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第一批收咨询费的旅行社被骂惨了
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The travel industry is facing challenges due to a growing number of customers who expect high-quality services without wanting to pay for them, leading to a toxic environment for service providers [9][21][24]. Group 1: Customer Expectations - Customers are increasingly demanding "high value for low cost," expecting premium services while paying minimal fees, which is damaging the industry [10][11]. - There is a prevalent attitude among customers that travel agencies should provide services for free, as they believe that the information is readily available online [18][21]. - The concept of "value" is distorted, with customers equating low prices with high-quality experiences, leading to dissatisfaction when expectations are not met [11][13]. Group 2: Industry Response - Travel agencies are beginning to implement consultation fees to filter out clients who are unwilling to pay for professional services, establishing boundaries for their offerings [23][24]. - There is a call within the industry to stop catering to low-value clients, as this approach only leads to further degradation of service quality and profitability [24][26]. - Agencies are encouraged to uphold reasonable pricing and not compromise on service quality, which is essential for long-term sustainability [22][24]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape of the travel industry has led to a culture where many agencies feel pressured to provide free services, resulting in a cycle of unrealistic customer demands [21][22]. - The normalization of "free labor" in the industry has contributed to a lack of respect for the expertise and effort that travel professionals invest in their work [21][25]. - The industry is at a crossroads, where agencies must decide whether to continue appeasing demanding customers or to assert the value of their services [24][31].
黄仁勋的中国故事陷阱
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 23:06
Group 1 - The article discusses the current state and future prospects of the semiconductor industry in China, highlighting the shift towards more precise investment strategies and the challenges faced by companies in this sector [1][3][7] - Weihao Chuangxin, a significant player in the semiconductor investment landscape, is backed by Weir Shares, which has made notable acquisitions, including the purchase of OmniVision for 15 billion yuan [2][3] - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a resurgence, with a significant increase in financing amounts and the number of companies going public, indicating a shift in capital flow towards technology firms [3][24][27] Group 2 - The semiconductor industry in China is entering a phase of "precise breakthroughs," where investment logic is focused on high-barrier projects, reflecting the need for specialized knowledge in a rapidly changing environment [7][10][14] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market space and cost efficiency as critical factors in evaluating investment opportunities within the semiconductor sector [8][61] - There is a growing interest in AI-related semiconductor applications, particularly in sensors and components that enhance interaction with the physical world, indicating potential growth areas for investment [56][60] Group 3 - The article notes that many semiconductor companies are facing challenges post-IPO, as the market has tightened and the initial excitement has waned, leading to a reassessment of their business models [20][21][22] - The discussion includes the impact of U.S. policy changes on the semiconductor industry, particularly regarding export controls and the competitive landscape with companies like NVIDIA [35][36][37] - The article concludes with insights on the future of AI chips and the need for companies to adapt to market demands, emphasizing that the landscape is becoming increasingly competitive and complex [50][51][52]
大城市还是小县城?社会理应容得下“不上进”
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 14:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting lifestyles and societal expectations in Japan and China, highlighting the pressures of urban life versus the appeal of a simpler, rural existence, and the need for a more inclusive understanding of success and personal fulfillment [2][4][21]. Group 1: Societal Changes and Cultural Reflections - The collapse of Japan's economic bubble led to a significant shift in societal values and attitudes, resulting in a "lost decade" that influenced both work culture and personal aspirations [1][2]. - The emergence of two distinct narratives in Japanese media reflects the struggles of young people: one pursuing success in urban environments and the other seeking peace in rural settings [2][3]. Group 2: Diverse Needs and Values in Society - A healthy society requires a diversity of roles and talents, as not everyone is suited for high-pressure urban jobs; different lifestyles should be respected and valued [6][7]. - The concept of "comparative advantage" suggests that individuals should focus on their strengths, leading to optimal resource allocation in society [7]. Group 3: The Impact of Narrow Success Standards - The article critiques the narrow definitions of success that dominate societal expectations, which can lead to anxiety and a lack of fulfillment among individuals [9][10]. - The dominance of "instrumental rationality" over "value rationality" in modern society often prioritizes efficiency and outcomes over personal satisfaction and meaning [11][12]. Group 4: Institutional and Cultural Support - Effective societal change requires supportive institutions and cultural acceptance of diverse life choices, ensuring that individuals can pursue different paths without stigma [17][19]. - Japan's "regional revitalization" strategy aims to address urban-rural disparities by providing incentives for young people to move to smaller cities, reflecting a commitment to diverse living conditions [17]. Group 5: Shifts in Young People's Aspirations - There is a noticeable trend among younger generations moving away from traditional urban ambitions towards valuing quality of life and personal desires [21][23]. - The article emphasizes that societal progress is reflected in the ability of individuals to choose paths that resonate with their true selves, rather than conforming to mainstream expectations [22][26].
