Di Yi Cai Jing
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机构论后市丨A股进入传统做多窗口,节前板块轮动向上或是主基调
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 10:02
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is currently experiencing a short-term adjustment, but institutions remain optimistic about the potential for upward movement in February, traditionally a strong month for the market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% this week, while the Shenzhen Component dropped by 1.62%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.09%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index declined by 3.54% [1]. - Historical data indicates that February has a 76% probability of positive returns, with an average increase of 3.4% and a median increase of 3.0%, making it a traditional window for bullish sentiment in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Focus areas for investment include sectors with strong performance indicators such as AI hardware, storage chips, and industrial software, as well as the renewable energy sector, particularly in energy storage and lithium battery supply chains [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of sectors highlighted in the 14th Five-Year Plan, including commercial aerospace, 6G technology, nuclear power, hydrogen energy, quantum communication, and brain-computer interfaces, which are expected to receive policy support [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The market's short-term fluctuations are attributed to natural digestion after high turnover rates and a peak in the proportion of transactions in non-ferrous metals, but the underlying logic for a spring rally remains intact [3]. - The liquidity environment is expected to remain supportive, with multiple factors such as increased insurance allocations, the maturation of fixed deposits, and foreign capital inflows contributing to a favorable market outlook [3]. Group 4: Sector Rotation - The A-share market is experiencing accelerated sector rotation, with semiconductors, liquor, and real estate showing temporary gains, although the sustainability of these trends is uncertain [4]. - The report suggests that structural opportunities will continue to arise, particularly in technology innovation themes and manufacturing sectors, with a focus on recovery paths for profitability in resource sectors [4]. Group 5: Market Sentiment - The market is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with technology and cyclical sectors reaching historical valuation highs, indicating that upward movement will depend on substantial industry trends and earnings growth [5]. - The focus remains on cyclical recovery and advanced manufacturing, with ongoing attention to sectors such as non-ferrous metals and basic chemicals, which are expected to show resilience despite market fluctuations [6].
狂撒10亿元红包,腾讯激战春节「营销档」
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 09:45
Group 1 - Tencent has launched a 1 billion yuan red envelope campaign for the Spring Festival, similar to its previous 5 billion yuan campaign in 2015, aimed at driving user engagement for its consumer-facing app, Yuanbao [1] - Tencent's Chairman, Ma Huateng, expressed hopes to replicate the success of the WeChat red envelope moment from 11 years ago, indicating a strategic focus on leveraging social interactions for user acquisition [2] - Other AI companies, such as Baidu and ByteDance, are also participating in the Spring Festival marketing push, with Baidu announcing a 500 million yuan red envelope initiative and ByteDance becoming the exclusive AI cloud partner for the Spring Festival Gala [2] Group 2 - The domestic generative AI user base has reached 515 million as of June last year, with a penetration rate of 36.5%, indicating significant growth in the AI sector [2] - Yuanbao has begun internal testing of a new social feature called "Pai," which allows users to create groups for chatting and video calls, aiming to enhance user retention through social engagement [3] - Previous marketing efforts for Yuanbao included extensive advertising and grassroots promotions, leading to a rise in its app ranking, but the long-term retention of users remains uncertain [3]
借鉴美国Corgi模式,太保将试点AI原生分支机构
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 09:38
傅帆称,未来将通过三个层面的变革,让智能化深度融入保险的核心价值。其中,试点AI原生分支机 构是重要举措之一,其核心目标是重构生产力与组织的协同范式。他介绍称,中国太保正以首批AI原 生分公司试点为突破口,重塑业务流程,实现从人力驱动到人机协同的跨越,向数字融合的更高阶段跃 升。 重构生产力与组织的协同范式。 "数字化转型不是选择题,而是企业生存和发展的必答题。"中国太保董事长傅帆在近日举办的首届中国 太保科技创新大会上表示。 "在'十五五'期间,保险业不仅要追求保费规模和资产体量的领先,更要在服务实体经济质效、防范化 解风险能力、提高全球竞争力上实现质的飞跃。"在傅帆看来,在当前全球正经历由深层次人工智能驱 动的新变革背景下,提升AI应用能力正是实现上述目标的重要抓手,因此"人工智能+"也被中国太保列 为三大战略之一。 此次大会上发布的《2025年AI应用白皮书》,也进一步勾勒出"AI+保险"的未来图景。白皮书展望称, 保险行业正站在技术驱动的变革风口,AI将推动行业从三条路径实现演变:客户维度,从"信息差"转 向"全生命周期陪伴",通过AI交互入口和情感智能,提供个性化陪伴式服务;产业维度,从"传统边 界 ...
