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11日投资提示:建工转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-06-10 14:03
Group 1 - The board of directors of JianGong proposed a downward adjustment for the convertible bonds [1] - New TaiGe shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - LuWei convertible bonds are available for subscription on June 11 [1] Group 2 - XinHengHui new shares are available for subscription on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1]
10日投资提示:宏柏新材股东拟减持不超2.98%股份
集思录· 2025-06-09 13:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights recent corporate actions including shareholder reductions and regulatory warnings from the FDA [1] - Hongbo New Materials plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 2.98% [1] - Jiahua Intelligent intends to reduce its shareholding by no more than 1% [1] - Huahai Pharmaceutical received a warning letter from the FDA based on an inspection conducted from January 16 to January 24, 2025, regarding its production facility [1] - The warning letter addressed issues related to cleaning management of solid oral production equipment, maintenance of sterile production areas, and the adequacy of parameters for tablet rejection studies [1] - Huahai Pharmaceutical is taking measures to optimize its operations and is maintaining active communication with the FDA to enhance its quality management system [1] - Zhaoziyang, the secretary of the board of directors of Ruifeng High Materials, is under investigation for suspected insider trading [1] - New stock listings and subscription opportunities are mentioned, including the listing of Jiaoda Iron and the subscription for Zhongjin Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT [1]
人多的地方不要去,高股息算不算人多?
集思录· 2025-06-09 13:43
现在的高股息算不算人多? 考虑到一个背景,10年期国债收益率处于30年低位,很多是保险、银行在配置高股息对冲利 率下降。 kkqq999 从一般意义,肯定算。因为满大街都说高息股和红利。 但什么时候才结束,谁也不知道。 所以,理论的东西,在实战中很难把握尺度,究竟什么时 候才算高估,什么时候应该离场,一百人有一百种想法。所以,价值投资为啥知易行难,因 为没有一个明确量化的标准。 豫章秋水 早就上车了,继续持有,浮盈超过7年预期股息我就慢慢卖,前面一段时间已经卖过一部分又 买回来了。但是你要我这个价位继续买入,不可能。 人多的时候不要去,这是从博弈的角度看投资,在大A拉长周期看是有效的。在现在这个时 点,一些高股息资产还没到人声鼎沸时,公募基金也没有显著超配,也就还谈不上人多。现 阶段,真想投资高股息品种,与其从博弈角度考虑,不如从其高股息的可持续性上多下些功 夫研究分析。 很多高股息股都把分红率以公司决议的形式公告了。最大的问题还是其盈利的可持续性。很 多高股息股这几年收益稳定,可拉长周期看其实也是周期股,比如且不限于煤炭 航运等。即 使不是周期股,可现在的世界变化太快,或许是科技变革,或许是大洋对面某个政策 ...
我不想过这样的生活
集思录· 2025-06-08 14:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current economic situation in China, drawing parallels with Japan's prolonged recession, emphasizing the reluctance of companies to invest despite low interest rates, and the implications for economic growth and individual aspirations [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - The current interest rates for one-year bank deposits have dropped to 0.95%, which is lower than the rates for riskier loans, indicating a failure in risk pricing models and a shift in market dynamics [4]. - Companies are hesitant to take loans or invest, opting instead to focus on debt repayment, which leads to insufficient domestic demand and potential economic stagnation [2][3]. Group 2: Comparison with Japan - The prolonged recession in Japan was attributed to companies focusing on repairing their balance sheets rather than pursuing new investments, a situation that could be mirrored in China [2]. - Japan's experience shows that even with low borrowing costs, companies may choose not to invest, leading to a cycle of stagnation and deflation [2][3]. Group 3: Societal Implications - The article highlights a generational shift where younger individuals may feel disillusioned and opt for a "lying flat" lifestyle instead of pursuing entrepreneurial ventures, reflecting a broader societal trend [5][6]. - The discussion includes the importance of economic growth for improving living standards, particularly for those in rural areas or smaller cities who aspire for better opportunities for their children [2]. Group 4: Future Opportunities - Potential investment opportunities may arise from global economic shifts, suggesting that companies should focus on international markets to mitigate domestic challenges [3]. - The article encourages young individuals to seek opportunities abroad as a means to escape the current economic constraints [3].
