机构：华创证券 研究员：刘一怡 事项： 智能眼镜催化频频，持续看好公司卡位优势。公司积极布局智能眼镜赛道，海外客户合作项目数量持续 增加，现有项目稳步推进，个别重点项目工作重心从前期的产品功能实现和技术路线验证，转向下一步 的扩大生产规模；同时，国内客户个别重点项目已实现产品交付，终端用户反馈良好。近期Meta 上调 Ray-Ban 产能、千问大模型升级，智能眼镜生态硬件协同成型，持续放量可期。 投资建议：镜片制造龙头企业，积极培育智能眼镜第二成长曲线。康耐特光学深耕眼镜制造行业，内外 销齐头并进，结构升级有望带动盈利能力持续改善。 目前公司已和多家头部3C 龙头合作布局智能眼镜，成长可期。考虑到智能眼镜产业链发展提速叠加公 司产品结构稳步向上，我们预计公司25-27 年归母净利润分别为5.6/7.0/8.7 亿元，对应PE 为51/41/33X。 参考可比公司估值，给予26 年估值为43X，维持目标价至69.36 港元，维持"强推"评级。 风险提示：智能眼镜发展不及预期、国内渠道拓展不及预期、行业竞争加剧。 根据公告，固定汇率口径下，依视路陆逊梯卡2025 年实现销售收入285 亿欧元，同比+11%；25Q ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a total revenue of 7.76 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 2%, while the adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 68% to 2.86 billion RMB, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 2.836 billion RMB [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The gross profit for 2025 was 2.77 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year growth of 3.3%, with a gross margin of 35.7%, an increase of 2 percentage points [1] - Operating profit reached 1.62 billion RMB, up 39% year-over-year, with an operating margin of 21%, an increase of 6 percentage points [1] - The company ended 2025 with cash and bank deposits totaling 13.6 billion RMB [1] Group 2: Business Segments - Online music business revenue was 5.994 billion RMB, showing a year-over-year increase of 12% [1] - Subscription revenue grew by 13.3% to 5.052 billion RMB, driven by an increase in membership scale, although ARPU dilution from changes in membership structure offset some growth [1] - Non-subscription revenue reached 940 million RMB, a year-over-year increase of 5%, while social entertainment revenue declined by 32% to 1.765 billion RMB [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing user experience by expanding its music library and iterating algorithms, maintaining a DAU/MAU ratio above 30% [1] - The introduction of Korean labels and the addition of Chinese songs and film soundtracks aim to strengthen the rap and Western music categories [1] - Over 1 million independent musicians have uploaded more than 5.6 million tracks to the library [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - For 2026 and 2027, revenue is projected to reach 8.539 billion RMB and 9.323 billion RMB, representing year-over-year growth of 10% and 9% respectively [2] - Non-GAAP net profit for 2026 and 2027 is expected to be 2.206 billion RMB and 2.561 billion RMB [2] - The company repurchased 910,000 shares for a total of 14.99 million HKD, indicating confidence in its financial position [2]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase Cloud Music reported a slight decline in total revenue for FY25, but adjusted net profit showed significant growth, indicating a mixed financial performance with concerns over revenue growth in online music services and overall gross profit margin [1]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for FY25 decreased by 2% YoY to RMB7.76 billion, slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of RMB7.91 billion [1]. - Adjusted net profit increased by 68% YoY to RMB2.86 billion, aligning with consensus estimates [1]. - Adjusted operating profit grew by 32% YoY to RMB1.73 billion, excluding the impact of deferred income tax credit [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Online music services revenue grew by 8% YoY to RMB3.0 billion in 2H25, a slowdown from 16% YoY growth in 1H25 [2]. - Membership subscription revenue rose by 12% YoY to RMB2.6 billion in 2H25, driven by subscriber base growth but offset by a decline in monthly ARPPU [2]. - Non-subscription music revenue fell by 7% YoY in 2H25, primarily due to decreased revenue from digital album sales [2]. - Revenue from social entertainment and others dropped by 17% YoY to RMB905 million in 2H25, although it stabilized with a 5% HoH growth [2]. Margin Analysis - Overall gross profit margin (GPM) increased by 2.7 percentage points YoY but declined by 1.4 percentage points HoH to 35.0% in 2H25, mainly due to reduced revenue from higher-margin non-subscription business [3]. - Adjusted operating margin improved by 4.6 percentage points YoY to 21.1% in 2H25, attributed to operating leverage and effective expense control [3]. Future Outlook - For FY26E, total revenue is forecasted to increase by 8% YoY to RMB8.4 billion, driven by solid growth in the online music business [4]. - Music subscription revenue is expected to rise by 13% YoY to RMB5.7 billion in FY26E, supported by growth in both subscriber base and ARPPU [4]. - Adjusted operating profit is projected to grow by 19% YoY in FY26E, with operating profit margin increasing by 2 percentage points YoY [4].

