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宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月27日)-20260227
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-27 01:20
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026 年 2 月 27 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | 动力煤 (元/吨) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2026/02/26 | -62.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/25 | -69.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/24 | -74.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/13 | -83.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/12 | -90.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 期货研究报告 二、能源化工 www.bcqhgs.com 2 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 2026/02/26 2026/02/25 2026/02/24 2026/02/13 2026/02/12 ...
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月26日):宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20260226
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-26 01:44
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026 年 2 月 26 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | 动力煤 | (元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2026/02/25 | -69.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/24 | -74.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/13 | -83.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/12 | -90.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/11 | -96.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 期货研究报告 二、能源化工 www.bcqhgs.com 2 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 2026/02/25 2026/02/24 2026/02/13 2026/02/12 2026/02/11 ...
招商期货-期货研究报告:商品期货早班车-20260226
Zhao Shang Qi Huo· 2026-02-26 01:43
2026年02月26日 星期四 商品期货早班车 期货研究 | 铝 | 交易策略:加纳将铝土矿原矿禁止出口日期设定在 2030 年,由于加纳占中国铝土矿总进口量不足 1%,相关 | | --- | --- | | | 影响有限。氧化铝基本面仍维持供需宽松格局,但行业减产预期、反内卷政策扰动,将为价格带来潜在的向 | | | 上驱动,盘面上行空间将取决于供需格局的边际变化,预计价格维持震荡偏强。 | | | 风险提示:减产不及预期。 | | | 市场表现:LC2605 收于 152,640 元/吨(+ 3220),收盘价+2.15% | | | 基本面:SMM 澳大利亚锂辉石精矿(CIF 中国)现货报价为 2250 美元/吨,较前日+140 元/吨,SMM 电碳报 | | | 161243(+9218)元/吨,Mysteel 优质碳酸锂晚盘价 165300(+9800)元/吨。供给方面,节前周产量为 20184 | | | 吨,环比-560 吨。SMM 2 81,930 吨,环比-16.3%。需求方面,磷酸铁锂 SMM2 预计 月碳酸锂排产为 月排 | | | 产为 35.4 万吨,环比-10.7%,符合需求季节 ...
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月25日):宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20260225
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-25 01:50
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026 年 2 月 25 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | 动力煤 (元/吨) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2026/02/24 | -74.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/13 | -83.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/12 | -90.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/11 | -96.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2026/02/10 | -102.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 期货研究报告 二、能源化工 www.bcqhgs.com 2 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 2026/02/24 2026/02/13 2026/02/12 2026/02/11 2026/02/10 ...
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月24日)-20260224
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 02:31
1. Report Summary - This is the Baocheng Futures variety arbitrage data daily report for February 24, 2026, covering multiple sectors including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1] 2. Thermal Coal - **Base Price Data**: From February 9 to February 13, 2026, the base price of thermal coal showed a trend of narrowing negative values, from -104.4 yuan/ton to -83.4 yuan/ton [2] 3. Energy Chemicals 3.1 Energy Commodities - **Base Price**: Data for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt base prices are provided from February 9 to February 13, 2026 [7] 3.2 Chemical Commodities - **Base Price**: Base price data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are shown [9] - **Inter - period**: Inter - period data such as 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month for rubber, methanol and other chemicals are provided [10] - **Inter - variety**: Inter - variety data such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are presented [10] 4. Black Metals 4.1 Base Price - Base price data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are given [21] 4.2 Inter - period - Inter - period data such as 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9(10) - month minus 1 - month, and 9(10) - month minus 5 - month for rebar, iron ore and other black metals are provided [20] 4.3 Inter - variety - Inter - variety data such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are presented [20] 5. Non - Ferrous Metals 5.1 Domestic Market - Domestic base price data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are shown [29] 5.2 London Market - Data on LME non - ferrous metals, including LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss on February 13, 2026 are provided [34] 6. Agricultural Products 6.1 Base Price - Base price data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are given [41] 6.2 Inter - period - Inter - period data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2 and other agricultural products are provided [41] 6.3 Inter - variety - Inter - variety data such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are presented [40][41] 7. Stock Index Futures 7.1 Base Price - Base price data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from February 9 to February 13, 2026 are given [54] 7.2 Inter - period - Inter - period data such as next - month minus current - month, next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided [52]
