Summary of Newborn Town (9911.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Newborn Town (9911.HK) - **Industry**: Social Networking and Live Streaming - **Market Cap**: HK$15,627 million (US$2,012 million) - **Current Price**: HK$11.06 - **Target Price**: HK$16.00 - **Recommendation**: Buy/High Risk Key Points Industry Position - Newborn Town is the 6 Chinese internet player by overseas revenue and 3 in social networking, following ByteDance and Joyy as of August 2025 [1][2][3] Growth Drivers 1. **Product Development Success**: The company has seen replicable success in product development, particularly with Sugo, amidst increasing competition [1][3] 2. **Global Presence**: Strong foothold in MENA and pan-SEA regions, with effective localization strategies [1][3][43] 3. **Emerging Growth Areas**: Anticipated growth in games, social e-commerce, and short dramas [1][3] 4. **Strategic Investments**: Proven track record of strategic investments fueling growth [1][3] 5. **AI Adoption**: Implementation of AI to enhance operational efficiency and growth [1][3] Financial Performance - **Revenue Forecasts**: Expected revenue growth of +54% in 2024, +35% in 2025, +20% in 2026, and +16% in 2027 [3][4] - **Net Profit**: Projected net profit of Rmb1,125 million in 2025, with a diluted EPS of Rmb0.860 [6][11] - **Margins**: Adjusted net margins expected to be 12.2% in 2024, improving to 15.4% by 2027 [3][4] Product Portfolio - **Pan-Audience Products**: Includes Mico, YoHo, TopTop, and Sugo, with significant user engagement and revenue contributions [13][14][15] - **Diverse-Audience Products**: Acquired BlueCity, enhancing offerings in the diverse-audience segment with platforms like Blued and HeeSay [26][28] - **User Metrics**: As of 1H25, average MAU reached 33.9 million, with cumulative downloads of 870 million [14][19] Valuation - Target price set at HK$16, based on a 16x FY26E adjusted EPS of HK$1.01, aligning with global peers [4][11] Risks 1. **Product Lifecycle**: Aging products and low new product hit rates could impact growth [5][30] 2. **Competition**: Intensifying competition in the global social entertainment space [5][30] 3. **Traffic Acquisition**: ROI fluctuations in traffic acquisition strategies [5][30] 4. **Regulatory Changes**: Evolving regulations across different markets may pose challenges [5][30] Market Opportunities - **Sector Outlook**: Strong potential in the global social networking and casual gaming markets, particularly in MENA and SEA [1][16][18] - **Upcoming Developments**: Potential inclusion in HK Stock Connect by March next year, which could enhance visibility and liquidity [2][12] Strategic Initiatives - **Global Headquarters**: Established in Hong Kong, with regional headquarters in Riyadh and Singapore to support global operations [47][48] - **AI and Middle Platform**: Focus on enhancing AI capabilities to streamline operations and improve product development efficiency [40][41] Conclusion - Newborn Town is positioned for robust growth with a diversified product portfolio and strong global presence. The company is leveraging strategic investments and AI to enhance operational efficiency, while navigating potential risks associated with competition and product lifecycle management. The current market correction presents a buying opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on its growth trajectory.

