【宏观消息】 美国劳动力市场趋稳或为美联储按兵不动留空间。媒体评非农报告指出，美国1月非农就业增长加快， 新增13万个就业岗位大超预期，失业率则降至4.3%，这是劳动力市场趋稳的信号，可能使美联储在政 策制定者监测通胀之际，有空间在一段时间内维持利率不变。就业增长优于预期的部分原因在于，零售 商和快递公司等季节性敏感行业去年雇用的假日工人少于往常。1月通常是假日相关裁员最集中的月 份。鉴于季节性招聘低迷，裁员规模可能也相应缩小，从而提振了就业增长。尽管1月非农就业增加， 但劳动力市场依然不温不火，即使在经济增长强劲的情况下也表现挣扎。对就业和高通胀的焦虑已削弱 了美国民众对特朗普经济施政的满意度。 关税收入激增助力美国赤字缩减最高法院裁决成未来关键变量。数据显示，截至1月的四个月内，美国 预算赤字从去年同期的8400亿美元降至6970亿美元，降幅达17%。目前美国最高法院正在权衡特朗普是 否有权征收大部分关税，而赤字的缩减正凸显了这场裁决对政府利益的重大影响。由于收入增长快于支 出，总收入增长了12%，而支出仅增长了2%。去年10月至今年1月，关税收入总计1240亿美元，较2025 年同期增长约304%。周三 ...

【欧股】德国DAX30指数跌125.04点，跌幅0.50%，报24860.78点；英国富时100指数涨112.46点，涨幅 1.09%，报10466.30点；法国CAC40指数跌14.64点，跌幅0.18%，报8313.24点；欧洲斯托克50指数跌 9.51点，跌幅0.16%，报6037.55点；西班牙IBEX35指数跌91.45点，跌幅0.50%，报18026.15点；意大利 富时MIB指数跌317.49点，跌幅0.68%，报46485.50点。 【加密货币】比特币跌近1.7%，报67701美元；以太坊跌超3%，报1961美元。 【美元指数】衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.04%，在汇市尾市收于96.834。截至纽约 汇市尾市，1欧元兑换1.1882美元，低于前一交易日的1.1894美元；1英镑兑换1.3637美元，低于前一交 易日的1.3666美元。1美元兑换152.83日元，低于前一交易日的154.49日元；1美元兑换0.7703瑞士法郎， 高于前一交易日的0.7682瑞士法郎；1美元兑换1.3561加元，高于前一交易日的1.3551加元；1美元兑换 8.8813瑞典克朗，低于前一交易日的8 ...