业绩预计持续健康增长。我们预计2025-2027 年公司收入分别为27.4/29.8/32.5亿美元，同比分别 +11%/+9%/+9%，主要系产能扩张和品类丰富驱动。同时伴随着产业链效率+订单结构优化，预计未来 公司盈利质量平稳有升，我们预计2025~2027 年公司归母净利润分别为2.32/2.65/2.97 亿美元，同比分别 增长15.7%/14.2%/12.0%，利润增速预计持续快于收入。 高分红具备吸引力。公司现金流稳定，2017~2023 年公司派息比例多在30%~50%之间，2024 年派息比 例提升至70%，公司表示基于目前对于未来现金流的预期，我们估计未来股息派付仍有提升空间。 投资建议。我们认为公司合理股价区间9.15~9.57 港元，对应2026 年PE 为12.6~13.2 倍（（前前股价对 应 2026 年 PE 为 10.3 倍），空间 23%~29%。结合 DCF模型及公司相对估值水平，首次覆盖，给予"买 入"评级。 风险提示：产能扩张风险；行业竞争加剧风险；经济环境及订单波动风险；测算误差风险。 机构：国盛证券 研究员：杨莹/侯子夜/王佳伟 公司是服饰制造行业龙头之一，未来业务 ...

Core Insights - Budweiser APAC achieved a total revenue of $5.764 billion in 2025, with an organic year-on-year decline of 6.1% [1] - The normalized EBITDA for 2025 was $1.588 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% [1] - In Q4 2025, revenue reached $1.073 billion, with an organic year-on-year decline of 4.2% [1] Revenue and EBITDA Analysis - For the full year 2025, the company reported a sales volume of 7.9658 million kiloliters, down 6.0% year-on-year, while Q4 sales volume was 1.3518 million kiloliters, down 0.7% [1] - The revenue per hectoliter for the full year 2025 decreased by 0.2%, and for Q4, it decreased by 3.5% [1] - The gross margin for 2025 was 50.1%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year, while the normalized EBITDA margin was 27.6%, a decrease of 1.13 percentage points year-on-year [1] Regional Performance - In the Western Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 sales volume showed a slight organic growth of 0.1%, but revenue and revenue per hectoliter declined by 5.6% and 5.7% respectively, with normalized EBITDA down 40.0% [2] - India emerged as a growth highlight, with high-end and super high-end products accounting for over two-thirds of total revenue and contributing over 20% to revenue growth [2] - In the Eastern Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 revenue showed a slight organic decline of 0.6%, with sales volume down 3.7% but revenue per hectoliter up 3.2% [2] China Market Focus - The Chinese market faced continued pressure, with Q4 2025 sales volume down 3.9% due to weak on-premise channels and delayed Lunar New Year shipments [3] - The company plans to increase investment in channel and product mix expansion, with Q4 2025 revenue down 11.4% year-on-year [3] - The company aims to revitalize its market share in China as a core focus for 2026, with strategies including enhancing high-end and digital channel penetration [4] Future Strategies and Forecasts - For 2026, the company will increase commercial investment as a percentage of net revenue, focusing on core and emerging channels [4] - The profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been revised down to $621 million and $680 million respectively, reflecting a decrease of 9% and 7% [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 21x for 2026, 20x for 2027, and 18x for 2028, with a maintained "buy" rating based on competitive advantages in high-end and super high-end segments [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company faces pressure in Q4 2025 with a 4.2% year-on-year decline in revenue, primarily due to a downturn in the Chinese market, despite strong double-digit growth in India [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA decreased by 24.7%, with a net loss of approximately $12 million, slightly better than expectations [1] - For the full year, revenue and adjusted EBITDA fell by 6.1% and 