Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth of mobile applications, artificial intelligence, and computing power is driving the expansion of the logic process market, with increasing demand for advanced specialty process technology products, particularly in OLED and CIS applications [1][3]. Group 1: Project Development - The fourth phase project of Jinghe Integration has officially started construction with a total investment of 35.5 billion yuan, aiming to enhance the domestic semiconductor industry's technology and supply chain autonomy [1][3]. - The new facility will feature a 12-inch wafer foundry production line with a capacity of 55,000 wafers per month, focusing on 40nm and 28nm processes for CIS, OLED, and logic applications [3][5]. - The project is expected to begin production in Q4 2026 and reach full capacity by Q2 2028, addressing the market's demand for high-performance and high-quality wafer foundry services [3][5]. Group 2: Company Growth and Market Position - Jinghe Integration has grown from one to three factories and from 150nm to 28nm technology, becoming the leading company in the security CIS chip shipment volume [3][5]. - The company is ranked ninth globally and third in mainland China among wafer foundry enterprises, only behind SMIC and Hua Hong Group [4][5]. - According to Frost & Sullivan, Jinghe Integration has the fastest capacity and revenue growth among the top ten global wafer foundry companies from 2020 to 2024 [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a total wafer shipment of 788,400 12-inch wafers, with a revenue of 8.13 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20% [6]. - The gross margin for the same period was 25.9%, with a net profit of 550 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 97% [6]. - The revenue contribution from CIS and PMIC products has increased, with CIS and PMIC accounting for 20.51% and 12.07% of the main business revenue, respectively [6].

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 END 致新以消费性为基础，往车载、工规及伺服器产品进军，产品线避开与大厂直接竞争。 PMIC业者分 析，大厂涨价将有利客户寻找替代料源，台系业者以后进者身分分食市场大饼。致新看好，今年存储 涨价趋势下，将有利PC存储规格迭代至DDR5，对其产品组合有利。 市场总体需求、明年展望相对不明朗，相关业者担忧，存储价格问题，造成终端买盘不振；推测大厂 以差别订价因应，主要也是反映应用不同调，AI独强所致。 原文链接 https://www.ctee.com.tw/news/20251220700106-430503 （来源 ：ctee ） *免责声明：本文由作者原创。文章内容系作者个人观点，半导体行业观察转载仅为了传达一种不同的观点，不代表半导体行业观察对该 观点赞同或支持，如果有任何异议，欢迎联系半导体行业观察。 全球模拟芯片市场释出明确复苏讯号。全球第二大模拟IC大厂亚德诺半导体（ADI）近日向客户发出 调价通知，规划自2026年2月1日起，针对全系列产品启动涨价机制，整体平均涨幅约15％。在此之 前，模拟芯片龙头德州仪器（TI）已于第三季月率先调涨价格，涨幅达1 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Greater China Technology Semiconductors Industry Overview - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Semiconductors - **Market Sentiment**: Cautious outlook on China's analog market due to pricing pressure and slow localization progress [1][2][3] Key Companies Discussed 1. **SG Micro Corp. (300661.SZ)** - **Rating Change**: Downgraded from Overweight to Equal-weight - **Price Target**: Reduced from Rmb90.00 to Rmb80.00 - **Earnings Outlook**: 2026-27 EPS estimates cut by 9% and 8% respectively due to weaker demand [5][57] 2. **Silergy Corp. (6415.TW)** - **Rating**: Maintained Overweight but price target lowered from NT$378.00 to NT$268.00 - **Revenue Guidance**: Expected to guide down full-year revenue to low-single-digit year-over-year growth for 2025, down from an original assumption of 10% growth [4][30] - **Gross Margin**: Anticipated decline in 3Q25 gross margin due to unfavorable product mix and slower ramp-up of Gen4 products [4] Core Insights - **Demand Uncertainty**: Industrial demand in China has not shown sequential growth, impacting the overall market pull-in [2] - **Pricing Pressure**: Texas Instruments (TI) expects a low-single-digit blended ASP reduction throughout 2025, indicating a lack of an "analog price upcycle" [2] - **Localization Challenges**: Localization efforts for analog products are lagging, particularly outside of AI server applications [3] - **Competitive Landscape**: SG Micro faces intensified competition and pricing pressure from foreign peers, affecting its market position [5][57] Financial Metrics - **Silergy's Financials**: - 2025 revenue forecast cut by 5% and EPS by 19% due to high R&D spending and below-expectation auto business [30] - Expected to maintain high operating expenses to support product launches [45] - **SG Micro's Financials**: - Anticipated high R&D expenses leading to a 1.4 percentage point cut in operating margin for 2026 and 2027 [57] Market Dynamics - **Inventory Levels**: Channel inventory levels have normalized, but broad-based consumer demand remains weak [9][10] - **Seasonality Effects**: Traditional seasonality expected to impact sales negatively in 4Q25 [10] - **Tariff Impacts**: Tariff-related front-loading may have artificially inflated 2Q25 shipments, leading to skepticism about sustainable demand [10] Strategic Outlook - **Silergy's Position**: Despite challenges, Silergy is expected to outperform domestic peers due to its own foundry and strategic focus on automotive and AI server products [4][20] - **SG Micro's Challenges**: The company is experiencing a cyclical downturn, with a need to adapt to changing market conditions and competitive pressures [5][57] Conclusion - The conference call highlighted a cautious outlook for the analog semiconductor market in China, with significant challenges for key players like SG Micro and Silergy. The focus on localization, pricing pressures, and demand uncertainty will be critical factors influencing future performance in this sector.