Core Viewpoint - The unprecedented AI investment plans by major US tech companies are reigniting market fears of a bubble, leading to significant stock sell-offs despite strong earnings reports [5][6]. Group 1: Investment Plans and Market Reactions - Amazon, Google, and Microsoft collectively lost $900 billion in market value after announcing their capital expenditure plans, which total $660 billion by 2026, a 60% increase from $410 billion in 2025 and 165% from $245 billion in 2024 [5][6]. - Amazon's capital expenditure for this year is projected to reach $200 billion, exceeding expectations by $50 billion, which has led to an 11% drop in its stock price [6]. - Microsoft experienced the most significant decline, with an 18% drop in stock price following its earnings report, despite a 26% increase in cloud revenue to $51.5 billion [6][7]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and AI Return Cycles - The rising capital expenditures signal that realizing the full potential of AI may require more time and resources, testing investor confidence in long-term returns [8]. - Analysts express concerns that the increased capital spending indicates a longer timeline for AI strategies to yield attractive returns, leading to a pause in investor enthusiasm for tech stocks [8][14]. - The Nasdaq index has dropped 4% over the past five days, reflecting a shift in market sentiment towards tech stocks [8]. Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Apple reported record quarterly revenue of $144 billion, benefiting from strong iPhone sales, while its capital expenditure decreased by 17% to $2.4 billion, contrasting sharply with its peers [10][11]. - Apple's collaboration with Google to enhance its AI capabilities through a pay-as-you-go model has allowed it to minimize capital expenditures while still gaining AI benefits [11][12]. - Nvidia, as the highest-valued public company, is expected to face a turbulent market when it announces its earnings, as investors seek signs that the high capital expenditures will soon translate into revenue growth [13].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that major US tech companies plan to invest a total of $660 billion in AI infrastructure by 2026, a figure that exceeds Israel's GDP and represents a 60% increase from the previous year's $410 billion [1][2] - Amazon, Microsoft, and Google have collectively seen their market value drop by $900 billion following their quarterly earnings reports, despite strong revenue growth in their cloud businesses [1][2] - Apple's strategy of minimal capital expenditure has allowed it to achieve record sales, making it the only major tech company to avoid the recent market sell-off [1][5] Group 2 - Amazon's capital expenditure for the year is projected to reach $200 billion, exceeding expectations by $50 billion, which has led to an 11% drop in its stock price [2] - Microsoft has experienced the most significant decline, with its stock price falling 18% after revealing a 66% increase in data center spending, raising concerns among investors [2] - Despite Google's record revenue of over $400 billion, its stock has also been negatively impacted by plans to double its capital expenditure to $185 billion [2] Group 3 - The rising capital expenditures signal that the realization of AI commitments may require more time and resources, testing investor confidence in long-term returns [3] - Analysts express concerns that the increased capital spending may not yield attractive returns, leading to a cautious market sentiment towards tech stocks [3] - The Nasdaq index has dropped 4% over the past five days, reflecting a shift in market sentiment towards AI investments [3] Group 4 - The failure of a $100 billion investment and infrastructure deal between OpenAI and Nvidia has contributed to market volatility, with Oracle's stock dropping 18% due to its heavy reliance on OpenAI [4] Group 5 - Apple's minimal capital expenditure strategy, with a reported $2.4 billion in Q4 and a total of approximately $12 billion for the year, contrasts sharply with the massive investments of its competitors [5] - Apple's collaboration with Google to enhance its AI capabilities through a pay-as-you-go model has allowed it to benefit from AI advancements without significant capital outlay [5] Group 6 - Nvidia is set to report earnings amid a turbulent market, with investors looking for signs that the escalating capital expenditures will soon translate into revenue growth [6] - Meta has announced plans to double its capital expenditure to $135 billion, but its stock gains have been reversed in the broader market sell-off [6] - Despite a 14% increase in combined annual revenue to $1.6 trillion for the four companies, market pessimism continues to overshadow positive financial results [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that major US tech companies plan to invest a record $660 billion in AI infrastructure by 2026, which exceeds Israel's GDP and represents a 60% increase from $410 billion in 2025 and 165% from $245 billion in 2024 [2][3][6] - The massive capital expenditure plans have led to a significant market reaction, with Amazon, Google, and Microsoft collectively losing $900 billion in market value following their quarterly earnings reports [3][4][6] - Apple's strategy of minimal capital expenditure has allowed it to avoid the sell-off, reporting record revenue of $144 billion, while its capital spending decreased by 17% to $2.4 billion in the last quarter [10][11] Group 2 - Investors are increasingly anxious about the long-term return on investment from AI, as rising capital expenditures suggest that achieving AI's full potential may require more time and resources [8][9] - The market sentiment has shifted, with the Nasdaq index dropping 4% over five days, reflecting concerns about the sustainability of tech stocks amid rising capital expenditures [9][13] - Despite strong revenue growth, companies like Microsoft and Amazon face pressure to demonstrate that their significant spending will yield attractive returns, as investor patience wanes [9][10] Group 3 - Nvidia, as the highest-valued public company, is expected to face a turbulent market when it releases its earnings report, with investors looking for signs that the escalating capital expenditures will translate into revenue growth [13][14] - Meta has also announced plans to double its capital expenditures to $135 billion, but its stock gains were short-lived amid broader market sell-offs [13][14] - Overall, the combined annual revenue growth of the four companies reached 14% to $1.6 trillion, which is insufficient to alleviate the prevailing market pessimism [13]

