2026 年 02 月 04 日 开源晨会 0204 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | 5.630 | | 国防军工 | 4.424 | | 机械设备 | 3.976 | | 建筑材料 | 3.520 | | 钢铁 | 3.284 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 银行 | -0.851 | | 非银金融 | 0.172 | | 煤炭 | 0.381 | | 石油石化 | 0.437 | | 公用事业 | 0.671 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 【中小盘】SpaceX 拟部署百万颗卫星系统，重视运力和太空算力投资机会——中 小盘策略专题-20260203 【银行】2026 年净息差展望：筑底 ...

非银金融/证券Ⅱ 华泰证券（601688.SH） 再融资靴子落地，利好国际业务增长 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 日期 2026/2/2 当前股价(元) 22.69 一年最高最低(元) 25.75/14.60 总市值(亿元) 2,048.20 流通市值(亿元) 1,657.90 总股本(亿股) 90.27 流通股本(亿股) 73.07 近 3 个月换手率(%) 80.96 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 华泰证券 沪深300 相关研究报告 《业绩超预期，综合实力行业领先— 华泰证券 2025 三季报点评》 -2025.10.31 高超（分析师） 卢崑（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520050001 lukun@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040002 事件：2 月 3 日上午，华泰证券公告拟根据一般性授权发行可转换为本公司 H 股 股份的债券。 再融资靴子落地，利好国际业务增长 （3）股份摊薄：可转换债券仅可转换H股，可转换约5.1亿股，约占现有已发行 H股的29 ...

待债券发行完成后，经扣除经办人佣金及就发售应付的其他估计开支后，债券发行所得款项净额将约为 1,187.5 百万美元。公司拟将该等所得款项用于支持公司境外资源项目的扩产、优化及持续性资本开 支，增强公司营运资金灵活性及一般公司用途。 假设按初始转换价每股 H 股 28.03 港元悉数转换债券，则债券将转换为约 333,739,565 股 H 股，相当于 公司于公告日期现有已发行 H 股数目约 8.48%及公司现有已发行股份数目约1.56%，以及公司悉数转换 债券后的经扩大已发行 H 股数目约7.82%及公司经扩大已发行股份数目约 1.54%。转换股份将悉数缴 足，并在各方面与于相关登记日期当时已发行的 H 股享有同等地位。 格隆汇1月20日丨洛阳钼业(603993.SH)公布，2026 年 1 月 19 日(收市时间后)，公司拟根据债务融资工 具一般性授权及发行股份一般性授权，通过境外间接控股子公司CMOC CapitalLimited(以下简称"发行 人"或"CMOC Capital")发行12亿美元于2027年到期的零息有担保的可转换为公司 H 股的公司债券，公司 将为间接控股子公司 CMOC Capit ...

格隆汇1月20日丨洛阳钼业(603993.SH)公布，2026 年 1 月 19 日(收市时间后)，公司拟根据债务融资工 具一般性授权及发行股份一般性授权，通过境外间接控股子公司CMOC CapitalLimited(以下简称"发行 人"或"CMOC Capital")发行12亿美元于2027年到期的零息有担保的可转换为公司 H 股的公司债券，公司 将为间接控股子公司 CMOC Capital 发行可转债提供担保。 假设按初始转换价每股 H 股 28.03 港元悉数转换债券，则债券将转换为约 333,739,565 股 H 股，相当于 公司于公告日期现有已发行 H 股数目约 8.48%及公司现有已发行股份数目约1.56%，以及公司悉数转换 债券后的经扩大已发行 H 股数目约7.82%及公司经扩大已发行股份数目约 1.54%。转换股份将悉数缴 足，并在各方面与于相关登记日期当时已发行的 H 股享有同等地位。 待债券发行完成后，经扣除经办人佣金及就发售应付的其他估计开支后，债券发行所得款项净额将约为 1,187.5 百万美元。公司拟将该等所得款项用于支持公司境外资源项目的扩产、优化及持续性资本开 支，增强公司营运 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international business has become a significant profit growth point for Chinese securities firms, with companies accelerating their internationalization through capital increases in overseas subsidiaries [1][3]. Fundraising Details - Guangfa Securities has completed a fundraising round through H-share placement and convertible bonds, raising over HKD 6.1 billion, all intended for increasing capital in overseas subsidiaries [1][2]. - The net proceeds from the H-share placement are approximately HKD 3.96 billion, while the net proceeds from the convertible bond issuance are about HKD 2.15 billion, totaling over HKD 6.1 billion [2]. - The allocation of the funds includes 70% for international business development, 25% for liquidity support to overseas subsidiaries, and 5% for operational funding [2]. Market Environment - The international business of Chinese securities firms is increasingly recognized for its value and growth potential, with significant revenue growth expected in the coming years [2][4]. - By mid-2025, six Chinese securities firms are projected to have overseas business revenues exceeding CNY 1 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of over 10% for 12 firms [2]. Competitive Landscape - Chinese securities firms are rapidly expanding their overseas presence through the establishment and capitalization of foreign subsidiaries [3]. - Notable actions include Guangfa Securities' previous capital increase of HKD 2.14 billion for its subsidiary in Hong Kong and similar moves by other firms like China Merchants Securities and Shanxi Securities [3]. - The overall internationalization of securities firms is progressing, with major firms extending their service networks into emerging markets [3]. Future Outlook - The overseas business of securities firms is expected to benefit from improved comprehensive service capabilities and increasing demand from Chinese enterprises going global [4]. - Supportive policies are creating a favorable environment for the development of overseas business, with expectations for rapid growth in investment banking revenue and profits for leading firms [4].