Summary of the Conference Call for Zhicheng Technology Industry Overview - Zhicheng Technology operates in the social media and gaming sectors, particularly in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) market, with platforms like Mico, Youhou, and Tomtop benefiting from rapid market growth. The social media market in this region is expected to exceed several billion dollars by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% [2][6]. Core Business Insights - The company's core business segments include: - **General Social Networking**: Key products are Mico, Youhou, Tomtop, and Sogou, with Mico being a leading live entertainment platform in MENA. - **Diverse Social Networking**: Products like AC and BluD cater to the LGBTIQ community, showing high user engagement with a Daily Active User (DAU) ratio of 47% and a retention rate of 74% in April [4][7]. - **Premium Mobile Games**: The game "M stream" has entered the top 30 overseas mobile games in China, indicating strong market potential [5][8]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 40% to 3.18 billion RMB, with profits rising 31% to 510 million RMB. The net profit attributable to shareholders surged 118% to 490 million RMB, and adjusted net profit grew 44% to 650 million RMB [12][14]. Competitive Advantages - The company’s competitive edge lies in its localization capabilities and efficient online marketing strategies. It has a robust product development team that adapts to various cultural contexts, ensuring compliance and operational effectiveness [9][10][11]. Future Growth Expectations - The company anticipates continued rapid growth, particularly from products like Sogou and Top Talk, which are expected to replicate their success in other countries. Projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 950 million, 1.25 billion, and 1.53 billion RMB, respectively [13][14]. Market Positioning - Zhicheng Technology is positioned as a leading social entertainment company in MENA, with a current valuation of approximately 13 times PE. The expected inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect in 2026 is anticipated to enhance liquidity and valuation attractiveness [4][15]. Additional Insights - The MENA market's unique demographic and cultural factors, including a young population and strong online entertainment demand, provide a favorable backdrop for the company's growth [6]. The LGBTIQ market's high barriers to entry and user engagement further solidify the company's competitive position [7]. This comprehensive overview highlights Zhicheng Technology's strategic positioning, financial health, and growth potential within the rapidly evolving MENA social media and gaming landscape.

Summary of the Conference Call for ZhiZi City Technology Company Overview - ZhiZi City Technology's social business revenue reached 4.6 billion RMB in 2024, accounting for 91% of total revenue, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 30% over the past three years [2][4][6] - The innovative business revenue is less than 10% of total revenue, with a CAGR of approximately 20% [2][4] - Overall revenue growth for the company was 54% in 2024 [2][6] Shareholding Structure - Founder Liu holds approximately 19% of shares, with a total of 24% held by concerted parties and about 40% by management and executives [2][5] - The chairman has consistently increased his holdings and implemented equity incentives, demonstrating confidence in the company's long-term development [2][5] Market Dynamics - The demand for social networking in the pan-population market is robust, with ZhiZi City’s applications like Sogou capitalizing on this opportunity [2][7] - The company has shown strong performance in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) markets, driven by economic development and secularization trends that boost online entertainment demand [2][7] Competitive Advantage - ZhiZi City has built core competitiveness through localized operations, multi-country and multi-product strategies, and a diverse product matrix, particularly in the MENA region [2][7][8] - Key applications in the pan-population social sector include Mico, YULHO, TopTop, and SUGO, with SUGO achieving over 4 million monthly active users and monthly revenue exceeding 20 million USD [2][8] Financial Performance - The company expects revenue to approach 7 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 36%-37% [3][12] - GAAP net profit is projected to be 980 million RMB, with a target valuation of 19.5 billion RMB, corresponding to a stock price of about 15 HKD [3][12] Business Model and Growth - ZhiZi City began its overseas market involvement in 2010, initially focusing on tool-based desktop launchers and mobile advertising platforms [4] - The company entered a rapid growth phase in social development after investing in Mico World in 2019 and completing the privatization of Blue City Brothers in 2022 [4][10] Performance of Core Applications - Mico, YULHO, and TopTop are performing strongly, with Mico expected to become the largest overseas application by 2025 [9] - Sogou remains the top-ranked application in the Middle East due to early market entry and effective user acquisition strategies [9] Blue City Brothers - Blue City Brothers focuses on the LGBTQ+ online social needs, with a strong consumer base and revenue expected to increase in 2025 [10] - The company has adjusted its revenue structure to reduce reliance on live streaming and increase high-margin membership and advertising revenue [10] Innovative Business - The innovative business primarily targets the overseas casual gaming sector, with notable success in match-3 games [11] - The game "Alice Dream" achieved over 60% revenue growth in 2024 and is expected to contribute profits in 2025 [11] Valuation and Profit Forecast - The expected valuation for ZhiZi City is 19.5 billion RMB, with a projected revenue of nearly 7 billion RMB in 2025 [12] - The company’s valuation reflects a PE ratio of around 20 times, indicating a relatively attractive investment opportunity [12]

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