Core Viewpoint - The record AI investment plans by major US tech companies are reigniting market fears of a bubble, leading to significant stock sell-offs despite strong earnings reports from most companies [1] Group 1: Investment Plans and Market Reactions - Amazon, Google, and Microsoft collectively lost $900 billion in market value after announcing plans to invest $660 billion in data centers and specialized chips by 2026, a 60% increase from $410 billion in 2025 and 165% from $245 billion in 2024 [1][2] - Amazon's capital expenditure for this year is projected to reach $200 billion, exceeding expectations by $50 billion, which contributed to an 11% drop in its stock price [2] - Microsoft experienced the most significant decline, with an 18% drop in stock price following its earnings report, despite a 26% increase in cloud revenue to $51.5 billion [2][3] Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Concerns - Rising capital expenditures signal that the realization of AI commitments may require more time and funding, testing investor confidence in long-term returns [3] - Analysts express concerns that Microsoft and Amazon must prove that their increased spending will yield attractive returns, as fears of an AI bubble resurface [3] - The Nasdaq index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, fell 4% over the past five days, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [3] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Apple's strategy of minimal capital investment has positioned it as a clear winner, reporting record quarterly revenue of $144 billion, while its capital expenditure decreased by 17% to $2.4 billion [5] - Apple's collaboration with Google to enhance its AI capabilities through a pay-as-you-go model has allowed it to benefit from AI advancements without significant capital outlay [5] - Nvidia, as the highest-valued public company, is expected to face a turbulent market when it releases its earnings report, as investors seek signs of a shift in spending related to AI [6]

由于投资者越来越担心人工智能带来的颠覆性影响， 苹果(AAPL.US) 被视为安全的绿洲，其股价走势与科技股和整体市场走势相反。苹果股价 周三收涨2.6%，而以科技股为主的 纳斯达克100指数 下跌1.77%。这意味着苹果股价以自2025年初以来最大幅度的跑赢大盘。这一走势延续 了近期的上涨趋势，本月伊始，苹果股价已累计上涨近6%，而纳斯达克100指数同期则下跌了3.3%。 这种分化既反映了苹果公司的积极发展势头，也反映了科技行业大部分领域日益增长的不确定性。苹果公司上周公布的财报显示，其季 度销售额创下历史新高，且业绩指引也超出预期。与此同时，Alphabet和初创公司 Anthropic 推出的人工智能工具引发了科技股的普 遍抛售，因为投资者担心人工智能服务会蚕食公司的增长。 Eye指出:"苹果公司虽然不是价值股，但也不是高风险股。" Eye称："苹果公司决定不参与人工智能军备竞赛，现在看来比六个月前更明智。它仍然会从人工智能中受益，但它不必被迫背负千亿美 元的债务和资本支出来资助大量的基础设施和项目。" 该公司有望从人工智能的普及中受益，因为像iPhone这样的硬件设备将成为用户访问人工智能服务的核心平 ...

Core Viewpoint - Apple is perceived as a safe haven amid investor concerns over the disruptive impact of artificial intelligence, with its stock price rising contrary to the overall market trend [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Apple's stock rose by 2.6% on Wednesday, while the Nasdaq 100 index, which is tech-heavy, fell by 1.77% [1]. - This performance marks the largest outperformance of Apple against the market since early 2025, with Apple’s stock up nearly 6% this month, while the Nasdaq 100 has declined by 3.3% during the same period [1]. - Apple's market capitalization has slightly exceeded $4 trillion, making it the second-largest company globally, surpassing Alphabet [1]. Group 2: Financial Results and Market Sentiment - Apple's recent quarterly sales reached a historical high, and its earnings guidance exceeded expectations [3]. - In contrast, the launch of AI tools by Alphabet and startup Anthropic has led to widespread sell-offs in tech stocks, as investors fear that AI services may erode company growth [3]. - Software stocks are under pressure, with a popular ETF tracking this sector down 2.7%, marking a potential seventh consecutive day of declines, the longest losing streak in over two years [3]. Group 3: Strategic Positioning - Apple is not participating in the AI arms race, which is viewed as a wiser decision now compared to six months ago, allowing the company to benefit from AI without incurring massive debt and capital expenditures [4]. - Hardware devices like the iPhone are expected to become core platforms for users accessing AI services, positioning Apple favorably in the evolving tech landscape [3].