9.8% respectively, reaching $5.76 billion and $1.59 billion, with the adjusted EBITDA margin declining by 1.1 percentage points to 27.6% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific West region, revenue declined by 5.6% in Q4, with price pressure (down 5.7% year-on-year) exceeding volume growth (up 0.1%) [2] Group 2: Market Analysis - The Chinese market saw a significant revenue decline of 11.4% in Q4, with volume and price down by 3.9% and 7.7% respectively, largely due to increased support for distributors and brand activation investments [2] - The Indian market continued to gain market share, achieving strong double-digit revenue growth in Q4, driven by high-end and super high-end product combinations [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - Management aims to reignite growth in the Chinese market by focusing on expanding non-ready-to-drink channels, optimizing the product mix, and increasing digital investments [1] - Despite a slow recovery in the Chinese market, there is potential for marginal improvement in 2026 due to a low base effect [3] - The company has slightly lowered its revenue forecasts for 2026-2027 by 2% and adjusted EBITDA/net profit forecasts by 1% and 4-5% respectively, while maintaining a target price of HKD 8.90 based on a 20x target P/E ratio for 2026 [3]

通过该计划，公司预计将加速在下一财年重回盈利轨道，并提升盈利能力，致力于在未来连续3 个财年 均实现每年净成本节省超过2 亿美元。 4、方案服务业务集团：潜在市场规模较大，助力公司相关收入保持长期增长。FY2026Q3，公司方案服 务业务集团季度营收同比增长18%，已连续19 个季度取得双位数增长。运营利润率提升至22.5%，接近 历史高位。该集团收入中，运维服务和项目与解决方案服务的收入占比不断提升，成为驱动方案服务业 务集团保持增长势头的关键因素。公司在IT 服务业增长最快速的领域进行策略性布局，潜在覆盖市场 规模达3600 亿美元。在数字化工作场所服务、混合云、人工智能和可持续发展等领域，方案服务业务 集团的增长速度则达到市场平均增速的2 倍。 盈利预测和投资评级考虑到公司混合式AI 进展显著，我们调整公司盈利预测，预计公司FY2026- FY2028 营收分别为801.44、876.00、932.35亿美元，non-HKFRS 净利润分别为17.96、19.73、21.11 亿 美元，对应non-HKFRS P/E 倍数为8.0x、7.2x、6.8x，维持"买入"评级。 1、调整后净利润显著增长，主要 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $22.204 billion for FY26Q3, marking an 18% year-over-year increase and a 9% quarter-over-quarter increase, with AI-related business revenue growing by 72% and accounting for 32% of total revenue [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was $546 million, a 21% decrease year-over-year but a 60% increase quarter-over-quarter, while adjusted net profit under non-Hong Kong financial reporting standards was $589 million, reflecting a 36% year-over-year increase and a 15% quarter-over-quarter increase [1] IDG Business (Intelligent Device Group) - The IDG business generated $15.755 billion in revenue for FY26Q3, representing a 14% year-over-year increase and a 4% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by rapid growth in AI PC revenue and increased sales of high-end products [2] - The PC business revenue increased by 18% year-over-year, with Lenovo's global PC shipment market share reaching 25.3%, up 1.0 percentage points year-over-year, and AI PC penetration in the Chinese market rising to nearly 20% [2] - Smartphone sales and activations reached historical highs, primarily driven by strong performance of high-end models such as Edge and positive market feedback for ultra-high-end models like Motorola razr fold and Motorola Signature [2] ISG Business (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - The ISG business reported revenue of $5.176 billion for FY26Q3, a 31% year-over-year increase and a 27% quarter-over-quarter increase, with AI server revenue experiencing high double-digit growth [3] - The company has a project