establishing unified hardware standards, enhancing operational reliability, and fostering collaboration between academia and industry [5][30] - There is a need for breakthroughs in multimodal perception and cloud-edge collaboration technologies to advance humanoid robot capabilities [5][30] - Creating an international platform for humanoid robot development and standardized interaction interfaces will facilitate multi-robot coordination [5][30]

Core Viewpoint - Figure has launched the F03 battery, the third generation of its internal energy platform designed for humanoid robots, which provides 2.3 kWh of energy and enables up to five hours of peak performance runtime. This battery is the first in the humanoid robot sector to receive both UN38.3 and UL2271 safety certifications [1][2]. Battery Innovation Highlights - The F03 battery features an active cooling system integrated into the die-cast shell, allowing for safe and rapid charging at 2 kW. It includes a custom battery management system (BMS) to manage thermal loads and prevent overcharging, overheating, or short circuits. Multiple safety measures are implemented, including thermal insulation materials and internal fuses [2]. - Figure is collaborating with UL to establish new safety certification standards for humanoid robot batteries, which will meet a series of 23 mechanical, thermal, and electrical tests outlined in UL2271 [2]. Production and Manufacturing - The production of the F03 battery utilizes large-scale manufacturing methods such as die-casting, injection molding, stamping, and immersion coating, enabling Figure to achieve an annual production target of up to 12,000 humanoid robot units [3]. - The production process is supported by enterprise-level systems, including ERP, MES, PLM, and warehouse management tools. Figure has expanded its team to 293 employees to meet manufacturing goals [5]. Competitive Landscape - Figure, founded in 2022, has raised $2.34 billion, with a current valuation of $2.6 billion. The company is in competition with Tesla and other developers in the humanoid robot space [6]. - The humanoid robots "Figure 01" and "Figure 02" have been deployed in BMW's Spartanburg factory, enhancing logistics efficiency through the proprietary robot control system "Helix" [6]. Future Outlook - Figure aims to triple its robot production from July to September, reflecting confidence in technological advancements and market demand. The BotQ factory is designed for high-volume production, with the first generation capable of producing 12,000 robots annually [9][10]. - The company is focusing on optimizing manufacturing processes and has established new teams for safety and reliability, ensuring that robots meet longevity and reliability standards [13][14].

Core Insights - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the humanoid robot industry, emphasizing opportunities in both domestic and international supply chains and application sectors [1][3] - The emergence of Tesla's Optimus project is seen as a catalyst for industry transformation, marking the beginning of mass production in humanoid robots [5][6] - The report highlights the collaboration between major tech companies like Huawei, Tencent, and Baidu with humanoid robot firms, indicating a trend towards integrated technological advancements [12] Group 1: International Supply Chain - Tesla's Optimus project exemplifies the automotive industry's entry into robot self-research, with hundreds of companies involved in developing the first complete humanoid robot supply chain [6] - The report notes that Tesla aims to produce thousands of Optimus robots by 2025, with plans to scale production to 500,000 units by 2030 [7] - The cost of producing the Optimus robot is projected to decrease from $200,000 to $20,000 through the reuse of automotive supply chains [8] Group 2: Domestic Supply Chain - The report identifies Figure, founded by Brett Adcock, as a promising player in the humanoid robot sector, leveraging past entrepreneurial successes [9] - Figure's first humanoid robot, Figure 01, was launched in October 2023, showcasing capabilities such as learning tasks through human demonstration [10] - The report outlines significant funding rounds for Figure, including a $675 million Series B round in February 2024, with investments from major tech firms [10] Group 3: Application Sectors - The report discusses the evolution of the elderly care robot industry towards more humanized, specialized, lightweight, intelligent, and widespread applications [13] - Exoskeleton robots are expanding from industrial applications to elderly care, assisting caregivers and enhancing mobility for seniors [14] - Bionic robots are rapidly finding applications in cultural tourism, serving as guides and performers, thus enhancing the visitor experience [15] Group 4: Industry Chain Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring key players in the Tesla robot supply chain, including companies like Sanhua Intelligent Controls and Top Group [16] - For the elderly care and exoskeleton robot sectors, companies such as Ousheng Electric and MediTech are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [17]