与陌生人睡一张床,大城市年轻人的极限居住
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 14:08
Core Viewpoint - The rise of "bed-sharing rental" among young people in major cities is a response to high rental costs, allowing them to save money while compromising on personal space and privacy [1][2][4]. Group 1: Economic Impact - Bed-sharing rental allows individuals to split the cost of rent, reducing monthly expenses significantly; for example, a room that costs 3000 yuan can be shared, resulting in each person paying 1500 yuan [6][10]. - The demand for affordable housing options under 1500 yuan per month is increasing in first-tier cities, leading many young professionals to opt for bed-sharing arrangements [12][34]. Group 2: Social Dynamics - Young individuals often form friendships through bed-sharing, as seen in the experiences of Yangyang and her roommate, who became friends after initially meeting online [5][18]. - The arrangement can provide emotional support, helping alleviate feelings of loneliness in a new city [18][19]. Group 3: Privacy and Safety Concerns - Sharing a bed with a stranger raises significant concerns regarding personal safety and privacy, as individuals must navigate shared living spaces carefully [3][20]. - There are documented cases of theft and fraud in bed-sharing situations, highlighting the risks involved [20][21]. Group 4: Lifestyle Adjustments - Individuals in bed-sharing arrangements often have to adapt their daily routines to accommodate their roommates, such as being mindful of noise levels and personal space [26][22]. - The experience of bed-sharing can lead to a lack of personal freedom compared to living alone, as individuals may feel restricted in their actions [26][29]. Group 5: Long-term Implications - Many young professionals view bed-sharing as a temporary solution while they seek more stable housing options, reflecting the broader challenges of urban living [35][36]. - The high cost of living in major cities continues to push young people into unconventional living arrangements, impacting their overall quality of life and future housing decisions [33][34].
AI时代,人还需要独立思考吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 13:42
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of independent thinking in an AI-driven world, arguing that true independent thought goes beyond merely consuming information and requires deeper emotional and cognitive engagement [1][2]. Group 1: Understanding Independent Thinking - Independent thinking is not merely about information acquisition or following trends; it involves pausing to critically analyze and reflect on information [3][4]. - Genuine independent thought requires self-inquiry before expressing opinions, asking oneself if they truly understand the subject matter and what their personal feelings are [5]. Group 2: The Role of Emotions in Thinking - The foundation of independent thinking is emotional awareness, where initial emotional reactions to information serve as a starting point for deeper inquiry [6][7][8]. Group 3: Critical Thinking - Critical thinking involves recognizing the boundaries of arguments rather than simply criticizing them; it requires a thorough examination of viewpoints [9]. Group 4: AI as a Tool - AI should be viewed as a tool to enhance thinking rather than a replacement for it; individuals should engage in self-reflection before consulting AI [10][12]. Group 5: Developing Inner Awareness - There is a need to cultivate an "inner sense" to better understand one's emotions and thoughts, which can enhance independent thinking [13]. Group 6: Exercises to Enhance Thinking - The article suggests four exercises to foster active thinking: keeping an emotion diary, challenging accepted viewpoints, creating a question list before using AI, and practicing mindfulness meditation [14][17]. Group 7: Conclusion - Despite AI's capabilities, it cannot replicate personal experiences, emotions, and insights, which are essential for genuine thought processes [18][19].
亲手做了12个AI Agent,我并不看好2025年的智能体
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 10:31
很多人说,"2025 年是 AI agent 元年"。各种新闻文章标题都这么写: 而我却刚刚花了一年时间搞清楚哪些 Agent 在生产环境里真正能用,也正因此,我才不看好这股风潮。 一、我不是唱反调的人,我是真干过的 过去一年,我做了十几个上线的 Agent 系统,覆盖整个软件开发流程,比如: 这些系统确实能用,也确实创造了实际价值,每天都能帮人省下好几个小时的手动操作。也正因如此,我才认为,外界把 2025 年称作 "AI Agent 元年" 的 说法,忽略了很多关键现实。 二、要点速览:关于 AI Agent 的三个残酷现实 在构建了 12 套以上的生产级系统之后,我得出了以下几点结论: 三、一个没人愿意面对的数学现实 所有做 AI Agent 的公司都在回避一个难以接受的事实:在生产级别的多步骤任务中,错误的累积让"全自动智能体"在数学上根本行不通。 "AI agent 会彻底改变工作方式"; "Agent 是 AI 的下一个风口"; "未来属于 Agent"。 开发类 Agent:自然语言生成 React 组件、重构老代码、自动维护 API 文档、根据说明生成函数。 数据和基础设施类 Agent:自动 ...