金价蹦极,行情结束还是“倒车接人”?机构紧急研判!
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 08:57
这是一个"黄金坑"吗? 黄金、白银不断刷新历史新高的行情突然变脸。1月30日,伦敦黄金现货大跳水,创1980年2月以来最大 单日跌幅,白银价格也一度创出历史最大日内跌幅。 业内普遍认为,本次黄金"巨震",直接原因或是美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什为新任美联储主席,导 致"独立性危机"担忧降温,美元反弹。 目前,投资者最为关注的问题是,此次暴跌,是黄金上涨行情中一个难得的"黄金坑",抑或暗示着黄金 趋势将由此结束,对此,多家机构周末紧急研判。 "黄金十年魔咒"到了? 在暴跌之前,金价已经处于狂热状态,本月以来,伦敦金现从4318美元/盎司起步,接连突破数个整数 关口,气势如虹,一度剑指5600美元/盎司,月内最大涨幅超过20%。 招商银行研究院认为,自1968年以来,黄金单月涨幅超过20%的情形极为罕见,仅出现过8次,且全部 集中在布雷顿森林体系瓦解、第二次石油危机等特殊历史阶段。1983年之后,如此级别的单月涨幅更是 从未出现。 尤其是1月19日至29日短短9个交易日,黄金价格上涨了1000美元左右,已经处于"超买"状态。一有风吹 草动,这些"热钱"会率先撤离,加剧下跌。 "当金银以超乎历史的斜率上行时,这样的 ...
IPO管控从严!香港证监会再次严查“赶工”乱象,已有16宗港股上市申请被暂停审理
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 08:31
1月30日,第一财经从香港证监会获悉,近期监管机构已通过通函要求上市保荐人迅速开展内部检讨, 并纠正招股文件准备中出现的严重缺失,包括文件质量不足、保荐人可能存在的失当行为及其资源管理 重大失误等。截至2025年12月31日,已有16宗港股上市申请被暂停审理。 2025年,港股IPO数量与募资额同比大幅跃升,排队企业已突破300家,市场热度持续攀升。然而,申 报文件质量下滑、保荐人资源不足、人才争夺激烈、费率竞争加剧等问题也随之显现。为此,此次香港 证监会在通函中表示,将密集推出多项针对性整改措施,涵盖从严审核标准、强化保荐人员与项目匹配 度披露要求、设定人员负荷上限等方面。 业内人士指出,随着2026年可能到来的新一轮IPO高峰及潜在的限售股解禁压力,香港资本市场正步入 一段机遇与挑战并存的关键时期。 上市激增引发质量隐忧 近期香港市场监管机构已通过通函要求上市保荐人迅速开展内部检讨 香港证监会在近期通函中指出,高度关注2025年新股申请激增期间暴露的问题,包括部分上市文件存在 严重缺失、保荐人可能行为失当及其资源管理出现重大疏漏。 第一财经注意到,2025年香港IPO市场呈现井喷态势。Choice数据显示 ...
独家专访英国商贸大臣凯尔:中英已超越“黄金时代”模式,更务实、更有建设性
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 08:22
"以长远战略视角推进双边关系的新阶段" 凯尔表示,本届英国政府希望跳出原有范式,"与中国建立一种长期、稳定且全面的关系",为双方经贸 往来筑好基石。 凯尔向第一财经记者说,政府间建立伙伴关系能为商业创造机会,既为中国企业,同样也为英国企业。 2015年,时任英国首相卡梅伦率先提出了中英关系"黄金时代"的倡议,在特蕾莎·梅2016年接任英国首 相时,创立了中英企业家委员会,继续坚持了 "黄金时代"的大方向,中英关系保持持续发展的态势。 但此后唐宁街10号几易其主,"黄金时代"遭遇雨打风吹,这一阶段被斯塔默称为"冰河时代"。在访华前 夕,斯塔默曾公开批评前几任政府的"失职行为",对待中国不能"鸵鸟埋沙",不能忽视中国带来的经济 机遇。 虽然英国首相斯塔默是8年来首位访华的英国首相,但作为英国商业和贸易大臣的凯尔(Peter Kyle), 4个月之内已经来了两次中国。 凯尔向第一财经记者表示:"本届政府不仅派我多次来华,首相本人更是亲自到访,这充分展现了我们 对于切实拓展双向投资潜力的承诺。" 斯塔默在行前表示,希望摆脱保守党执政时期英中关系的"冰河时代",对此凯尔表示,"中国在国际关 系中发挥着非常重要的作用", ...
