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我们正亲历一场漫长的告别
投资界· 2025-12-15 07:34
Core Viewpoint - The article reflects on the evolution and decline of the internet, emphasizing the loss of meaningful connections and the rise of AI-generated content, which has transformed the online landscape into a less authentic space [3][4][6]. Group 1: Internet Evolution - The article notes that significant online platforms have ceased operations, with Tianya closing for 958 days and other platforms like Tieku and Catpu also shutting down, marking a 27-year journey of internet development [4]. - A survey in 2023 revealed that 66.5% of web pages from the previous decade are no longer accessible, and 38% of web links generated in 2023 were lost the following year [5]. - The article highlights the transition from a vibrant online community to a landscape dominated by AI, where human-generated content is increasingly overshadowed by machine-generated articles [6][12]. Group 2: AI and Content Authenticity - By 2024, nearly half of global internet traffic is expected to come from bots, with 37% being malicious bots, indicating a significant shift in content creation dynamics [6]. - The article discusses the prevalence of AI-generated content, with AI articles surpassing human-written ones in October 2023, leading to a crisis of authenticity in online information [6][12]. - The rise of algorithms has led to a narrowing of perspectives, as users are increasingly isolated in their content consumption, losing the joy of serendipitous discovery [12][14]. Group 3: Cultural Reflection - The article reminisces about the early days of the internet, where connections were genuine and communities were built around shared interests, contrasting sharply with today's commercialized and algorithm-driven environment [10][11]. - It reflects on the nostalgia for a time when online interactions felt more personal and less transactional, highlighting the cultural shift that has occurred over the years [10][14]. - The piece concludes with a hope for a return to meaningful connections and a recognition of the value of authentic human interaction in the digital age [14][15].
三个人,聊了很多AI真相
投资界· 2025-12-15 07:34
Core Insights - The article discusses the transition of AI from model capability competition to execution capability in the physical world, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in this domain [2][3]. Company Summaries - Zhi Bian Liang is focused on developing embodied intelligence foundational models and general-purpose robots, emphasizing the need for a physical model that operates in the real world, distinct from virtual models [4]. - Yuan Rong Qi Xing has been involved in autonomous driving, witnessing the industry's evolution from high-precision mapping to end-to-end models, and has successfully deployed 200,000 vehicles with their driving assistance systems, with a projection of reaching one million vehicles next year [5]. Challenges in AI Implementation - The transition from simulation to real-world application presents significant challenges, including the need for extensive pre-training based on real-world data, which is not easily replicated in simulated environments [6][7]. - The physical world introduces complexities that are not present in simulations, such as the need for precise manipulation and the impact of minor errors on outcomes [9][10]. Importance of Data and Training - The collection of vast amounts of real-world data is crucial for effective pre-training, and the integration of language models can enhance learning efficiency [7][18]. - The current data generation from 200,000 vehicles is substantial, necessitating careful selection and quality control to optimize model performance [18]. Future of Commercialization - The commercialization of embodied intelligence is expected to gain momentum by 2026, with predictions of significant advancements in practical applications and return on investment [21][22]. - The industry is currently in a phase similar to early autonomous driving, with many companies still in the demo stage, but there is optimism about achieving scalable commercial applications soon [19][20]. Role of Language Models - Language models are seen as essential for providing supervisory information during training, aiding in the rapid learning of complex tasks [12][13]. - However, there is debate about the necessity of language in physical AI, with some arguing that while it enhances understanding, it may not be critical for all applications [15][26]. Technical Considerations - The development of physical AI models requires overcoming significant engineering challenges, including the need for real-time feedback and the limitations of current computational resources [25][26]. - The scaling laws in AI suggest that with sufficient data and resources, it is feasible to train models that can operate effectively in the physical world within a reasonable timeframe [24][26].
原来,他投了摩尔线程天使轮
投资界· 2025-12-15 07:34
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the remarkable valuation and investment success of Moole Technology, which has seen its market value soar to 400 billion yuan, significantly increasing from its IPO pre-funding valuation [2][8]. Group 1: Investment Success - Moole Technology's valuation increased over tenfold compared to its last funding round before the IPO, marking a significant event in the Chinese tech wealth landscape [2]. - Among the 85 original shareholders of Moole Technology, Heertai stands out as a listed company that invested in the angel round, achieving a paper profit exceeding 3 billion yuan post-IPO [3][6]. - Heertai's investment in Moole Technology at a valuation of 1.4 billion yuan demonstrates the courage and foresight of its leadership, particularly Liu Jianwei, who has a strong background in technology and entrepreneurship [3][5]. Group 2: Leadership and Company Background - Liu Jianwei, a former professor at Harbin Institute of Technology, founded Heertai with a vision to lead the controller industry, successfully listing the company in 2010 [5][6]. - Heertai's early success was driven by its innovative smart control solutions, securing major clients like Haier and Midea [5]. - Liu Jianwei has also led Heertai to acquire Chengchang Technology for 624 million yuan, which later became a publicly listed company, showcasing his strategic vision [5][6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The market for hard tech companies in China is evolving, with increased acceptance of innovation and cost tolerance, indicating a favorable environment for growth [9]. - The success of Moole Technology and other hard tech firms suggests a potential rise of a Chinese equivalent to Nvidia, reflecting a broader trend in the semiconductor industry [9]. - The article notes that established investors like Dacheng Caizhi have shown confidence in Liu Jianwei's ventures, further solidifying his reputation as a reliable entrepreneur [7].