Z世代很不幸做了测试层,有解吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 09:25
上周四的线下活动圆满结束,大家很热情,嘉宾很卷,干货很满。有AI、有宏观,还有现场的AI agent demo。整体很精彩,有一种经济上行期的美。 直到尾声Q&A环节,问题又把我们拉回到了经济下行期的现实。 大家主要关心的是: 1. 百年未有之大变局再叠加势不可当的AI,年轻人到底还有什么机会? 2. 那怎么办? 一 线性回归这道题解不出来了,怎么办? 每一代人都有自己的挑战。对00后(Z世代)来说,挑战叫做:所有和人生规划相关的线性回归不work了。比如: 卷教育线性回归不出"就业",或者回归的结果是"灵活就业"。 工资收入线性回归不出"买房"和退休。 其实美国的Z世代也一样,目前美国人买房的中位年龄大约是54岁,在1980年代是34岁。藤校毕业也可能找不到工作。 来感受下美国毕业生的失业率: 不只是中国和美国,欧盟、英国、加拿大、日本都一样: 最直接的情绪是迷茫。不用我说,现在大家都应该感受到了,各种文章讨论年轻人的精神状态,虚无主义蔓延。其实都不用看文章,路上随便擦肩而过一 个Z世代,迷茫和困惑就扑面而来——真不知道该怎么办。 于是他们被冠名为"被拒一代"(the most rejected gener ...
泰国柬埔寨“打烂仗”,但无人机作战水平比美国还高
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 08:59
Group 1 - The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia escalated with military engagement near the Ta Moan temple, leading to both sides deploying heavy artillery and airstrikes [1][3][10] - Thailand's military response included airstrikes using F-16 fighter jets, targeting Cambodian military facilities, which resulted in significant damage [3][22] - Cambodia retaliated with artillery fire, including the use of BM-21 rocket launchers, causing civilian casualties in Thailand [5][10] Group 2 - The historical context of the conflict centers around the disputed ownership of the Preah Vihear temple, with both countries claiming sovereignty based on historical treaties and court rulings [12][14][16] - The region is rich in strategic resources, including rare earth minerals and oil fields, which adds to the tension between the two nations [19][20] - Domestic political pressures in both countries are influencing the conflict, with leaders seeking to bolster their support through nationalistic rhetoric [20] Group 3 - The military tactics employed by both sides reflect modern warfare trends, with Thailand utilizing drones for reconnaissance and targeting, similar to strategies seen in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [22][24] - Cambodia's approach relies on traditional artillery tactics, but their lack of advanced military hardware limits their effectiveness against Thailand's superior air capabilities [30][31] - The ongoing conflict highlights the evolving nature of warfare in the region, with both sides adapting to new technologies and strategies [21][32]
流量是平台的资源,不是你的资产
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 08:09
流量是做自媒体的基础变量。没有数据反馈你无法优化内容,也无法验证定位。 但长期看价值,是因为你给观众带来的价值感知,才能发展出信任关系和商业转化。 一个成熟的内容创作者,不逃避流量,也不迷信爆款,而是需要清楚地知道不同阶段自己在获取什么。 二 平台的核心推荐机制是基于短期反馈的:播放量、完播率、点赞评论分享的数据模型决定你的分发。 本文来自微信公众号:珞石居,作者:珞石居,原文标题:《个人的影响力是均值回归的》,题图来 自:AI生成 短期看流量,长期看价值。 三 要用短期流量验证内容结构,再用长期内容塑造价值认知和沉淀影响力。 一 内容行业的长期回报,不是来自流量的总量,而是来自流量的质量和转化。 很多账号做生活段子、情绪共鸣类内容,数据非常高,但商业化(广告、带货、咨询、课程、付费社 群)的转化很差。因为观众没有认可你在某个领域有高价值,自然也不信任你。 所以短期你要靠爆款抢到注意力;但长期来看,你必须通过内容去建立明确的价值锚点。 这个机制当然主要推送高情绪刺激、信息密度高、结构紧凑的内容。 所以一些账号会突然暴涨几百万播放,但几天后热度迅速消失,新内容也很可能没人看。 原因很简单:平台是推内容的,不是推 ...
AI,人类豢养的老虎,还是智慧之子?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-27 07:55
当辛顿在上海人工智能大会上,把AI比作人类正在豢养的一只可爱的小老虎时,我想起了机器人先驱莫拉维克 的名著《心灵的孩子:机器人与人类智能的未来》(Mind Children:The Future of Robot and Human Intelligence),他把人工智能看成是人类教养自己的智能后代,这甚至可能是一种人类文明的继承者。 在未来半个世纪里,计算能力将持续增长,机器人也将逐步超越"爬行动物阶段":它们将像哺乳动 物那样学习、像灵长类动物那样构建对世界的模型,最终达到类人推理的能力。 那时,取决于你的视角,人类要么造出了一个真正值得的继任者,要么超越了自身的某些先天局 限,从而将自己转化为一种全新的存在。 莫拉维克并非无视AI可能带来的风险,因为它会代替人类,但是莫拉维克更倾向于认为这是对人类的一种"温和 的接管",这是人类演化和自然选择的产物。 这也体现出莫拉维克与辛顿对于AI发展各自的侧重。莫拉维克推崇进化时间带来的感知/动作优化;强调机器模 拟人脑需大量计算力与架构复制。而辛顿注重训练方法与神经结构设计,强调数据与算法的力量;更关注如何 让AI学习而非进化。一个强调进化的时间,一个强调设计的 ...