来源：市场投研资讯 大类资产近期变动（2025/10/1-2025/10/7） 美股市场全线收涨，纳斯达克指数、道琼斯工业指数与标普500指数分别录得0.57%、0.44%和0.39%的 涨幅。行业层面，Wind美国一级行业中，医疗保健（3.73%）、公用事业（2.76%）与信息技术板块 （1.48%）表现领先，二级行业中煤炭Ⅱ（5.62%）、医药生物（4.90%）及钢铁Ⅱ板块（2.83%）涨幅 居前。欧洲市场同步走强，德国DAX30、英国富时100及法国CAC40指数分别上涨2.11%、1.42%、 1.00%。大宗商品方面，LME钴（11.33%）、LME铜（4.80%）、COMEX黄金（3.39%）领涨，而受 OPEC+ 10月进一步增产预期影响，布伦特原油与纽约期油跌幅靠前。汇率方面，截至10月7日，美元指 数收报98.58，周涨0.82%；美元兑离岸人民币报7.15，周涨0.25%。 科技利好不断，美股再创新高 宏观层面来看，美国政府于当地时间10月1日零点起正式进入停摆状态，9月ADP新增就业人数意外录得 负值，市场避险情绪升温，黄金价格创下历史新高。此次停摆的直接原因是共和党与民主党未能就新财 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 市场策略丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 十一关键词：AI 迭代 vs 美国政府停摆 %% %% research.95579.com 1 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 美股三大指数国庆假期期间（2025/10/1-2025/10/7）全线收涨，其中纳斯达克指数领涨。从行 业表现看，医疗保健、公用事业等板块涨幅居前。欧洲市场同样表现强劲。大宗商品市场呈现 分化走势，基本金属价格大幅上涨，而国际油价则因供应增加预期大幅下挫。外汇市场方面， 美元指数小幅上涨，美元兑离岸人民币汇率上升。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% [Table_Title2] 十一关键词：AI 迭代 vs 美国政府停摆 [Table_Summary2] 大类资产近期变动（2025/10/1-2025/10/7） 美股市场全线收涨，纳斯达克指数、道琼斯工业指数与标普 500 指数分别录得 0.57%、0.44% 和 0.39%的涨幅。行业层面，Wind 美国一级行业中，医疗保健（3.73% ...

中银国际认为，目前AI基建重心正在从训练侧向推理侧转型。随着AI模型的迭代，AI应用的商业模式 越来越清晰。Sora2.0的发布在技术升级的同时引入社交属性，为Open AI拓宽了商业变现渠道，同时社 交属性会为AI应用的用户数量进一步赋能，进而对上游算力基础设施建设提出了更高的要求。Open AI 率先锁下三星、SK海力士、AMD的存储、GPU等相关订单意味着AI基建需求增长的确定性进一步强 化，相关算力产业链有望在未来趋势中受益。 根据华尔街见闻报道，2025年9月30日Open AI发布其第二代视频生成模型Sora 2.0。相较于第一代， Sora 2.0在物理真实感、音视频同步和多镜头叙事等方面取得重大突破。Open AI同步推出Sora APP社交 应用，用户可以通过文字生成短视频，创建AI数字形象，并在获取许可的情况下被嵌入自己或朋友制 作的视频中。Sora 2.0的发布标志着Open AI在社交媒体领域取得重大进步，或为Open AI打开新的广告 收入渠道，这也意味着AI应用的商业变现途径进一步拓宽。 Open AI相关合作刺激AI基建需求 根据芯智讯报道，2025年10月初Open AI和韩国 ...

4、Google计划在印度首度大手笔投资100亿美元，用于建设1吉瓦的数据中心与其附属电力基础设施。 5、10月8日，英伟达CEO黄仁勋证实对马斯克旗下初创公司xAI进行了投资，并称对这一交易感到非常兴奋，唯一的遗憾是没给xAI更多投资，他希望能参 与马斯克的所有业务。 6、10月8日谷歌发布了 Gemini 2.5 Computer Use，该模型是基于 Gemini 2.5 Pro 的视觉理解和推理能力构建，是首个专为界面控制设计的大语言模型。 截至2025年10月9日 10:13，上证科创板100指数强势上涨1.26%，成分股华虹公司上涨16.71%，国盾量子上涨11.71%，东芯股份上涨7.11%，奕瑞科技，金盘 科技等个股跟涨。科创100指数ETF(588030)上涨1.12%，最新价报1.44元。拉长时间看，截至2025年9月30日，科创100指数ETF近2周累计上涨2.30%。 流动性方面，科创100指数ETF盘中换手1.72%，成交1.38亿元。拉长时间看，截至9月30日，科创100指数ETF近1年日均成交4.38亿元，居可比基金第一。 【国庆假期事件回顾】 1、10月1日，OpenAI正式发 ...

