2025年9月份核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大 PPI同比降幅继续收窄 ——国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据 CPI同比下降0.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点。CPI同比下降，主要是翘尾影响所致。本月CPI-0.3% 的同比变动中，翘尾影响约为-0.8个百分点，今年价格变动的新影响约为0.5个百分点。分类别看，食品 和能源价格下降。其中，食品价格下降4.4%，降幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点，影响CPI同比下降约0.83个 百分点，是影响CPI同比下降的主要因素。食品中，猪肉、鲜菜、鸡蛋和鲜果价格分别下降17.0%、 13.7%、13.5%和4.2%，合计影响CPI同比下降约0.78个百分点；牛肉和羊肉价格分别上涨4.6%和0.8%， 其中羊肉价格为连续下降44个月后首次转涨。能源价格下降2.7%，影响CPI同比下降约0.20个百分点。 扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.0%，涨幅连续第5个月扩大，为近19个月以来涨幅首次回到 1%。其中，扣除能源的工业消费品价格上涨1.8%，涨幅连续第5个月扩大。工业消费品中，金饰品和 铂金饰品价格分别上涨42.1%和33.6%，家 ...

工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降8.1%，化工原料类价格下降5.5%，农副产品类价格下降5.4%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降4.5%，黑色金属 材料类价格下降2.9%，纺织原料类价格下降1.7%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨6.6%。 二、工业生产者价格环比变动情况 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 9月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.81个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降9.0%，原材料工 业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.7%。生活资料价格下降1.7%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.45个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.7%，衣 着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨0.7%，耐用消费品价格下降3.9%。 生产资料 (%) 4.0 2.0 0.1 0.1 0. 0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.8 0.0 -2.0 -2.6 -2.6 -2.5 -4.0 -2. 9 -3. 3 -3.3 -6.0 -8.0 2024年 10月 11月 12月 2025年 2月 o月 1月 2025年9月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.3%，降幅比 ...

2025年9月份，全国居民消费价格同比下降0.3%。其中，城市下降0.2%，农村下降0.5%；食品价格下降4.4%，非食品价格上涨0.7%；消费品价格下降0.8%， 服务价格上涨0.6%。1—9月平均，全国居民消费价格比上年同期下降0.1%。 9月份，全国居民消费价格环比上涨0.1%。其中，城市持平，农村上涨0.2%；食品价格上涨0.7%，非食品价格下降0.1%；消费品价格上涨0.3%，服务价格下 降0.3%。 一、各类商品及服务价格同比变动情况 9月份，食品烟酒类价格同比下降2.6%，影响CPI（居民消费价格指数）下降约0.74个百分点。食品中，鲜菜价格下降13.7%，影响CPI下降约0.35个百分点； 蛋类价格下降11.9%，影响CPI下降约0.08个百分点；畜肉类价格下降8.4%，影响CPI下降约0.27个百分点，其中猪肉价格下降17.0%，影响CPI下降约0.26个 百分点；鲜果价格下降4.2%，影响CPI下降约0.09个百分点；粮食价格下降0.7%，影响CPI下降约0.01个百分点；水产品价格上涨0.9%，影响CPI上涨约0.02 个百分点。 其他七大类价格同比六涨一降。其中，其他用品及服务、生活用 ...

Core Insights - The core CPI excluding food and energy rose by 1.0% year-on-year in September, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months and the fifth consecutive month of growth [1] - The prices of industrial consumer goods excluding energy increased by 1.8%, also reflecting a fifth consecutive month of growth [1] Price Changes in Specific Categories - The prices of gold and platinum jewelry surged by 42.1% and 33.6% respectively, indicating significant inflation in luxury goods [1] - Prices for household appliances, daily necessities, and communication tools rose by 5.5%, 3.2%, and 1.5% respectively, with all categories showing an increase in their growth rates [1]

Group 1 - In September, the producer price index for industrial producers showed a decline in the prices of production materials by 2.4%, contributing approximately 1.81 percentage points to the overall decrease in producer prices [2] - The prices in the extraction industry fell by 9.0%, while raw materials and processing industries saw declines of 2.9% and 1.7%, respectively [2] - Prices for living materials decreased by 1.7%, impacting the overall producer price index by about 0.45 percentage points, with food prices down by 1.7% and durable consumer goods down by 3.9% [2] Group 2 - Year-on-year changes in the producer price index indicated a 0.0% change in the overall producer price index, with a 2.3% decline compared to the previous year [10] - The producer price index for production materials showed a 3.3% year-on-year decrease, with specific declines in extraction (9.9%), raw materials (3.6%), and processing (2.6%) [10] - Living materials experienced a year-on-year decline of 1.5%, with food prices down by 1.6% and durable consumer goods down by 3.3% [10] Group 3 - In terms of month-on-month changes, the producer price index for industrial producers remained stable, with extraction prices increasing by 1.2% and processing prices decreasing by 0.1% [7] - Living materials saw a slight decrease of 0.2%, with food prices down by 0.1% and durable consumer goods down by 0.4% [7] - The purchase price index for industrial producers showed a 0.1% increase month-on-month, with notable increases in non-ferrous metal materials and electrical wire prices by 1.2% [8]