Key Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in the macroeconomic environment, with manufacturing PMI at 49.0%, indicating a contraction, while non-manufacturing PMI slightly improved to 50.1% [5][6] - The semiconductor industry shows promising growth, particularly for companies like Jinghe Integrated, which reported a 20% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, driven by new product developments [9][10] - The defense and aerospace sector, represented by companies like Guangwei Composite, experienced a revenue increase of 4.4% year-on-year, although net profit decreased by 32.55% [18][19] Macroeconomic Overview - October's PMI data reflects a significant impact from holiday scheduling and international trade uncertainties, leading to weaker manufacturing supply and demand [5][6] - The manufacturing production index fell to 49.7%, down 2.2 percentage points from the previous month, while new orders also declined [5][6] - Non-manufacturing sectors showed slight improvement, with construction activity indicating a positive trend [5][6] Semiconductor Industry - Jinghe Integrated's Q3 2025 results show a revenue of 8.13 billion yuan, a 20% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.9% [10] - The company is actively developing OLED DDIC, CIS, automotive-grade chips, and PMICs, with a focus on process upgrades [9][10] - The transition to 4F2+CBA architecture in DRAM is expected to create outsourcing opportunities for peripheral circuits [12] Defense and Aerospace Sector - Guangwei Composite reported total revenue of 1.986 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a 4.4% increase, but net profit fell by 32.55% [18][19] - The company’s third-quarter revenue was 785 million yuan, reflecting a 5.24% year-on-year increase and a 23.58% quarter-on-quarter increase [18][19] - The energy new materials segment showed rapid growth, with a 58.95% increase in revenue, while the fiber expansion segment saw a decline [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - Jinghe Integration, a leading 12-inch wafer foundry in China, has shown strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and a competitive position in the semiconductor industry [1][2][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Jinghe Integration was established on May 19, 2015, and went public on May 5, 2023, on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with its headquarters in Hefei, Anhui Province [1]. - The company specializes in 12-inch wafer foundry services, offering various process nodes and technology platforms [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Jinghe Integration reported revenue of 8.13 billion yuan, ranking first in the industry, surpassing the industry average of 4.55 billion yuan and the median of 5.42 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 395 million yuan, ranking third in the industry, above the industry average of 137 million yuan [2]. - The company's gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 25.90%, higher than the industry average of 22.14% [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 4.89% to 59,700, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 5.14% to 19,900 [5]. - Major shareholders include various ETFs, with notable changes in holdings among top shareholders [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is actively developing products such as OLED DDIC, CIS, automotive-grade chips, and PMIC, with a focus on process upgrades [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 10.86 billion yuan, 12.48 billion yuan, and 14.15 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 855 million yuan, 1.26 billion yuan, and 1.53 billion yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 20% and a gross margin recovery [3][8] - The company is actively developing new products such as OLED DDIC, CIS, automotive-grade chips, and PMIC, alongside process upgrades [3][8] - The transition of DRAM technology to 4F2+CBA architecture is expected to create outsourcing opportunities for peripheral circuit manufacturing [3][8] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.13 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 25.9% and a net profit of 550 million RMB, reflecting a 97% year-on-year increase [8] - The projected revenue growth rates for the upcoming years are 27.7% in 2024, 17.6% in 2025, and 14.7% in 2026 [7] - The company's total market capitalization is approximately 72.3 billion RMB, with PE ratios of 91.1, 66.9, and 53.8 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][7]