一家明星药企崩塌
投资界· 2025-12-15 07:34
(ID:mic-sh366) 以下文章来源于深蓝观 ,作者深蓝观团队 深蓝观 . 医药领域深度观察,深一点,远一点...... 悲剧发生。 作者/王晨 石慧玲 来源/深蓝观 然而,诡异的是,这家僵尸公司的账户里,却依然时不时有钱打进来。 一 家 其 实 已 经 " 死 亡 " 多 年 的 生 物 科 技 公 司 , 在 最 后 一 刻 , 突 然 向 市 场 抛 出 了 最 后 一 次"遗产分配"。 2 0 2 4年2月1 3日,FDA批准了On i v y d e(MM- 3 9 8)(伊立替康脂质体注射液)为基础 的四药联合方案,用于转移性胰腺癌的一线治疗。 这是一项标准意义上的"临床进展新闻"。但这项批准,却在资本市场上触发了一场迟到 多年的"终局回声"。 这 一 天 , 法 国 药 企 益 普 生 ( I p s e n ) 按 协 议 向 Me rrima c k P h a rma c e u t i c a ls 支 付 了 2 . 2 5亿美元的里程碑付款。而这,也成为了 Me rrima c k 这家公司此生最后一笔收入。 紧接着,更戏剧性的一幕发生了。 Me rrima c k 在 公 告 ...
一位投资人越过漫长岁月
投资界· 2025-12-14 07:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the investment landscape in China, emphasizing the importance of adapting to economic cycles and focusing on internal growth strategies within the venture capital and private equity sectors. Group 1: Investment Landscape and Trends - The 25th China Private Equity Annual Conference will be held in Shenzhen from December 2-5, 2025, gathering over a thousand top investors and entrepreneurs to observe China's technological innovation [2] - The investment logic has not changed significantly this year, focusing on companies that lead in technology and manufacturing, with an increase in investment in emerging technologies such as quantum computing and AI [9][10] - The current economic cycle is characterized as an L-shaped stable period, with a focus on long-term growth and addressing shortfalls in various sectors [9] Group 2: Institutional Insights and Strategies - Institutions are increasingly diversifying their investment strategies, combining primary and secondary markets, public and private equity, and domestic and international investments [3][4] - The National New Capital Fund has established a series of funds with a total subscription scale exceeding 3 trillion yuan, focusing on strategic emerging industries and technological innovation [6] - Investment strategies are shifting from direct investments to a combination of fund-of-funds and direct investments, with a focus on strategic and merger investments [11] Group 3: Sector-Specific Opportunities - AI is identified as a foundational trend for future investments, with significant opportunities in sectors such as biomedicine, hard technology, and semiconductor industries [16][20] - The automotive sector is expected to see substantial transformation due to AI, particularly in intelligent driving and related technologies [19] - The advanced manufacturing sector is projected to offer significant investment opportunities, with many companies likely to expand globally [21] Group 4: Post-Investment Management - Effective post-investment management is crucial, focusing on identifying market needs and leveraging institutional strengths to enhance portfolio companies [22] - Institutions emphasize the importance of finding financial resources, talent, and business opportunities to support the growth of their portfolio companies [23] - A structured approach to post-investment management, including categorization and precise resource allocation, is essential for driving industry development [25] Group 5: Future of Entrepreneurship and Investment - The future of entrepreneurship in China is expected to see higher barriers to entry, particularly in hard technology sectors, requiring both scientific and entrepreneurial expertise [28] - The investment landscape is undergoing differentiation, with various types of GP (General Partners) emerging, each with distinct strategies and focuses [28] - The integration of AI into investment processes is anticipated to revolutionize traditional methods, enhancing efficiency and decision-making [24]
一家机器人公司要破产了
投资界· 2025-12-14 07:50
启示录。 作者/周佳丽 这一幕还是来了。 近日,美国机器人公司iRo b o t在递交给SEC的文件中首次承认: 公司现金流几近枯竭,总负债超过3 . 5亿美元(约2 5亿元人民币), 而手头现金仅余2 4 8 0万美元。如果2 0 2 6年1月1 5日前无法与债权人达成展期或再融资协议,公司将不得不申请破产保护。 成立于1 9 9 0年,iRo b o t是全球最早将机器人带入家庭生活的企业,巅峰时期全球市占率超过8 0 %,市值一度冲破4 0亿美元。然而伴 随石头、云鲸、追觅等中国扫地机器人的凶猛出海,一代鼻祖也扛不住了,这几年业绩不断恶化,甚至跌入资不抵债的窘境。 令人惊讶的是,现在iRo b o t最大的债主正是其代工厂——来自中国深圳的杉川机器人有限公司(以下简称:深圳杉川)。兜兜转转, 中国制造依然是最强对手。 扫地机鼻祖, 爆雷了 iRo b o t一度是科技改变生活的典范。 故事追溯到1 9 9 0年,麻省理工学院(MIT)人工智能实验室的主任Ro d n e y Br o o k s与两位得意门生Co l i n An g l e、He l e n Gr e i n e r共 同创办了iRo ...