Group 1: Year-on-Year Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In September, the producer prices for industrial producers saw a decline of 2.3% year-on-year, with production materials prices decreasing by 2.4%, contributing approximately 1.81 percentage points to the overall decline [8][11] - The mining industry experienced a significant price drop of 9.0%, while raw materials and processing industries saw decreases of 2.9% and 1.7%, respectively [8][10] - Consumer goods prices also fell by 1.7%, with food prices down by 1.7% and durable goods prices decreasing by 3.9% [8][10] Group 2: Month-on-Month Changes in Industrial Producer Prices - In September, the producer prices for industrial producers remained flat month-on-month, with production materials prices unchanged [7][10] - The mining industry prices increased by 1.2%, while processing industry prices saw a slight decline of 0.1% [7][10] - Consumer goods prices decreased by 0.2%, with durable goods prices down by 0.4% [7][10] Group 3: Industrial Producer Purchase Prices - The purchase prices for industrial producers decreased by 3.1% year-on-year, with fuel and power prices dropping by 8.1% [10][12] - Notably, prices for non-ferrous metals and wires increased by 6.6% year-on-year [10][12] - Month-on-month, purchase prices increased by 0.1%, driven by a 1.2% rise in non-ferrous metals and wires [10][12] Group 4: Key Industry Price Changes - The coal mining and washing industry saw a year-on-year price drop of 16.8%, while the oil and gas extraction industry experienced an 8.6% decline [10][12] - The non-ferrous metal mining industry reported a year-on-year price increase of 13.9% [10][12] - The food manufacturing industry experienced a slight decline of 1.3% year-on-year [10][12]

2025年9月份，全国居民消费价格同比下降0.3%。其中，城市下降0.2%，农村下降0.5%；食品价格下降4.4%，非食品价格上涨0.7%；消费品价格下降0.8%， 服务价格上涨0.6%。1—9月平均，全国居民消费价格比上年同期下降0.1%。 9月份，全国居民消费价格环比上涨0.1%。其中，城市持平，农村上涨0.2%；食品价格上涨0.7%，非食品价格下降0.1%；消费品价格上涨0.3%，服务价格下 降0.3%。 一、各类商品及服务价格同比变动情况 9月份，食品烟酒类价格同比下降2.6%，影响CPI（居民消费价格指数）下降约0.74个百分点。食品中，鲜菜价格下降13.7%，影响CPI下降约0.35个百分点； 蛋类价格下降11.9%，影响CPI下降约0.08个百分点；畜肉类价格下降8.4%，影响CPI下降约0.27个百分点，其中猪肉价格下降17.0%，影响CPI下降约0.26个 百分点；鲜果价格下降4.2%，影响CPI下降约0.09个百分点；粮食价格下降0.7%，影响CPI下降约0.01个百分点；水产品价格上涨0.9%，影响CPI上涨约0.02 个百分点。 其他七大类价格环比四涨一平两降。其中，其他用品及服务、衣 ...

Core Insights - In late September, coal prices across various types in China experienced a comprehensive increase, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Price Changes Summary - Anthracite coal (washed middle block, volatile matter ≤8%) price reached 917.0 CNY/ton, up by 47.9 CNY/ton, a rise of 5.5% [1] - Ordinary mixed coal (Shanxi mixed coal with a calorific value of 4500 kcal) price was 544.0 CNY/ton, increasing by 14.7 CNY/ton, a rise of 2.8% [1] - Shanxi big mixed coal (higher quality mixed coal with a calorific value of 5000 kcal) price stood at 616.9 CNY/ton, up by 17.6 CNY/ton, a rise of 2.9% [1] - Shanxi premium mixed coal (high-quality mixed coal with a calorific value of 5500 kcal) price was 706.9 CNY/ton, increasing by 17.0 CNY/ton, a rise of 2.5% [1] - Datong mixed coal (Datong produced mixed coal with a calorific value of 5800 kcal) price reached 744.9 CNY/ton, up by 17.5 CNY/ton, a rise of 2.4% [1] - Coking coal (main coking coal, sulfur content <1%) price was 1478.6 CNY/ton, increasing by 57.2 CNY/ton, a rise of 4.0% [1] - In summary, anthracite coal prices continued to rise, while the trend for thermal coal shifted from divergence to collective increase, and coking coal prices reversed from decline to increase [1] Coking Coal and Coke Price Summary - In late September, the price of coke (quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke, ash content between 12.01% and 13.50%) was 1346.4 CNY/ton, down by 14.3 CNY/ton, a decline of 1.1% [1]

Core Insights - The national statistics indicate a mixed trend in steel prices across the market as of late September 2025 [1] Price Summary - Rebar (Φ20mm, HRB400E) price remains stable at 3184.1 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous period, which had a slight increase of 0.3% [1] - Wire rod (Φ8-10mm, HPB300) price increased by 13.7 CNY/ton to 3331.3 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.4% rise, consistent with the previous period [1] - Ordinary medium plate (20mm, Q235) price decreased by 5.2 CNY/ton to 3507.7 CNY/ton, showing a 0.1% decline, compared to a 0.3% increase in the prior period [1] - Hot-rolled ordinary coil (4.75-11.5mm, Q235) price fell by 16.4 CNY/ton to 3412.4 CNY/ton, marking a 0.5% decrease, whereas the previous period had a 0.6% increase [1] - Seamless steel pipe (219*6, 20) price dropped by 2.7 CNY/ton to 4141.1 CNY/ton, with a 0.1% decline, which is a larger drop compared to the previous period [1] - Angle steel (5) price decreased by 8.9 CNY/ton to 3472.1 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.3% decline, contrasting with a 0.3% increase in the prior period [1]

Group 1 - The core observation indicates that in the monitoring of prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories, there were 15 products with price increases, 31 with decreases, and 4 remaining stable from mid to late September 2025 [1] - The national price of live pigs (external three yuan) is reported at 12.4 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a decrease of 4.6% compared to mid-September [1]