2026 年 1 月 29 日 何利超 H70529@capital.com.tw 目标价(元) 130 公司基本资讯 | 产品组合 | | | --- | --- | | 光器件 | 99.8% | | 其他 | 0.2% | 机构投资者占流通 A 股比例 | 基金 | 7.8% | | --- | --- | | 一般法人 | 22.4% | 股价相对大盘走势 太辰光 (300570.SZ) Buy 买进 C o m p a n y U p d a t e C h i n a R e s e a r c h D e p t . | 产业别 | | 通信 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2026/1/29) | | 110.80 | | 深证成指(2026/1/29) | | 14300.08 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 147.66/54.21 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 227.13 | | A 股数(百万) | | 192.19 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 212.95 | | 主要股东 | | 华阳进出口(深 | | | | 圳)有限公司 | | ...

公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 通信 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2026/1/29) | | 110.80 | | 深证成指(2026/1/29) | | 14300.08 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 147.66/54.21 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 227.13 | | A 股数(百万) | | 192.19 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 212.95 | | 主要股东 | | 华阳进出口(深 | | | | 圳)有限公司 | | | | (09.17%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 7.31 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | -7.1 12.8 | -5.9 | 近期评等 出刊日期 前日收盘 评等 | 产品组合 | | | --- | --- | | 光器件 | 99.8% | | 其他 | 0.2% | 机构投资者占流通 A 股比例 | 基金 | 7.8% | | --- | --- | | 一般法人 | 22.4% | 2026 年 1 月 29 日 何利超 H70529@capital.com.tw 目 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI is profoundly reshaping the demand for optical fibers and cables, pushing the industry supply-demand relationship into a new cycle, with a potential supply shortage expected in the next two years [2][34]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The tightening supply has already led to price increases, with G.652.D fiber prices rising over 20% since early 2025, driven by AI demand for various fiber types that are occupying production capacity [2][6]. - Global demand and capacity have regional mobility, meaning that as overseas manufacturers supply North America, non-North American markets will also face supply shortages, with leading domestic companies having an export ratio of 30-50% [2][34]. - The global optical fiber demand is projected to reach 880 million core kilometers by 2027, with AI expected to account for 35% of the downstream demand for optical fibers and cables [4][34]. Market Trends - The optical fiber market is expected to stabilize and recover, driven by the demand from data centers and DCI (Data Center Interconnect) applications, with the market for AI-driven optical fibers projected to reach $2.1 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of approximately 73% from 2024 to 2027 [12][34]. - The supply side is characterized by a cautious expansion attitude among manufacturers, with current global optical fiber production capacity estimated at around 850 million core kilometers, which may fall short of annual demand [35][36]. Emerging Fiber Types - New types of optical fibers, such as G.654.E and hollow-core fibers, are expected to see rapid growth due to their advantages in low latency and long-distance transmission, making them suitable for DCI applications [20][29]. - Specialty fibers are gaining traction as AI-driven computing clusters expand, with manufacturers accelerating research and development in this area to meet the increasing demand for high-performance communication [22][31]. Competitive Landscape - Leading companies with stable production capacity and advanced technology are expected to benefit first from the rising demand in the data center sector, as the supply landscape remains relatively stable in the short term [36][37]. - The market for specialty optical fibers is more concentrated than that for standard telecommunications fibers, allowing leading manufacturers to capture a larger share of the value [34][36].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading global manufacturer of optical connection products, with a strong position in the passive optical device sector, particularly in MPO connectors, which are crucial for data center construction [6]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 828 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, while net profit grew by 118.0% to 173 million RMB [6]. - The demand for MPO connectors is expected to surge due to the growth of the CPO industry, with the company positioned to benefit significantly from this trend [6]. - The company has established a production base in Yunnan, which began operations in Q1 2025, and is expected to ramp up production capacity in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026 [6]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 477 million, 782 million, and 1.147 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 83%, 64%, and 47% [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates primarily in the communication industry, with a market capitalization of 21.791 billion RMB and a current stock price of 113.38 RMB [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 38.94%, an increase of 7.11 percentage points year-on-year, driven by high-margin product demand and improved production capabilities [6]. - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, projecting significant revenue growth from 2.292 billion RMB in 2025 to 5.383 billion RMB by 2027 [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has a comprehensive production capability across the entire supply chain, including the development of key components such as ceramic inserts and MPO connectors, which enhances its competitive edge [6]. - The establishment of a production facility in Vietnam is aimed at meeting the increasing demand from overseas clients and mitigating trade risks, further supporting the company's growth trajectory [6].

