Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing
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黄金、白银大跳水,有色板块30余股跌停
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 06:40
国内市场方面,上交所2月2日发布通知称,对白银延期合约交易保证金水平和涨跌停板比例进行调整, 保证金水平从20%调整为26%,涨跌幅度限制从19%调整为25%。 面对历史级暴跌,市场机构对贵金属后市走势观点不一。 花旗警告称,黄金当前风险溢价的一半可能在2026年晚些时候消失。尤其是在美联储政治独立性得到加 强的情况下。该行认为,这种情况可能将对黄金的中期走势不利。 不过,仍有多家机构维持看涨预期。据中信证券最新预测,2026年有望涨至6000美元/盎司,银价涨至 120美元/盎司。瑞银看涨黄金在今年前三季度将达到6200美元。 2月2日早盘,有色板块大面积低开,贵金属方向领跌,白银有色、湖南白银、豫光金铅、中金黄金、晓 程科技等三十余股跌停。期货价格同步下跌,沪银主力合约跌停,沪金、沪锡跌超9%,大宗商品概念 LOF也全线走弱。 消息面上,现货黄金、白银价格继续下跌。白银早盘一度暴跌超11%至75美元/盎司以下,现报76美元/ 盎司;黄金盘中最大跌约5.74%,现报4608元/盎司。 而此前受去美元化、地缘风险、情绪炒作等因素推动,贵金属走出非理性暴涨行情。1月29日,现货黄 金一度冲高逼近5600美元,白 ...
上市以来首次年度盈利!寒武纪2025年净利超18亿元
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 05:21
Core Viewpoint - The company, Cambricon, is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2025, with projected revenues between 6 billion to 7 billion yuan, marking an increase of 410.87% to 496.02% year-on-year, and a turnaround from previous years of losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Cambricon anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of 1.6 billion to 1.9 billion yuan [1] - The company reported a substantial revenue increase starting from Q4 2024, achieving a quarterly net profit of 272 million yuan, with continued revenue growth in 2025 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders rose from 272 million yuan in Q4 2024 to 567 million yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a steady improvement in profitability [1] Group 2: Market Position and Capital Performance - As of February 2, Cambricon's stock price reached 1263.88 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 533 billion yuan, and a cumulative stock price increase of over 92% since the beginning of 2025 [2] - The company has been included in major indices such as the Sci-Tech Innovation 50, CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI A50, indicating strong market recognition [2] - Notable investor Zhang Jianping increased his holdings in Cambricon to 6.4065 million shares, representing 1.53% of the total share capital, making him the fifth-largest circulating shareholder [2] Group 3: Product and Market Strategy - Cambricon has established a comprehensive product layout across "cloud-edge-end" scenarios, with cloud products contributing over 99% of its revenue [2] - The company holds approximately 69.9% market share in the GPU market, indicating a strong competitive position [2] - To address the rapid growth in intelligent computing demand, Cambricon raised 3.985 billion yuan through a private placement, focusing on projects related to large model chip platforms and software platforms [2] Group 4: Industry Outlook - According to Frost & Sullivan, China's AI chip market is projected to grow from 142.537 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,336.792 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 53.7% from 2025 to 2029, suggesting ongoing opportunities for Cambricon [2]
“沾光”存储芯片涨价潮,江波龙2025年净利预增超150%
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 09:57
Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, driven by a recovery in storage prices and strong demand from AI server markets [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Jiangbolong forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.25 billion to 1.55 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 150.66% to 210.82% [1] - The company's non-GAAP net profit is projected to be between 1.13 billion and 1.35 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 578.51% to 710.60% [1] - The company transitioned from a net loss of 152 million yuan in Q1 2024 to a net profit of 1.67 billion yuan in Q2 and 6.98 billion yuan in Q3, with an expected Q4 profit of 537 million to 837 million yuan [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recovery in storage prices began after a low point in Q1 2024, with significant increases attributed to surging demand for AI servers and a shift in production capacity towards enterprise-level products [1] - According to TrendForce, global DRAM prices are expected to rise by 8% to 13% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025, with increases of 13% to 18% when including HBM [1] - The current cycle of rising storage chip prices is anticipated to last until mid-2027, with some high-end products potentially extending to 2028 [1] Group 3: Company Strengths - Jiangbolong is the second-largest independent memory manufacturer globally, offering a comprehensive range of storage solutions, including embedded storage, solid-state drives, mobile storage, and memory modules [2] - The company has established partnerships with several wafer foundries and leading smart terminal manufacturers, enhancing its market position [2] - Jiangbolong's self-developed main control chips have seen deployment exceed 100 million units by the end of Q3 2025, with multiple flagship products achieving mass application [2] Group 4: Research and Development - Jiangbolong has consistently increased its R&D expenditures, reaching 701 million yuan by Q3 2025, following previous investments of 356 million yuan, 594 million yuan, and 910 million yuan in the preceding years [3] - The company announced a fundraising of 3.7 billion yuan in early 2025 to support high-end storage research and development projects, particularly in the AI sector [3]
与阿斯利康达成185亿美元BD合作,石药集团跌超11%
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 06:46
石药集团则将获得12亿美元的预付款、最高35亿美元的研发里程碑付款、138亿美元的销售里程碑付 款,以及最高达双位数比例的销售提成。此次合作也创下GLP-1赛道海外BD交易的新纪录。 据介绍,此次合作标的长效技术可实现多肽药物的缓释,使给药间隔达到每月一次或更长。AI技术台 可以针对药物靶点快速设计及筛选候选分子,在药效、选择性与信号偏向性等维度进行系统优化。 但资本市场反应却一反常态。截至发稿,石药集团港股股价跌超11%。 研发实力的稳步提升,也推动石药集团创新管线加速兑现。财报显示,截至2025年9月底,其已落地4笔 BD交易,累计实现授权收入15.40亿元。 值得一提的是,阿斯利康与石药集团已达成多次合作。早在2024年10月,双方就签订独家许可协议,推 进Lp(a)干扰剂YS2302018的开发。后又在去年6月宣布共同开发新型口服小分子候选药物,潜在交易总 金额达53.3亿美元。 1月30日,石药集团在港交所发布公告,宣布与阿斯利康达成协议,将利用其专有的缓释给药技术平台 及多肽药物AI发现平台,开发创新长效多肽药物,合作潜在交易价值高达185亿美元。 而石药集团之所以能持续获得阿斯利康青睐,离不开其 ...
半导体“A吃A”再现,江丰电子欲拿下凯德石英控制权
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 05:27
Group 1 - Jiangfeng Electronics and Kaide Quartz have announced a suspension of trading, indicating that Kaide Quartz's actual controllers are planning to transfer part of their equity to Jiangfeng Electronics, potentially making Kaide Quartz a subsidiary of Jiangfeng Electronics [1] - Both companies are significant players in the semiconductor materials supply chain, focusing on different areas: Jiangfeng Electronics specializes in metal materials, while Kaide Quartz focuses on quartz materials [1] - Kaide Quartz's main business includes quartz instruments and products, with a strong emphasis on the semiconductor integrated circuit chip sector, aiming to upgrade to a 12-inch product production line by 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jiangfeng Electronics is a leading global supplier of sputtering targets, with production capabilities for 8-inch and 12-inch high-purity aluminum and copper targets, and is expected to rank first in global shipment volume and second in shipment value in 2024 [2] - The company has diversified its business, with semiconductor precision components becoming a second growth curve, and has raised approximately 1.948 billion yuan for projects related to electrostatic chucks [2] - Jiangfeng Electronics reported a total revenue of 3.291 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.37%, and a net profit of 401 million yuan, up 39.72% year-on-year [2]