Summary of Nexchip (688249.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Nexchip - **Ticker**: 688249.SS - **Industry**: Semiconductor, focusing on CIS, PMIC, Logic IC, and MCUs Key Financial Highlights - **3Q25 Revenue**: Rmb2.9 billion, representing a 23% year-over-year (YoY) increase and an 11% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) increase, exceeding Goldman Sachs estimates by 9% [1][4] - **Gross Margin**: Improved to 26.1%, higher than Goldman Sachs estimate of 25.5% and last quarter's 24.3% [1][4] - **Operating Profit**: Rmb246 million, up 15% YoY and 49% QoQ, 12% above Goldman Sachs estimates [1][4] - **Net Income**: Rmb218 million, a significant increase of 137% YoY and 11% QoQ, although 11% below Goldman Sachs estimates due to unexpected non-operating losses [1][4] Product Diversification and Technology Migration - **Product Range**: Nexchip is diversifying its product offerings from DDIC to include CIS, PMIC, Logic ICs, and MCUs [1] - **Technology Nodes**: The company is migrating towards advanced technology nodes, including 40nm, 28nm, and 22nm, with trial production of 28nm logic ICs starting [1][4] - **Revenue Contribution**: Expected decline in traditional DDIC revenue contribution from 59% in 2025E to 53% in 2026E and 47% in 2027E, indicating a shift towards diversified revenue streams [1][4] Earnings Revisions - **Net Income Revisions**: 2025E net income revised down by 3% due to larger-than-expected non-operating losses, while 2026E and 2027E net income estimates increased by 1% each [6][7] - **Revenue Revisions**: 2025E-27E revenues increased by 3%, 1%, and 1% respectively, reflecting a more positive outlook on capacity ramp-up [6][7] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price**: Increased by 14.6% to Rmb41.7, based on a target P/E of 62.0x for 2026E, which is at the high end of Nexchip's historical trading range [1][7] - **Current Valuation**: The stock is trading at a 54x 2026E P/E, with a fair valuation considering the average trading P/E of 31x since August 2023 [1][7] Risks and Considerations - **Key Risks**: Include slower or faster-than-expected capacity expansion, demand fluctuations in DDIC and CIS, R&D pace, and competitive intensity [15] Conclusion - **Rating**: Neutral, with a fair valuation and moderate upside potential to the target price [1][7]

Core Insights - The significant revenue and profit growth of the company is attributed to seizing market opportunities, particularly in the rapidly increasing penetration of intelligent driving in the automotive sector and the expansion in the smart imaging terminal application market [1][3] - The company has achieved a 32.9% share of the global automotive CIS market in 2024, ranking first globally, supported by its comprehensive automotive CIS solution development experience [1][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 21.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.20%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.210 billion yuan, up 35.15% from the previous year [3] - In the third quarter alone, the company achieved a revenue of 7.827 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.182 billion yuan, which is a 17.26% increase compared to the same period last year [3] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders for the third quarter was 1.109 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 20.40%, setting a record high for both quarterly revenue and non-recurring net profit [3] Market Trends - The demand for in-vehicle camera systems has significantly increased due to the ongoing advancement of automotive intelligence and electrification [1] - The company has expanded its product offerings to include comprehensive in-vehicle solutions such as SerDes, PMIC, MCU, and SBC, leveraging its expertise in automotive CIS [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 was $178.5 million, exceeding expectations, with product revenue reaching a record $93.3 million, representing a 15% sequential increase and 41% year-over-year growth [14][15][12] - Cash from operations was strong at $88 million, contributing to a total of $673.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at the end of the quarter [13][16] - Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $68.2 million, with an expected Q4 non-GAAP earnings per share range between $0.64 and $0.71 [15][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The chip business delivered a product revenue record of $93 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of growth, driven by DDR5 product leadership and new product contributions [6][12] - Silicon IP business saw increased demand driven by AI, with significant contributions from HBM4, GDDR7, and PCIe 7 solutions [8][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market for servers and DIMMs is expected to grow mid to high single digits, with ongoing demand for AI workloads driving this growth [9][60] - The total addressable market (TAM) for RCD is estimated at $800 million, with additional opportunities from MRDIMM expected to be around $600 million, projected to materialize by late 2026 or 2027 [54][56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its expertise