当世界日益被"动荡"和"不确定性"包围，中国经济却走出一条稳健上升的曲线。 一边，是日趋复杂的外部环境，世界经济陷入低迷，新冠疫情影响深远，经济全球化遭遇逆流；一边， 是中国经济总量连续跨越110万亿元、120万亿元、130万亿元台阶，5年经济增量相当于再造一个世界第 三大经济体。 透过增长看逻辑。回望"十四五"，中国经济做对了什么，才会化挑战为机遇，让不确定成为确定？ 一个关键，在于党中央总揽全局、把航定向 把方向、谋大局、定政策、促改革、保落实。党对经济工作的领导，是我们应对风险挑战、破解发展难 题、保持社会安定的根本保证，为我国经济长期发展提供了"稳定锚"。 前进路上，越是风高浪急，越考验掌舵领航的判断力、决策力、行动力。 9月份，我国进出口总值达4.04万亿元，同比增长8%，为今年以来月度最高增速。面对个别西方国家砸 下的关税大棒，今年上半年我国进出口规模依旧站稳20万亿元台阶，创历史同期新高。 外贸顶住压力、平稳增长，是经济韧性的体现，也与自上而下的及时响应密不可分。从拓展外贸"朋友 圈"，到加快落实党中央对内外贸一体化的部署，再到行业协会、电商、商超等纷纷畅通渠道，推动"出 口转内销"……较短时间 ...

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reports a resilient start to the global economy in the first half of the year, but signs of moderate slowdown are emerging as supporting factors fade [1][2] - The report highlights significant uncertainty in the development prospects of industries like artificial intelligence, which may struggle to drive global economic growth [1] Economic Performance - Global economic activities were strong in the first half of the year, with inflation levels in the US and Asian economies well-controlled [1] - The resilience observed is attributed to short-term factors such as preemptive imports and inventory management in response to US tariff policies, rather than a robust economic foundation [1] - Global economic growth is projected to decline from 3.6% at the end of 2024 to 2.6% at the end of this year, with forecasts of 3.2% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026 [1][2] Inflation and Trade - Inflation rates are expected to decrease, with global inflation projected at 4.2% in 2025 and 3.7% in 2026, while US inflation is anticipated to remain above target [2] - Global trade volume is expected to grow at an average rate of 2.9% in 2025, significantly lower than the 3.5% growth rate in 2024, with ongoing trade fragmentation limiting trade revenues [2] Risks and Challenges - The report identifies persistent downward risks to the global economy, including policy uncertainty, rising protectionism, and restrictive immigration policies impacting labor supply [2][5] - The potential volatility in the artificial intelligence sector poses risks to economic growth and could lead to significant declines in tech stock prices, affecting market sentiment [5] - The report emphasizes the need for clear and transparent trade policies to reduce uncertainty and support investment, while modernizing trade rules to adapt to the digital age [5][6] Policy Recommendations - The IMF suggests rebuilding fiscal buffers and ensuring debt sustainability as priority actions, advocating for balanced fiscal consolidation plans [6] - Monetary policy should aim to balance price stability and growth risks, with structural reforms needed to enhance resilience and growth prospects [6] - For low-income countries, mobilizing domestic resources is crucial as external aid diminishes, and scenario planning can help ensure timely and effective responses to economic challenges [6]

监管机构要维护好市场秩序，避免"劣币驱逐良币"。持续完善抽查检查、安全溯源、召回制度，加大标 准执行和处罚力度；及时更新、细化、解读安全标准体系，提高市场监管的透明度和有效性；加强跨部 门联合行动，实现数据共享与智慧监管，通力合作守住法律与规则底线。 情绪经济、童趣经济潮流下，玩具承载起一定的情感需求，代表着对美好生活的期待。跨界玩具不越 界，才能玩出新天地，共同守护童心童趣。 锅碗瓢盆一应俱全、能动手又能吃的"迷你厨房"是颇得青睐的网红玩具，但"迷你厨房"安全吗？日前， 一些地方对线上购买的两款"儿童迷你厨房真煮玩具"进行检验，发现不少安全隐患：带电部件电压超 标、未标示生产信息、存在锐利边缘……玩具安全问题又一次被摆在公众眼前。 跨界为玩具产业升级提供了新机遇，但越界就会变成危险隐患。缺少防护的迷你棉花糖机存在触电风 险、没设置警示说明的磁性笔会导致误吞窒息……除了最基本的安全和质量问题外，还可能出现知识产 权侵权、数据和隐私泄露等问题。 商家乐于创新、敢于跨界，与时俱进把握市场脉搏，满足消费者情绪价值的同时，要严格执行国家安全 标准，守住根本底线。安全地基打得牢，竞争力的大厦才能建得高。 电商平台作为重 ...