官宣!适用9%和6%增值税税率范围定了
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 07:14
增值税两档优惠税率适用范围进一步明晰。 在农机方面,《公告》在此前相关规定列举的拖拉机、土壤耕整机械等十类农机产品外,还新增了畜牧 业机械、渔业机械、林业机械、小农具4类农机。 中国第一大税种增值税税率主要有三档,其中基本税率是13%,两档优惠税率分别是9%和6%。随着今 年起增值税法及实施条例正式实施,详细适用两档优惠税率的具体范围也得以明晰。 比如畜牧业机械是指畜牧业生产中所需的各种机械,包括草原建设机械、牧业收获机械、饲料加工机 械、畜禽饲养机械、畜产品采集机械、养鸡和养猪设备系列产品、动物尸体降解处理机。渔业机械,包 括捕捞机械、增氧机、饵料机,机动渔船不属于本货物的征税范围等。 1月31日,财政部、税务总局发布《关于增值税征税具体范围有关事项的公告》(下称《公告》),明 确了适用9%增值税税率货物范围,以及销售服务、无形资产、不动产具体范围,这涉及多档税率。该 《公告》自2026年1月1日起施行。 上海国家会计学院副教授葛玉御告诉第一财经,总体来看适用9%税率的货物范围跟此前大体一致,变 化不大。但《公告》附件2《销售服务、无形资产、不动产注释》里则有些变化,比如加工修理修配纳 入"生产生活服务", ...
AI社区Moltbook火了!马斯克称是“奇点发生的最初阶段”,炒作还是未来?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 06:40
Core Insights - Moltbook has gained significant attention in the AI community, with mixed reactions regarding its impact and validity as a platform for AI agents to interact autonomously [1][9] - The platform has rapidly grown to host 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, marking a notable experiment in AI self-organization [1][6] Group 1: Platform Overview - Moltbook is a social platform designed exclusively for AI agents, allowing them to interact without human participation, which differentiates it from traditional social media [5] - The platform was inspired by the success of Clawdbot, an AI assistant that can automate tasks across various chat applications, leading to the creation of a community where AI can communicate and share skills [5][6] Group 2: Growth and Functionality - Within three days, the number of registered AI agents surged from 1 to over 1 million, demonstrating the platform's rapid adoption and self-sustaining nature [6] - AI agents on Moltbook engage in discussions on various topics, including technology, existentialism, and even the creation of virtual religions, showcasing a range of social behaviors [6][10] Group 3: Industry Reactions and Concerns - Experts have expressed skepticism about the notion of AI consciousness, emphasizing that the interactions are based on human-defined parameters and not true autonomy [7][10] - Concerns have been raised regarding the quality of content on Moltbook, with reports of spam, scams, and security vulnerabilities, indicating potential risks associated with the platform [4][9][14] Group 4: Long-term Implications - Despite criticisms, many professionals see long-term value in Moltbook as it opens new avenues for research on AI collaboration, identity management, and privacy protection [12][13] - The platform serves as a case study for the emergence of complex behaviors in AI when given the ability to interact autonomously, reflecting the potential for future developments in AI technology [10][14]
速览1月A股:沪指站稳4100点,寒武纪获主力资金青睐
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 06:10
一图速览>> ( 指数 涨跌幅 深证成指 上证指数 234.08% 志特新 4 = 03 : 1 锋龙股 213.97% 累计涨幅 175.14% 湖南白 累计跌幅 普冉 股 140.55% 四川黄 137.54% 133.68% 白银有 133.33% 遛源石 连城数 130.47% 122.33% 膀程科 118.92% 可川科 一图速览>> E = 7 分分 浄流) (亿元) 净流出 (亿元) 34.35 25.45 24.02 21.36 . . . . . 兴 北 招 獸 商 小 方 华 武 银 银 纪 创 行 行 180.43 139.91 139.37121.42 立 胜 三花 金 坛 讯 风 矢 业生 手机 手 14 个十 自 个月 控 技 技 容 82.05 相关会会 54.34 33.61 31.81 净流入 (亿元) 彩 招 中 大 子 金 商 E न्त 遛 银 矿 安 业 信 行 国后 中际旭创 62 649.00 股价市值 源杰科技 最新收盘价 823.00 7 (元/股) 寒武纪 MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错! 责任编辑:江钰涵 all and the see and t ...
蔚小理等9家车企推“7年低息”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 04:53
Group 1 - NIO launched a limited-time financial car purchase plan in February, offering a 7-year, 84-installment financing option with a down payment as low as 20% and an annual interest rate starting at 0.49% [1] - Currently, a total of 9 automotive companies, including Tesla, Xiaopeng, Li Auto, Xiaomi, and Geely, have introduced low-interest financing plans, with some options featuring a 0 down payment [1]