Group 1 - Epstein's will includes $288 million in assets and properties distributed to at least 44 beneficiaries, with his girlfriend receiving $50 million in cash, a 33-carat diamond ring, and several properties, including Little Saint James Island [3][4] - The U.S. Department of Justice released over 3 million pages of documents related to Epstein's case, including his will signed shortly before his death in prison [4] - Epstein was previously convicted in 2008 for soliciting minors for prostitution and was arrested again in 2019 for sex crimes before his death, which was ruled a suicide [4] Group 2 - White Elephant launched a promotional campaign offering 2,026 custom 1-gram gold bars as prizes, starting from December 20, 2025, with the event running until March 31, 2026 [5][7] - The campaign has generated significant social media attention, with users attempting to use metal detectors to find gold bars in the noodle cups, although the company advises against this [7] - The promotional activity is described as a random surprise, and the exact probability of winning is not calculable due to production uncertainties [5] Group 3 - Xiaomi's car deliveries in January 2026 exceeded 39,000 units, a decline of over 20% from the previous month, attributed to the discontinuation of the first-generation SU7 model [8][9] - The production capacity is now focused on preparing for the new generation of models, with the transition from SU7 to YU7 underway [9] Group 4 - International gold prices experienced the largest single-day drop in 40 years on January 30, 2026, leading to significant volatility in the market [10] - The rapid decline in gold prices is seen as a correction of previously overheated market sentiments, causing concerns among investors and suppliers about the availability of gold materials [10] - Retail gold jewelry prices in China dropped by 20 to 40 yuan per gram, prompting consumer demands for refunds and raising discussions about return policies [12] Group 5 - Legal disputes have arisen regarding gold return policies, with some retailers reportedly charging fees for returns, which has led to consumer rights discussions [11][12] - Lawyers have indicated that return policies must be clearly communicated, and excessive fees may be deemed invalid under consumer protection laws [12]

来源：金十数据 随着大型科技公司准备在未来几周陆续公布季度财报，AI交易正走向一个关键节点。 "七大科技巨头"此前被视为市场中毫无争议的赢家，但这一叙事在今年以来已明显动摇，投资者开始追 逐周期股、小盘股以及国际市场的动量。本轮财报季将考验这些超大市值科技股的韧性，尤其是在市场 从少数赢家向更广泛标的扩散的背景下。 微软(MSFT.O)、Meta Platforms(META.O)和特斯拉(TSLA.O)都将于1月28日（周三）美股盘后公布财 报；苹果(AAPL.O)则将在次日、1月29日盘后发布业绩。 苹果和Alphabet得到最大青睐 当前，华尔街尤其看好两家大型科技公司：苹果和谷歌母公司Alphabet(GOOGL.O)。 本月早些时候，这两家公司达成合作，苹果将授权使用谷歌的Gemini技术，用于其下一代Siri语音助 手。美国银行分析师瓦姆西·莫汉（Wamsi Mohan）认为，苹果引入Gemini将是推进其AI战略的关键一 步。他在1月的一份报告中写道： 半导体热潮中的热门标的 尽管英伟达(NVDA.O)股价今年以来整体持平，但市场对半导体的热情并未降温，VanEck半导体 ETF(SMH.O)年 ...