江苏银行“球宝养成计划”巧融苏超元素深化用户连接
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 11:56
在金融消费场景化,年轻化愈发显著的当下,如何打破传统金融的刻板印象成了银行业转型的重要课 题,而江苏银行则给出了一个极具创新性的答案。 在成功牵手苏超并实现"金融+体育"的跨界出圈后,江苏银行在1月正式上线了"球宝养成记"。这项活动 以"专属城市足球形象养成"为核心,打造了一套机制简洁的长期陪伴体系。 用户可认领对应江苏13座城市的专属球宝,并通过完成日常登录、业务办理等指定行为积累"水"和"能 量棒",助力球宝升级,最终解锁"闪光足球"道具,即可兑换其他城市球宝皮肤。未来还将开放趣味抽 奖、城市探索等隐藏玩法,持续提升参与感。 苏超IP再延伸 2025年,江苏省城市足球联赛(以下简称"苏超")成为了一起现象级的体育事件。这场由江苏省体育局 主导,并以"全民参与+城市荣誉"为核心理念的足球赛事,共吸引了243万人次现场观赛,场均观众达 2.8万人,线上直播观看达22.2亿人次。而11月1日晚的苏超决赛更是以62329名现场人数刷新了全国业余 足球赛事纪录。 此次赛事的商业价值同样亮眼,前六轮赛事便带动了旅游、餐饮、住宿等相关服务业实现营收379.6亿 元;而在线上,抖音"苏超"相关内容累计播放达370亿次(5 ...
白酒板块强势反弹,贵州茅台单日大涨8.61%
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 11:15
价格回升的背后是终端需求持续火热。据悉,"i茅台"平台上,飞天茅台产品已连续20多天开售即"秒 空",精品茅台、丙午马年生肖酒经典版等也持续售罄。 知名投资人段永平也公开支持茅台:拉长时间看茅台当前股价"真的不贵"。并表示,"一段时间内,茅 台的销售肯定是会受到房地产行业等因素影响,但长期来讲i茅台很可能解决了在哪里能买到真茅台的 问题,似乎打开了普通老百姓消费的口子。" 而这一现象的出现,除了春节消费旺季到来的催化,也离不开其市场化转型举措。 业绩层面来看,虽受市场环境影响,销量增速出现下滑,但贵州茅台整体仍保持正增长。2025年前三季 度,实现营业总收入1309.04亿元,同比增长6.32%;归母净利润646.26亿元,同比增长6.25%。 当前白酒行业仍处于深度调整期,存量竞争持续加剧。为应对此局面,贵州茅台推出了市场化运营方 案,对产品结构、渠道布局、消费者服务等提出转型要求。值得注意的是,其销售模型将由"自售+经 销"转向"自售+经销+代售+寄售"多维协同,并制定了"随行就市、相对平稳"的自营体系零售价格动态 调整机制。 1月29日午后,"老登"白酒板块全线大涨,泸州老窖、水井坊、舍得酒业、皇台酒业 ...
业绩爆发,工业富联2025年净利预增超五成
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:39
Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a rise of 51% to 54% year-on-year, driven by strong demand in the AI server and switch markets [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 35.1 billion to 35.7 billion yuan for the full year of 2025, an increase of 11.9 billion to 12.5 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1] - For Q4 2025, the expected net profit is between 12.6 billion to 13.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 56% to 63% [1] - The average daily profit for 2025 is projected to be nearly 100 million yuan [1] Group 2: Business Growth Drivers - The growth in net profit is primarily attributed to increased shipments of servers and switches, particularly for cloud service providers [1] - Revenue from cloud service provider servers is expected to grow over 180% year-on-year in 2025, with Q4 revenue showing a month-on-month increase of over 30% and a year-on-year increase of over 250% [1] - AI server revenue is projected to grow over 50% quarter-on-quarter and over 550% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Industrial Fulian holds a 73.8% market share in the 800G high-speed switch segment, with revenue from this segment expected to increase by 1300% year-on-year in 2025 [1] - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI, with expectations of steady growth in AI server and 800G switch shipments [2] - Industrial Fulian is a key foundry for Nvidia, which is expected to enhance profit margins with the introduction of the next-generation Rubin cabinet [2] Group 4: Dividend Policy - The strong financial performance supports substantial dividend payouts, with a cash dividend of 3.3 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 6.55 billion yuan, which is 54.07% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [2] - Over the past three years, the company has distributed and repurchased over 36.6 billion yuan [2]