筑牢防线，加强引导。有关部门可通过图解海报、社区讲座等方式加强宣传，普及国家职业资格目录， 曝光典型案例，提升公众防范意识和辨别能力。用人单位和求职者应提高警惕，通过"国家职业资格证 书全国联网查询"等官方渠道核查证书真伪。 疏堵结合，优化供给。在严厉打击非法行为的同时，要大力发展正规职业技能培训，扩大优质培训资源 供给。各地人社部门可推动企业、院校等用人单位自主开展职业技能等级认定，使人才评价更贴近行业 实际需求，从根本上消除"山寨证书"的生存空间。 近日，国家卫健委发布的一则声明引发关注：有不法机构伪造"国家卫生健康委人事司技能鉴定专用 章"，虚构"卫生健康行业职业技能鉴定指导中心"，公然制售"山寨证书"。这一事件折射出职业资格证 书领域的乱象，再次提醒规范职业认证体系的重要性。 "山寨证书"并非新鲜事物，从早先被曝光的"速成心理咨询师"，到如今的假冒"技能鉴定"，可谓花样翻 新。不法分子往往瞄准热门行业，利用劳动者提升就业竞争力、寻求职业转型的迫切心理，伪造售卖相 关职业资格证书。这不仅让劳动者蒙受经济损失，还扰乱职业资格认证体系，损害用人单位权益，更可 能因虚假资质流入健康医疗等领域而引发公共安全风险 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful integration of sports facilities into urban life in Nanjing, promoting community engagement in physical activities and enhancing public health through various initiatives [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The National Day holiday saw the launch of the China Fashion Sports Season (Jiangsu Station) and the China Leisure Sports Carnival in Nanjing's Jiangbei New District, featuring diverse events such as street dance, flag football, and speed skating [1]. - The event attracted participants from across the country, showcasing Nanjing's commitment to both high-level international competitions and grassroots sports activities [1]. Group 2: Sports Infrastructure Development - By the end of 2024, Nanjing aims to have a total of 30,272 sports venues covering over 41.37 million square meters, resulting in a per capita sports area of 4.32 square meters [2]. - Plans include the construction of over 60 new ball courts and the renovation of 600 sets of old fitness equipment this year, enhancing the accessibility and quality of sports facilities [2]. Group 3: Community Engagement and Health Promotion - The concept of "everyone exercises, scientifically exercises" has become ingrained in the lifestyle of urban residents, with activities like after-work basketball, lunchtime workouts, and weekend runs becoming commonplace [2]. - The Nanjing Sports Bureau is integrating resources from various levels of government and sports associations to provide community-based fitness services, including free fitness assessments and training sessions [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to stimulate innovation among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) by encouraging their deep participation in the industrial and supply chains, enhancing their supporting capabilities [1][3] - In the first eight months of this year, the added value of industrial SMEs increased by 7.6% year-on-year, outpacing large enterprises by 3.3 percentage points, indicating stable overall operations and a notable surge in innovation vitality [1][2] - The proportion of independently developed effective invention patents among SMEs reached 75.3% in 2024, an increase of 3.9 percentage points from the previous year, showcasing the growing innovation capacity of SMEs [1][2] Group 2 - Specialized and innovative SMEs, referred to as "little giants," have made significant technological advancements, holding 32.74 million invention patents, which account for 11% of the total patents held by enterprises [2][4] - In the first eight months of this year, the R&D expenses of specialized and innovative "little giants" accounted for 5.4% of their operating income, reflecting their commitment to R&D investment [2][4] - The government is encouraged to create a supportive environment for innovation, including the establishment of a national SME development fund to attract more social capital for early-stage, small, and long-term investments in hard technology [2][3] Group 3 - There is a strong emphasis on supporting the digital transformation of SMEs, particularly through the adoption of new information technologies like artificial intelligence, which are reshaping innovation paradigms and production methods [3][4] - The government aims to identify and promote replicable digital transformation solutions for SMEs, addressing their challenges in transitioning to digital operations through financial support mechanisms [3][4] - Local governments are urged to play a supportive role by organizing service institutions and platforms to facilitate innovation and collaboration between large and small enterprises [3][4]