招商期货-期货研究报告:商品期货早班车-20260224
Zhao Shang Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 01:12
2026年02月24日 星期二 商品期货早班车 招商期货-期货研究报告 黄金市场 | 招商评论 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 贵 | 市场表现:春节长假期间,先抑后扬,在 2 月 20 日周五爆发,以伦敦金计价的国际金价单日涨幅超过 2%, | | | 金 | 5200 美元/盎司大关。白银波动更为激烈,但也在春节期间触底反弹,以伦敦银计价的 本周一继续上涨逼近 | | | 属 | 单日涨幅超过 7%,周一价格突破 87 美元/盎司。 | | | | 基本面:本周内,特朗普公开表示"正在考虑对伊朗进行有限军事打击",叠加此前美军控制委内瑞拉领导人 | | | | 的余波,全球地缘政治溢价再次上升;美国最高法院投票否决了特朗普总统的部分关税政策。然而,特朗普 | | | | 随即宣布将依据其他法律对全球商品加征 10% 的新关税。这种政策的极度不确定性和对全球贸易战的担忧, | | | | 促使避险资金重新涌入黄金;COMEX 黄金库存为 1054.9 吨,-17.2 吨;SPDR 黄金 ETF 持仓为 1078.7 | 吨, | | | +3.1 吨;伦敦黄金库存 1 月底 9155 ...
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月13日)-20260213
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-13 02:21
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The report is a daily data report on futures variety arbitrage of Baocheng Futures on February 13, 2026, presenting data on basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads of multiple futures varieties [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Power Coal - The basis data for power coal from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are as follows: February 6: - 106.4 yuan/ton; February 9: - 104.4 yuan/ton; February 10: - 102.4 yuan/ton; February 11: - 96.4 yuan/ton; February 12: - 90.4 yuan/ton. The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads are all 0 [2] 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - The basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are presented, along with their price ratios [7] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are provided. For example, on February 12, the basis for rubber was - 50 yuan/ton, methanol was - 8.5 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For instance, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rubber was - 525 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spread data for LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are presented. For example, on February 12, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 1827 yuan/ton [10] 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are provided. For example, on February 12, the basis for rebar was 160 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For instance, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rebar was - 77 yuan/ton [19] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spread data for rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are presented. For example, on February 12, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.99 [19] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are provided. For example, on February 12, the basis for copper was - 420 yuan/ton [28] 3.4.2 London Market - On February 12, 2026, the LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit - loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin are presented. For example, the LME spread for copper was (94.71), and the Shanghai - London ratio was 7.75 [33] 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data for soybeans No. 1, soybeans No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are provided. For example, on February 12, the basis for soybeans No. 1 was - 453 yuan/ton [37] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for soybeans No. 1, soybeans No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are given. For instance, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for soybeans No. 1 was - 33 yuan/ton [37] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spread data for soybeans No. 1/corn, soybeans No. 2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch on February 12, 2026, are presented. For example, the soybeans No. 1/corn ratio was 1.97 [37] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from February 6 to February 12, 2026, are provided. For example, on February 12, the basis for CSI 300 was - 0.32 [49] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given. For instance, the next - month minus current - month spread for CSI 300 was - 54.0 [49]
招商期货-期货研究报告:商品期货早班车-20260212
Zhao Shang Qi Huo· 2026-02-12 01:45