10月1日凌晨，OpenAI发布新一代视频生成模型Sora 2.0，并同步上线同名社交应用，再次点燃了人工 智能产业的热情。 凭借在物理一致性、多镜头叙事和音画同步等方面的技术突破，Sora 2被业内视为"视频领域的ChatGPT 时刻"，不仅让AI内容从文字跃迁至动态视觉，更标志着视频生成能力开始具备真实感、可控性和产业 化潜力。 这一系列能力的提升，将为迈富时带来结构性商业利好。首先是产品价值的重估：当视频魔方具备了接 近人类创作水平的生成能力，其产品从"短视频工具"升级为"智能内容引擎"，为公司带来更高的定价空 间。其次是客单价与ARPU值的提升：当视频智能体深度嵌入企业业务流程，承担的不再是一次性内容 供给，而是长期的增长与决策支持，客户的使用深度和付费意愿将显著提高。再次是客户粘性的增强： 随着视频能力与企业核心运营系统深度绑定，平台的不可替代性将进一步强化，续约率和客户生命周期 价值都有望持续增长。此外，随着智能体的应用范围从营销扩展到培训、客服、销售等更多场景，迈富 时的商业模式也有望从单一SaaS订阅向"平台+运营服务"演进，为未来估值提升打开新的想象空间。 从行业演进的角度看，Sora 2的 ...

Core Insights - The AI sector is experiencing significant growth, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board AI Index rising by 1.28% as of October 9, 2025, driven by strong performances from key stocks like Chipone Technology and Lattice Semiconductor [2] - OpenAI has made notable advancements, including the launch of its video generation model Sora 2.0, which is expected to revolutionize the video generation field [4] - Citigroup analysts have raised their AI capital expenditure forecast for 2026 from $420 billion to $490 billion, indicating a growth expectation of 24%, surpassing the current market consensus of 20% [3] Industry Developments - Ant Group's AI model Ring-1T, with a parameter count of 1 trillion, was announced as open-source on September 30, 2025, highlighting advancements in AI model capabilities [2] - OpenAI's partnership with major chip manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix for the "Stargate" project signifies a strategic move to enhance hardware support for AI applications [4] - The AI video generation market is projected to reach a trillion-dollar valuation, driven by the successful integration of social features in Sora 2, which has quickly topped the U.S. iOS app charts [6] Market Performance - The Sci-Tech AI ETF (588790) has shown strong performance, with a 2.56% increase over the last two weeks and a daily average trading volume of 747 million yuan over the past month, ranking first among comparable funds [2][8] - The ETF's assets have grown by 2.642 billion yuan over the past three months, indicating robust investor interest and confidence in the AI sector [8] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech AI Index account for 71.9% of the index, with companies like Lattice Semiconductor and Chipone Technology leading the way [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - **Industry**: AI and Video Generation - **Company**: OpenAI and its product Sora 2.0 Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Launch of New Tools**: OpenAI introduced new tools such as APP, SDK, Agent Kit, and Chat Kit at the developer conference, showcasing a clear blueprint for its commercial empire [2][3][6] 2. **Partnerships**: OpenAI has partnered with 11 well-known companies, including Uber and TripAdvisor, to enhance user experience through natural language interactions via ChatGPT [1][3] 3. **MCP Protocol**: The standardization of the MCP protocol allows large model companies like OpenAI to quickly connect with product service providers, enabling advanced applications beyond traditional data interactions [5][6] 4. **Agent Kit Efficiency**: The Agent Kit allows non-IT developers to create applications easily, improving productivity by over 20 times, with over 50% of programs and 75% of code being AI-generated in leading internet companies [8][10] 5. **Code X and AGI**: Code X is a set of advanced tools aimed at preparing for general artificial intelligence (AGI) by enabling self-coding to solve problems [11][12] 6. **Sora 2.0 Focus**: Sora 2.0 aims to address practical issues in the film and animation workflow, collaborating with Shutterstock for high-quality video data [13][14] 7. **Market Positioning**: Sora 2.0 targets professional creators rather than general users, differentiating itself from platforms like TikTok by requiring a higher level of creative ability [15][22] 8. **Technical Innovations**: Sora 2.0 employs unique training methods to generate longer videos and emphasizes audio synchronization and realism [16] 9. **Cost and Computational Challenges**: Current challenges include high costs for video generation (0.7 to 3 yuan per second) and computational limitations, although efforts are being made to optimize models and reduce prices [17] 10. **Competitive Landscape**: Sora 2 faces competition from other video generation tools like Keling and Jimu, with pricing and user experience being key factors [27][28] 11. **Future Trends**: The video generation technology has significant potential in education and healthcare, allowing for efficient content creation and resource optimization [21][29] 12. **Impact on B2B Software**: Large model companies may impact B2B software firms by simplifying development processes, pushing these firms to modularize their offerings to integrate into larger ecosystems [35][36] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **User Engagement**: OpenAI aims to cultivate user habits to become a primary entry point for AI services, indicating a strategic focus on user dependency [34] 2. **Evolving Market Dynamics**: The rapid evolution of AI tools suggests a future where more companies will need to adapt to new technologies and user expectations [19][24] 3. **Long-term Viability**: The competitive landscape is expected to remain dynamic, with multiple players vying for market share, indicating a potential for cyclical competition among similar products [28][30]