Group 1: Non-Banking Financial Sector - The non-banking financial index rose by 2.6%, with brokerage and insurance indices increasing by 1.9% and 3.6% respectively, indicating a synchronized upward trend [6][7] - Daily average A-share trading volume reached 2.85 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 137% year-on-year and 51.6% month-on-month, reflecting heightened market trading enthusiasm [7] - The two financing balance stood at 2.63 trillion yuan, maintaining above the 2 trillion yuan mark for 106 consecutive trading days, suggesting sustained market vitality [7] Group 2: Insurance Sector - The "deposit migration effect" is driving sales in the insurance sector, as banks lower deposit rates and long-term deposits become scarce, leading to increased demand for insurance products [8] - The A-share market is performing well, benefiting from policy support and economic recovery, which has improved the investment returns for insurance funds [8] - Major insurance companies have proactively increased their allocations in high-dividend blue-chip stocks and cyclical sectors, enhancing their profit potential in the current market [8] Group 3: Currency and Exchange Rate - The People's Bank of China has implemented counter-cyclical measures to stabilize the RMB exchange rate, aiming to prevent excessive appreciation [11][12] - The estimated waiting settlement amount for foreign trade is approximately 480 billion USD, indicating potential for RMB appreciation if it surpasses the critical threshold of 6.80 [12] - The swap market reflects a shift in RMB appreciation expectations, with state-owned banks becoming net buyers in the swap market, indicating a bullish sentiment towards the RMB [13] Group 4: Food and Beverage Sector - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December showed a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, with food prices improving, particularly fresh vegetables and fruits, which rose by 18.2% and 4.4% respectively [16][17] - The food and beverage sector saw a 2.12% increase, with pre-processed food leading the gains at 6.72% [18] - Major retail players like Sam's Club and Alibaba are expanding aggressively, with Sam's Club sales expected to exceed 200 billion yuan in 2026 [19] Group 5: Machinery and Equipment Sector - The "Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing" initiative aims to enhance the application of AI in manufacturing, with goals set for 2027 to establish a leading global position in AI technology [23] - Numerous Chinese companies showcased their innovations at the CES exhibition, highlighting advancements in robotics and AI applications in manufacturing [24][25]

Core Points - Ganfeng Lithium announced the redemption of HKD 1.37 billion convertible bonds issued on September 2, 2025, with HKD 1.238 billion remaining, accounting for 90.36% of the total principal amount [1] - The company will redeem the bonds at 100% of the principal amount due to the closing price of H-shares meeting the conditions, and will pay accrued unpaid interest until December 18 [1] - Holders wishing to exercise their conversion rights must submit a notice by 3 PM on December 8, with a conversion price set at HKD 33.67 [1] - If all bonds are converted, it would result in the issuance of approximately 36.7686 million H-shares, representing about 8.22% of the total issued H-shares and approximately 1.78% of the total issued shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of zero-coupon convertible bonds by Chinese insurance companies, such as China Pacific Insurance and Ping An, is becoming a new fundraising channel in the capital market, driven by low interest rates and a global search for quality assets [1][3]. Group 1: Financing Activities - China Pacific Insurance recently issued HKD 155.56 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds, achieving a premium issuance with a conversion premium rate of 25% [3]. - Ping An also issued zero-coupon convertible bonds earlier this year, with a total principal amount of HKD 117.65 billion [3]. - The issuance of these bonds marks several records, including the first offshore convertible bond for state-owned financial enterprises listed both domestically and internationally, and the largest zero-coupon convertible bond in Hong Kong's history [3]. Group 2: Strategic Intentions - The funds raised from these bond issuances are intended to support the core insurance business and strategic developments of the companies [3]. - The insurance industry is facing increasing operational pressures, prompting companies to enhance their capital strength through various means, including issuing convertible bonds [5]. Group 3: Market Context - The current low domestic interest rates facilitate bond issuance, allowing companies to optimize their capital and debt structures while effectively enhancing capital strength [4]. - The trend of seeking overseas financing is expected to continue, as it provides access to a larger pool of funds and more flexible financing tools, especially for companies looking to expand internationally [6].

Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. successfully issued HKD-denominated zero-coupon convertible bonds, raising HKD 15.556 billion, marking several records in the market [1][3][7] Group 1: Issuance Details - The issuance of convertible bonds by China Pacific Insurance is the first overseas convertible bond for a state-owned financial enterprise listed both domestically and internationally [1] - The bonds have a conversion price of HKD 39.04 per share, representing a premium of approximately 21.24% over the closing price on September 10 [2] - The total number of shares that can be converted from the bonds is approximately 398 million, accounting for 14.36% of the existing H-shares [2] Group 2: Strategic Use of Funds - The funds raised will primarily support the core insurance business and the company's three strategic developments: "Great Health and Wellness," "Artificial Intelligence+," and "Internationalization" [3][7] - China Ping An also announced similar plans for its bond issuance, focusing on capital needs for medical and elderly care strategies [3] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Investor Confidence - The issuance of zero-coupon bonds indicates a near "free" long-term financing option, as investors forgo regular interest income in favor of potential capital gains from future stock conversions [3][4] - Over 70% of the bonds were subscribed by long-term investors, reflecting strong market confidence in the fundamentals and long-term prospects of China Pacific Insurance [3] Group 4: Comparative Analysis with Peers - China Ping An's strategy involved issuing H-shares while simultaneously repurchasing A-shares, balancing interests across different markets [4][5] - The issuance of convertible bonds and share repurchases is seen as a way to attract foreign investment while managing stock dilution and enhancing share price [5] Group 5: Regulatory and Market Context - The issuance aligns with the implementation of the second phase of the solvency regulatory framework, which raises capital requirements for insurance companies [7] - The low-cost financing through convertible bonds is a strategic response to the global low-interest-rate environment, allowing insurance companies to secure long-term funding [6][8] Group 6: Future Trends - The trend of issuing H-share convertible bonds may become more common among listed financial enterprises due to favorable market conditions and regulatory flexibility in Hong Kong [8] - The focus on emerging business areas like health and artificial intelligence is expected to yield long-term returns, although these sectors typically require patience for profitability [8]

Core Viewpoint - China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. successfully issued HKD-denominated zero-coupon convertible bonds, raising HKD 15.556 billion, marking several records in the process [1][3][4] Group 1: Issuance Details - The issuance is the first overseas convertible bond for a state-owned financial enterprise listed both domestically and internationally, and it is the largest zero-coupon convertible bond in Hong Kong's history [1] - The initial conversion price for the bonds is set at HKD 39.04, representing a premium of approximately 21.24% over the closing price on September 10 [2] - If fully converted, the bonds could convert into approximately 398 million shares, accounting for 14.36% of the existing H-shares [2] Group 2: Strategic Use of Funds - The funds raised will primarily support the insurance core business and the company's three strategic developments: "Big Health," "Artificial Intelligence+," and internationalization [3][8] - China Ping An also indicated that the net proceeds from its bond issuance would be used to supplement capital needs and support new strategic developments in healthcare and elderly care [3] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Investor Confidence - The issuance of zero-coupon bonds indicates a near "free" long-term financing option, as investors forgo regular interest income in favor of potential capital gains from future stock conversions [3][4] - Over 70% of the bonds were subscribed by long-term investors, reflecting strong market confidence in the fundamentals and long-term growth prospects of China Pacific Insurance [3] Group 4: Comparative Analysis with Peers - Both China Pacific Insurance and China Ping An are utilizing zero-coupon convertible bonds, but Ping An has also engaged in share buybacks to balance interests across different markets [5][6] - The issuance strategy of China Ping An, which includes canceling approximately 10.3 million A-shares, aims to support A-share prices while leveraging lower financing costs in Hong Kong [5][6] Group 5: Industry Context and Future Trends - The insurance industry is facing challenges from a global low-interest-rate environment, making low-cost financing essential for capital replenishment [7][8] - The issuance of zero-coupon convertible bonds is seen as a trend for listed financial enterprises, particularly as it offers flexibility in refinancing and capital management [8][9]