reserve amounting to $15.5 billion, and it delivered NVIDIA's GB300 NVL72 designed rack-level solutions during the period [3] - The revenue from liquid cooling solutions increased by 300% due to higher customer adoption rates, and a one-time restructuring cost of $285 million was incurred to optimize product mix and enhance productivity [3] SSG Business (Solutions and Services Group) - The SSG business achieved revenue of $2.652 billion for FY26Q3, reflecting an 18% year-over-year increase and a 4% quarter-over-quarter increase, marking 19 consecutive quarters of double-digit year-over-year growth [4] - The operating profit margin was 22.5%, close to historical highs, with maintenance services revenue increasing by 22%, project and solutions revenue up by 16%, and support services revenue also rising by 16% [4] - The core growth engines for the SSG business are maintenance services and project and solutions [4]

维持"买入"评级，维持目标价14 港币 根据公司披露，受混合式AI 推动，PC 营收+18%yoy，其中AI PC 渗透率超过30%且持续提升；Moto 品 牌智能手机销量和激活量双双创历史新高。 展望4Q 及FY27，我们预计联想能够发挥其规模和供应链优势，部分吸收存储涨价影响，AI 有望驱动 IDG 业务收入稳定增长。 ISG：Neptune 液冷营收同比大增300%，4Q 有望扭亏为盈ISG 3QFY26 收入+31% yoy 至51.8 亿美元， 主要受益于云基础设施和ToB的企业基础设施业务需求的双重驱动。3QFY26，公司AI 服务器业务营收 实现高双位数同比增长，项目储备高达155 亿美元，部署首个联想NVIDIAGB300 NVL72 机架级解决方 案，订单储备强劲。行业领先的Neptune 液冷技术营收3Q同比大增300%，继续巩固公司在节能AI 基础 设施的领导地位。 利润方面，受一次性重组费用2.85 亿美元影响，ISG 录得1,100 万美元经营亏损（环比收窄66%），营 业利润率环比改善0.6pct 至-0.2%，显示企稳回升。展望未来，ISG 业务或受益于：1）AI 进入推理兑现 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve stable growth driven by the increasing penetration of AI PCs, strong orders for AI servers, and resilient supply chain management, leading to an upward revision of FY2026 earnings forecasts while maintaining projections for FY2027-2028 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY2026Q3, the company reported revenue of $22.204 billion, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates of $20.76 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit for FY2026Q3 was $589 million, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of $463 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.5% [1] - The company has revised its FY2026-2028 non-GAAP net profit estimates to $1.81 billion, $2.07 billion, and $2.36 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.5%, 14.5%, and 13.9% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - In the IDG segment, revenue reached $15.755 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with Lenovo's PC shipments growing 14.4% compared to the industry average of 9.6% [1] - The AI devices within the IDG segment saw a significant year-on-year growth of 71%, accounting for 40% of the segment's revenue [1] - The ISG segment generated revenue of $5.176 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year, driven by the deployment of GB300 NVL72 and a 59% increase in AI infrastructure revenue [1] Group 3: Operational Metrics - The operating profit margin (OPM) for the IDG segment was 7.32%, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.07 percentage points, demonstrating the company's supply chain resilience amid rising component costs [1] - The SSG segment achieved revenue of $2.652 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.5%, with deferred revenue increasing by 20% to $3.78 billion, enhancing business predictability [2] - The OPM for the SSG segment was 22.48%, up 2.12 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong operational resilience [2]