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided in the reports. 2. Core Views Metals - The precious metals market is gradually stabilizing. It is recommended to go long on gold again, and the long - term outlook remains positive. For silver, the spot market is still tight, but the price fluctuations on the futures market are increasing, so cautious participation is advised [1]. - For copper, it is recommended to wait for buying opportunities after the Spring Festival. Aluminum is expected to maintain a short - term price oscillation. Alumina has upward potential due to marginal supply contraction. Industrial silicon is likely to oscillate between 8200 - 8800 yuan/ton, and short - selling at high prices can be considered if the large - scale production cuts are short - lived. Lithium carbonate is expected to have an upward - biased price trend. Polysilicon is expected to weakly oscillate between 45000 - 53000 yuan/ton. Tin also requires waiting for buying opportunities after the Spring Festival [1][3][4]. Black Industry - For rebar, iron ore, and coking coal, the recommended strategy is mainly to wait and see, while aggressive investors can participate in short - term long - positions [5]. Agricultural Products - For soybean meal, focus on China's purchases of US soybeans and the realization of South American production. The domestic market is weaker than the overseas market, with a unilateral oscillation in search of a bottom and an inverse spread structure. Corn futures are expected to oscillate upward. For oils and fats, the market has entered an oscillation phase, with an inverse spread strategy. For cotton, it is advisable to buy at low prices. Egg, and hog futures are expected to oscillate downward [6][7]. Energy and Chemicals - LLDPE is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term and is recommended to be bought at low prices in the medium term. PVC is recommended to be observed. For PX, the mid - term long - position view remains unchanged, and for PTA, appropriate profit - taking is advised. Glass suggests a strategy of buying glass and selling soda ash. PP is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term and be short - sold at high prices in the medium term. MEG is recommended to be bought at low prices for short - term opportunities. Styrene is expected to have a wide - range oscillation in the short term and be bought at low prices in the medium term. Soda ash is recommended to be observed [8][9][10]. 3. Summary by Directory Precious Metals - **Market Performance**: Precious metals opened higher, oscillated, and slightly climbed in the night session yesterday [1]. - **Fundamentals**: The US added 130,000 non - farm jobs in January, the unemployment rate dropped to 4.3%, and there were downward revisions in previous data. Market expectations for interest - rate cuts have been postponed. The US budget deficit has shrunk, but future deficit expectations are rising. There are changes in gold and silver inventories and ETF holdings [1]. - **Trading Strategy**: The precious metals market is stabilizing. Go long on gold and be cautious with silver [1]. Base Metals Copper - **Market Performance**: Copper prices rose and then declined yesterday [3]. - **Fundamentals**: The stronger - than - expected non - farm data led to a stronger US dollar and weaker metals. The supply of copper ore remains tight, and the domestic demand for replenishment has ended [3]. - **Trading Strategy**: Wait for buying opportunities after the Spring Festival [3]. Aluminum - **Market Performance**: The closing price of the electrolytic aluminum main contract increased by 0.62% [3]. - **Fundamentals**: Electrolytic aluminum plants are operating at high loads, and the weekly aluminum product operating rate has slightly increased [3]. - **Trading Strategy**: Due to uncertainties in the macro - environment and a supply - demand balance, the price is expected to oscillate in the short term [3]. Alumina - **Market Performance**: The closing price of the alumina main contract increased by 0.25% [3]. - **Fundamentals**: Some alumina plants are in the production - reduction and overhaul phase, while electrolytic aluminum plants are operating at high loads [3]. - **Trading Strategy**: Pay attention to the subsequent overhaul and shutdown situations as there is upward potential in the price [4]. Industrial Silicon - **Market Performance**: The main 05 contract decreased by 5 yuan/ton [4]. - **Fundamentals**: The number of open furnaces decreased last week, mainly in Xinjiang. The production of polysilicon and organic silicon is expected to decline, and the aluminum alloy operating rate is stable [4]. - **Trading Strategy**: The market is in a supply - demand balance. Observe the resumption of production by large enterprises after the Spring Festival. Consider short - selling at high prices if the production cuts are short - lived [4]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Performance**: LC2605 increased by 9.41% [4]. - **Fundamentals**: Some lithium salt plants are under maintenance. Production and demand in the lithium - related industries are expected to decline. The inventory is expected to be in a tight balance in Q1, and the number of inventory days has increased [4]. - **Trading Strategy**: The market has an upward - biased expectation for the material production in March. The price is expected to oscillate upward [4]. Polysilicon - **Market Performance**: The main 05 contract increased by 230 yuan/ton [4]. - **Fundamentals**: The weekly production is stable, and the inventory is unchanged. The production of silicon wafers is stable, while that