大龄博士,出局
投资界· 2025-12-14 07:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changing landscape of employment opportunities for PhD graduates in China, highlighting the increasing age limits for civil service exams and the challenges faced by older PhD candidates in securing academic positions due to stringent age requirements [4][5][8]. Group 1: Age Limit Changes - The civil service exam has raised the age limit to 38 years, allowing recent master's and doctoral graduates to apply up to 43 years old, reflecting a trend of PhDs moving into non-academic roles [4]. - Many universities still impose strict age limits for academic positions, often requiring candidates to be under 35 years old, which contrasts with the civil service's more flexible approach [5][8]. Group 2: Employment Trends for PhDs - Over half of PhD graduates are now seeking employment outside of academia, as the academic job market becomes increasingly saturated [4][5]. - The average age of PhD graduates has risen, with many completing their degrees in their mid-30s, making it difficult for them to meet the age criteria for academic positions [8][9]. Group 3: Funding and Competition - The competition for funding, such as the Youth Science Fund, has intensified, with approval rates dropping to 15.54% in 2024, despite a significant increase in applications [10][12]. - The number of applications for the Youth Science Fund has surged from over 60,000 in 2015 to nearly 150,000 in 2024, indicating a growing pool of candidates [10][12]. Group 4: Academic Employment Challenges - The "non-promotion, non-renewal" policy in universities pressures young faculty to produce results quickly, which disproportionately affects older PhD candidates who may have less time to establish their academic careers [14][15]. - The perception of PhDs as "overqualified" for non-academic roles complicates their job search, as many employers prioritize practical skills over academic credentials [20][21]. Group 5: Future Directions - There is a call for universities to adopt more flexible hiring practices that consider diverse career paths and experiences rather than strictly adhering to age limits [15][16]. - The emphasis on professional doctoral programs is increasing, aiming to better prepare graduates for non-academic careers and address the mismatch between academic training and job market demands [20][21].
2500亿,网红薯片被卖了
投资界· 2025-12-13 07:39
Group 1 - Mars has completed the acquisition of Kellanova, the parent company of Pringles, for approximately $35.9 billion (about 253.4 billion RMB), marking the largest food industry acquisition of the year [2][5] - The acquisition signifies the merging of well-known brands, with Mars owning brands like Dove and Snickers, while Kellanova is recognized for Pringles and Kellogg's cereals [2][4] - The deal was in the works for a long time, with regulatory approval received in December, leading to Kellanova's delisting from the New York Stock Exchange [5][6] Group 2 - Pringles, launched in 1968, was the first canned potato chip brand and gained popularity through unique flavors and marketing strategies [4][6] - The brand initially struggled in sales but became a hit in the 1980s after taste adjustments and effective advertising [6] - Kellanova's history dates back to 1894, and it became the second-largest snack company globally after acquiring Pringles from Procter & Gamble for $26.95 billion (about 188 billion RMB) in 2012 [6][7] Group 3 - Mars CEO Paul Wehrrauch described the acquisition as historic, emphasizing the opportunity for innovation and reaching more consumers [7] - Mars is a well-known company with a diverse portfolio, including brands like M&M's and Skittles, and has a history of significant acquisitions [8][9] - The acquisition is expected to boost Mars' snack food business revenue to approximately $36 billion, positioning it as the third-largest player in the global snack industry [9] Group 4 - The article highlights a broader trend of mergers and acquisitions in the consumer sector, with companies like Starbucks and Burger King also engaging in strategic partnerships and sales [10][12] - The competitive landscape in the consumer market is prompting brands to adjust strategies, with many familiar brands choosing to sell parts of their businesses [13] - The food and beverage sector is viewed as resilient and attractive for investment, especially during economic fluctuations, leading to increased merger activity [13]