"铁牛"未动，服务先行。年初以来，佳木斯市农业农村局启动科技服务"四双"工程，1498名农技人员分 区包片、挂图作战，累计开展田间指导1.3万次，培训农民、机手达4.2万人次。全市提前完成5.87万台 拖拉机、9.01万台（套）配套农具和1.18万台各型收获机检修。 一幅幅丰景图背后，是佳木斯市布下的"科技+服务+机制"3张网。"佳木斯市抢前抓早、集中力量，全链 条做好收割、运输、仓储、销售等指导服务，在确保生产安全的前提下，高质量完成秋收任务，为保障 粮食安全作贡献。"佳木斯市农业农村局副局长徐金友说。 科技之外，传统农人的"精"字诀同样不可或缺。在富锦市富锦镇新发村禧和家庭农场，"老把式"与"新 技术"深度融合，依托适宜的气候条件与富硒土壤优势，从春季育苗、栽种，到夏季田间管护，再到秋 季后期大田管控，最终实现水稻品种优良、品质上乘。 水稻捷报频传，大豆也迎头赶上。桦川县新城镇继成合作社的万亩大豆田里，两台大型联合收割机 正"吞秆吐金"。金黄的大豆秸秆被卷入机身，饱满的豆粒倾泻而出，拉开了全县秋收的序幕。农机手把 收割机调到时速8公里，损失率控制在1.5%以内。 丰收的底气来自县里的"硬核"保障：县乡村三 ...

改革完善房地产融资制度，还要强化系统性、全局性思维，建立"人、房、地、钱"要素联动机制，与房 地产融资制度形成有效配合。房地产工作涉及多要素、多主体、多部门，综合性、系统性、复杂性很 强，房地产市场能否平稳健康发展，根本上取决于"人、房、地、钱"四类要素资源的配置效果。此前， 住房城乡建设部已指导全国各地以编制、实施住房发展规划和年度计划为抓手，根据人口变化确定住房 需求，科学安排土地供应、引导配置金融资源，即"以人定房、以房定地、以房定钱"，促进房地产市场 供需平衡、结构合理。去年和今年，全国各地已经编制实施了住房发展年度计划，目前正在积极谋划、 科学研判，编制"十五五"住房发展规划，进一步发挥政策的综合效能。 （文章来源：经济日报） 破解上述问题，城市房地产融资协调机制可以提供有益经验。2024年1月，住房城乡建设部、国家金融 监督管理总局联合出台《关于建立城市房地产融资协调机制的通知》，要求各地级及以上城市，建立房 地产融资协调机制，以城市为单元，实施项目"白名单"制度。具体来看，城市政府牵头协调，按照公正 公平原则，向该城市行政区域内的金融机构推送房地产项目"白名单"；金融机构则按照市场化、法治化 原 ...

云南绿色能源资源丰富，电力总装机超过1.67亿千瓦，其中绿色电力装机超1.5亿千瓦，占比超九成；新 能源装机超6800万千瓦，是仅次于水电的第二大电源。 "绿色电力价值不断实现。"云南省能源局局长陈杰表示，云南做好绿证核发交易全覆盖工作，制定完善 绿色电力交易规则，绿电价值逐步体现。 陈杰介绍，自2022年起，云南省发电量跨越4000亿千瓦时大关，预计今年发电量将达4900亿千瓦时，绿 色发电量占比超85%。据统计，截至去年底，云南省可再生能源建档立卡项目近6000个，装机超1.3亿 千瓦，集中式可再生能源发电项目建档立卡容量居全国第一位。今年前8个月向云南核发绿证2.89亿 个，云南省企业购入绿证180.29万个。 为发挥绿色能源优势、推动绿电就地转化，云南积极推进零碳园区建设，同步推进零碳能源供给，制 定"推动绿电直连建设实施方案"，开展绿电直连一体化项目摸底，推动绿电资源就近就地消纳，满足企 业绿色用能需求。 "云南电力市场规模持续扩大，注册主体约9.8万家。"陈杰介绍，去年省内市场交易电量超2000亿千瓦 时，实现交易规模十连增。云南向南方电网区域送电能力达4220万千瓦，"十四五"以来累计"西电东 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for continuous policy and financial support to achieve high-level technological self-reliance and strength [1][3] - Significant investments in technology are prioritized in fiscal spending, with a focus on creating a strong policy synergy to promote technological innovation [1][3] - Recent data indicates that tax reduction and increased fiscal input have injected strong momentum into technological innovation, leading to the rapid emergence of major technological achievements [1][2] Group 2 - Fiscal policy serves as a crucial tool for macroeconomic regulation and is vital for supporting technological innovation [2][4] - Structural tax reductions and refunds have significantly alleviated the tax burden on enterprises, with a reported 1.3336 trillion yuan in tax reductions and refunds supporting technological innovation in the first eight months of the year [2] - The R&D expense deduction policy has been enhanced during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, effectively incentivizing enterprises to increase R&D investments [2] Group 3 - National fiscal science and technology expenditure is projected to reach 5.5 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, marking a 34% increase from the previous five-year period, with a focus on foundational and strategic research [3] - The government aims to optimize the structure of technology spending and enhance the effectiveness of fiscal policies to support key areas of innovation [3][4] - Collaboration between fiscal and financial policies is essential to mobilize more financial resources and social capital towards technological innovation [4]