Group 1: Technological Innovations in Dongguan - MPO connectors are essential for high-speed data transmission, supporting 800G, 1.6T, and future 3.2T capabilities, highlighting Dongguan's focus on technology innovation and advanced manufacturing [1] - Dongguan's Kaihang Technology focuses on precision components, serving 35% of the global high-end optical fiber connection demand, previously dominated by European and American companies [1] - The "MANATEE5.0" underwater cleaning robot addresses the issue of biofouling on ship hulls, which can increase fuel consumption by 57%, leading to over a million dollars in annual losses for shipowners [2] Group 2: Robotics and Automation - The "吠云·泰坦" is the first electric heavy-duty robotic dog in China, capable of carrying 100 kg and towing 2.55 tons, showcasing innovation in power operation [3] - The automated wire harness processing equipment demonstrated by Fudi Electronics shows a significant increase in efficiency, with a reduction in workforce from 1,000 to 600 while increasing annual revenue from 80 million to over 200 million yuan [3] - Yunsheng Intelligent's "Baolian Zun" drone maintenance system allows for automatic battery and pod replacement, enabling 24-hour uninterrupted patrols [3] Group 3: Future Plans for Science Popularization - Dongguan plans to launch over 100 specialized science popularization activities, covering youth scientific literacy, public services, and cultural and ecological education [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities highlights that Taicheng Light achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 118.0% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company realized a net profit of 94 million yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 96.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.4% [1] - The company's external sales revenue reached 681 million yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year growth of 71.19% [1] Market Demand and Growth Strategy - The explosive growth in global AI computing power demand has significantly boosted the company's demand [1] - The company is actively expanding production capacity through a dual approach of "domestic + overseas" strategies [1] Product Development and Supply Chain - MT insert is the core component of MPO connectors, and the company is focusing on independent research and production of MT inserts through its subsidiary [1] - The self-developed MT insert manufactured MPO connectors have achieved large-scale production and sales in the first half of the year, with ongoing efforts to certify more specifications of MT inserts [1] - The self-sufficiency of core components not only ensures supply chain security but also directly enhances product gross margins [1] Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company is a leading supplier of optical chips, transitioning from "passive + active" to optoelectronic integration, focusing on core optical communication technologies [12]. - The acquisition of Fokexima, a domestic leader in MT chip production, is expected to enhance the company's competitive edge in high-density optical transmission devices [7][24]. - The company is benefiting from the explosive demand for computing power, with significant growth in revenue driven by AWG and MPO businesses [7][20]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 755 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 16%, followed by a recovery in 2024 with a forecasted revenue of 1.075 billion yuan, representing a 42% increase [2]. - The net profit for 2025 is expected to reach 499 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 669% [2]. - The company's PE ratio is projected to decrease from 556.1 in 2024 to 26.8 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics as earnings grow [2]. Business Analysis - The company has a strong focus on optical chip and device business, with significant contributions from AWG and MPO segments driving high growth [7][20]. - The CW laser technology is expected to see breakthroughs, which could further enhance revenue growth [7]. - The company has established a solid foundation with a stable shareholding structure and a deep talent pool, supported by long-term collaboration with the Chinese Academy of Sciences [35][38]. Industry Analysis - The demand for AWG products is increasing due to the growth of optical modules driven by data center construction [7]. - The MPO and MT-FA components are critical in high-density optical fiber connections, with demand closely linked to GPU and optical module usage [7]. - The market for optical modules is projected to grow significantly, with the company positioned to benefit from this trend [7].