of battery cells and components is expected to decline. The photovoltaic export policy provides some support [4]. - **Trading Strategy**: The price is expected to weakly oscillate between 45000 - 53000 yuan/ton [4]. Tin - **Market Performance**: Tin prices continued to oscillate upward [4]. - **Fundamentals**: The supply of tin ore remains tight, and the downstream replenishment has ended [4]. - **Trading Strategy**: Wait for buying opportunities after the Spring Festival [4]. Black Industry Rebar - **Market Performance**: The main 2605 contract decreased by 18 yuan/ton [5]. - **Fundamentals**: The building material inventory has increased. The building material demand is weak, but the supply has decreased significantly year - on - year. The plate demand is stable, and the inventory change is at a historical high. Steel mills are in a loss, and the production increase is limited [5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Wait and see. Aggressive investors can participate in short - term long - positions on the 2605 contract [5]. Iron Ore - **Market Performance**: The main 2605 contract decreased by 2.5 yuan/ton [5]. - **Fundamentals**: The shipments from Australia and Brazil have decreased. The iron ore supply - demand is neutral. The iron - water production has slightly increased. The furnace - charge replenishment is almost complete, and the inventory days are above the historical average. There is a structural contradiction in the port inventory [5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Wait and see. Aggressive investors can participate in short - term long - positions on the 2605 contract [5]. Coking Coal - **Market Performance**: The main 2605 contract decreased by 7.5 yuan/ton [5]. - **Fundamentals**: The iron - water production has increased. Steel mills are in a loss, and the blast - furnace production may decline. The first round of price increases has been implemented, and there are no further plans. The overall inventory is at a medium level, and the futures valuation is high [5]. - **Trading Strategy**: Wait and see. Aggressive investors can participate in short - term long - positions on the 2605 contract [5]. Agricultural Products Soybean Meal - **Market Performance**: The overnight CBOT soybeans rose [6]. - **Fundamentals**: The USDA report increased the Brazilian soybean production, and the global supply is becoming more abundant. The US soybean crushing is strong, and the export expectation is increasing [6]. - **Trading Strategy**: The US soybeans are strong. Focus on China's purchases and South American production. The domestic market is weaker, with a unilateral oscillation in search of a bottom and an inverse spread structure [6]. Corn - **Market Performance**: Corn futures prices are rising, while the spot prices in the Northeast are slightly falling and those in the North China are slightly rising [6]. - **Fundamentals**: The grain - selling progress has exceeded 60%, and the pressure is not high. The selling sentiment in the Northeast has increased, and the downstream is gradually stopping purchases [6]. - **Trading Strategy**: The futures prices are expected to oscillate upward due to policy support [6]. Oils and Fats - **Market Performance**: The Malaysian palm oil market is weak in the short term [7]. - **Fundamentals**: The Malaysian palm oil production decreased by 14% month - on - month in January, and the export increased by 11%. The inventory decreased by 7.7% to 2.82 million tons [7]. - **Trading Strategy**: The market has entered an oscillation phase, with an inverse spread strategy. Pay attention to future production and bio - diesel policies [7]. Cotton - **Market Performance**: The overnight ICE US cotton futures prices oscillated upward, and the international crude oil prices continued to rise [7]. - **Fundamentals**: The global cotton production in 25/26 is expected to increase. The Indian cotton production remains unchanged. The domestic cotton prices are rising, and the textile enterprises' inventory has increased [7]. - **Trading Strategy**: Buy at low prices, with a price range of 14600 - 15000 yuan/ton [7]. Eggs - **Market Performance**: Egg futures prices are weak, and the spot prices have stopped being quoted [7]. - **Fundamentals**: The laying - hen inventory is decreasing, but the replenishment is active. The stocking is ending, and the demand is weakening [7]. - **Trading Strategy**: The futures prices are expected to oscillate downward [7]. Hogs - **Market Performance**: Hog futures and spot prices are both weak [7]. - **Fundamentals**: The short - term slaughter volume has increased, but it is expected to decline after the Minor New Year. The supply is strong, and the demand is weak [7]. - **Trading Strategy**: The futures prices are expected to oscillate downward [7]. Energy and Chemicals LLDPE - **Market Performance**: The main contract continued to oscillate slightly. The spot price in North China is 6570 yuan/ton, and the basis is weak [8]. - **Fundamentals**: The domestic supply pressure has slowed down, and the import is expected to decrease. The downstream demand is weakening [8]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillate weakly in the short term and be bought at low prices in the medium term [8]. PVC - **Market Performance**: V05 increased by 0.5% [9]. - **Fundamentals**: The trading is light, and the price is stable. The supply is large, and the demand is seasonally weakening. The social inventory is accumulating [9]. - **Trading Strategy**: Observe due to balanced supply and weak demand [9]. PTA - **Market Performance**: The PX CFR China price is 917 US dollars/ton, and the PTA spot price in East China is 5180 yuan/ton [9]. - **Fundamentals**: The supply of PX and PTA is at a high level. The polyester factory load is decreasing, and the market is in a state of inventory accumulation [9]. - **Trading Strategy**: Maintain a long - position view on PX and take appropriate profits on PTA [9]. Glass - **Market Performance**: fg05 decreased by 0.7% [9]. - **Fundamentals**: The price is stable. The supply has decreased, and the inventory is high. The downstream demand is weak [9]. - **Trading Strategy**: Buy glass and sell soda ash [9]. PP - **Market Performance**: The main contract continued to oscillate slightly. The spot price in East China is 6550 yuan/ton, and the basis is weak [9]. - **Fundamentals**: The domestic supply is increasing, and the export window is open. The downstream demand is weakening due to the holiday [9]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillate weakly in the short term and be short - sold at high prices in the medium term [9]. MEG - **Market Performance**: The spot price in East China is 3675 yuan/ton, and the basis is - 105 yuan/ton [10]. - **Fundamentals**: The supply is increasing, and the import is decreasing. The inventory is at a medium - high level, and the market is in a state of inventory accumulation [10]. - **Trading Strategy**: Consider short - term long - positions as the inventory may start to decrease in March [10]. Styrene - **Market Performance**: The main contract oscillated slightly. The spot price in East China is 7550 yuan/ton, and the trading is average [10]. - **Fundamentals**: The pure - benzene inventory is at a normal - high level, and the styrene inventory is at a normal - low level. The supply and demand are both weak [10]. - **Trading Strategy**: Oscillate widely in the short term and be bought at low prices in the medium term [10]. Soda Ash - **Market Performance**: sa05 remained unchanged [10]. - **Fundamentals**: The price is at the bottom, and the supply is large. The inventory is accumulating, and the demand from the photovoltaic glass industry is weak [10]. - **Trading Strategy**: Observe due to increased supply and weak demand [10].
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年2月11日)-20260211
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-02-11 01:11
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. 2. Core View - The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures on February 11, 2026, mainly including basis, inter - period and inter - variety spreads [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis data of thermal coal on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 are presented, such as the basis on February 10 being - 102.4 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data of fuel oil, crude oil, asphalt and INE crude oil on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 are provided, along with their price ratios [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [9]. - Inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [10]. - Inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - Basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of rebar on February 10 being 158.0 yuan/ton [20]. - Inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal, including 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads [19]. - Inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [19]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of copper on February 10 being 10 yuan/ton [28]. - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on February 10, 2026 [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of soybeans No.1 on February 10 being - 339 yuan/ton [38]. - Inter - period spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [38]. - Inter - variety spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch on February 10, 2026 [38]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of CSI 300 on February 10 being 25.91 [50]. - Inter - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads [50].
招商期货-期货研究报告:商品期货早班车-20260211
Zhao Shang Qi Huo· 2026-02-11 00:58
2026年02月11日 星期三 商品期货早班车 招商期货-期货研究报告 期货研究 | | 收缩为价格提供上行潜力,关注后续检修停产情况。 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 风险提示:减产不及预期。 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 市场表现:周二早盘平开,全天震荡下行。主力 05 合约收于 8375 元/吨,较上个交易日减少 75 元/吨,收 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 盘价比-0.89%,持仓量增加 8477 手至 30.3 万手。品种沉淀资金增加 0.66 亿,今日仓单量增加 1368 手至 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18117 手。 | | | | | | | | | | | | 工 | 32 基本面:供给端,本周开炉数量较上周减少 台,主要减量源于新疆地区。需求端,多晶硅和有机硅行业均 | | | | | | | | | | | | 业 | 在推进反内卷。多晶硅 2 月产 ...