证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2025 年 10 月 9 日 | 市场指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌% | | 上证综指 | 3882.78 | 0.52 | | 深证成指 | 13526.51 | 0.35 | | 沪深 300 | 4640.69 | 0.45 | | 中小 100 | 8380.38 | 0.62 | | 创业板指 | 3238.16 | 0.0046 | 中银晨会聚焦-20251009 ■重点关注 【电子】海外算力行业更新*苏凌瑶。Sora 2.0 的发布标志着 AI 应用的变现 途径进一步拓宽，新增的社交属性有望为 AI 应用用户数量增长赋能，这也 对上游算力基建提出了更高的要求，算力产业链增长确定性进一步增强。 行业表现（申万一级） | 指数名称 | 涨跌% | 指数名称 | 涨跌% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 3.22 | 通信 | (1.83) | | 国防军工 | 2.59 | 非银金融 | (1.14) | | 房地产 | 2.12 | 综合 | (1.06) | | 电 ...

智通财经APP获悉，快手-W(01024)涨超7%，暂时领跑科网股。截至发稿，涨7.21%，报90.7港元，成交 额21.16亿港元。 消息面上，近日，可灵AI基座模型再升级，视频生成推出可灵2.5 Turbo 模型，效果进一步提升。可灵 2.5 Turbo 模型高品质模式(1080p)下生成5秒长度的视频仅需25灵感值，相比2.1模型同档位便宜近30%。 东方证券表示，多模态侧，快手可灵依靠底模迭代保持领先身位，2.5 Turbo版本在"性能升级+降价 30%"的组合策略下，有望进一步带动用户增长和流水上行。主业方面，AI带动核心主业提效持续演 绎，继此前内容推荐OneRec提供社区生态健康度支撑，商业化系统的AI重构更是为主业稳健增长带来 长效动能。 值得关注的是，北京时间10月1日凌晨，OpenAI宣布，正式发布其迄今最先进的视频生成模型Sora 2.0，并同步推出一款全新的社交应用"Sora"。Sora团队负责人表示，这可能会成为视频生成领域的 ChatGPT时刻。开源证券此前研报曾指出，AI视频生成工具可以大幅减少实景拍摄、降低视频制作成 本，Sora的发布或将成为AI视频应用的里程碑事件，有望打开 ...

Market Overview - US stock market showed resilience amid government shutdown pressures, with the Dow Jones reaching a new high and the S&P 500 recording its largest September gain in 15 years [2] - Tesla's stock surged by 33% in September, while Google's stock rose by 38%, marking its largest quarterly increase since 2005 [2] - CoreWeave's stock increased by nearly 12% following a significant deal with Meta [5] - Pfizer's stock rose nearly 7% after a price reduction agreement was announced [4] - The European stock index recorded its best September performance in six years [2] Economic Indicators - China's official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8 in September, marking the second consecutive month of improvement [11] - The RatingDog manufacturing PMI in China increased to 51.2, with new orders growing at the fastest rate since February [21] - The top 100 real estate companies in China achieved sales of 252.78 billion yuan in September, a year-on-year increase of 0.4% [12] Corporate Developments - OpenAI launched Sora 2.0, a video generation model, and reported a revenue of $4.3 billion in the first half of the year, despite a cash burn of $2.5 billion and a net loss of $13.5 billion [14] - CoreWeave signed a $14.2 billion computing supply agreement with Meta, highlighting the high costs associated with developing advanced AI models [16] - Berkshire Hathaway is reportedly negotiating a $10 billion acquisition of Occidental Petroleum's chemical division, which would be its largest deal since 2022 [16] Industry Trends - The AI infrastructure investment is accelerating, with Citigroup raising its AI capital expenditure forecast to $490 billion by 2026 [23] - The demand for new housing in China is expected to stabilize, with a significant increase in supply anticipated [12] - The Japanese government is expected to reduce its bond purchases, leading to rising yields in the bond market [22]