6月9日投资提示:欧晶科技股东拟减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-06-08 14:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent shareholder actions and significant contracts in various companies, highlighting potential impacts on their performance and market positioning [1]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - Oujing Technology's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - Shentong Technology's shareholders also intend to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% [1] - Jindan Technology's shareholders are looking to reduce their holdings by no more than 2.93% [1] - Zhongneng Electric has terminated the acquisition of Huading Electric's equity [1] - Honghui Fruits and Vegetables is planning a change in control by its controlling shareholder, leading to a suspension of its convertible bonds [1] Group 2: Significant Contracts - Jiacheng International announced a major contract for air trunk transportation services with a well-known global e-commerce platform and its suppliers [1] - The contract is expected to generate annual revenue exceeding 500 million yuan, with a duration of 2 years [1] - This contract will positively impact the company's performance and expand its service offerings to five major cross-border e-commerce platforms [1]
小镇做题家事业焦虑怎么破
集思录· 2025-06-06 14:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the psychological and financial challenges faced by individuals in the context of societal comparisons and personal achievements, particularly focusing on the author's feelings of inadequacy despite having a stable job and family life [2][3][5]. Group 1: Personal and Financial Situation - The author has a stable job in a state-owned enterprise, with a property valued at 10 million and some investment capital, but feels a lack of upward mobility and compares himself unfavorably to peers [1][3]. - The author has three children and a wife with an unstable income, which adds to the financial pressure and feelings of inadequacy [1][5]. Group 2: Societal Comparison and Psychological Impact - The author experiences anxiety from comparing himself to more successful peers, leading to a sense of self-doubt and dissatisfaction with his own achievements [2][5]. - The article highlights the concept of "social comparison trap," where individuals feel inadequate when measuring their success against others, particularly in upward comparisons [2][3]. Group 3: Perspectives on Success and Stability - Some comments suggest that the author is, in fact, a "winner" in life due to his stable job, family support, and financial security, despite his feelings of inadequacy [3][7]. - The discussion includes the notion that having three children and a stable income can be seen as a significant achievement, even if it doesn't align with traditional measures of success [6][9].
本周热点:人口负利比我想象中严重!
集思录· 2025-06-06 14:10
特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 分享一下村里的故事,或许有部分人的影子 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510010 孔曼子 - 人鱼系列投资分析法 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510091 人口负利比我想象 的严重! https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510032 继续全职投资 VS 回到职场做兼职投资 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510073 关注集思录微信 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: ...
银行股到顶了吗?
集思录· 2025-06-05 14:27
先说结论,不知道,但不要指望银行股的价格下跌到两年前。理由如下: 1、估值还不算高。 按照我的跟踪,银行股的估值最低的时候是2020年左右,现在银行股的 估值回到了2015年。从更长的时期看,银行股估值大概处于中间状态。 2、股息率还具有吸 引力。 虽然银行股息率回到了2015年的时候,但2015年一年期定存利率是2%左右,当下是 1%,银行4%的股息率仍然对用户存款具有一定的替代作用。 3、对抗通胀 历史上看,对抗 通胀最好的不是黄金、不是房地产,而是股票。 4、避险需要 中国经济经过前面几十年的发 展,未来将进入平稳期。大家调低了对于未来的乐观预期。相对来说,国家背书的银行股具 有更强的避险属性。 5、历史上的银行股走势台阶式上升。 平稳几年,猛涨几年,再平稳几 年,再猛涨几年,循环往复。 火锅008 假设你现在是某大行的董事长或行长,你的一天,可能是这样的:早上,打开全行的日度报 表,发现5月存款利率下调以来,零售存款连续10多天下滑,只能靠同业存单补一下负债的缺 口,导致存单的发行价格反而上行; 上午,6月初了,拿到了计财部提交的,6月全行经营数据,发现净息差,环比又收窄了 2bps,然后推算一下,二 ...
6月6日投资提示:帝欧转债复牌
集思录· 2025-06-05 14:27
本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 帝欧家居:实控人签署战略合作协议和一致行动协议,股票复牌 闻泰科技:股东拟减持不超3%公司股份 锦鸡股份:股东拟减持不超3%公司股份 山石转债,韵 达转债,伟测转债:不下修 关注集思录微信 特别提示 ...
6月5日投资提示:大参林股东拟减持不超2%股份
集思录· 2025-06-04 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in the stock market, including new stock listings and shareholder actions, emphasizing the importance of staying informed about investment opportunities and risks [1]. Group 1: Company Actions - Dacenglin plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 2% of the company's total shares [1]. - Huamao Technology intends to acquire a 57.84% stake in Fuchuang Youyue, with trading resuming on June 5 [1]. Group 2: Market Events - Zhongce Rubber has recently launched its new stock [1]. - The last trading day for Xingsen Convertible Bonds is set for July 17, 2025 [1].