德国企业,正在疯狂涌入中国
投资界· 2025-12-13 07:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant influx of German companies into China, driven by various economic pressures and strategic advantages, marking a shift in the global industrial landscape [2][10]. Group 1: German Companies Moving to China - Over 560 German companies have established operations in Taicang, Jiangsu, with more than 60 being "hidden champions" in their respective industries [2]. - The first 100 German companies took 14 years to settle in Taicang, while the next 100 (from 400 to 500) only took 2 years, indicating a rapid acceleration in this trend [2]. - German investments in Taicang exceed $6 billion, with annual industrial output surpassing 67 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Major Investments and Developments - In 2024, notable investments include Volkswagen's €2.5 billion expansion in Hefei, Bayer's 600 million yuan supply center in Jiangsu, and Mercedes-Benz's €1 billion investment in a Beijing autonomous driving research center [3]. - Volkswagen's electric vehicle production capacity in China has reached 800,000 units, with 90% of components sourced locally [3]. - Leica has shifted 60% of its production to China, emphasizing the importance of local expertise in high-end manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Challenges Faced by German Companies - In 2024, Germany saw a record 22,000 bankruptcies, the highest in a decade, with a 12% year-on-year increase in bankruptcy applications in the first half of 2025 [5]. - Major companies like Flabeg and Recaro have declared bankruptcy, while others like Bosch and Volkswagen are implementing cost-cutting measures [6]. - The German industrial sector's self-assessed competitiveness has reached a 31-year low, with 36.6% of surveyed companies feeling disadvantaged compared to non-EU competitors [6]. Group 4: Factors Driving the Shift - The rise in energy costs, particularly a 148% increase in industrial electricity prices under the Green Party's policies, has severely impacted German manufacturing [7]. - Germany has permanently closed 17 nuclear power plants and about 60% of coal power plants, leading to a reliance on imported electricity and a tripling of energy costs [9]. - The U.S. tariffs on EU goods, including a 15% tax on many exports, have further diminished the competitiveness of German products in the American market [9]. Group 5: Strategic Advantages of Moving to China - The shift is not merely cost-driven but represents a strategic integration into a more dynamic "super ecosystem" in China [10]. - German companies are attracted to China's "innovation cost" advantages, as the rapid technological advancements in electric vehicles require faster development cycles than traditional methods [10]. - The "system cost" advantage in China allows for efficient supply chain integration, reducing overall operational costs significantly [11]. - The "future cost" advantage is highlighted by China's growing share in global manufacturing, which reached 31% in 2024, surpassing developed nations for the first time [14]. Group 6: Long-term Strategic Choices - The migration of German companies to China is seen as a long-term strategic choice rather than a temporary measure, with many planning further investments [15]. - The integration into China's industrial ecosystem is viewed as essential for maintaining competitiveness in the future global market [15].
LP圈发生了什么
投资界· 2025-12-13 07:39
「解码 LP 」系投资界旗下专注 LP 报道公众号,关注各地基金政策,捕捉 LP 最新动态,欢迎关注! 根据公开信息统计:截至周五下午,本周(12月6日-12月12日)LP动态共26起。 LP 上海国资又出资了 投资界-解码LP获悉,上海未来产业基金宣布拟参投5只子基金,分别是:上海琏瑆创业投 资合伙企业(有限合伙)、上海创新工场创业投资合伙企业(有限合伙)(暂定名)、苏州 砺思星河创业投资合伙企业(有限合伙)、上海元禾璞华未来种子创业投资合伙企业(有限 合伙)、上海思源探索创业投资合伙企业(有限合伙)。 近 日 , 香 港 投 资 管 理 有 限 公 司 ( 简 称 : 港 投 公 司 ) 近 日 公 布 了 " 新 资 本 投 资 者 入 境 计 划 " 下 " 投 资 组 合 " 的 " 2 0 2 5 资 金 组 别 " 获 委 任 的 十 家 投 资 机 构 : 盘 实 资 本 、 海 阔 天 空 创 投 、 CMC资本、晨壹基金、隐山资本、M Ca p it a l、柏骏资本、春华资本、信宸资本/中信资本 与远信资本投资管理有限公司及惠理集团。 管理着6 4 0亿港元,港投公司被誉为"港版淡马锡" ...