Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 52.32 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.59 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 19.5% [2][4]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion and is committed to transitioning to new energy vehicles, with a continuous new car cycle expected to drive improvements in sales and performance [2]. - The company's four major expansion strategies are expected to open up long-term growth potential for sales, while the shift towards intelligent vehicles is anticipated to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company sold 313,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.9%. The sales of new energy vehicles reached 98,000 units, up 33.7% year-on-year and 56.4% quarter-on-quarter, with new energy vehicles accounting for 36.8% of total sales [2][4]. - The revenue for Q2 2025 was 52.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30.7%. The average revenue per vehicle was 167,000 yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.4 thousand yuan year-on-year but an increase of 1.1 thousand yuan quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 18.8%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 8.8%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year and 4.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on three dimensions: product, channel, and supply chain adjustments in the domestic market. It is committed to deepening its transition to new energy, with a focus on plug-in hybrid vehicles and a clear positioning for new products [2]. - The "ONE GWM" strategy is accelerating the company's overseas expansion, covering over 170 countries and regions, with more than 1,400 overseas sales channels established [2]. - The company is enhancing its technological capabilities in the era of intelligence, focusing on data, algorithms, and computing power to strengthen its competitive edge [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects to see continued growth in sales and performance driven by its overseas expansion and the acceleration of new energy vehicle transitions, along with an increase in the proportion of high-value models like the Tank and WEY [2]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.13 billion yuan, 17.12 billion yuan, and 21.52 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding A-share PE ratios of 15.7X, 12.9X, and 10.3X [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 40.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.75 billion yuan, down 45.6% year-on-year. The company is committed to its transition to new energy, making adjustments across product, channel, and supply chain dimensions, which is expected to drive improvements in sales and performance [2][4]. - The company’s four strategic expansion initiatives are anticipated to open up long-term growth opportunities for sales, while its shift towards smart technology is expected to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company sold 257,000 vehicles, a decrease of 6.7% year-on-year and 32.3% quarter-on-quarter. New energy vehicle sales reached 63,000 units, up 5.7% year-on-year but down 43.3% quarter-on-quarter. The revenue per vehicle was 156,000 yuan, remaining flat year-on-year [7]. - The gross margin for Q1 was 17.8%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.7%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its global expansion under the "ONE GWM" strategy, covering over 170 countries and regions, with more than 1,400 overseas sales channels. It has established production bases in Thailand and Brazil, and KD factories in Ecuador and Pakistan, which are expected to drive future sales growth [7]. - The company is focusing on the new energy sector, particularly in the plug-in hybrid segment, with multiple new models across its brands expected to contribute significantly to future growth [7]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to distribute cash dividends of 3.85 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 30.4%. The estimated net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 14.71 billion, 17.86 billion, and 21.95 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding A-share P/E ratios of 13.5X, 11.1X, and 9.0X [7].

撰 文 / 牛跟尚 设 计 / 琚 佳 与前两年的"油电同价"、"油比电贵"不同，主流传统车企正在主打"油电同智"、"油电同进""油电同 强"，并出现最新可喜的苗头。 3月11日，中国汽车工业协会公布的2025年2月产销数据显示：2月汽车国内销量达168.8万辆，环比 下降13.6%，同比增长39.9%。其中，传统燃料汽车国内销量为92.7万辆，虽然环比下降20.1%，但 同比增长14.3%。 具体到传统燃料乘用车，国内销量72.6万辆，虽然环比下降26%，但同比增加8万辆，同比增长 12.4%。 再看1-2月，传统燃料乘用车销量国内销量170.8万辆，虽然同比减少8.4万辆，但同比减幅收窄，只 有4.7%。 乘联分会秘书长崔东树表示，政策支持、技术进步和消费升级将是推动市场发展的关键因素，在中 国品牌走向全球的大背景下，减少对燃油车歧视性政策，实现"油电同强"，对稳定国内外车市销售 和供应链稳步升级都将有更好的推动作用。 汽车商业评论盘点发现，十大车企集团前两个月销量，只有长城、广汽、东风3家出现销量下滑。 集团销量排名第十名的长城汽车2月销量为77883辆，同比增长9.65%。其中，长城方盒子销量2937 ...