in signal and power integrity to deliver complete solutions for high-performance memory subsystems, aligning with strong trends in data centers and AI markets [6][11] - The strategic roadmap includes continued investment in product development and market expansion opportunities, particularly in the silicon IP and chip solutions sectors [18][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver long-term profitable growth, supported by strong product leadership and alignment with positive market trends [12][18] - The economic environment remains dynamic, with ongoing monitoring of supply chain conditions and customer demand [17][45] Other Important Information - The company is utilizing both GAAP and non-GAAP financial presentations to provide clarity in financial reporting, with reconciliations available for investor insights [4] - The company is not on leading-edge technology nodes, which has helped maintain a robust supply chain and support growth objectives [44][45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can Rambus replicate MRDIMM market share similar to DDR5? - Management believes that with time, they can achieve similar market share in MRDIMM as with DDR5, with significant ramp-up expected towards late 2026 and 2027 [20][21] Question: Opportunities from Ethernet scale-up networking architecture? - The company sees opportunities in high-speed memory and interconnect technology, particularly with the transition from PCIe 5 to PCIe 7 [23] Question: Outlook on SOCAM and its impact on Rambus? - Management is optimistic about SOCAM's emergence, which aligns with the company's strengths in signal and power integrity, although they do not expect high volumes initially [28][32] Question: Supply chain considerations and lead times? - The company has not seen notable inventory buildup and is monitoring supply chain conditions closely, with expectations of slight increases in internal inventory to support future demand [44][45] Question: Market share potential in RCD? - Management indicated that they are currently above 40% market share in RCD and see potential for further growth, aiming for 40% to 50% in the future [46][48] Question: Update on MRDIMM and its market potential? - MRDIMM is expected to double capacity and bandwidth, with the company well-positioned due to its complete chipset solutions [81][82] Question: CXL market evolution and Rambus' strategy? - The company is focusing on silicon IP for CXL, as the market is fragmented and developing bespoke solutions for specific customers is not economically viable [76][77] Question: Trends in server and AI markets? - Management anticipates continued growth in the server market, driven by AI workloads, with a positive outlook for 2026 [60][61]

Core Viewpoint - Hefei Jinghe Integrated Circuit Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CICC as the exclusive sponsor, while currently being listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company is a global leader in 12-inch pure wafer foundry services, focusing on advanced process research and application, providing wafer foundry services across process nodes from 150nm to 40nm, and steadily advancing the 28nm platform [4][5] - The company has established mass production capabilities for technology nodes from 150nm to 40nm and has a diverse process platform covering DDIC, CIS, PMIC, Logic IC, and MCU, which supports its leading position in key market segments [5][6] Group 2: Market Position and Growth - According to Frost & Sullivan, from 2020 to 2024, the company has the fastest capacity and revenue growth among the top ten global wafer foundry companies, and by 2024, it is projected to be the ninth largest globally and the third largest in mainland China by revenue [4] - The company is expected to be the largest DDIC wafer foundry globally and the fifth largest CIS wafer foundry globally by 2024, as well as the third largest CIS wafer foundry in mainland China [5] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years ending December 31 for 2022, 2023, and 2024, as well as for the six months ending June 30, 2024, and 2025, were RMB 10.026 billion, RMB 7.183 billion, RMB 9.120 billion, RMB 4.331 billion, and RMB 5.130 billion respectively [6] - The company's attributable profit for the same periods were RMB 3.045 billion, RMB 119 million, RMB 482 million, RMB 195 million, and RMB 232 million respectively [6][7] Group 4: R&D and Future Plans - The company has a high-quality R&D team with 1,924 members, accounting for 35% of total employees, with 64.8% holding a master's degree or higher, reflecting its academic depth and professional strength [6] - The funds from the upcoming financing will be used for R&D and optimization of a new generation 22nm technology platform, AI-based intelligent R&D and production planning, establishing a R&D and sales center in Hong Kong, and general corporate purposes [9]