Summary of the Conference Call for Shijia Photonics Company Overview - Shijia Photonics has successfully transitioned to the data center AWG chip market through collaboration with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, establishing partnerships with North American clients such as AOY and Intel, and expanding production capacity overseas [2][4] Key Industry Insights - The AWG chip is utilized in data center wavelength division multiplexing (WDM) solutions for data transmission over distances greater than two kilometers, offering cost and integration advantages. The penetration rate of AWG solutions is expected to increase as leading domestic optical module companies adopt this technology [2][3] - The establishment of overseas factories has led to a significant influx of MPO multi-fiber connector orders, successfully integrating with global cabling companies like Corning, CommScope, and Fujikura, driving rapid growth in the high-end connector business [2][9] Financial Performance - The ADWG product line is a cornerstone of Shijia Photonics, projected to account for nearly half of the company's revenue in 2024, with a high gross margin contributing significantly to profits [12] - The laser chip business, initially focused on the telecom sector, is expected to see substantial growth as validation from major clients in the data center market progresses [8] Market Dynamics - The FR optical module market is currently dominated by Meta's procurement, with Google also planning to increase its purchases. Demand is expected to rebound in 2024 as Meta and Google ramp up their FR requirements, following a decline in 2023 due to shifts in project focus [11] - The MPO connector market is fragmented, with a global market space estimated at approximately 20 billion RMB. Chinese companies possess a competitive edge in high-end MPO technology, which is expected to enhance their market share [14] Technological Advancements - Domestic companies have made significant progress in the independent research and supply of MTX chips, although high-end MTX chips still rely on overseas suppliers. The acquisition of Foxima by Shijia has notably improved its MPU competitiveness, creating synergistic effects within the industry [16] - The penetration rate of silicon photonics technology is rapidly increasing, with expectations to rise from 10% in 2023 to 20% in 2024, and potentially exceed 50% by 2026. This technology shift positions Chinese companies favorably in the market [17] Future Growth Prospects - Shijia Photonics anticipates significant business growth over the next two years, driven by the successful ramp-up of AWG and MPU products, alongside emerging product lines such as CW light sources and FAU passive devices [18] - The development of silicon photonics is expected to have a profound impact on the high-speed module market, with projected demand for high-speed modules exceeding 30 million units in 2025 and potentially reaching 50 million units in 2026 [19] Conclusion - Overall, Shijia Photonics is well-positioned for future growth, with a strong focus on data center solutions and a competitive edge in high-end optical components, supported by strategic partnerships and technological advancements. The company's financial outlook remains positive, with expectations for improved profitability and market share expansion.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [5][12]. Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in its 2025 semi-annual results, with revenue reaching 828 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million yuan, up 118.0% year-on-year [3][4]. - The demand for AI-driven products has significantly boosted the company's performance, particularly in integrated passive components like MTP/MPO, which have seen substantial demand growth [4][5]. - The company has effectively expanded its production capacity both domestically and internationally to meet the rising demand for AI-related products, including the establishment of a production base in Vietnam [4][5]. Revenue Breakdown - The company's revenue from exports in the first half of 2025 was 681 million yuan, a 71.2% increase year-on-year, accounting for 82.2% of total revenue, with North America being the largest contributor [4]. - Domestic sales reached 148 million yuan, growing 31.6% year-on-year, representing 17.8% of total revenue [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 410 million yuan, 631 million yuan, and 876 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE multiples of 66x, 43x, and 31x [5][7]. - Revenue forecasts for the same period are 2,001 million yuan in 2025, 2,930 million yuan in 2026, and 3,929 million yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 45.2%, 46.5%, and 34.1% [7][10]. R&D Focus - The company has maintained a strong focus on R&D, with R&D expense ratios of 6.3%, 5.1%, and 5.1% for the years 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [5]. - The development of proprietary products, such as MPO connectors and optical flexible boards, has positioned the company to capitalize on the growing demand in data centers and AI computing [5].

Core Insights - Shenzhen Taicheng Communication Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 828 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 62.49%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 173 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 118.02% [1] Financial Performance - The company's operating cash flow has significantly improved year-on-year, indicating enhanced cash recovery capabilities [3] Product Development - The company has successfully scaled production of self-developed MPO connectors and MT jumpers, meeting the high-density wiring demands of data centers and high-speed optical modules [2] - Custom development of optical flexible boards for multiple clients has expanded the product's application in data centers and AI computing [2] - Collaboration with various domestic and international manufacturers to develop passive fiber solutions based on optical flexible boards is ongoing, focusing on upgrading optical waveguide products to meet high-speed optical module requirements [2] Market Expansion - The company is actively promoting high-density connection products, such as optical flexible boards and MDC products, for large-scale applications in data centers and supercomputing centers, effectively adapting to the wave of CPO technology upgrades [1]