Core Viewpoint - The breakthrough in embodied intelligence will not occur in laboratories but in practical applications, indicating a shift from academic research to entrepreneurial ventures in the field [1][5]. Company Overview - Qianxun Intelligent was founded by Gao Yang, a chief scientist and assistant professor at Tsinghua University, and Han Fengtao, a veteran in the domestic robotics industry, to explore the potential of embodied intelligence [2][3]. - The company recently demonstrated its new Moz1 robot, capable of performing intricate tasks such as organizing office supplies [4][3]. Industry Trends - The development of embodied intelligence is currently at a critical scaling moment, similar to the advancements seen with large models like GPT-4, but it may take an additional four to five years for significant breakthroughs [2][29]. - There is a notable difference in the development of embodied intelligence between China and the U.S., with China having advantages in hardware manufacturing and faster repair times for robots [6][7]. Research and Development - Gao Yang transitioned from autonomous driving to robotics, believing that robotics offers more versatility and challenges compared to specialized applications like self-driving cars [10][12]. - The field of embodied intelligence is experiencing a convergence of ideas, with many previously explored paths being deemed unfeasible, leading to a more focused research agenda [12][13]. Technological Framework - Gao Yang defines the stages of embodied intelligence, with the industry currently approaching Level 2, where robots can perform a limited range of tasks in office settings [17][18]. - The preferred approach in the industry is end-to-end systems, particularly the vision-language-action (VLA) model, which integrates visual, linguistic, and action components into a unified framework [19][20]. Data and Training - The training of VLA models involves extensive data collection from the internet, followed by fine-tuning with real-world operation data and reinforcement learning to enhance performance [23][24]. - The scaling law observed in the field indicates that increasing data volume significantly improves model performance, with a ratio of 10-fold data increase leading to substantial performance gains [27][28]. Market Dynamics - The demand for humanoid robots stems from the need to operate in environments designed for humans, although non-humanoid designs may also be effective depending on the application [33][34]. - The industry is moving towards a model where both the "brain" (AI) and the "body" (robotic hardware) are developed in tandem, similar to the automotive industry, allowing for specialization in various components [39][41].

Group 1 - The rapid development of embodied intelligence is benefiting domestic and international forklift, e-commerce logistics, and robotics companies in the smart logistics sector, with a clear trend towards unmanned forklifts and embodied handling robots [1] - Amazon has deployed over one million robots globally, with new warehouse robot Vulcan capable of performing 75% of tasks at fulfillment centers, matching the efficiency of frontline workers [1] - The report highlights the potential of unmanned and intelligent development in the forklift industry, recommending companies such as Anhui Heli (600761.SH), Hangcha Group (603298.SH), and Zhongli Co., Ltd. (603194.SH) [1] Group 2 - Since 2025, several leading companies have intensified their investments in the unmanned logistics sector, including KION Group collaborating with NVIDIA and Accenture to enhance warehouse management [2] - Figure 02, developed by Figure, autonomously completes package picking tasks, showcasing advancements in robotics for logistics [2] - The partnership between Zhiyuan Robotics and Dematic Group aims to establish a humanoid robot data collection factory, indicating a shift towards data-driven applications in logistics [2] Group 3 - Domestic forklift leaders are accelerating their unmanned logistics initiatives, with Anhui Heli collaborating with Huawei on digital transformation and signing agreements with SF Express and JD.com [3] - Hangcha Group is expanding its presence in the U.S. by establishing a smart logistics company and exploring innovative collaborations in the "smart robot + logistics" field [3] - Zhongli Co., Ltd. is launching new products in smart warehousing and robotics, indicating a clear trend towards unmanned operations in the forklift and warehousing logistics sectors [3]

Group 1 - Figure is making significant strides in the humanoid robot sector, with the launch of its first humanoid robot, Figure 01, in October 2023, capable of performing simple tasks and learning through human demonstration [1] - The company completed a $675 million Series B funding round in February 2024, with investors including Microsoft, Intel, OpenAI Startup Fund, Amazon Industrial Innovation Fund, and Nvidia, and announced a partnership with OpenAI to develop a specialized AI model for its humanoid robots [1][2] - The second-generation humanoid robot, Figure 02, was launched in August 2024, featuring a complete redesign with an exoskeleton structure for improved reliability and compactness [1] Group 2 - Figure's valuation surged to $2.6 billion following its Series B funding round in February 2024, with significant investments from major tech companies and venture capitalists [4] - The company is in discussions for a Series C funding round in April 2025, aiming for a valuation of $40 billion (approximately 290 billion) to raise between $1 billion and $2 billion [5] Group 3 - Brett Adcock, the founder of Figure, has a successful entrepreneurial background, having previously founded and exited two companies, which may contribute to Figure's potential success in the humanoid robot market [6]

Investment Rating - The report rates the humanoid robot industry as "Recommended," expecting the industry index to rise more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [17]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing continuous development with new technologies being iterated and the mass production process accelerating. The report suggests focusing on companies involved in various components such as actuators, reducers, sensors, motors, and equipment [4]. Industry Basic Data - The humanoid robot industry consists of 301 listed companies with a total market value of 49,118.76 billion and a circulating market value of 42,830.18 billion [1]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance of the humanoid robot industry over the past month is 1.5%, with a 6-month performance of -8.4% and a 12-month performance of 7.6%. The relative performance shows a decline of 0.2% over the past month and 5.9% over the past 6 months [2]. Related Research Reports - The report references several related studies, including a monthly data tracking report on the wind power industry and a report on the electric vehicle industry, indicating ongoing research and interest in related sectors [4]. Recent Developments - Notable events include the release of a humanoid robot by PepsiCo, advancements in flexible tactile sensors by Fulei New Materials, and the bankruptcy announcement of Aldebaran, highlighting both innovation and challenges within the industry [4].