美联储暂停降息,黄金仍飙涨近5600美元
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 07:25
1月29日凌晨,美联储召开2026年首次议息会议,宣布将基准利率维持在3.5%至3.75%的区间,符合市 场预期。此前,美联储已分别在去年9月、10月和12月连续三次降息25个基点。 决议公布后,国际金价强势上攻,一度逼近5600美元。截至发稿,现货黄金徘徊在5500美元的高位,日 内涨幅约2.3%,2026年开年以来已累计涨超28%,涨逾1200美元。白银价格同样大涨,现货白银突破 119美元/盎司,刷新历史纪录。 这一情绪也传导至A股市场。29日早盘,贵金属概念集体爆发,招金黄金9天6板,中国黄金5连板,湖 南黄金4连板,四川黄金、晓程科技、山金国际、兴业银锡等纷纷高开。 事实上,机构对黄金的看多预期早已提前释放。此前,已有多家机构相继上调黄金目标价。其中,摩根 士丹利将2026年下半年的黄金目标价提高至5700美元,当前金价距这一目标仅一步之遥。美银和法国兴 业均看高至6000美元,德意志银行则预测年内金价有望触及6000-6900美元。 中信证券在研报中指出,本轮金价走势多被地缘因素和市场情绪主导。此外,各国央行购金潮也是本轮 黄金大牛市的直接驱动力。如中国人民银行已连续14个月增持黄金,2025年全 ...
280亿元“落子”联合黄金,紫金矿业资源版图再扩容
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 12:10
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining continues its expansion strategy after its market capitalization soared to 1 trillion, announcing a cash acquisition of Allied Gold Corporation at 44 CAD per share, totaling approximately 28 billion RMB [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Zijin Gold International, a subsidiary of Zijin Mining, signed an agreement to acquire all issued common shares of Allied Gold Corporation for a total consideration of approximately 5.5 billion CAD, equivalent to 280 billion RMB [3]. - The acquisition price represents a premium of approximately 5.39% over the closing price of Allied Gold on the trading day before the agreement and an 18.95% premium over the average trading price over the previous 20 days [3]. - Zijin Mining will also acquire convertible bonds issued by Allied Gold, with an estimated payment of around 300 million CAD [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance of Allied Gold - Allied Gold reported revenues of 656 million USD in 2023, 730 million USD in 2024, and 904 million USD in the first nine months of 2025, with net profits of -192 million USD, -120 million USD, and 17 million USD respectively [4]. - The total assets of Allied Gold increased from 956 million USD to 1.685 billion USD, while the debt ratio rose from 60% to 75% [4]. Group 3: Strategic Importance of the Acquisition - The acquisition will expand Zijin Mining's asset layout to 12 large gold mines across 12 countries, enhancing its position and influence in the global gold industry [5]. - The core assets of Allied Gold include the Sadiola gold mine in Mali, the Côte d'Ivoire gold complex, and the Kurmuk gold mine in Ethiopia, all of which are either in production or about to commence production [4][6]. Group 4: Historical Context of Expansion - Zijin Mining has a history of aggressive acquisitions, having previously acquired various mining assets globally, including copper and gold mines, even during downturns in commodity cycles [7][8]. - Since 2020, Zijin Mining has accelerated its acquisition pace, focusing on energy metals and lithium resources, positioning itself as a significant player in the lithium market [9][10]. Group 5: Financial Health and Funding Strategy - For the first three quarters of 2025, Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit of 37.864 billion RMB, up 55.45% [11]. - As of September 2025, Zijin Mining held cash reserves of 68.092 billion RMB, with total liabilities exceeding 120 billion RMB, indicating a need for continuous funding to support its expansion [12]. - The company has established a robust financing strategy, issuing various debt instruments to maintain financial health while pursuing aggressive growth [12][13].